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2022 Iowa Attorney General election

For related races, see 2022 United States attorney general elections.

The 2022 Iowa Attorney General election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the Attorney General of Iowa. Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Tom Miller, who was first elected Attorney General in 1978, ran for re-election to an eleventh overall term,[1] but was narrowly defeated by Republican nominee Brenna Bird, the county attorney for Guthrie County. Bird received 51% of the vote while Miller received 49% of the vote.

2022 Iowa Attorney General election
← 2018 November 8, 2022 2026 →
 
Nominee Brenna Bird Tom Miller
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 611,432 590,890
Percentage 50.8% 49.1%
Bird:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Miller:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes
Attorney General before election

Tom Miller
Democratic

Elected Attorney General

Brenna Bird
Republican

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Results

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Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Miller (incumbent) 146,284 99.73%
Write-in 399 0.27%
Total votes 146,683 100.0%

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Results

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Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brenna Bird 163,114 99.59%
Write-in 670 0.41%
Total votes 163,784 100.0%

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] Leans D November 3, 2022
Elections Daily[5] Leans D November 1, 2022

Polling

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Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Tom
Miller (D) 		Brenna
Bird (R) 		Other Undecided
Selzer & Co.[6] October 31 – November 3, 2022 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 47% 45% 4%[b] 5%
Cygnal (R)[7][A] October 26–27, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 44% – 11%
Selzer & Co.[8] October 9–12, 2022 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 33% 12%[c] 6%
Cygnal (R)[9][A] October 2–4, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 46% – 12%
Cygnal (R)[10][A] July 13–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% – 12%
Cygnal (R)[11][A] February 20–22, 2022 610 (LV) ± 3.9% 41% 46% – 13%

Results

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State Senate district results
2022 Iowa Attorney General election[12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Brenna Bird 611,432 50.82% N/A
Democratic Tom Miller (incumbent) 590,890 49.11% −27.40%
Write-in 801 0.07% -7.09%
Total votes 1,202,322 100.0%
Republican gain from Democratic

By congressional district

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Despite losing the state, Miller won 3 of 4 congressional districts, all of which elected Republicans.[13]

District Miller Bird Representative
1st 51% 49% Mariannette Miller-Meeks
2nd 51% 49% Ashley Hinson
3rd 54% 46% Cindy Axne (117th Congress)
Zach Nunn (118th Congress)
4th 39% 61% Randy Feenstra

Notes

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  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; "Don't want to tell" with 1%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  3. ^ "Would not vote" with 7%; "Someone else" with 5%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation

See also

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References

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  1. ^ a b Pfannestiel, Brianne (September 19, 2021). "Iowa Attorney General Tom Miller, a Democrat, to seek 2022 re-election". Retrieved December 28, 2021.
  2. ^ a b "Official Results - 2022 Primary Election". IOWA SECRETARY OF STATE. Retrieved June 11, 2022.
  3. ^ Gruber-Miller, Stephen (January 4, 2022). "Brenna Bird running for Iowa attorney general against Tom Miller". www.desmoinesregister.com. The Des Moines Register. Retrieved January 13, 2022.
  4. ^ "Secretary of State and Attorney General: What to Watch for Next Week in Key Statewide Contests". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2022. Retrieved November 3, 2022.
  5. ^ Solomon, Zack (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Secretary of State Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 29, 2022.
  6. ^ Selzer & Co.
  7. ^ Cygnal (R)
  8. ^ Selzer & Co.
  9. ^ Cygnal (R) Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  10. ^ Cygnal (R)
  11. ^ Cygnal (R) Archived February 28, 2022, at the Wayback Machine
  12. ^ "Official Results - 2022 General Election - Attorney General". IOWA SECRETARY OF STATE. Retrieved November 17, 2022.
  13. ^ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vRXYCnfsuOCgN6RiQhkxlzl5yqY9EUJkYDrgEW_z4NhezMAMQzOz6zuV32-5T-oqj_dlXUcURE7d9yu/pubhtml#
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Official campaign websites

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