Wikipedia

2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. Incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu won election to a fourth term, defeating Democratic nominee Tom Sherman.

2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
← 2020 November 8, 2022 2024 →
Turnout67.63% Decrease
 
Nominee Chris Sununu Tom Sherman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 352,982 256,774
Percentage 56.98% 41.47%
Sununu:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Sherman:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Governor before election

Chris Sununu
Republican

Elected Governor

Chris Sununu
Republican

Sununu had "expressed interest" in running for the U.S. Senate in 2022 against incumbent Democrat (and former governor) Maggie Hassan. However, on November 9, 2021, he announced that he would instead run for a fourth term as governor.[1] Sununu became the first Republican to win a fourth term as governor, also tying John Lynch's modern record of four terms overall.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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  • Julian Acciard, security specialist, Iraq War veteran, and former candidate for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional district in 2022[2]
  • Jay Lewis, Laconia resident[3]
  • Richard McMenamon II[4]
  • Thad Riley, entrepreneur, former Brentwood school board member and community advocate[5]
  • Karen Testerman, former Franklin city councilor and candidate for governor in 2020[6]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Chris Sununu

Organizations

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Thad
Riley 		Chris
Sununu 		Karen
Testerman 		Other Undecided
University of New Hampshire[10] August 25–29, 2022 892 (LV) ± 3.3% 7% 72% 5% 2%[b] 14%
Saint Anselm College[11] August 9–11, 2022 820 (RV) ± 3.4% 5% 68% 6% 2% 19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Kelly
Ayotte 		Scott
Brown 		Frank
Edelbut 		Chuck
Morse 		Undecided
Praecones Analytica[12] August 13–20, 2021 792 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 13% 7% 6% 29%

Results

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Results by county:
  Sununu
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 113,443 78.66%
Republican Karen Testerman 14,473 10.04%
Republican Thaddeus Riley 11,107 7.70%
Republican Julian Acciard 2,906 2.01%
Republican Jay Lewis 1,318 0.91%
Republican Richard McMenamon II 817 0.57%
Write-in 160 0.11%
Total votes 144,224 100.0%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Declined

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Endorsements

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Tom Sherman

Organizations

Results

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Democratic primary results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tom Sherman 82,607 97.57%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) (write-in) 1,963 2.32%
Write-in 95 0.11%
Total votes 84,665 100.0%

Other candidates

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Libertarian Party

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Nominees

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  • Karlyn Borysenko, activist and author[21]
  • Kelly Halldorson[21]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[22] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[23] Solid R September 23, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] Safe R August 18, 2022
Politico[25] Solid R November 3, 2022
RCP[26] Safe R June 8, 2022
Fox News[27] Likely R May 12, 2022
538[28] Solid R August 26, 2022
Elections Daily[29] Safe R November 7, 2022

Endorsements

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Chris Sununu (R)

U.S. executive branch officials

Organizations

Tom Sherman (D)

U.S. senators

U.S. representatives

Organizations

Polling

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Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Chris
Sununu (R) 		Tom
Sherman (D) 		Other
[c] 		Margin
Real Clear Politics[34] October 28 – November 6, 2022 November 8, 2022 56.4% 39.4% 4.2% Sununu +17.0
FiveThirtyEight[35] September 15, 2021 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 55.4% 39.0% 5.6% Sununu +16.4
Average 55.9% 39.2% 4.9% Sununu +16.7

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Sununu (R) 		Tom
Sherman (D) 		Other Undecided
Phillips Academy[36] November 5–6, 2022 1,056 (LV) ± 3.0% 58% 36% – 6%
University of New Hampshire[37] November 2–6, 2022 2,077 (LV) ± 2.2% 55% 43% 2%[d] <1%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[38][A] November 5, 2022 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 56% 40% 2%[e] 2%
Data for Progress (D)[39] November 2–5, 2022 1,995 (LV) ± 2.0% 58% 40% 2%[f] –
Wick Insights[40] November 2–5, 2022 725 (LV) ± 3.6% 53% 43% 2%[g] 2%
Emerson College[41] October 30 – November 1, 2022 850 (LV) ± 3.3% 57% 36% 4%[h] 4%
58% 37% 6%[i] –
Saint Anselm College[42] October 28–29, 2022 1,541 (LV) ± 2.5% 55% 37% 2%[j] 6%
co/efficient (R)[43] October 25–26, 2022 1,098 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 34% 5%[k] 8%
UMass Lowell/YouGov[44] October 14–25, 2022 600 (LV) ± 5.1% 51% 35% 12%[l] 2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[45][A] October 23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 37% 4%[m] 6%
Emerson College[46] October 18–19, 2022 727 (LV) ± 3.6% 52% 40% 3%[n] 5%
54% 41% 4%[o] –
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[47][B] October 17–19, 2022 600 (LV) – 57% 40% – 4%
Data for Progress (D)[48] October 14–19, 2022 1,392 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 40% 3%[p] 4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[49] October 2–6, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 55% 41% 1% 3%
Data for Progress (D)[50] September 23–30, 2022 1,147 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 39% 4%[q] 5%
Saint Anselm College[51] September 27–28, 2022 901 (RV) ± 3.3% 50% 34% 5%[r] 11%
Suffolk University[52] September 23–26, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 53% 36% 4%[s] 8%
American Research Group[53] September 15–19, 2022 555 (RV) ± 4.2% 53% 38% – 9%
University of New Hampshire[54] September 15–19, 2022 870 (LV) ± 3.3% 55% 37% 1%[t] 8%
Emerson College[55] September 14–15, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.4% 52% 37% 4%[u] 7%
Saint Anselm College[11] August 9–11, 2022 1,898 (RV) ± 2.3% 48% 29% 4% 18%
Public Policy Polling (D)[56][C] July 5–6, 2022 601 (LV) ± 4.0% 43% 33% 8%[v] 16%
University of New Hampshire[57] April 14–18, 2022 868 (LV) ± 3.5% 55% 29% 1% 14%
Phillips Academy[58] April 4–8, 2022 533 (A) ± 4.2% 62% 24% – 14%
471 (RV) ± 4.5% 73% 24% – 3%
Saint Anselm College[59] March 23–24, 2022 1,265 (RV) ± 2.8% 51% 24% 10% 15%
Hypothetical polling

Chris Sununu vs. generic opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[a] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Sununu (R) 		Generic
Opponent 		Undecided
Saint Anselm College[60] January 11–12, 2022 1,215 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 45% 10%

Results

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2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election[61]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Chris Sununu (incumbent) 352,813 56.98% −8.14%
Democratic Tom Sherman 256,766 41.47% +8.11%
Libertarian Kelly Halldorson 5,071 0.82% N/A
Libertarian Karlyn Borysenko 2,772 0.45% N/A
Write-in 1,713 0.28% +0.19%
Total votes 619,135 100.0%
Turnout 626,845 67.63%
Registered electors 925,401
Republican hold

By county

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By county
 
 
2022 gubernatorial election results in New Hampshire (by county) [62]
County Tom Sherman
Democratic 		Chris Sununu
Republican 		Other votes Total
votes
# % # % # % #
Belknap 9,429 31.1% 20,499 67.5% 425 1.4% 30,353
Carroll 10,306 37.9% 16,554 60.9% 342 1.3% 27,202
Cheshire 16,890 49.8% 16,503 48.7% 516 1.5% 33,909
Coös 4,194 32.8% 8,251 64.4% 360 2.8% 12,805
Grafton 21,483 50.4% 20,427 48.0% 676 1.6% 42,586
Hillsborough 69,673 40.5% 99,608 58.0% 2,585 1.5% 171,866
Merrimack 30,835 43.6% 38,669 54.7% 1,248 1.8% 70,752
Rockingham 59,759 38.8% 92,043 59.8% 2,216 1.4% 154,018
Strafford 26,495 46.9% 29,100 51.5% 929 1.6% 56,524
Sullivan 7,702 40.3% 11,159 58.4% 259 1.4% 19,120

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

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Sununu won both congressional districts, which both elected Democrats.[63]

District Sununu Sherman Representative
1st 58% 40% Chris Pappas
2nd 56% 43% Annie Kuster

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ a b c d Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Acciard and "Other" with 1%
  3. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. ^ Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Another candidate" with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  6. ^ Halldorson (L) with 2%
  7. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  8. ^ Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ^ Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 2%
  10. ^ Borysenko (L) with 1%; Halldorson (L) with 1%
  11. ^ Borysenko (L) with 4%; Halldorson (L) with 1%
  12. ^ Halldorson (L) with 5%; Borysenko (L) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 5%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Halldorson (L) with 1%; Borysenko (L) with <1%
  16. ^ Halldorson (L) with 3%
  17. ^ Halldorson (L) with 4%
  18. ^ "Someone else" with 5%
  19. ^ Borysenko (L) with 2%; Halldorson (L) with 2%
  20. ^ Borysenko (L) with 1%
  21. ^ "Someone else" with 4%
  22. ^ Borysenko (L) with 8%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b Poll conducted for American Greatness, a conservative news and opinions site.
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Bolduc's campaign, the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate.
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Sherman's campaign

References

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  1. ^ a b "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu Not Running For US Senate, Will Seek 4th Term As Governor". CBS Boston. November 9, 2021. Archived from the original on November 9, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021.
  2. ^ "Acciard Leaves NH-01 Race to Challenge Sununu in Primary". NH Journal. May 5, 2022. Retrieved May 21, 2022.
  3. ^ a b "Welcome". New Hampshire Secretary of State.
  4. ^ "2022 Republican Cumulative Filings". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
  5. ^ Bailey, Kathleen D. (November 3, 2021). "Ex-Brentwood School Board member runs for NH governor, criticizes Sununu, vaccine mandates". The Portsmouth Herald. Gannett. Archived from the original on November 6, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  6. ^ DiStaso, John (July 29, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Karen Testerman, running again for governor, says, 'I'm not a protest candidate'". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on July 29, 2021. Retrieved July 30, 2021.
  7. ^ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "BREAKING: Sources close to former Sen @KellyAyotte tell @WMUR9 she "will NOT be a candidate for any office in 2022…." Ayotte "thankful" @ChrisSununu ChrisSununu "will continue his service to our state." #nhsen #NHgov #NHPolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  8. ^ DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "Now: @SenScottBrown has essentially taken himself out of the running for the #nhsen seat, says he wants to focus on his wife, @gailhuffbrown in her bid for #nh01 - His comments to @WMUR9 below #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
  9. ^ a b "New Hampshire Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  10. ^ University of New Hampshire
  11. ^ a b Saint Anselm College
  12. ^ Praecones Analytica
  13. ^ a b "2022 State Primary Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State.
  14. ^ "NH state Sen. Tom Sherman exploring gubernatorial run". Associated Press. February 15, 2022. Archived from the original on February 15, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
  15. ^ Steinhauser, Paul (October 29, 2021). "On the trail: Who would replace Sununu in governor's office?". Concord Monitor. Archived from the original on November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  16. ^ DiStaso, John (November 11, 2021). "Former Gov. John Lynch says he's 'not even considering' running for governor again". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on November 12, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  17. ^ Sexton, Adam (April 14, 2021). "Progressive activists try to recruit author Picoult into run for governor". WMUR-TV. Concord, N.H. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021. Picoult announced on Wednesday evening via Twitter that she would not be running for governor.
  18. ^ "Franklin Pierce University Names Andru Volinsky as its First Civic Scholar-In-Residence".
  19. ^ Staff Report (August 24, 2022). "Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement". InDepthNH. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  20. ^ a b Sexton, Adam (August 2, 2022). "New Hampshire's largest teachers union endorses Democrat Sherman for governor". WMUR9. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  21. ^ a b "Nh sos".[permanent dead link‍]
  22. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  23. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  24. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  25. ^ "New Hampshire Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  26. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  29. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  30. ^ "Haley endorses Sununu, Bolduc; heading to New Hampshire this week to join them on campaign trail". Fox News. September 19, 2022.
  31. ^ "Chris Sununu's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  32. ^ a b c d "Congressional Delegation Endorses Tom Sherman for Governor". October 18, 2022.
  33. ^ "Sherman Outraises Sununu; Wins AFT-NH Endorsement". InDepthNH. August 24, 2022. Retrieved August 27, 2022.
  34. ^ Real Clear Politics
  35. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  36. ^ Phillips Academy
  37. ^ University of New Hampshire
  38. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  39. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  40. ^ Wick Insights
  41. ^ Emerson College
  42. ^ Saint Anselm College
  43. ^ co/efficient (R)
  44. ^ UMass Lowell/YouGov
  45. ^ InsiderAdvantage (R)
  46. ^ Emerson College
  47. ^ Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
  48. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  49. ^ Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)
  50. ^ Data for Progress (D)
  51. ^ Saint Anselm College
  52. ^ Suffolk University
  53. ^ American Research Group
  54. ^ University of New Hampshire
  55. ^ Emerson College
  56. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  57. ^ University of New Hampshire
  58. ^ Phillips Academy
  59. ^ Saint Anselm College
  60. ^ Saint Anselm College
  61. ^ "2022 General Election Results". New Hampshire Department of State.
  62. ^ "2022 General Election Results".
  63. ^ https://www.davesredistricting.org/maps#viewmap::a1a2b285-f862-402c-9e89-b45791a46473
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Official campaign websites

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