Wikipedia

2022 United States Senate election in Idaho

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.

The 2022 United States Senate election in Idaho was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Senator Mike Crapo was first elected in 1998 and ran for re-election to a fifth term in office.[1][2] Primary elections were held on May 17, 2022. Crapo easily won renomination, while former Idaho House of Representatives candidate David Roth won the Democratic primary with 57.8% of the vote. Crapo ultimately won the election, but this was the lowest share of the vote he had ever received for this seat, partially because of an independent candidate, Scott Cleveland, taking away some of his votes.[3]

2022 United States Senate election in Idaho
← 2016 November 8, 2022 2028 →
 
Nominee Mike Crapo David Roth Scott Cleveland
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 358,539 169,808 49,917
Percentage 60.68% 28.74% 8.45%
Crapo:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Roth:      50–60%      60–70%
U.S. senator before election

Mike Crapo
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Mike Crapo
Republican

The election resulted in both the worst performance by a Republican, and the best performance by a Democrat in the Class 3 seat since 1992. It was also the best performance by a third-party or independent candidate since Glen H. Taylor's write-in campaign in 1956.

Republican primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Failed to file

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Withdrawn

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Endorsements

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Mike Crapo

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

Results

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Results by county
  Crapo
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
Republican primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Crapo (incumbent) 177,906 67.13%
Republican Scott Trotter 27,699 10.45%
Republican Brenda Bourn 21,612 8.16%
Republican Ramont Turnbull 20,883 7.88%
Republican Natalie Fleming 16,902 6.38%
Total votes 265,002 100.0%

Democratic primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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  • Ben Pursley, real estate developer[19]

Results

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Results by county
  Roth
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   90–100%
  Pursley
  •   50–60%
Democratic primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Roth 19,160 57.80%
Democratic Ben Pursley 13,987 42.20%
Total votes 33,147 100.0%

Libertarian primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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Results

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Libertarian primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Idaho Sierra Law 673 100.0%
Total votes 673 100.0%

Constitution primary

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Candidates

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Nominee

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  • Ray Writz, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2020

Results

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Constitution primary results[18]
Party Candidate Votes %
Constitution Ray Writz 520 100.0%
Total votes 520 100.0%

Independents

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Candidates

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Declared

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  • Scott Cleveland, entrepreneur[20][8]

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[24] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[25] Safe R February 24, 2022
Fox News[26] Solid R May 12, 2022
DDHQ[27] Solid R July 20, 2022
538[28] Solid R June 30, 2022
The Economist[29] Safe R September 7, 2022

Endorsements

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Mike Crapo (R)

Former U.S. Executive Branch officials

Organizations

David Roth (D)

Organizations

Newspapers

Debates

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2022 United States Senate general election in Idaho debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Independent
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Mike Crapo David Roth Scott Clevland
1 Oct. 5, 2022 Idaho Public Television Melissa Davlin [34] P P P

Results

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2022 United States Senate election in Idaho[35]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mike Crapo (incumbent) 358,539 60.68% −5.45%
Democratic David Roth 169,808 28.74% +1.01%
Independent Scott Cleveland 49,917 8.45% N/A
Constitution Ray Writz 8,500 1.44% −4.70%
Libertarian Idaho Sierra Law 4,126 0.70% N/A
Total votes 590,890 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

By county

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By county
County Mike Crapo
Republican 		David Roth
Democratic 		Scott Cleveland
Independent 		Ray Writz
Constitution 		Idaho Sierra Law
Libertarian 		Margin Total
votes
# % # % # % # % # % # %
Ada 87,579 47.46 76,656 41.54 17,551 9.51 1,561 0.85 1,174 0.64 10,923 5.92 184,521
Adams 1,425 70.86 367 18.25 150 7.46 56 2.78 13 0.65 1,058 52.61 2,011
Bannock 14,480 56.91 9,054 35.59 1,299 5.11 377 1.48 233 0.92 5,426 21.33 25,443
Bear Lake 1,871 83.38 196 8.73 87 3.88 70 3.12 20 0.89 1,675 74.64 2,244
Benewah 2,662 76.85 503 14.52 151 4.36 110 3.18 38 1.10 2,159 62.33 3,464
Bingham 9,491 77.10 1,750 14.22 771 6.26 223 1.81 75 0.61 7,741 62.88 12,310
Blaine 3,121 32.21 6,006 61.99 336 3.47 99 1.02 127 1.31 -2,885 -29.78 9,689
Boise 2,172 63.19 673 19.58 478 13.91 83 2.41 31 0.90 1,499 43.61 3,437
Bonner 13,348 64.29 5,467 26.33 1,502 7.23 300 1.45 144 0.69 7,881 37.96 20,761
Bonneville 24,579 69.36 7,866 22.20 2,248 6.34 520 1.47 226 0.64 16,713 47.16 35,439
Boundary 3,939 75.75 732 14.08 403 7.75 93 1.79 33 0.63 3,207 61.67 5,200
Butte 783 78.85 114 11.48 59 5.94 28 2.82 9 0.91 669 67.37 993
Camas 367 71.12 95 18.41 29 5.62 21 4.07 4 0.78 272 52.71 516
Canyon 36,558 62.78 12,961 22.26 7,299 12.53 976 1.68 435 0.75 23,597 40.52 58,229
Caribou 1,735 81.99 205 9.69 109 5.15 54 2.55 13 0.61 1,530 72.31 2,116
Cassia 4,619 79.69 584 10.08 398 6.87 154 2.66 41 0.71 4,035 69.62 5,796
Clark 161 78.16 19 9.22 15 7.28 9 4.37 2 0.97 142 68.93 206
Clearwater 2,389 76.57 526 16.86 119 3.81 72 2.31 14 0.45 1,863 59.71 3,120
Custer 1,447 72.03 359 17.87 113 5.62 79 3.93 11 0.55 1,088 54.16 2,009
Elmore 4,380 66.31 1,334 20.20 688 10.42 141 2.13 62 0.94 3,046 46.12 6,605
Franklin 3,588 83.34 302 7.02 257 5.97 135 3.14 23 0.53 3,286 76.33 4,305
Fremont 3,399 80.17 480 11.32 247 5.83 87 2.05 27 0.64 2,919 {68.84 4,240
Gem 5,118 67.60 1,076 14.21 1,173 15.49 133 1.76 71 0.94 3,945 52.11 7,571
Gooding 2,941 72.67 609 15.05 374 9.24 91 2.25 32 0.79 2,332 57.62 4,047
Idaho 5,741 76.91 962 12.89 535 7.17 177 2.37 50 0.67 4,779 64.02 7,465
Jefferson 7,396 81.33 836 9.19 585 6.43 223 2.45 54 0.59 6,560 72.14 9,094
Jerome 3,506 72.07 803 16.51 421 8.65 102 2.10 33 0.68 2,703 55.56 4,865
Kootenai 42,115 67.67 13,404 21.54 5,515 8.86 836 1.34 369 0.59 28,711 46.13 62,239
Latah 7,484 49.95 6,881 45.92 361 2.41 133 0.89 125 0.83 603 4.02 14,984
Lemhi 2,690 73.62 674 18.45 175 4.79 82 2.24 33 0.90 2,016 55.17 3,654
Lewis 1,097 80.72 176 12.95 58 4.27 26 1.91 2 0.15 921 67.77 1,359
Lincoln 978 74.43 221 16.82 76 5.78 27 2.05 12 0.91 757 57.61 1,314
Madison 6,533 78.94 972 11.74 519 6.27 195 2.36 57 0.69 5,561 67.19 8,276
Minidoka 3,623 76.89 592 12.56 366 7.77 99 2.10 32 0.68 3,031 64.33 4,712
Nez Perce 8,986 66.83 3,628 26.98 639 4.75 100 0.74 93 0.69 5,358 39.85 13,446
Oneida 1,330 83.07 117 7.31 99 6.18 44 2.75 11 0.69 1,213 75.77 1,601
Owyhee 2,376 72.55 411 12.55 382 11.66 67 2.05 39 1.19 1,965 60.00 3,275
Payette 5,509 72.61 1,079 14.22 835 11.01 125 1.65 39 0.51 4,430 58.39 7,587
Power 1,428 72.41 420 21.30 71 3.60 35 1.77 18 0.91 1,008 51.12 1,972
Shoshone 2,858 69.55 1,005 24.46 172 4.19 43 1.05 31 0.75 1,853 45.10 4,109
Teton 2,100 44.81 2,375 50.68 143 3.05 36 0.77 32 0.68 -275 -5.87 4,686
Twin Falls 14,914 65.23 4,780 20.91 2,425 10.61 564 2.47 180 0.79 10,134 44.32 22,863
Valley 2,829 54.20 1,974 37.82 330 6.32 50 0.96 37 0.71 855 16.38 5,220
Washington 2,894 74.26 564 14.47 354 9.08 64 1.64 21 0.54 2,330 59.79 3,897
Totals 358,539 60.68 169,808 28.74 49,917 8.45 8,500 1.44 4,126 0.70 188,731 31.94 590,890

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

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Crapo won both congressional districts.[36]

District Crapo Roth Representative
1st 64% 24% Russ Fulcher
2nd 57% 34% Mike Simpson

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Nominee for state representative from the 29th district in 2012 and 2018; nominee for state senator from the 29th district in 2016; nominee for Idaho's 2nd congressional district in 2020

References

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  1. ^ a b Alex Rogers, Manu Raju and Ted Barrett (January 27, 2021). "Retirements shake up 2022 map as Republican senators eye exits". CNN. Retrieved February 15, 2021.
  2. ^ a b Brizee, Alex (January 5, 2022). "Idaho's Mike Crapo will run for a fifth U.S. Senate term in 2022 midterm elections". Idaho Statesman. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  3. ^ "Idaho Republican U.S. Sen. Crapo wins fifth term". Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  4. ^ "BOURN, BRENDA - Candidate overview". www.fec.gov. Retrieved February 19, 2022.
  5. ^ "Natalie Fleming for US Senate". Facebook. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  6. ^ "Natalie M Fleming for United States Senate - Idaho". Natalie M Fleming for U.S. Senate. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  7. ^ Trotter for United States Senate (October 11, 2021). "FEC FORM 1 | STATEMENT OF ORGANIZATION" (PDF). FEC. Retrieved November 29, 2021.
  8. ^ a b c "These Senate seats are up for election in 2022". The Hill. January 21, 2022.
  9. ^ "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Idaho Secretary of State. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
  10. ^ "FEC FORM 2 STATEMENT OF CANDIDACY FILING FEC-1541914". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
  11. ^ "GILBERT, JEREMY JOSEPH - Candidate overview". fec.gov. Federal Election Commission. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
  12. ^ "Statement from Jeremy Gilbert". Facebook.com. Jeremy Gilbert for U.S. Senate. November 16, 2021. Retrieved November 19, 2021. It's with a heavy heart that today I announce I will be suspending my campaign for the 2022 U.S. Senate seat in Idaho.
  13. ^ a b McFall, Caitlin (March 5, 2021). "Trump issues GOP endorsements in latest sign he is reentering political arena". Fox News. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  14. ^ a b "Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions Announces Second Round of Congressional Endorsements for the 2022 Election Cycle". cresenergy.com. Citizens for Responsible Energy Solutions. May 4, 2022. Archived from the original on August 21, 2022. Retrieved June 7, 2022.
  15. ^ a b "NRA-PVF - Grades - Idaho". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  16. ^ a b "NRA-PVF Endorses Sen. Mike Crapo in Idaho Primary". April 21, 2022. Archived from the original on May 14, 2022.
  17. ^ a b "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 21, 2022.
  18. ^ a b c d "OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS-2022 Primary Election". Retrieved May 30, 2022.
  19. ^ a b "Candidate Filing Report" (PDF). Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  20. ^ "CLEVELAND, SCOTT OH - Candidate overview | FEC". FEC. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  21. ^ "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  22. ^ "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  23. ^ "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  24. ^ "Idaho Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  25. ^ "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
  26. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  27. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". DDHQ. July 20, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
  28. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  29. ^ "Economist's 2022 Senate forecast". The Economist. September 7, 2022. Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  30. ^ a b c d e f "Mike Crapo's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved November 7, 2022.
  31. ^ "2022 Stonewall Voter Guide". Stonewall Democratic Club. Retrieved December 5, 2022.
  32. ^ "2022 Candidates for Common Good". Vote Common Good. Retrieved November 1, 2022.
  33. ^ "Idaho Statesman". idahostatesman.com. Retrieved April 10, 2023. (subscription required)
  34. ^ YouTube
  35. ^ "2022 General Election - OFFICIAL ELECTION RESULTS". State of Idaho - Elections Department.
  36. ^ Results. docs.google.com (Report).
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Official campaign websites

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