Wikipedia

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered2,501,081
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

Background

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Edo State is a diverse state in the South South; politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a continuation of the state's competitiveness as PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state by 1% and the party won two senate seats. However, the APC won five of nine House of Representatives seats and a majority in the House of Assembly. The next year, incumbent Governor Godwin Obaseki defected from the APC to the PDP before winning re-election by over 15%.

Polling

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Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		      Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 3% 64% 5% 5% – 11% 9% 5%
BantuPage January 2023 N/A 15% 56% 0% 5% – 4% 5% 2%
Nextier
(Edo crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 2.6% 76.9% – 9.0% 1.3% 10.3% – –
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Edo crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 3% 61% – 10% 2% 23% – –

Projections

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Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][2] Likely Obi 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][3]
Tinubu: 25.14% 11 February 2023
Obi: 31.46%
Abubakar: 25.14%
Others: 18.25%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][4] 		Obi 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][5] Obi 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][6]
Tinubu: 15% 27 December 2022
Obi: 35%
Kwankwaso: –
Abubakar: 35%
Others/Undecided: 15%
The Nation[f][7][8] Battleground 12-19 February 2023

General election

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Results

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Edo State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen
AA Hamza al-Mustapha
ADP Yabagi Sani
APP Osita Nnadi
AAC Omoyele Sowore
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu
APC Bola Tinubu 144,471 24.86%
APGA Peter Umeadi
APM Princess Chichi Ojei
BP Sunday Adenuga
LP Peter Obi 331,163 56.97%
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso 2,743 0.47%
PRP Kola Abiola
PDP Atiku Abubakar 89,585 15.41%
SDP Adewole Adebayo
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

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The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial district Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Edo Central Senatorial District[g] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Edo North Senatorial District[h] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Edo South Senatorial District[i] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

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The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Akoko-Edo Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Egor/Ikpoba-Okha Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Esan Central/Esan West/Igueben Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Esan North East/Esan South East Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Etsako East/Etsako West/Etsako Central Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Oredo Federal Constituency[o] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Orhionmwon/Uhunmwonde Federal Constituency[p] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Ovia North East/Ovia South West Federal Constituency[q] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Owan East/Owan West Federal Constituency[r] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

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The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Akoko Edo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Egor TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Esan Central TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Esan North-East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Esan South-East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Esan West TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Etsako Central TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Etsako East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Etsako West TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Igueben TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ikpoba Okha TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Oredo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Orhionmwon TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ovia North-East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Ovia South-West TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Owan East TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Owan West TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Uhunmwonde TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Esan Central, Esan North-East, Esan South-East, Esan West, and Igueben.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akoko Edo, Etsako Central, Etsako East, Etsako West, Owan East, and Owan West.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Egor, Ikpoba Okha, Oredo, Orhionmwon, Ovia North-East, Ovia South-West, and Uhunmwonde.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government area of Akoko Edo.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Egor and Ikpoba Okha.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Esan Central, Esan West, and Igueben.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Esan North-East and Esan South-East.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Etsako Central, Etsako East, and Etsako West.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Oredo.
  16. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Orhionmwon and Uhunmwonde.
  17. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ovia North-East and Ovia South-West.
  18. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Owan East and Owan West.

References

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  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
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