The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Jigawa State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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Background
editJigawa State is a northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis. It has a growing economy but is facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, desertification, and low education rates. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and APC Governor Mohammed Badaru Abubakar won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.
Polling
edit| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 31% | 1% | 11% | 35% | – | 16% | 2% | 5% |
| Nextier (Jigawa crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 47.3% | 2.2% | 11.0% | 39.6% | – | – | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Jigawa crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 31% | 27% | 14% | 24% | – | 4% | – | – |
Projections
edit| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Tossup | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 44.61% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 6.10% | ||
| Abubakar: | 44.61% | ||
| Others: | 4.69% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Tinubu | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Tinubu | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 25% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | – | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 25% | ||
| Abubakar: | 35% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 15% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
editThe results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial district | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Jigawa North-East Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Jigawa North-West Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Jigawa South-West Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
editThe results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Babura/Garki Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Birnin Kudu/Buji Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Biriniwa/Guri/Kirikasamma Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Dutse/Kiyawa Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Gagarawa/Gumel/Maigatari/Sule Tankarkar Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Gwaram Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Hadejia/Auyo/Kafin Hausa Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Kazaure/Roni/Gwiwa/Yankwashi Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Mallam Madori/Kaugama Federal Constituency[r] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Jahun/Miga Federal Constituency[s] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ringim/Taura Federal Constituency[t] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
editThe results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Auyo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Babura | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Biriniwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Birnin Kudu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Buji | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Dutse | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gagarawa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Garki | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gumel | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Guri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gwaram | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gwiwa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Hadejia | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Jahun | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kafin Hausa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kaugama | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kazaure | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kiri Kasama | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kiyawa | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Maigatari | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Malam Madori | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Miga | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ringim | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Roni | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Sule Tankarkar | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Taura | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Yankwashi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Auyo, Biriniwa, Guri, Hadejia, Kafin Hausa, Kaugama, Kiri Kasama, and Malam Madori.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Babura, Garki, Gagarawa, Gumel, Gwiwa, Kazaure, Maigatari, Ringim, Ron, Sule Tankarkar, Taura, and Yankwashi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Birnin Kudu, Buji, Dutse, Gwaram, Jahun, Kiyawa, and Miga.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Babura and Garki.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Birnin Kudu and Buji.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Biriniwa, Guri, and Kiri Kasama.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dutse and Kiyawa.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gagarawa, Gumel, Maigatari, and Sule Tankarkar.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Gwaram.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Auyo, Hadejia, and Kafin Hausa.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gwiwa, Kazaure, Roni, and Yankwashi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Kaugama and Malam Madori.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Jahun and Miga.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ringim and Taura.
References
edit- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.