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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State

The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State was held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, were also held on the same date while state elections were held two weeks afterward on 11 March.

2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State
← 2019 25 February 2023 2027 →
Registered5,921,370
 
Nominee Bola Tinubu Peter Obi
Party APC LP
Home state Lagos Anambra
Running mate Kashim Shettima Yusuf Datti Baba-Ahmed
 
Nominee Rabiu Kwankwaso Atiku Abubakar
Party New Nigeria Peoples Party PDP
Home state Kano Adamawa
Running mate Isaac Idahosa Ifeanyi Okowa
President before election

Muhammadu Buhari
APC

Elected President

TBD

Former state governor Rabiu Kwankwaso — the nominee of the New Nigeria Peoples Party — obtained 58.4% and won the state by nearly 440,000 votes, a 26.9% margin of victory, over runner-up Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party. The other two major contenders, Bola Tinubu (All Progressives Congress) and Peter Obi (Labour Party), trailed with 7.3% and 1.8%, respectively.

Background

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Kano State is a highly populated northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis but with significant non-indigenous populations of Igbo, Yoruba, and other ethnicities. The state has a growing economy but is facing an underdeveloped agricultural sector, overcrowded urban areas, desertification, and relatively low education rates.

Politically, the state's 2019 elections were categorized as a reassertion of the APC's federal dominance after mass 2018 defections away from the party led by outgoing Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso and his allies. The APC was mainly successful federally, unseating almost all PDP senators and house members to sweep most House of Representatives and all three senate seats as the state was easily won by APC presidential nominee Muhammadu Buhari with over 75% but still swung towards the PDP and had lower turnout. However, state level elections were much closer as Umar Ganduje needed a disputed supplementary election to barely beat the PDP's Abba Kabir Yusuf; the House of Assembly elections were also closer but the APC won a sizeable majority.

Polling

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Polling organisation/client Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		      Others Undecided Undisclosed Not voting
Tinubu
APC 		Obi
LP 		Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Abubakar
PDP
BantuPage December 2022 N/A 13% 3% 32% 14% – 25% 5% 10%
Nextier
(Kano crosstabs of national poll) 		27 January 2023 N/A 19.3% 4.5% 57.9% 12.9% 2.0 3.5% – –
Stears January 2023 500 17% 5% 20% 11% – 40%
SBM Intelligence for EiE
(Kano crosstabs of national poll) 		22 January-6 February 2023 N/A 31% 18% 18% 27% 1% 3% – –

Projections

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Source Projection As of
Africa Elects[a][2] Lean Kwankwaso 24 February 2023
Dataphyte[b][3]
Tinubu: 45.57% 11 February 2023
Obi: 4.96%
Abubakar: 45.57%
Others: 3.89%
Enough is Enough-
SBM Intelligence[c][4] 		Tinubu 17 February 2023
SBM Intelligence[d][5] Too close to call 15 December 2022
ThisDay[e][6]
Tinubu: 30% 27 December 2022
Obi: 5%
Kwankwaso: 40%
Abubakar: 20%
Others/Undecided: 5%
The Nation[f][7][8] Tinubu 12-19 February 2023

General election

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Results

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2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kano State
Party Candidate Votes %
A Christopher Imumolen 347
AA Hamza al-Mustapha 729
ADP Yabagi Sani 2,602
APP Osita Nnadi 533
AAC Omoyele Sowore 551
ADC Dumebi Kachikwu 2,845
APC Bola Tinubu 506,412 29%
APGA Peter Umeadi 1,253
APM Princess Chichi Ojei 3,170
BP Sunday Adenuga 364
LP Peter Obi 28,513 1%
NRM Felix Johnson Osakwe 1,540
New Nigeria Peoples Party Rabiu Kwankwaso 997,279 58%
PRP Kola Abiola 1,987
PDP Atiku Abubakar 131,716 7%
SDP Adewole Adebayo 504
YPP Malik Ado-Ibrahim 9,429
ZLP Dan Nwanyanwu 1,790
Total votes 100.00%
Invalid or blank votes N/A
Turnout

By senatorial district

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The results of the election by senatorial district.

Senatorial District Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Kano Central Senatorial District[g] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kano North Senatorial District[h] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kano South Senatorial District[i] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By federal constituency

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The results of the election by federal constituency.

Federal Constituency Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Albasu/Gaya/Ajingi Federal Constituency[j] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Bebeji/Kiru Federal Constituency[k] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Bichi Federal Constituency[l] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Dala Federal Constituency[m] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Dambatta/Makoda Federal Constituency[n] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Doguwa/Tudun Wada Federal Constituency[o] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Dawakin Kudu/Warawa Federal Constituency[p] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Dawakin Tofa/Tofa/Rimin Gado Federal Constituency[q] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Fagge Federal Constituency[r] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Gabasawa/Gezawa Federal Constituency[s] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Gwarzo/Kabo Federal Constituency[t] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Gwale Federal Constituency[u] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kumbotso Federal Constituency[v] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kano Municipal Federal Constituency[w] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kunchi/Tsanyawa Federal Constituency[x] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Karaye/Rogo Federal Constituency[y] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Kura/Madobi/Garun Malam Federal Constituency[z] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Minjibir/Ungogo Federal Constituency[aa] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Nasarawa Federal Constituency[ab] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Rano/Bunkure/Kibiya Federal Constituency[ac] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Sumaila/Takai Federal Constituency[ad] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Shanono/Bagwai Federal Constituency[ae] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Tarauni Federal Constituency[af] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Wudil/Garko Federal Constituency[ag] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD

By local government area

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The results of the election by local government area.

Local government area Bola Tinubu
APC 		Atiku Abubakar
PDP 		Peter Obi
LP 		Rabiu Kwankwaso
NNPP 		Others Total valid votes Turnout (%)
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Ajingi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Albasu TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Bagwai TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Bebeji TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Bichi[9] 31,673 57.54% 1,731 3.14% 178 0.32% 20,862 37.90% 605 1.10% 55,049 %
Bunkure[10] 11,161 37.29% 1,528 5.10% 76 0.25% 16,759 55.99% 409 1.37% 29,933 %
Dala TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Dambatta TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Dawakin Kudu[11] 12,258 24.28% 3,768 7.46% 167 0.33% 32,925 65.22% 1,367 2.71% 50,485 %
Dawakin Tofa[12] 16,773 36.62% 2,477 5.41% 202 0.44% 25,072 54.73% 1,285 2.81% 45,809 %
Doguwa[13] 15,424 47.83% 1,408 4.37% 642 1.99% 14,543 45.10% 228 0.71% 32,245 %
Fagge TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gabasawa[14] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Garko[15] 8,485 30.73% 2,067 7.49% 313 1.13% 15,889 57.54% 859 3.11% 27,613 %
Garun Mallam[16] 8,642 33.50% 4,409 17.09% 160 0.62% 12,249 47.49% 334 1.29% 25,794 %
Gaya[17] 8708 % 1382 % 158 % 18999 % TBD % TBD %
Gezawa[18] 9,915 27.70% 2,980 8.33% 188 0.53% 21,909 61.21% 803 2.24% 35,795 %
Gwale TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Gwarzo[19] 20,627 47.79% 2,125 4.92% 70 0.16% 19,950 46.22% 388 0.90% 43,160 %
Kabo[20] 18,767 49.74% 2,463 6.53% 79 0.21% 15,923 42.20% 496 1.31% 37,728 %
Kano Municipal 10,283 36.64% 753 2.68% 70 0.25% 16,331 58.19% 211 0.75% 28,067 %
Karaye[21] 10,874 36.34% 2,132 7.13% 134 0.45% 16,295 54.46% 486 1.62% 29,921 %
Kibiya[22] 10,929 30.44% 3,987 11.11% 126 0.35% 20,406 56.84% 453 1.26% 35,901 %
Kiru[23] 19,155 38.78% 2,467 4.99% 112 0.23% 27,199 55.06% 466 0.94% 49,399 %
Kumbotso[24] 6,721 11.39% 5,996 10.16% 815 1.38% 44,474 75.39% 982 1.66% 58,988 %
Kunchi[25] 10,359 53.05% 703 3.60% 50 0.26% 8,090 41.43% 324 1.66% 19,526 %
Kura[26] 10,929 30.44% 3,987 11.11% 126 0.35% 20,407 56.84% 452 1.26% 35,901 %
Madobi TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Makoda[27] 12,590 48.06% 1,099 4.20% 40 0.15% 12,247 46.75% 219 0.84% 26,195 %
Minjibir[28] 6,777 27.14% 1,833 7.34% 123 0.49% 15,505 62.10% 731 2.93% 24,969 %
Nasarawa TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Rano TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Rimin Gado[29] 10,861 40.48% 907 3.38% 76 0.28% 14,634 54.54% 354 1.32% 26,832 %
Rogo TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Shanono[30] 11,557 49.52% 1,703 7.30% 44 0.19% 9,672 41.44% 362 1.55% 23,338 %
Sumaila TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Takai TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Tofa[31] 10,280 35.14% 1,192 4.07% 177 0.61% 17,219 58.86% 384 1.31% 29,252 %
Tsanyawa[32] TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %
Tudun Wada[33] 18,017 40.48% 1,965 4.41% 1,053 2.37% 23,041 51.76% 435 0.98% 44,511 %
Ungogo[34] 8,011 16.44% 4,659 9.56% 334 0.69% 34,916 71.64% 815 1.67% 48,735 %
Warawa[35] 10,352 41.05% 1,277 5.06% 125 0.50% 12,708 50.39% 757 3.00% 25,219 %
Wudil[36] 10,279 27.80% 2,785 7.53% 380 1.03% 22,517 60.90% 1,010 2.73% 36,971 %
Totals TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD % TBD %

See also

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Notes

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  1. ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
  2. ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  3. ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
  4. ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
  5. ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
  6. ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
  7. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dala, Dawakin Kudu, Fagge, Garun Mallam, Gezawa, Gwale, Kano Municipal, Kumbotso, Kura, Madobi, Minjibir, Nasarawa, Tarauni, Ungogo, and Warawa.
  8. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bagwai, Bichi, Dambatta, Dawakin Tofa, Gabasawa, Gwarzo, Kabo, Karaye, Kunchi, Makoda, Rimin Gado, Shanono, Tofa, and Tsanyawa.
  9. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ajingi, Albasu, Bebeji, Doguwa, Garko, Gaya, Kibiya, Kiru, Rano, Rogo, Sumaila, Takai, Tudun Wada, and Wudil.
  10. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ajingi, Albasu, and Gaya.
  11. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bebeji and Kiru.
  12. ^ Comprising the local government area of Bichi.
  13. ^ Comprising the local government area of Dala.
  14. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dambatta and Makoda.
  15. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Doguwa and Tudun Wada.
  16. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dawakin Kudu and Warawa.
  17. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Dawakin Tofa, Rimin Gado, and Tofa.
  18. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Fagge.
  19. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gabasawa and Gezawa.
  20. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gwarzo and Kabo.
  21. ^ Comprising the local government area of Gwale.
  22. ^ Comprising the local government area of Kumbotso.
  23. ^ Comprising the local government area of Kano Municipal.
  24. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Kunchi and Tsanyawa.
  25. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Karaye and Rogo.
  26. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Garun Mallam, Kura, and Madobi.
  27. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Minjibir and Ungogo.
  28. ^ Comprising the local government area of Nasarawa.
  29. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bunkure, Kibiya, and Rano.
  30. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Sumaila and Takai.
  31. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bagwai and Shanono.
  32. ^ Comprising the local government area of Tarauni .
  33. ^ Comprising the local government areas of Garko and Wudil.

References

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  1. ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  2. ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
  3. ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
  4. ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  5. ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  6. ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
  7. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  8. ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
  9. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Bichi LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  10. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Bunkure LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  11. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT DAWAKIN KUDU LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  12. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "BREAKING: Kwankwaso defeats Ganduje in his LG DAWAKIN TOFA LG, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  13. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "ALHASSAN DOGUWA, REPS' MAJORITY LEADER, DELIVERS LGA FOR APC PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Doguwa LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  14. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Gabasawa Local Government Area" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  15. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Garko LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  16. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Collated results from Kano state Garun Malam" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  17. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "@BashirAhmaad LOSES LGA TO KWANKWASO PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Gaya LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  18. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "RESULTS PRESIDENTIAL GEZAWA LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  19. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Gwarzo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  20. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Kabo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  21. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT KARAYE LG, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  22. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "RESULTS PRESIDENTIAL RESULT FOR KANO KIBIYA LG" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  23. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Kiru LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  24. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Kumbotso LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  25. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT KUNCHI LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  26. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Kura 10 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  27. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Makoda 11 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  28. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Minjibir 11 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  29. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Rimin Gado 12 wards" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  30. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Shanono LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  31. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Tofa LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  32. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT TOFA LG, KANO" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  33. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "Tudun Wada LGA" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  34. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Ungogo LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  35. ^ Channels TV [@channelstv] (26 February 2023). "Warawa Local Government Area" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  36. ^ TheCable [@thecableng] (26 February 2023). "PRESIDENTIAL RESULT Wudil LGA, Kano" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
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