The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Kebbi State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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Background
editKebbi State is a diverse, northwestern state with a growing economy but is facing rising insecurity and desertification. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and incumbent Governor Abubakar Atiku Bagudu won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.
Polling
edit| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 27% | 1% | 3% | 41% | – | 21% | 3% | 3% |
| Nextier (Kebbi crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 34.8% | 10.1% | – | 49.3% | 1.4% | 4.3% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Kebbi crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 28% | 30% | 2% | 35% | – | 5% | – | – |
Projections
edit| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][2] | Lean Abubakar | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 42.87% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 7.91% | ||
| Abubakar: | 42.87% | ||
| Others: | 6.36% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][4] |
Abubakar | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][5] | Too close to call | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][6] | |||
| Tinubu: | 35% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | – | ||
| Kwankwaso: | 20% | ||
| Abubakar: | 35% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 10% | ||
| The Nation[f][7][8] | Tinubu | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
editThe results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Kebbi Central Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Kebbi North Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Kebbi South Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
editThe results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Aleiro/Gwandu/Jega Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Arewa/Dandi Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Argungu/Augie Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Bagudo/Suru Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Bunza/Birnin Kebbi/Kalgo Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Fakai/Sakaba/Wasagu/Danko/Zuru Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Koko-Besse/Maiyama Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ngaski/Shanga/Yauri Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
editThe results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Aleiro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Arewa Dandi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Argungu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Augie | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bagudo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Birnin Kebbi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bunza | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Dandi | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Fakai | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gwandu | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Jega | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Kalgo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Koko/Besse | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Maiyama | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ngaski | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Sakaba | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Shanga | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Suru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Wasagu/Danko | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Yauri | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Zuru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aliero, Birnin Kebbi, Bunza, Gwandu, Kalgo, Koko/Besse, and Maiyama.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Arewa Dandi, Argungu, Augie, Bagudo, Dandi, Jega, and Suru.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Fakai, Ngaski, Sakaba, Shanga, Wasagu/Danko, Yauri, and Zuru.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Aleiro, Gwandu, and Jega.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Arewa Dandi.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Argungu and Augie.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bagudo and Suru.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Birnin Kebbi, Bunza, and Kalgo.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Fakai, Sakaba, Wasagu/Danko, and Zuru.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Koko/Besse and Maiyama.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ngaski, Shanga, and Yauri.
References
edit- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny. "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.