The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Rivers State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
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Background
editRivers State is a highly populated, diverse state in the South South with major oil and natural gas reserves along with industrial centres. Despite its vast oil revenues, the state has several major issues with pirates and illegal oil bunkering gangs in riverine areas while urban areas have overcrowding and intense environmental pollution.[2][3][4][5]
The 2019 Rivers elections were a continuation of the state PDP's control as the state APC's inability to hold valid primaries led to its disqualification by a court. PDP presidential nominee Atiku Abubakar won the state by 50% and the party gained all three senate seats while also sweeping the House of Representatives elections. On the state level, the PDP also retained its House of Assembly majority and incumbent Governor Nyesom Wike won the gubernatorial election by a wide margin.
Polling
edit| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
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Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| BantuPage | December 2022 | N/A | 2% | 88% | 2% | 3% | – | 2% | 2% | 0% |
| Nextier (Rivers crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 7.7% | 77.8% | 0.9% | 11.1% | – | 2.6% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Rivers crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 9% | 65% | 1% | 18% | 6% | 2% | – | – |
Projections
edit| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Africa Elects[a][6] | Likely Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| Dataphyte[b][7] | |||
| Tinubu: | 14.49% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | 62.46% | ||
| Abubakar: | 19.27% | ||
| Others: | 3.83% | ||
| Enough is Enough- SBM Intelligence[c][8] |
Obi | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM Intelligence[d][9] | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDay[e][10] | |||
| Tinubu: | 10% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 35% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 15% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 40% | ||
| The Nation[f][11][12] | Battleground | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
editResults
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | Christopher Imumolen | |||
| AA | Hamza al-Mustapha | |||
| ADP | Yabagi Sani | |||
| APP | Osita Nnadi | |||
| AAC | Omoyele Sowore | |||
| ADC | Dumebi Kachikwu | |||
| APC | Bola Tinubu | |||
| APGA | Peter Umeadi | |||
| APM | Princess Chichi Ojei | |||
| BP | Sunday Adenuga | |||
| LP | Peter Obi | |||
| NRM | Felix Johnson Osakwe | |||
| New Nigeria Peoples Party | Rabiu Kwankwaso | |||
| PRP | Kola Abiola | |||
| PDP | Atiku Abubakar | |||
| SDP | Adewole Adebayo | |||
| YPP | Malik Ado-Ibrahim | |||
| ZLP | Dan Nwanyanwu | |||
| Total votes | 100.00% | |||
| Invalid or blank votes | N/A | |||
| Turnout | ||||
By senatorial district
editThe results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Rivers East Senatorial District[g] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Rivers South East Senatorial District[h] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Rivers West Senatorial District[i] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By federal constituency
editThe results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| Abua/Odua/Ahoada East Federal Constituency[j] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ahoada West/Ogba/Egbema/Ndoni Federal Constituency[k] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Akuku Toru/Asari Toru Federal Constituency[l] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Andoni/Opobo/Nkoro Federal Constituency[m] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Degema/Bonny Federal Constituency[n] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Eleme/Oyigbo/Tai Federal Constituency[o] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Etche/Omuma Federal Constituency[p] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Ikwerre/Emohua Federal Constituency[q] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Khana/Gokana Federal Constituency[r] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Obio/Akpor Federal Constituency[s] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Okrika/Ogu/Bolo Federal Constituency[t] | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Port Harcourt I Federal Constituency and Port Harcourt II Federal Constituency[u][v] |
TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD |
By local government area
editThe results of the election by local government area.
| Local government area | Bola Tinubu APC |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Others | Total valid votes | Turnout (%) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | |||
| Abua–Odual | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ahoada East | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ahoada West | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Akuku-Toru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Andoni | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Asari-Toru | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Bonny | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Degema | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Eleme | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Emohua | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Etche | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Gokana | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ikwerre | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Khana | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Obio-Akpor | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogba–Egbema–Ndoni | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Ogu–Bolo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Okrika | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Omuma | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Opobo–Nkoro | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Oyigbo | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Port Harcourt | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Tai | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
| Totals | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % | TBD | % |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Africa Elects projections predict the likelihood of a candidate winning a state by categorizing a state as "Safe" for exceedingly likely, "Likely" for somewhat likely, and "Lean" for least likely. If no clear determination could be made, states are categorized as "tossups".
- ^ Dataphyte projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ EiE-SBM projections predict which candidates will win states.
- ^ SBM projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Too close to call" (TCC).
- ^ ThisDay projections predict candidates' projected votal shares in each state.
- ^ The Nation projections predict which candidates will win states or, if no determination could be made, categorizes states as "Battlegrounds."
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Emohua, Etche, Ikwerre, Obio-Akpor, Ogu–Bolo, Okrika, Omuma, and Port Harcourt.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Andoni, Eleme, Gokana, Khana, Opobo–Nkoro, Oyigbo, and Tai.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abua–Odual, Ahoada East, Ahoada West, Akuku-Toru, Asari-Toru, Bonny, Degema, and Ogba–Egbema–Ndoni.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Abua–Odual and Ahoada East.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ahoada East and Ogba–Egbema–Ndoni.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Akuku-Toru and Asari-Toru.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Andoni and Opobo–Nkoro.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Bonny and Degema.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Eleme, Oyigbo, and Tai.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Etche and Omuma.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Emohua and Ikwerre.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Gokana and Khana.
- ^ Comprising the local government area of Obio-Akpor.
- ^ Comprising the local government areas of Ogu–Bolo and Okrika.
- ^ Together comprising the local government area of Port Harcourt.
- ^ These two constituencies are within a single LGA. As this table does not differentiate between intra-LGA results, these figures are for the entire LGA which is the same as the data for both constituencies.
References
edit- ^ Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- ^ Igonikon, Karina (4 November 2019). "Maritime workers protest sea pirates attacks for Rivers State". BBC Pidgin (in Nigerian Pidgin). Port Harcourt. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ Onukwue, Alexander (25 April 2022). "Nigeria's illegal oil refineries keep killing people". Quartz. Retrieved 16 May 2022.
- ^ Naku, Dennis (12 March 2022). "Security agencies fully involved in illegal bunkering – Wike". The Punch. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ Igonikon, Karina (2 February 2022). "Soot in Port Harcourt: Wetin don hapun afta Rivers state Governor Nyesom Wike declare war against kpo fire operators?". BBC Pidgin (in Nigerian Pidgin). Port Harcourt. Retrieved 21 May 2022.
- ^ Elimian, Adrian (24 February 2023). "Nigerian Presidential Election: State Ratings". Africa Elects. Retrieved 25 February 2023.
- ^ "President Tinubu: Predilections and Predictions". Substack. Dataphyte. 11 February 2023. Retrieved 11 February 2023.
- ^ "The EiE-SBM 2023 Election forecast: It all hinges on insecurity and turnout". SBM Intelligence. 17 February 2023. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ "Projection: 2023 presidential elections". SBM Intelligence. 15 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ "THISDAY 2023 Election Centre: Why Presidential Run off is Increasingly Likely". ThisDay. 27 December 2022. Retrieved 27 December 2022.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (12 February 2023). "Who wins 2023 presidential election?". The Nation. Retrieved 19 February 2023.
- ^ Oladesu, Emmanuel; Alli, Yusuf; O’neil, Shola; Onu, Nwanosike; Odiegwu, Mike; Adeyemi, Kolade; Ihyongo, Fanen; Adenuga, David; Emmanuel, Uja; Alabelewe, AbdulGafar; Shittu, Sola; Asishana, Justina; Duku, Joel; Oota, Linus; Okezie, Augustine; Alao, Onimisi; Onogu, Sanni; Jimoh, Adekunle; Odufowokan, 'Dare; Adedeji, Toba; Ibrahim, Rasaq; Oladele, Bisi; Otabor, Osagie; Okungbowa, Aiwerie; Nsa, Gil; Anioke, Ogo; Duruihuoma, Damian; Njoku, Chris; Nwankwo, Sunny (19 February 2023). "WHO WINS 2023 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION? | The Nation Newspaper". The Nation Newspaper. Retrieved 19 February 2023.