2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election

2024 Bay of Quinte provincial by-election
Riding of Bay of Quinte
Incumbent MPP; Todd Smith;	; ;

A by-election is scheduled to be held in the provincial riding of Bay of Quinte on September 19, 2024, to elect a new member of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario following the resignation of Progressive Conservative MPP and cabinet minister Todd Smith for a new job in the private sector.^[1]

Opinion polls

Polling Firm	Last Date of Polling	Link	PC	ONDP	OLP	Green	Other	Margin of Error	Sample Size	Polling Method
Liaison Strategies	September 9, 2024	^[2]	35	18	36	5	6	±4.21 pp	541	IVR

Ontario provincial by-election, September 19, 2024 Resignation of Todd Smith
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Tyler Allsopp
	New Democratic	Amanda Robertson
	Liberal	Sean Kelly
	Green	Lori Borthwick
	New Blue	Margaret Schuler
	Libertarian	Mark Snow
	Independent	John Turmel
Total valid votes/Expense limit
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots
Turnout
Eligible voters

v t e 2022 Ontario general election: Bay of Quinte
Party	Candidate	Votes	%	±%	Expenditures
	Progressive Conservative	Todd Smith	21,381	49.30	+1.28	$76,706
	New Democratic	Alison Kelly	9,073	20.92	−10.92	$55,474
	Liberal	Emilie Leneveu	8,003	18.45	+3.56	$31,230
	Green	Erica Charlton	2,719	6.27	+2.84	$0
	New Blue	Rob Collins	1,128	2.60		$5,066
	Ontario Party	Noah Wales	1,062	2.45		$3,779
Total valid votes/Expense limit			43,366	99.59	+0.68	$133,230
Total rejected, unmarked, and declined ballots			179	0.41	-0.68
Turnout			43,545	45.91	-13.07
Eligible voters			95,164
	Progressive Conservative hold		Swing		+6.10
Source(s) "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-18. "Statistical Summary by Electoral District" (PDF). Elections Ontario. Archived from the original on 2023-05-21.