The 2024 Central Java gubernatorial election will be held on 27 November 2024 as part of nationwide local elections to elect the Governor of Central Java for a five-year term.
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Electoral system
editThe election, like other local elections in 2024, follow the first-past-the-post system where the candidate with the most votes wins the election, even if they do not win a majority.[1] It is possible for a candidate to run uncontested, in which case the candidate is still required to win a majority of votes "against" an "empty box" option. Should the candidate fail to do so, the election will be repeated on a later date.[2]
Candidates
editAccording to electoral regulations, in order to qualify for the election, candidates are required to secure support from 24 seats in the Central Java Regional House of Representatives (DPRD). The Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle, with 33 seats, is the only political party eligible to nominate a candidate without forming a coalition.[3] Candidates may alternatively demonstrate support in form of photocopies of identity cards, which in Central Java's case corresponds to 1.84 million copies. No independent candidates registered with the General Elections Commission for the gubernatorial election.[4]
The previous governor, Ganjar Pranowo, had served for two full terms and is therefore ineligible to run in the election.[5][6]
Declared
edit| Candidate from Golkar, Gerindra, PAN, and PSI | |
| Ahmad Luthfi | TBD |
|---|---|
| for Governor | for Vice Governor |
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|
| Inspector General of the Ministry of Trade (2024–present) Head of Central Java Police (2020–2024) |
|
| Parties | |
40 / 120 (33%)
Golkar (17 seats) Gerindra (17 seats) PAN (4 seats) PSI (2 seats) | |
The chief of the provincial police, Ahmad Luthfi, declared his willingness to run as a gubernatorial candidate in late June 2024.[7] By 25 July 2024, four political parties: Golkar, Gerindra, PAN, and PSI, had announced their endorsement of Luthfi.[8] He was assigned as Inspector General in the Ministry of Trade in late July 2024, after receiving the endorsements.[9]
Potential
editThe following are individuals who have either been publicly mentioned as a potential candidate, or considered as such by press:
- Bambang Wuryanto (PDI-P), member of the House of Representatives from Central Java IV district (Karanganyar, Wonogiri, and Sragen).[10]
- Hendrar Prihadi (PDI-P), Mayor of Semarang (2013-2022)[11]
- Andika Perkasa (PDI-P), former Commander of the Indonesian National Armed Forces (2021-2022).[12]
- Kaesang Pangarep (PSI), chairman of the Indonesian Solidarity Party and son of outgoing president Joko Widodo.[13]
- Taj Yasin Maimoen (PPP), former vice governor (2018–2023).[14]
- Yusuf Chudlori (PKB), chairman of PKB's Central Java branch.[15]
Declined
editThe following are individuals mentioned as potential candidate, but publicly declared not to run or to run for another elected office:
- Gibran Rakabuming Raka, Mayor of Surakarta (2021-2024)[16][17] (ran for Vice President)[18]
- Dico Ganinduto (Golkar), Regent of Kendal.[19]
- Sudaryono (Gerindra), chairman of Gerindra's Central Java branch.[20]
Political map
editFollowing the 2024 Indonesian general election, ten political parties are represented in the Central Java Regional House of Representatives:[21]
| Political parties | Seat count | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) | 33 / 120 | ||
| National Awakening Party (PKB) | 20 / 120 | ||
| Party of Functional Groups (Golkar) | 17 / 120 | ||
| Great Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra) | 17 / 120 | ||
| Prosperous Justice Party (PKS) | 11 / 120 | ||
| Democratic Party (Demokrat) | 7 / 120 | ||
| United Development Party (PPP) | 6 / 120 | ||
| National Mandate Party (PAN) | 4 / 120 | ||
| Nasdem Party | 3 / 120 | ||
| Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI) | 2 / 120 | ||
Opinion polls
editPre-election polls
edit| Poll source | Date | Sample size | 
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|
Others | Lead | Error margin | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaesang Pangarep | Ahmad Luthfi | Sudaryono | Bambang Pacul | Hendrar Prihadi | Dico Ganinduto | Taj Yasin Maimoen | Ganjar Pranowo | ||||||
| Lembaga Survei Indonesia[22] | 21 - 26 June 2024 | 1,200 | 2.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | - | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | +/- 2.8% |
| 15.9% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | - | 18.0% | 3.0% | ||||
| 25.6% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 9.7% | - | - | 13.4% | - | 6.2% | 9.5% | ||||
| Parameter Politik Indonesia[23] | 15 - 21 May 2024 | 800 | 2.3% | 1.8% | - | 2.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 1.4% | 9.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% |
References
edit- ^ "Pilkada Hanya Satu Putaran". kedaikopi.co (in Indonesian). 22 July 2020. Retrieved 20 May 2024.
- ^ Mardika, Nando Yussele (5 November 2020). "Jika Kotak Kosong Menang, Pilkada Akan Diulang?". hukumonline.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 16 April 2024.
- ^ Gitiyarko, Vincentius (22 March 2024). "PDI-P Pertahankan Jateng sebagai "Kandang Banteng"". Kompas (in Indonesian). Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Ditutup! KPU Pastikan Tak Ada Calon Perorangan Mendaftar untuk Pilgub Jateng". Solo Pos (in Indonesian). 13 May 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Ganjar Serahkan Cagub Jateng ke PDIP". Rmol.id (in Indonesian). 10 May 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Pemerintah Tegaskan Masa Jabatan Kepala Daerah Hanya Dua Periode" (in Indonesian). Constitutional Court of Indonesia. 6 October 2020. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Irjen Pol Ahmad Luthfi Siap Mundur Jika Diusung Jadi Cagub Jateng". Metro TV News (in Indonesian). 24 June 2024. Retrieved 30 July 2024.
- ^ "4 Partai Sepakat Dukung Ahmad Luthfi pada Pilkada Jateng, Deklarasi Agustus". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 25 July 2024. Retrieved 30 July 2024.
- ^ "Kapolda Jateng Irjen Ahmad Luthfi Dimutasi ke Kemendag". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). 27 July 2024. Retrieved 30 July 2024.
- ^ "Profil Bambang Pacul, Politisi Senior PDIP yang Dinilai Layak Jadi Calon Gubernur Jateng". Tribunnews.com (in Indonesian). 17 May 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Survei Cagub Jateng 2024, Elektabilitas Taj Yasin Tertinggi". KOMPAS.tv (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2024-06-10.
- ^ Media, Kompas Cyber (2024-07-29). "Potensi Adu Kuat Andika Perkasa Vs Ahmad Luthfi di Pilkada Jateng, Golkar: Enggak Masalah". KOMPAS.com (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2024-08-01.
- ^ Rahmawati, Dwi (22 July 2024). "NasDem Pastikan Dukung Penuh Kaesang Jika Maju di Pilgub Jateng". detiknews (in Indonesian). Retrieved 22 July 2024.
- ^ Purbaya, Angling Adhitya (28 January 2023). "Sekjen PPP: Gus Yasin Paling Potensial Jadi Cagub Jateng 2024". detikjateng (in Indonesian). Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ Purbaya, Angling Adhitya (17 May 2024). "Alasan PKB Pede Usung Gus Yusuf Jadi Calon Gubernur Jateng". detikjateng (in Indonesian). Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ Hutajulu, Matius Alfons. "Survei Cagub Jateng Versi PPI: Gibran Teratas, Muncul Nama Sri Mulyani". detiknews (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2024-06-10.
- ^ Saputra, Imam Yuda (December 12, 2023). "Ini Deretan Tokoh yang Masuk Bursa Cagub Jateng 2024". Solopos. Retrieved June 10, 2024.
- ^ Akbar, Adrial. "Resmi! Prabowo Umumkan Gibran Cawapres 2024". detiknews (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2024-06-10.
- ^ Pamungkas, Satria S. "Prestasi Dico Ganinduto, Bupati Kendal yang Didukung Maju Pilwalkot Semarang Setelah Batal Nyagub Jateng - Pantura Post". Prestasi Dico Ganinduto, Bupati Kendal yang Didukung Maju Pilwalkot Semarang Setelah Batal Nyagub Jateng - Pantura Post (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2024-08-01.
- ^ Hamdi, Imam (2024-07-18). "Sudaryono Batal Maju Pilgub Jateng, Golkar: Peta Politik Berubah". Tempo. Retrieved 2024-08-01.
- ^ "Cek! Ini Daftar Lengkap 120 Caleg Lolos DPRD Jateng pada Pemilu 2024". Solo Pos (in Indonesian). 22 March 2024. Retrieved 17 May 2024.
- ^ "Survei LSI Pilgub Jateng: Ahmad Luthfi 5,2%, Kaesang 2,5%, Sudaryono 2,1%" (in Indonesian). 2024-06-30. Retrieved 3 July 2024.
- ^ "Survei Pilkada Jateng Versi PPI: Taj Yasin 10,9 Persen, Hendi 7,7 Persen, Dico 7,1 Persen" (in Indonesian). 2024-05-29. Retrieved 3 July 2024.