2024 United States presidential election in Delaware
The 2024 United States presidential election in Delaware took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Delaware voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Delaware has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
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Delaware is the home state of incumbent President Joe Biden, and has not voted for a Republican presidential candidate since 1988. It is a strongly blue state on the East Coast with the majority of the population being concentrated in the urban northern part of the state, despite the southern portion being rural and having some Southern cultural influence.
Harris carried Delaware by 14.7%, a noticeable decrease from Biden's 19% margin in 2020. This compares to Harris significantly underperforming in many other blue states. Harris carried Kent County, Delaware, a bellwether county, despite losing the election, which last occurred in 1992. Trump is the first Republican to win without the county since 1924.
Primary elections
editRepublican primary
editThe Delaware Republican primary was scheduled to be held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Pennsylvania and Rhode Island. As all other primary candidates besides Donald Trump withdrew their names from the ballot, the primary was cancelled on March 19,[2] giving Trump all 16 pledged delegates.[3]
Winner of delegates
editEndorsements
editNotable individual
- Lauren Witzke, far-right political activist and nominee for U.S. Senator in 2020[4]
Democratic primary
editThe Delaware Democratic primary was originally scheduled to be held on April 2, 2024, alongside primaries in Connecticut, New York, Rhode Island, and Wisconsin.[5] In Delaware, candidates can make the primary ballot by submitting at least 500 valid signatures by the filing deadline of February 2, 2024.[6] Incumbent president Joe Biden was the only one who met the requirements to make the ballot.[7] Pursuant to Delaware state law, this means that the primary was cancelled, with the delegates awarded to Biden.[8]
Delaware will send 34 delegates, 19 pledged and 15 superdelegates, to the 2024 Democratic National Convention.[5]
Winner of delegates
edit- President Joe Biden
Endorsements
edit- U.S. Senators
- Tom Carper,[a] Delaware (2001–present), 71st Governor of Delaware (1993–2001), U.S. Representative for DE-AL (1983–1993)[9]
- Chris Coons,[b] Delaware (2010–present)[10][better source needed]
U.S. Representatives
- Lisa Blunt Rochester,[b] DE-AL (2017–present), candidate for U.S. Senator from Delaware in 2024[11]
Governors
- John Carney,[a] Governor of Delaware (2017–present); U.S. Representative for DE-AL (2011–2017); Lieutenant Governor of Delaware (2001–2009)[12]
General election
editCandidate ballot access
editThe following candidates have qualified for presidential ballot access in Delaware:[13]
Nominated parties
- Democratic – Kamala Harris / Tim Walz
- Republican – Donald Trump / JD Vance
- Independent Party – Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Nicole Shanahan
Other qualified parties
- Libertarian – Chase Oliver / Mike ter Maat
- No Labels (did not nominate a candidate)
Predictions
edit| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report[14] | Solid D | December 19, 2023 |
| Inside Elections[15] | Solid D | April 26, 2023 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[16] | Safe D | June 29, 2023 |
| Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[17] | Safe D | December 14, 2023 |
| CNalysis[18] | Solid D | December 30, 2023 |
| CNN[19] | Solid D | January 14, 2024 |
| The Economist[20] | Safe D | October 1, 2024 |
| 538[21] | Solid D | September 15, 2024 |
| RCP[22] | Solid D | June 26, 2024 |
| NBC News[23] | Safe D | October 6, 2024 |
Polling
editKamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slingshot Strategies (D)[24][A] | September 19–21, 2024 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 54% | 37% | 9% |
Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Cornel West Independent |
Jill Stein Green |
Chase Oliver Libertarian |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Delaware[25] | September 11–19, 2024 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.8% | 56% | 36% | 3% | – | – | 1% | 4% |
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[26][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 51% | 40% | 9% |
Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Democratic |
Robert Kennedy Jr Independent |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden withdraws from the race. | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[26][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 46% | 42% | 12% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[c] |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent |
Donald Trump Republican |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump. | ||||||
| John Zogby Strategies[26][B] | April 13–21, 2024 | 310 (LV) | – | 42% | 36% | 22% |
Results
edit| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 289,758 | 56.49% | −2.25% | ||
| Republican | 214,351 | 41.79% | +2.02% | ||
| Independent Party |
|
4,636 | 0.90% | N/A | |
| Libertarian | 2,038 | 0.40% | −0.59% | ||
| Conservative |
|
914 | 0.18% | N/A | |
| Write-in | 1,215 | 0.24% | +0.17% | ||
| Total votes | 512,912 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic win | |||||
By county
edit| County | Kamala Harris Democratic |
Donald Trump Republican |
Various candidates Other parties |
Margin | Total votes cast | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Kent | 44,222 | 50.09% | 42,458 | 48.09% | 1,609 | 1.82% | 1,764 | 2.00% | 88,289 |
| New Castle | 180,700 | 65.27% | 90,868 | 32.82% | 5,291 | 1.91% | 89,832 | 32.45% | 276,859 |
| Sussex | 64,836 | 43.88% | 81,025 | 54.83% | 1,903 | 1.29% | -16,189 | -10.95% | 147,764 |
| Totals | 289,758 | 56.49% | 214,351 | 41.79% | 8,803 | 1.72% | 75,407 | 14.70% | 512,912 |
See also
editNotes
editPartisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Citizens for Judicial Fairness
- ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
References
edit- ^ Wang, Hansi; Jin, Connie; Levitt, Zach (April 26, 2021). "Here's How The 1st 2020 Census Results Changed Electoral College, House Seats". NPR. Archived from the original on August 19, 2021. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ Chase, Randall (March 19, 2024). "Delaware calls off Republican presidential primary after Haley removes name from ballot". Associated Press. Retrieved March 22, 2024.
- ^ "Delaware Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. January 19, 2023. Retrieved February 7, 2023.
- ^ "Radio Show Hour 2 – 2022/11/12". The Political Cesspool. November 12, 2022. Retrieved May 20, 2023.
- ^ a b "2024 Democratic Pledged and Unpledged Delegate Summary". www.thegreenpapers.com. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
- ^ "Ballot access for presidential candidates". Ballotpedia. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Primary Election Candidate List - Department of Elections - State of Delaware". elections.delaware.gov. Retrieved February 8, 2024.
- ^ "DELEGATE SELECTION PLAN FOR THE 2024 DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL CONVENTION" (PDF). Delaware Dems. Retrieved February 7, 2024.
Pursuant to Delaware State Law, if the Delaware Democratic Party submits the name of only one Presidential Candidate, and no other candidates file for the ballot, the state run presidential primary shall be cancelled.
- ^ Edelen, Joseph (April 25, 2023). "President Joe Biden to run for reelection in 2024". Bay to Bay News.
- ^ Morris, Kyle (January 22, 2023). "10 Democrats who have vowed support for Biden in 2024 as voters await his official re-election decision". Fox News. Archived from the original on February 16, 2023. Retrieved February 16, 2023.
- ^ Gangitano, Alex (April 25, 2023). "Biden names campaign managers, national co-chairs for 2024". The Hill.
- ^ Stockburger, George (May 10, 2023). "Josh Shapiro, Malcolm Kenyatta named to Biden-Harris Campaign National Advisory Board". ABC27/WHTM.
- ^ Winger, Richard (May 6, 2024). "April 2024 Ballot Access News Print Edition". Ballot Access News. Retrieved May 8, 2024.
- ^ "2024 CPR Electoral College Ratings". cookpolitical.com. Cook Political Report. December 19, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Ratings". insideelections.com. Inside Elections. April 26, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Electoral College ratings". centerforpolitics.org. University of Virginia Center for Politics. June 29, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 presidential predictions". elections2024.thehill.com/. The Hill. December 14, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "2024 Presidential Forecast". projects.cnalysis.com/. CNalysis. December 30, 2023. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ^ "Electoral College map 2024: Road to 270". CNN. Retrieved January 14, 2024.
- ^ "Trump v Biden: The Economist's presidential election prediction model". The Economist. Retrieved October 3, 2024.
- ^ Morris, G. Elliott (June 11, 2024). "2024 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved September 15, 2024.
- ^ "2024 RCP Electoral College Map". RealClearPolitics. June 26, 2024. Retrieved June 26, 2024.
- ^ "Presidential Election Preview 2024". NBC News.
- ^ "Citizens for Judicial Fairness Poll: New Castle County Executive Matt Meyer Well Positioned for Victory in Race for Delaware Governor, Vice President Kamala Harris Favorability Ratings Pass Biden". Business Wire. September 24, 2024.
- ^ Bothum, Peter (September 27, 2024). "New poll shows gender gap and independents fueling large lead for Delaware Democrats". University of Delaware.
- ^ a b c "Biden Is the Real Spoiler, Kennedy Only Candidate Who Can Beat Trump". Kennedy24. May 1, 2024.
- ^ State of Delaware. "2024 General Election Report". Retrieved November 13, 2024.
- ^ State of Delaware. "Official Write-In Votes Report" (PDF). Retrieved November 13, 2024.