Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Kosovo on 9 February 2025.[1]
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All 120 seats in the Assembly 61 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Background
editIn the 2021 elections Lëvizja Vetëvendosje (LVV) won 58 seats.[2] They created a coalition with minority parties to form a Government.[3]
Electoral system
editThe 120 members of the Assembly of Kosovo are elected by open list proportional representation, with 20 seats reserved for national minorities.[4] An electoral threshold of 5% is in place for non-minority parties. Seats are allocated using the Webster/Sainte-Laguë method.[5] To form a government, a party or coalition must have a majority of 61 MPs out of 120 seats in the Assembly of Kosovo.
Opinion polls
editGraphic representation
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
National polls
editPollster | Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK-NISMA-CL (Coalition) | SL | Other | Abstention | Lead | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LVV | A | Guxo | LDK | AKR | AAK | NISMA | CLK | |||||||
3–15 June 2024 | 49.6 | – | 0.7 | 15.5 | – | 17.0 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 32.6 | |||
1-10 June 2024 | 41.1 | – | – | 19.2 | – | 19.6 | 5.8 | – | 5.1 | 9.2 | 21.5 | |||
6 May 2024 | 38 | – | 1.5 | 18.2 | 1.7 | 17.2 | 12.4 | – | 3.7 | 2.2 | 19.8 | |||
5 April 2024 | 49.5 | – | 0.6 | 16 | – | 17.1 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 4.3 | – | 32.4 | |||
27 March 2024 | Bedri Hamza is nominated by the Democratic Party of Kosovo for Prime Minister | |||||||||||||
22 February 2024 | 40.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 21.5 | – | 20.4 | 9.0 | – | 0.4 | 4.6 | 19.4 | |||
17 January 2024 | AAK, Social Democratic NISMA and Conservative List of Kosovo form an electoral alliance | |||||||||||||
UBO | 16–23 December 2023 | 48.5 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 17.9 | – | 18.2 | 6.8 | 1.5 | – | 3.2 | 3.0 | – | 30.3 |
UBO | 23 December 2022 | 42.6 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 19.8 | 0.2 | 19 | 7.3 | 2 | – | 4.3 | 3.4 | – | 22.8 |
PIPOS | December 2022 | 35.5 | – | 1 | 22.2 | 0.4 | 21.5 | 6 | 2.4 | – | – | 0.2 | – | 13.3 |
UBO | September 2022 | 37.3 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 22.3 | 0.3 | 21.7 | 7.7 | 1.2 | – | 5.1 | 2.1 | – | 15 |
PIPOS | August 2022 | 33.2 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 21.6 | 0.2 | 18.3 | 10.1 | 1.5 | – | – | – | – | 11.6 |
PIPOS | 7 July 2022 | 38.1 | – | 1.2 | 25.1 | – | 21.3 | 11.9 | 2.1 | – | – | – | – | 13 |
UBO | 18 June 2022 | 39.6 | – | 1.3 | 20.3 | – | 21.9 | 6.7 | 1.9 | – | 4.2 | 3.5 | – | 17.7 |
UBO | May 2022 | 38.3 | – | – | 17.7 | – | 19.7 | 6.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 18.6 |
UBO | 7–15 March 2022 | 41.9 | – | 1.1 | 19.4 | 0.4 | 21.6 | 7.2 | 1 | – | 4.2 | 2.8 | – | 20.3 |
PIPOS | 12 February 2022 | 34.7 | – | – | 24.1 | – | 21.3 | 7.7 | 0.4 | – | – | 0.5 | – | 10.6 |
2021 election | 14 February 2021 | 50.3 | 12.73 | 17.01 | 7.2 | 2.52 | – | 5.09 | – | – | 33.29 |
Seat projections
editThe projections below are calculated according to the opinion polls from above.
Date | LVV | LDK | PDK | AAK | SL | Other | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
June 2024 | 55 | 17 | 19 | 9[b] | 10 | 10 | 36 |
49 | 22 | 23 | 6[b] | 10 | 10 | 26 | |
May 2024 | 45 | 21 | 20 | 14[b] | 10 | 10 | 24 |
April 2024 | 56 | 18 | 19 | 7[b] | 10 | 10 | 37 |
February 2024 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 10[b] | 10 | 10 | 22 |
December 2023 | 53 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33 |
January 2023 | 48 | 22 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 26 |
December 2022 | 42 | 26 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 16 |
September 2022 | 42 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 17 |
August 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
July 2022 | 40 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 14 |
June 2022 | 44 | 23 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
May 2022 | 47 | 21 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
March 2022 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
February 2022 | 40 | 27 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 13 |
Leadership approval
editDates conducted |
Pollster | Sample size |
Vjosa Osmani | Albin Kurti | Lumir Abdixhiku | Memli Krasniqi | Ramush Haradinaj | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | Pos. | Neg. | Net | |||
6-27 May 2024 | UBO | 1,200 | 64% | 30% | +34% | 59% | 35% | +24% | 35% | 54% | -19% | 28% | 63% | -35% | 21% | 66% | -45% |
Pollster | Date | Kurti | Abdixhiku | Krasniqi | Hamza | Haradinaj | Limaj | Osmani | Pacolli | Kusari-Lila | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Albanian Post | June 2024 | 56.4 | 40.5 | 28.9 | 43.7 | 25.4 | – | 67.8 | – | – | – [c] |
45.6 | 18.6 | – | 20.5 | 6.2 | – | – | – | – | 25.1 | ||
PIPOS | February 2024 | 3.07 | 2.13 | 2.05 | – | 1.89 | 1.65 | 3.06 | – | – | 0.01 |
PIPOS | December 2022 | 26.7 | 20 | 17 | – | 7.2 | 2.9 | 11.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 6.7 |
PIPOS | August 2022 | 2.98 | 2.92 | 2.60 | – | 2.38 | 2.13 | 3.37 | 2.33 | 2.31 | 0.39 |
PIPOS | February 2022 | 28.9 | 18.6 | 13.3 | – | 6.2 | 1.5 | 7.3 | 0.5 | – | 10.3 |
Albin Kurti
editThe polls below asked voters for their opinion of Albin Kurti, prime minister of Kosovo since March 2021.
Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|
UNDP | 25 July 2024 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 16.6 |
UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 48.9 | 51.1 | -2.6 |
UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 51.5 | 48.5 | 3.0 |
Glauk Konjufca
editThe polls below asked voters for their opinion of Glauk Konjufca, chairman of Assembly of the Republic of Kosovo since March 2021.
Pollster | Date | Approve | Disapprove | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|
UNDP | 25 July 2024 | 64.4 | 35.6 | 28.8 |
UNDP | 28 February 2024 | 52.2 | 47.8 | 4.7 |
UNDP | 25 April 2023 | 58.3 | 41.7 | 16.6 |
References
edit- ^ "Presidentja Osmani nxjerr dekretin: Zgjedhjet e rregullta parlamentare mbahen më 9 shkurt 2025". Telegrafi (in Albanian). 2024-08-16. Retrieved 2024-08-16.
- ^ ndi.org
- ^ prishtinainsight.com
- ^ Kosovo IFES
- ^ Law No. 03/L-073 on General Elections in the Republic of Kosovo, Article 111.2