The 68th Prince Edward Island general election is the next general election to be held in the Canadian province of Prince Edward Island (PEI), to elect the 68th General Assembly of Prince Edward Island. It is tentatively scheduled for the fixed election date of Monday, October 4, 2027, but may be held earlier under certain circumstances.
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All 27 seats in the Legislative Assembly of Prince Edward Island 14 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Election date
editPEI's fixed election date law, passed in 2008,[1] requires a general election to be held on the first Monday in October of the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[2] However, the law does not override the constitutional powers of the lieutenant governor to dissolve the Legislature and hold new elections at any time. Under the principles of responsible government, the lieutenant governor only calls elections on the advice of the premier, or in response to the failure of a confidence vote in the Legislature.[3] Thus it generally remains the premier's prerogative to call elections early, and premiers are often criticized for doing so for political advantage.[1] Of PEI's four general elections held since the fixed date was passed into law, only one has been held on the fixed date; the other three were called early.[1]
Timeline
edit2023
edit- April 3: General election held. The Progressive Conservative Party increases their seat total from 15 to 22 in the 27-seat Legislature, gaining 6 seats from the Green Party and 1 from the Liberal Party. The Liberals form the Official Opposition, replacing the Greens.[4] Voter turnout of 68.5% is the province's lowest for a general election since records began in 1966.[5]
- April 6: Sharon Cameron resigns as Liberal leader.[6]
- April 12: Tignish-Palmer Road MLA Hal Perry is named interim Liberal leader, and becomes Leader of the Official Opposition.[7]
- June 17: Green Party leader Peter Bevan-Baker announces his intention to resign.[8]
- July 21: Charlottetown-Victoria Park MLA Karla Bernard is appointed interim Green Party leader.[9]
- November 11: Borden-Kinkora MLA Jamie Fox resigns, to run as Malpeque's Conservative candidate in the next federal election.[10]
2024
edit- February 5: The Borden-Kinkora provincial by-election was scheduled to be held this date but was pushed to February 7 due to a winter storm.[11]
- February 7: Green candidate Matt MacFarlane wins the Borden-Kinkora provincial by-election, gaining the seat from the Progressive Conservatives.[12]
Opinion polls
editThe following is a list of scientific opinion polls of published voter intentions.
| Polling firm | Date(s) conducted |
Link | PC | Green | Liberal | NDP | Island | Others | Sample size | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narrative Research | 5 – 16 August 2024 | [p 1] | 45 | 32 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 13 |
| Narrative Research | 8 – 29 May 2024 | [p 2] | 42 | 33 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 9 |
| Narrative Research | 8 – 13 February 2024 | [p 3] | 51 | 28 | 12 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 23 |
| Narrative Research | 8 – 26 November 2023 | [p 4] | 56 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 300 | 38 |
| Narrative Research | 2 – 15 August 2023 | [p 5] | 53 | 22 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 300 | 31 |
| Narrative Research | 4 – 13 May 2023 | [p 6] | 52 | 25 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 27 |
| General election results | April 3, 2023 | 55.9 | 21.6 | 17.2 | 4.5 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 74,792 | 34.3 |
References
edit- ^ a b c Yarr, Kevin (March 7, 2023). "Why P.E.I. is having an election in April, when the date fixed by law is in October". CBC News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ "Elections Act". www.princeedwardisland.ca. December 22, 2017. Retrieved May 21, 2019.
- ^ "Confidence Convention". Compendium of Procedure. Parliament of Canada. 2019. Retrieved September 4, 2019.
- ^ MacKay, Cody (April 3, 2023). "Dennis King promises humility, kindness after winning 2nd term as P.E.I. premier". CBC News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ Yarr, Kevin (April 4, 2023). "Low P.E.I. voter turnout 'cynical response to an early election call'". CBC News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ MacKay, Cody (April 6, 2023). "P.E.I. Liberal Leader Sharon Cameron stepping down". CBC News. Retrieved April 6, 2023.
- ^ Ross, Shane (April 12, 2023). "Hal Perry takes over as interim leader of P.E.I. Liberals". CBC News. Retrieved April 12, 2023.
- ^ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-peter-bevan-baker-green-party-1.6880290
- ^ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-karla-bernard-interim-leader-green-party-1.6913504
- ^ CBC news
- ^ "DISTRICT 19 BY-ELECTION | Elections PEI". www.electionspei.ca. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
- ^ https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/prince-edward-island/pei-borden-kinkora-advance-poll-1.7107422
Opinion poll sources
edit- ^ "Satisfaction with PEI King government has increased compared with three months ago". Narrative Research. August 23, 2024. Retrieved September 17, 2024.
- ^ "Satisfaction with PEI King government has declined compared with three months ago". Narrative Research. June 6, 2024. Retrieved June 6, 2024.
- ^ "Satisfaction with PEI King government has decreased compared with three months ago". Narrative Research. February 28, 2024. Retrieved March 6, 2024.
- ^ "Satisfaction with PEI King government remains strong, although down from three months ago". Narrative Research. December 5, 2023. Retrieved December 6, 2023.
- ^ "Satisfaction with PEI King government remains strong". Narrative Research. August 24, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.
- ^ "Satisfaction with King government remains strong in PEI post-election, with party and leader support unchanged since the election". Narrative Research. May 24, 2023. Retrieved September 22, 2023.