Wikipedia

Agalawatta Polling Division

The Agalawatta Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Agalawatta
Polling Division
Location of Agalawatta
Coordinates: 6°28′16″N 80°12′36″E / 6.471177°N 80.209978°E / 6.471177; 80.209978
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
612.57 km2 (236.51 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
142,098
 • Density232/km2 (600/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03H

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Agalawatta has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Agalawatta is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Agalawatta Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.61% SLPP 8.27%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.62% NDF 8.50%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.35% UPFA 7.25%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.81% UPFA 3.35%
1999 PA PA 2.89% PA 1.22%
1994 PA PA 2.61% PA 3.53%
1988 SLFP SLFP 1.23% UNP 2.80%
1982 UNP UNP 1.40% UNP 2.33%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.19% 8/8 4.66%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 52,400 61.36% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 28,744 33.66% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,319 2.72% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,928 2.26% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 85,391 99.43% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 492 0.57% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 85,883 86.33% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 99,484 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 44,750 56.17% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 33,995 42.67% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 929 1.17% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 79,674 98.76% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,002 1.24% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 80,676 80.64% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 100,040 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,317 65.24% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 23,717 32.70% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,489 2.05% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 72,523 99.33% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 486 0.67% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 73,009 77.69% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 93,972 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,518 53.54% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 31,449 44.88% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,114 1.59% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 70,081 99.07% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 656 0.93% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 70,737 78.62% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 89,979 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,128 49.54% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 26,506 43.59% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,014 4.96% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,165 1.92% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 60,813 98.02% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,226 1.98% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 62,039 75.52% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 82,145 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,467 58.77% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 21,903 39.65% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 876 1.59% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 55,246 98.41% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 893 1.59% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 56,139 71.48% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 78,540 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,255 48.71% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 15,155 48.40% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 905 2.89% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 31,315 98.36% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 521 1.64% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 31,836 44.85% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 70,991 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Agalawatta[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,681 50.35% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 21,041 41.25% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
LSSP 2,079 4.08% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
JVP 2,043 4.01% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 159 0.31% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 51,003 98.18% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 944 1.82% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 51,947 82.60% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 62,890 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Agalawatta has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Agalawatta is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Agalawatta Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.28% UNP 5.23%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.36% UPFA 5.35%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.14% UPFA 5.31%
2001 UNP UNP 1.05% UNP 2.01%
2000 PA PA 2.41% PA 2.06%
1994 PA PA 1.57% PA 2.41%
1989 UNP UNP 4.14% UNP 5.56%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.56% 7/7 3.99%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,125 51.88% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 31,731 43.18% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,860 3.89% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 776 1.06% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 73,492 96.42% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,691 3.53% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 76,219 76.19% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 100,040 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,541 68.25% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,402 27.66% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,909 3.67% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 223 0.43% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 52,075 88.27% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,851 11.61% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 58,994 62.78% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 93,972 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,939 53.66% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 26,456 41.83% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,538 4.01% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 313 0.49% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 63,246 93.13% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,665 6.87% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 67,911 77.05% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 88,142 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,734 47.39% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 25,147 40.08% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 6,599 10.52% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,266 2.02% 12,361 2.23% 137,091 1.53%
Valid Votes 62,746 92.67% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,963 7.33% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 67,709 78.64% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 86,105 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,531 45.85% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 27,665 44.45% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,128 6.63% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,073 1.72% 18,136 3.33% 321,730 3.74%
SU 835 1.34% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Valid Votes 62,232 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,009 52.41% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,007 45.65% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 693 1.17% 6,238 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 456 0.77% 6,253 1.24% 69,351 0.87%
Valid Votes 59,165 93.94% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,818 6.06% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 62,983 80.19% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 78,540 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Agalawatta[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,311 56.59% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,397 39.54% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 679 2.36% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 434 1.51% 17,272 5.38% 360,219 6.44%
Valid Votes 28,821 91.89% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,545 8.11% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 31,366 44.85% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 69,937 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Agalawatta Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (94.7%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Agalawatta Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Agalawatta[1]

  Sinhalese (94.7%)
  Indian Tamil (3.0%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.8%)
  Other (0.5%)

Religion

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The Agalawatta Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (94.4%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Agalawatta Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [1]

Religion in Agalawatta[1]

  Buddhist (94.4%)
  Hindu (4.2%)
  Other (1.4%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-07.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Agalawatta and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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