Wikipedia

Aranayaka Polling Division

The Aranayaka Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Aranayaka
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 7°10′15″N 80°25′40″E / 7.170890°N 80.427723°E / 7.170890; 80.427723
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total
117.67 km2 (45.43 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
68,464
 • Density582/km2 (1,510/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22F

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Aranayaka has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Aranayaka is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Aranayaka Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.45% SLPP 3.20%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.61% NDF 3.60%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.21% UPFA 3.99%
2005 UNP UPFA 2.33% UPFA 1.59%
1999 PA PA 1.74% PA 1.70%
1994 PA PA 1.62% PA 7.79%
1988 UNP UNP 2.41% UNP 7.78%
1982 UNP UNP 1.63% UNP 4.61%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.37% 8/8 4.28%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 24,294 56.39% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 17,075 39.63% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 961 2.23% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 752 1.75% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 43,082 99.34% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 288 0.66% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 43,370 85.41% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 50,780 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 20,742 51.04% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 19,297 47.48% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 602 1.48% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 40,641 98.98% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 417 1.02% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 41,058 77.17% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 53,207 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,204 61.81% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 13,469 35.88% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 870 2.32% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 37,543 99.29% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 268 0.71% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 37,811 73.58% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 51,391 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,906 49.96% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 18,391 48.59% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 549 1.45% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 37,846 98.87% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 434 1.13% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 38,280 77.20% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 49,586 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,314 53.31% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 14,224 41.40% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,232 3.59% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 587 1.71% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 34,357 97.87% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 749 2.13% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 35,106 76.19% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 46,078 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,156 54.41% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,854 43.94% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 522 1.66% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 31,532 98.12% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 604 1.88% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 32,136 75.90% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 42,338 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,894 59.97% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 9,605 38.68% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 335 1.35% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 24,834 98.54% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 369 1.46% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 25,203 67.28% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 37,459 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Aranayaka[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,183 59.21% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 10,433 35.95% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,197 4.12% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 209 0.72% 7,074 2.06% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 29,022 99.25% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 219 0.75% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 29,241 84.75% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 34,504 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Aranayaka has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Aranayaka is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Aranayaka Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.56% UNP 3.21%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.83% UPFA 6.80%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.89% UPFA 4.88%
2001 UNP UNP 3.75% UNP 3.88%
2000 PA PA 2.76% PA 3.67%
1994 UNP UNP 1.36% PA 4.96%
1989 UNP UNP 3.37% UNP 7.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.36% 7/7 4.93%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,192 51.25% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 16,457 43.95% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,250 3.34% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 548 1.46% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 37,447 96.20% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,458 3.75% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 38,928 73.16% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 53,207 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,758 69.91% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 7,396 26.17% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 997 3.53% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 112 0.40% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 28,263 93.58% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,938 6.42% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 30,201 58.77% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 51,391 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 16,911 49.94% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 15,321 45.25% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,458 4.31% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 172 0.51% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 33,862 94.34% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,032 5.66% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 35,894 73.66% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 48,731 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,044 53.29% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 12,263 36.22% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,161 9.34% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 389 1.15% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 33,857 94.88% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,827 5.12% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 35,684 74.89% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 47,648 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 18,340 52.68% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 14,160 40.67% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,688 4.85% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 627 1.80% 12,643 3.07% 419,507 4.88%
Valid Votes 34,815 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,392 52.58% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 15,383 46.50% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 304 0.92% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 33,079 95.92% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,406 4.08% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 34,485 81.45% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 42,338 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Aranayaka[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,302 63.43% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,682 33.78% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 479 1.86% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 239 0.93% 16,196 5.68% 232,463 4.15%
Valid Votes 25,702 92.14% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,191 7.86% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 27,893 75.98% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 36,713 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Aranayaka Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (90.1%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Aranayaka Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Aranayaka[1]

  Sinhalese (90.1%)
  Moor (7.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.6%)
  Other (0.8%)

Religion

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The Aranayaka Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.0%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Aranayaka Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Aranayaka[1]

  Buddhist (90.0%)
  Muslim (7.6%)
  Hindu (1.9%)
  Other (0.5%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Aranayaka and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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