Wikipedia

Burlington (federal electoral district)

For the provincial electoral district, see Burlington (provincial electoral district).

Burlington is a federal electoral district in Halton Region, Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1979.

Burlington
Ontario electoral district
Burlington in relation to other Ontario electoral districts (2015 boundaries)
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Karina Gould
Liberal
District created1976
First contested1979
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]120,569
Electors (2015)94,679
Area (km²)[1]84
Pop. density (per km²)1,435.3
Census division(s)Halton
Census subdivision(s)Burlington
Map of Burlington riding (2003 boundaries)

Geography

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It consists of the southern part of the city of Burlington.

The riding serves downtown Burlington and the neighbourhoods of Aldershot, Maple, Freeman, Wellington Square, Dynes, Roseland, Longmoor, Shoreacres, Pinedale, Elizabeth Gardens, Palmer, Mountainside, Brant Hills, and Tyandaga in Burlington.

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[2]

Languages: 79.0% English, 1.6% Spanish, 1.5% French, 1.2% Polish, 1.2% Arabic
Religions: 58.8% Christian (28.3% Catholic, 6.4% Anglican, 5.7% United Church, 2.3% Presbyterian, 2.1% Christian Orthodox, 1.1% Baptist, 12.9% other), 3.1% Muslim, 1.5% Hindu, 34.5% none
Median income: $48,000 (2020)
Average income: $66,100 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Burlington (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[3] 2016[4] 2011[5]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 101,330 81.98% 104,610 86.49% 106,925 89.88%
South Asian 5,020 4.06% 3,420 2.83% 2,475 2.08%
African 3,190 2.58% 2,425 2.01% 1,795 1.51%
East Asian[b] 3,135 2.54% 2,325 1.92% 2,240 1.88%
Middle Eastern[c] 2,955 2.39% 1,760 1.46% 1,235 1.04%
Southeast Asian[d] 2,740 2.22% 2,345 1.94% 1,430 1.2%
Latin American 1,940 1.57% 1,410 1.17% 1,050 0.88%
Indigenous 1,725 1.4% 1,530 1.27% 1,155 0.97%
Other/multiracial[e] 1,575 1.27% 1,115 0.92% 665 0.56%
Total responses 123,610 98.55% 120,945 98.19% 118,960 98.67%
Total population 125,435 100% 123,180 100% 120,569 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Upcoming federal election

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The next federal election must be called on October 2, 2025, however the Prime Minister Justin Trudeau does have the authority to call the election whenever he wishes. Although recent polls indicate a massive majority win for the Conservatives if an election was called in the near future and a win in Burlington and other Halton ridings. Based on this data many Conservatives are interested in becoming the next elections conservative candidate for this newly created riding.

Conservative nomination election candidates

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Conservatives within the riding vote on which person they want to represent them in the upcoming election as the next Conservative Candidate.

Declared:

  • Emily Brown Conservative Candidate in the 2021 Federal election for Burlington[6]
  • Shaheryar Mian Businessman[7]

Liberal Candidate

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Potential:

History

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Burlington was created in 1976 from Halton—Wentworth.

This riding gained small territories from Halton and Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Westdale during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Members of Parliament

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This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Burlington
Riding created from Halton—Wentworth
31st  1979–1980     Bill Kempling Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984
33rd  1984–1988
34th  1988–1993
35th  1993–1997     Paddy Torsney Liberal
36th  1997–2000
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006
39th  2006–2008     Mike Wallace Conservative
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019     Karina Gould Liberal
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present

Election results

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Graph of election results in Burlington (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Karina Gould 31,602 45.7 –2.9 $108,267.63
Conservative Emily Brown 25,742 37.3 +4.1 $99,594.92
New Democratic Nick Page 7,507 10.9 +0.7 $9,478.98
People's Michael Bator 2,764 4.0 +2.7 $7,469.57
Green Christian Cullis 1,368 2.0 –4.6 $1,096.10
Rhinoceros Jevin David Carroll 122 0.2 N/A $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 69,105 99.4 – $126,483.23
Total rejected ballots 424 0.6
Turnout 69,529 69.7
Eligible voters 99,734
Liberal hold Swing –3.5
Source: Elections Canada[8]


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Karina Gould 34,989 48.61 +2.63 $106,261.57
Conservative Jane Michael 23,930 33.24 –9.24 $86,302.63
New Democratic Lenaee Dupuis 7,372 10.24 +1.14 $31,070.76
Green Gareth Williams 4,750 6.60 +4.16 $6,940.18
People's Peter Smetana 944 1.31 $5,500.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 71,985 99.17
Total rejected ballots 600 0.83 +0.45
Turnout 72,585 72.44 –0.76
Eligible voters 100,201
Liberal hold Swing +5.93
Source: Elections Canada[9][10]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Liberal Karina Gould 32,229 45.98 +22.74 $104,313.08
Conservative Mike Wallace 29,780 42.48 –11.66 $105,053.18
New Democratic David Laird 6,381 9.10 –9.75 $28,503.64
Green Vince Fiorito 1,710 2.44 –1.10 $1,631.97
Total valid votes/expense limit 70,100 99.63   $239,840.79
Total rejected ballots 263 0.37
Turnout 70,363 73.20
Eligible voters 96,126
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +17.20
Source: Elections Canada[11][12]
2011 federal election redistributed results[13]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 33,162 54.14
  Liberal 14,235 23.24
  New Democratic 11,549 18.85
  Green 2,166 3.54
  Others 140 0.23
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Mike Wallace 32,958 54.16 +5.56 $87,782.46
Liberal Alyssa Brierley 14,154 23.26 -9.99 $83,688.54
New Democratic David Carter Laird 11,449 18.81 +7.61 $17,387.19
Green Graham Mayberry 2,151 3.53 -3.40 $4,138.76
Marxist–Leninist Elaine Baetz 140 0.23 –
Total valid votes/expense limit 60,852 100.00 – $94,992.81
Total rejected ballots 175 0.29 -0.12
Turnout 61,027 67.02 +2.03
Eligible voters 91,058 – –
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Mike Wallace 28,614 48.60 +5.50 $82,440
Liberal Paddy Torsney 19,577 33.25 -5.86 $86,026
New Democratic David Carter Laird 6,597 11.20 -1.24 $21,862
Green Marnie Mellish 4,083 6.93 +1.60 $2,280
Total valid votes/expense limit 58,871 100.00 – $92,099
Total rejected ballots 239 0.40 +0.05
Turnout 59,110 64.99
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Mike Wallace 28,030 43.10 +4.8
Liberal Paddy Torsney 25,431 39.11 -5.9
New Democratic David Carter Laird 8,090 12.44 +1.6
Green Rick Goldring 3,471 5.33 +0.1
Total valid votes 65,022 100.0
Total rejected ballots 227 0.35
Turnout 65,249 72.96
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paddy Torsney 27,423 45.0 -1.8
Conservative Mike Wallace 23,389 38.4 -9.6
New Democratic David Carter Laird 6,581 10.8 +7.2
Green Angela Reid 3,169 5.2
Christian Heritage John Herman Wubs 429 0.7
Total valid votes 60,991 100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paddy Torsney 22,175 46.8 +2.7
Alliance Don Pennell 11,500 24.3 +6.9
Progressive Conservative Stephen Collinson 11,240 23.7 -9.0
New Democratic Larry McMahon 1,722 3.6 -1.5
Green Tom Snyder 771 1.6
Total valid votes 47,408 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paddy Torsney 22,042 44.1 0.0
Progressive Conservative Mike Kuegle 16,344 32.7 +6.5
Reform Terry Lamping 8,662 17.3 -5.9
New Democratic Jim Hough 2,561 5.1 +2.1
Canadian Action Ann Marsden 352 0.7
Total valid votes 49,961 100.0
1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Paddy Torsney 22,785 44.1 +17.5
Progressive Conservative Mike Kuegle 13,540 26.2 -25.9
Reform Hugh Ramolla 11,984 23.2
New Democratic Jim Hough 1,554 3.0 -13.1
Independent Bill Barlett 929 1.8
National Bill Watson 535 1.0
Natural Law Ursula Kropfel 336 0.7
Total valid votes 51,663 100.0
1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Bill Kempling 26,293 52.1 -9.9
Liberal James Smith 13,448 26.6 +7.8
New Democratic Jane Mulkewich 8,149 16.1 -3.1
Christian Heritage Ron Bremer 2,285 4.5
Libertarian Dan Riga 321 0.6
Total valid votes 50,496 100.0
1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Bill Kempling 37,577 61.9 +11.2
New Democratic Walter Mulkewich 11,687 19.3 +3.6
Liberal Fred Schwenger 11,406 18.8 -14.0
Total valid votes 60,670 100.0
1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Progressive Conservative Bill Kempling 27,212 50.8 -5.6
Liberal Tom Sutherland 17,574 32.8 +4.6
New Democratic Danny Dunleavy 8,421 15.7 +1.0
Libertarian Bruno S. Oberski 341 0.6 0.0
Marxist–Leninist Charles Boylan 63 0.1 0.0
Total valid votes 53,611 100.0
lop.parl.ca
1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Progressive Conservative Bill Kempling 32,225 56.4
Liberal Tom Sutherland 16,100 28.2
New Democratic Danny Dunleavy 8,421 14.7
Libertarian John Lawson 365 0.6
Marxist–Leninist Charles Boylan 62 0.1
Total valid votes 57,173 100.0

See also

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References

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  • "Burlington (federal electoral district) (Code 35010) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 2, 2012.
  • Federal riding history from the Library of Parliament
  • Burlington District
  • Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada
  2. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Burlington [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 9, 2023.
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved December 31, 2023.
  6. ^ admin. "Home". Emily Brown for Burlington. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
  7. ^ "Shaheryar Mian". Shaheryar Mian. Retrieved April 28, 2024.
  8. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  9. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  10. ^ "Official Voting Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved August 13, 2021.
  11. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Burlington, 30 September 2015
  12. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2016-03-04 at the Wayback Machine
  13. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections


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