2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon
The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Oregon were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the six U.S. representatives from the state of Oregon, one from each of the state's six congressional districts. Primaries for these seats were held on May 17, 2022. The elections coincided with the elections and primaries of other federal and state offices.
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All 6 Oregon seats to the United States House of Representatives | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Democratic hold Democratic gain Republican hold Republican gain
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District boundaries were redrawn[1] to ensure that the districts are apportioned based on data from the 2020 United States census, which added a sixth seat to Oregon's delegation.[2] Democrats won the new sixth district, but Republicans gained Oregon's fifth district, leaving the Congressional delegation with a 4 to 2 party split in favor of the Democrats. This was the first time since 1994 that Republicans won more than one House seat in Oregon.
Redistricting
editAhead of the 2022 elections, Oregon redrew its congressional districts as part of the 2020 United States redistricting cycle. Oregon gained a sixth congressional district during this cycle.[2] On September 20, 2021, the Oregon State Senate passed new congressional maps that were favored by Democrats on a party-line vote, along with state legislative maps.[3] The congressional map contained 5 Democratic-leaning districts and 1 Republican-leaning district. Tina Kotek, the Democratic speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives, had negotiated a deal with Republicans to give them equal say on redistricting matters, but she abandoned the deal after the Senate passed its maps.[4] House Democrats made changes to the proposed congressional map that made it less favorable towards Democrats, but Republicans still opposed the map. In response, House Republicans skipped a floor session, which denied House Democrats a quorum and blocked them from being able to pass their maps.[5] On September 27, the legislature's deadline to approve new maps, most House Republicans showed up to vote. The House's proposed congressional map passed the House and Senate on party-line votes, and was approved by governor Kate Brown the same day.[6]
District 1
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County results Bonamici: 50–60% 60–70% 80–90% Mann: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 1st district was located in northwestern Oregon and included the western Portland metro area, including the Portland suburbs of Beaverton and Hillsboro, and parts of Portland west of the Willamette River. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, exchanging Yamhill County for Tillamook County and taking in more of Portland. The incumbent was Democrat Suzanne Bonamici, who was re-elected with 64.6% of the vote in 2020.[7]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Suzanne Bonamici, incumbent U.S. Representative[8]
Eliminated in primary
editEndorsements
edit- Organizations
- Feminist Majority PAC[11]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[12]
- League of Conservation Voters[13]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[14]
- Oregon Working Families Party[15]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Sierra Club[17]
- Labor unions
- Oregon Education Association PAC[18]
- Service Employees International Union Oregon State Council[19]
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) | 80,317 | 88.5 | |
Democratic | Scott Phillips | 7,832 | 8.6 | |
Democratic | Christian Robertson | 2,625 | 2.9 | |
Total votes | 90,774 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Christopher Mann | 19,605 | 68.4 | |
Republican | Armidia "Army" Murray | 9,047 | 31.6 | |
Total votes | 28,652 | 100.0 |
Independents
editCandidates
editGeneral election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | October 14, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
Politico[24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Suzanne Bonamici (incumbent) | 210,682 | 67.9 | |
Republican | Christopher Mann | 99,042 | 31.9 | |
Write-in | 519 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 310,243 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 2
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County results Bentz: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80-90% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 2nd district was the largest of Oregon's districts and covered roughly two-thirds of the state east of the Cascades, encompassing the central, eastern, and southern regions of the state, including Bend and Medford. The district was kept mostly the same during redistricting, but it did lose Bend to the 5th district and Hood River County to the 3rd, while taking in all of Josephine County and about half of Douglas County. The incumbent was Republican Cliff Bentz, who was elected with 59.9% of the vote in 2020.[7]
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Cliff Bentz, incumbent U.S. Representative[31][32]
Eliminated in primary
editEndorsements
edit- Organizations
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Cliff Bentz (incumbent) | 67,051 | 75.3 | |
Republican | Mark Cavener | 17,372 | 19.5 | |
Republican | Katherine Gallant | 4,598 | 5.2 | |
Total votes | 89,021 | 100.0 |
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Joseph Yetter III | 27,814 | 70.4 | |
Democratic | Adam Prine | 11,669 | 29.6 | |
Total votes | 39,483 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid R | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid R | October 14, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | October 5, 2021 |
Politico[24] | Solid R | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe R | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid R | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid R | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid R | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe R | September 28, 2022 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Cliff Bentz (incumbent) | 208,369 | 67.5 | |
Democratic | Joseph Yetter III | 99,882 | 32.4 | |
Write-in | 425 | 0.1 | ||
Total votes | 308,676 | 100.0 | ||
Republican hold |
District 3
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County results Blumenaur: 60-70% 70–80% Harbour: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 3rd district encompassed the eastern Portland metro area, covering Portland and Gresham. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did take in Hood River County, and lost some of Portland to the 1st district. The incumbent was Democrat Earl Blumenauer, who was re-elected with 73.0% of the vote in 2020.[7]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Earl Blumenauer, incumbent U.S. Representative[36]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jonathan E. Polhemus[9]
Endorsements
edit- Organizations
- Progressive Democrats of America[37]
- Sierra Club[17]
- Labor unions
- Oregon Education Association PAC[18]
- Service Employees International Union Oregon State Council[19]
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) | 96,386 | 94.7 | |
Democratic | Jonathan E. Polhemus | 5,392 | 5.3 | |
Total votes | 101,778 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Joanna Harbour | 18,031 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 18,031 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Solid D | October 5, 2021 |
Inside Elections[22] | Solid D | October 14, 2021 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe D | October 5, 2021 |
Politico[24] | Solid D | April 5, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Safe D | June 9, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Solid D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Solid D | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Solid D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Safe D | September 28, 2022 |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Earl Blumenauer (incumbent) | 212,119 | 69.9 | |
Republican | Joanna Harbour | 79,766 | 26.3 | |
Progressive | David E Delk | 10,982 | 3.6 | |
Write-in | 467 | 0.2 | ||
Total votes | 303,334 | 100.0 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 4
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County results Hoyle: 50–60% 60–70% Skarlatos: 50–60% 60-70% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 4th district included the southern Willamette Valley and the South Coast, including Eugene, Corvallis, and Roseburg. The district was kept largely the same despite redistricting, though it did gain parts of the central coast previously in the 5th district, making the district more Democratic leaning. The incumbent, Democrat Peter DeFazio, who was re-elected with 51.5% of the vote in 2020,[7] decided to retire, rather than seek a 19th consecutive term in Congress.[39]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Sami Al-Abdrabbuh, chair of the Corvallis School District Board[41][42]
- Doyle Canning, environmental activist and candidate for this district in 2020[43]
- Andrew Kalloch, Airbnb senior global policy advisor[44][45]
- Steve Laible, author and publisher[9][46]
- Jake Matthews, community organizer and author[9][47][48]
- John Selker, professor and scientist[9]
- G. Tommy Smith, personal banker[9][46][47][49]
Withdrew
edit- Kevin Easton, political consultant and former executive director of Equity Foundation[50]
- Joshua Welch, teacher[9][46]
Declined
edit- Melissa Cribbins, Coos County commissioner[44]
- Peter DeFazio, incumbent U.S. Representative[39]
- Julie Fahey, state representative from the 14th district (running for re-election)[44]
- Sara Gelser Blouin, state senator from the 8th district (running for re-election)[51][44]
- James Manning Jr., state senator from the 7th district (running for re-election)[52][44]
- Dan Rayfield, Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives from the 16th district (running for re-election)[44]
- Marty Wilde, state representative from the 11th district[52]
Endorsements
edit- State officials
- Bill Bradbury, former Oregon Secretary of State (1999–2009), former President of the Oregon State Senate (1993–1994), former member of the Oregon State Senate (1985–1995), former member of the Oregon House of Representatives (1981–1985)[53]
- Organizations
- Progressive Democrats of America[54]
- Federal officials
- Peter DeFazio, U.S. Representative from OR-04 (1987–present)[55]
- Jeff Merkley, U.S. Senator from Oregon (2009–present)[56]
- Ron Wyden, U.S. Senator from Oregon (1996–present)[56]
- Organizations
- Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC[57]
- EMILY's List[58]
- Giffords[59]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[60]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[61]
- New Democrat Coalition Action Fund[62]
- Oregon Education Association PAC[18]
- Oregon Working Families Party[15]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[63]
- Sierra Club[17]
- Newspapers
- Labor unions
- Service Employees International Union Oregon State Council[19]
- Organizations
- Organizations
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Doyle Canning |
Val Hoyle |
Andrew Kalloch |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[A] | March 17–18, 2022 | 634 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 8% | 24% | 4% | 10% | 54% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Val Hoyle | 56,153 | 64.0 | |
Democratic | Doyle Canning | 14,245 | 16.2 | |
Democratic | Sami Al-Abdrabbuh | 6,080 | 6.9 | |
Democratic | John Selker | 4,738 | 5.4 | |
Democratic | Andrew Kalloch | 4,322 | 4.9 | |
Democratic | G. Tommy Smith | 1,278 | 1.5 | |
Democratic | Jake Matthews | 607 | 0.7 | |
Democratic | Steve Laible | 292 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 87,715 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Alek Skarlatos, former Oregon National Guard soldier and nominee for this district in 2020[67][68]
Withdrew
editResults
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Alek Skarlatos | 58,655 | 100.0 | |
Total votes | 58,655 | 100.0 |
General election
editDebate
editNo. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Pacific Green | Constitution | Democratic | Independent | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Not invited I Invited W Withdrawn |
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Michael Beilstein | Jim Howard | Val Hoyle | Levi Leatherberry | Alek Skarlatos | |||||
1 | Oct. 6, 2022 | City Club of Springfield City Club of Eugene |
YouTube | P | P | P | N | P |
Predictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Lean D | August 5, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Tilt D | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Lean D | October 3, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Tossup | October 7, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Lean D | July 11, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Tossup | October 16, 2022 |
538[28] | Likely D | June 30, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Val Hoyle (D) |
Alex Skarlatos (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wick/RRH Elections (R) | October 23–26, 2022 | 529 (LV) | ± 4% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Moore Information Group (R)[B] | July 25–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 46% | 41% | 13% |
RMG Research | June 4–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 45% | 9% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Val Hoyle[b] | 171,372 | 50.54 | |
Republican | Alek Skarlatos | 146,055 | 43.07 | |
Independent Party | Levi Leatherberry[c] | 9,052 | 2.67 | |
Constitution | Jim Howard | 6,075 | 1.79 | |
Pacific Green | Michael Beilstein[d] | 6,033 | 1.78 | |
Write-in | 490 | 0.14 | ||
Total votes | 339,077 | 100.00 | ||
Democratic hold |
District 5
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County results Chavez-DeRemer: 60–70% McLeod-Skinner: 50–60% 70-80% >90% | |||||||||||||||||
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From 2012 to 2020, the 5th district straddled the central coast, and included Salem and the southern Portland suburbs. The new 5th district keeps the southern suburbs of Portland and reaches further into the city, but does not include any coastline, instead stretching southwards through the eastern parts of Marion and Linn counties to Bend.
The incumbent, Democrat Kurt Schrader, was re-elected with 51.9% of the vote in 2020.[7] He lost renomination to Jamie McLeod-Skinner.[71]
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Jamie McLeod-Skinner, attorney, former Santa Clara, California city councillor, nominee for the 2nd district in 2018, and candidate for Oregon Secretary of State in 2020[72][73]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Kurt Schrader, incumbent U.S. Representative[74]
Withdrew
edit- Mark Gamba, Mayor of Milwaukie (endorsed McLeod-Skinner)[72]
Endorsements
edit- U.S. Presidents
- Organizations
- Democratic Majority for Israel[76]
- Humane Society of the United States Legislative Fund[12]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[16]
- Pro-Israel America[77]
- Labor unions
- Newspapers
- The Oregonian[79] (primary only)
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jamie McLeod-Skinner |
Kurt Schrader |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patinkin Research Strategies (D)[C] | January 31 – February 4, 2022 | 406 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 34% | 37% | 30% |
Results
edit- 50–60%
- 70–80%
- >90%
- 50–60%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 47,148 | 54.9 | |
Democratic | Kurt Schrader (incumbent) | 38,726 | 45.1 | |
Total votes | 85,874 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Lori Chavez-DeRemer, former mayor of Happy Valley[80]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jimmy Crumpacker, investor and candidate for Oregon's 2nd congressional district in 2020[81]
- John Di Paola, orthopedic surgeon[82]
- Madison Oatman, building restoration technician[9][81][83]
- Laurel L. Roses, co-owner of a trucking company[9][83]
Declined
edit- Knute Buehler, nominee for Governor of Oregon in 2018[84]
- Shelly Boshart Davis, state representative from the 15th district (running for re-election)[84]
- Christine Drazan, former Minority Leader of the Oregon House of Representatives from the 39th district[51] (running for governor)
- Cheri Helt, former state representative from the 54th district (running for labor commissioner)[72][e]
- Tim Knopp, Minority Leader of the Oregon State Senate from the 27th district[51]
- Tootie Smith, Clackamas County commissioner[51]
Endorsements
edit- Newspapers
- The Oregonian[79] (primary only)
Results
edit- 30–40%
- 40–50%
- 0%
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 30,438 | 42.8 | |
Republican | Jimmy Crumpacker | 20,631 | 29.0 | |
Republican | John Di Paola | 11,486 | 16.1 | |
Republican | Laurel L. Roses | 6,321 | 8.9 | |
Republican | Madison Oatman | 1,863 | 2.6 | |
Republican | Write-in | 429 | 0.6 | |
Total votes | 71,168 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Tilt R (flip) | November 3, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Lean R (flip) | October 26, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Lean R (flip) | October 30, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Lean R (flip) | November 1, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Tossup | July 20, 2022 |
538[28] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Tossup | November 1, 2022 |
Endorsements
edit- State officials
- Kayse Jama, Oregon state senator from District 24[72]
- Barbara Roberts, former governor of Oregon[87]
- Local officials
- Mark Gamba, Mayor of Milwaukie (2015–present)[72]
- Labor unions
- American Federation of Teachers Oregon[78]
- International Longshore and Warehouse Union[78]
- Oregon Education Association[87]
- Oregon Federation of Nurses and Health Professionals[78]
- Oregon Nurses Association[78]
- Service Employees International Union Oregon State Council[19]
- United Food and Commercial Workers Local 555 (UFCW 555)[88]
- Organizations
- Clackamas County Democratic Party[89]
- Democracy for America[90]
- Deschutes County Democratic Party[91]
- Emily's List[92]
- Human Rights Campaign PAC[93]
- Indivisible[94]
- League of Conservation Voters[95]
- LGBTQ Victory Fund[96]
- Linn County Democratic Party[97]
- Marion County Democratic Party[98]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[61]
- Oregon Working Families Party[99]
- Progressive Change Campaign Committee[66]
- Progressive Democrats of America[37]
- Sierra Club[17]
- Sunrise Movement Eugene
- Sunrise Movement Portland
- Sunrise Movement Rural Oregon[100]
- Working Families Party[101]
- Newspapers
- Federal officials
- Elise Stefanik, U.S. Representative from New York's 21st congressional district[104]
- Organizations
- Elevate PAC[104]
- Maggie's List[105]
- Newspapers
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Jamie McLeod-Skinner (D) |
Lori Chavez-DeRemer (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D)[D] | September 1–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 38% | 21% |
Clout Research (R)[E] | August 15–18, 2022 | 410 (V) | ± 4.8% | 34% | 44% | 22% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] | June 1–2, 2022 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Global Strategy Group (D)[D] | September 1–8, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 41% | 42% | 17% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[D] | June 1–2, 2022 | 572 (V) | ± 4.1% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Lori Chavez-DeRemer | 178,813 | 50.91 | |||
Democratic | Jamie McLeod-Skinner | 171,514 | 48.83 | |||
Write-in | 906 | 0.26 | ||||
Total votes | 351,233 | 100.00 | ||||
Republican gain from Democratic |
District 6
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County results Salinas: 50–60% 60–70% Erickson: 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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The 6th district was created following the 2020 census.[2] It consists of Polk County and Yamhill County, in addition to portions of Marion County (including the state capital, Salem), Clackamas County, and Washington County.
Democratic primary
editCandidates
editNominee
editEliminated in primary
edit- Teresa Alonso Leon, state representative from the 22nd district[107]
- Ricky Barajas, perennial candidate[9]
- Carrick Flynn, former Oxford researcher on pandemic preparedness[108]
- Greg Goodwin[9]
- Kathleen Harder, chair of the Oregon Medical Board[50]
- Cody Reynolds, businessman and veteran[109]
- Loretta Smith, former Multnomah County commissioner[110]
- Matt West, engineer at Intel[106]
Withdrew
edit- Brian Hylland Jr.[111]
- Derry Jackson, former Portland Public Schools board member[106]
Declined
edit- Brian Clem, former state representative from the 21st district[51]
- Paul Evans, state representative from the 20th district and former mayor of Monmouth (running for re-election)[51]
Endorsements
edit- U.S. Senators
- Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[114]
- U.S. Governors
- Kate Brown, Governor of Oregon (2015–present)[115]
- U.S. House Representatives
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)[116]
- Organizations
- BOLD PAC[117]
- Giffords[118]
- League of Conservation Voters[119]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[61]
- Oregon Working Families Party[15]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[63]
- Sierra Club[17]
- Labor Unions
- Newspapers
- The Oregonian[120] (primary only)
- Willamette Week[103]
Polling
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Teresa Alonso Leon |
Carrick Flynn |
Kathleen Harder |
Cody Reynolds |
Andrea Salinas |
Loretta Smith |
Matt West |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D)[F] | May 2–3, 2022 | 591 (LV) | ± 4.0% | ≤9% | 14% | ≤9% | ≤9% | 18% | ≤9% | ≤9% | ≥23% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andrea Salinas | 26,101 | 37.0 | |
Democratic | Carrick Flynn | 13,052 | 18.5 | |
Democratic | Cody Reynolds | 7,951 | 11.3 | |
Democratic | Loretta Smith | 7,064 | 10.0 | |
Democratic | Matt West | 5,658 | 8.0 | |
Democratic | Kathleen Harder | 5,510 | 7.8 | |
Democratic | Teresa Alonso Leon | 4,626 | 6.6 | |
Democratic | Ricky Barajas | 292 | 0.4 | |
Democratic | Greg Goodwin | 217 | 0.3 | |
Total votes | 70,471 | 100.0 |
Republican primary
editCandidates
editNominee
edit- Mike Erickson, consultant and nominee for Oregon's 5th congressional district in 2006 and 2008[121]
Eliminated in primary
edit- Jim Bunn, former U.S. Representative for Oregon's 5th congressional district[9][122]
- Amy Ryan Courser, former Keizer city councilor and nominee for Oregon's 5th congressional district in 2020[123]
- Ron Noble, state representative from the 24th district[106]
- Angela Plowhead, clinical psychologist[106]
- David Russ, Mayor of Dundee[124]
- Nate Sandvig, U.S. Military Academy graduate[50]
Declined
edit- Tootie Smith, Clackamas County commissioner[51]
Endorsements
edit- Newspapers
- The Oregonian[120] (primary only)
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Mike Erickson | 21,675 | 34.9 | |
Republican | Ron Noble | 10,980 | 17.7 | |
Republican | Amy Ryan Courser | 10,176 | 16.4 | |
Republican | Angela Plowhead | 8,271 | 13.3 | |
Republican | Jim Bunn | 6,340 | 10.2 | |
Republican | David Russ | 2,398 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Nate Sandvig | 2,222 | 3.6 | |
Total votes | 62,062 | 100.0 |
General election
editPredictions
editSource | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[21] | Tossup | October 11, 2022 |
Inside Elections[22] | Tossup | October 21, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Lean D | September 29, 2022 |
Politico[24] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
RCP[25] | Tossup | October 16, 2022 |
Fox News[26] | Tossup | October 18, 2022 |
DDHQ[27] | Tossup | November 8, 2022 |
538[28] | Lean D | November 4, 2022 |
The Economist[29] | Lean D | October 4, 2022 |
Endorsements
edit- U.S. Senators
- Elizabeth Warren, United States Senator from Massachusetts (2013–present)[114]
- U.S. Governors
- Kate Brown, Governor of Oregon (2015–present)[115]
- U.S. House Representatives
- Pramila Jayapal, U.S. Representative from Washington's 7th congressional district (2017–present)[116]
- Organizations
- BOLD PAC[117]
- Giffords[118]
- League of Conservation Voters[119]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[61]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[63]
- Sierra Club[17]
- Labor Unions
- Newspapers
- The Oregonian[120] (primary only)
- Willamette Week[103]
Polling
edit- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Andrea Salinas (D) |
Mike Erickson (R) |
Undecided [f] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FiveThirtyEight | July 28 – October 5, 2022 | October 10, 2022 | 40.6% | 44.3% | 15.1% | Erickson +3.7 |
- Graphical summary
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Andrea Salinas (D) |
Mike Erickson (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GBAO (D)[G] | October 3–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 45% | 44% | 2%[g] | 9% |
Cygnal (R)[H] | September 29–30, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 39% | 44% | – | 17% |
Clout Research (R)[E] | August 14–19, 2022 | 409 (V) | ± 4.4% | 34% | 43% | – | 23% |
GBAO (D)[G] | August 10–14, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 45% | – | 7% |
Cygnal (R)[I] | July 26–28, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 40% | 47% | – | 13% |
RMG Research | June 4–9, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 46% | 43% | – | 11% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[a] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Change Research (D)[J] | October 19, 2022 | – | – | 42% | 41% | 17% |
GBAO (D)[G] | October 3–5, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | 48% | 8% |
Results
editParty | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Andrea Salinas | 147,156 | 49.99 | ||
Republican | Mike Erickson | 139,946 | 47.54 | ||
Constitution | Larry McFarland | 6,762 | 2.30 | ||
Write-in | 513 | 0.17 | |||
Total votes | 294,377 | 100.00 | |||
Democratic win (new seat) |
Notes
edit- ^ a b c d e f g h Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ co-nominated by Working Families Party of Oregon
- ^ co-nominated by Libertarian Party of Oregon
- ^ co-nominated by Oregon Progressive Party
- ^ Presumably; currently running for Oregon Bureau of Labor and Industries.[85][86]
- ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- ^ McFarland with 2%
- Partisan clients
- ^ Poll sponsored by Climate Hawks Vote, which supports Canning
- ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Skarlatos's campaign committee
- ^ Poll sponsored by McLeod-Skinner's campaign
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports McLeod-Skinner
- ^ a b Poll sponsored by the National Republican Congressional Committee
- ^ Poll sponsored by Salinas's campaign
- ^ a b c Poll sponsored by the Salinas campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored by Erickson's campaign
- ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Erickson's campaign committee
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC
References
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- ^ a b c Cegavske, Carisa (January 27, 2022). "New candidates emerge for Congressional District 4". The News-Review. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ a b Shumway, Julia (March 8, 2022). "Oregon primary elections for governor, Congress, other races are set". Oregon Capitol Chronicle. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ Cegavske, Carisa (March 20, 2022). "Jake Matthews talks about his run for Congressional District 4". The News-Review. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ Houston, Henry (February 17, 2022). "Selker the Science Guy". Eugene Weekly. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ a b c Radnovich, Connor (December 8, 2021). "Two Oregon state legislators headline primaries for new Congressional District 6". www.statesmanjournal.com. Statesman Journal. Retrieved December 8, 2021.
- ^ a b c d e f g Gonzales, Nathan (October 19, 2021). "Oregon ratings: Schrader faces choice of two districts, both favoring Democrats". Roll Call. Retrieved October 23, 2021.
- ^ a b Houston, Henry (December 3, 2021). "Succession in the 4th Congressional District". www.eugeneweekly.com. Eugene Weekly. Retrieved December 4, 2021.
- ^ Bradbury, Bill (May 11, 2022). "Doyle Canning is the best pick for the 4th Congressional District". The Register-Guard. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ "PDA Endorses Doyle Canning for Congress in Oregon's 4th District". pdamerica.org. Progressive Democrats of America. February 21, 2022. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
- ^ "DeFazio endorses Hoyle in 4th District race". Associated Press News. January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
- ^ a b Rupkalvis, David (May 23, 2022). "Hoyle, Skarlatos advance to congressional primary". www.yahoo.com. Yahoo!. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
- ^ "Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC Endorses Val Hoyle in OR-04". June 22, 2022. Retrieved December 16, 2022.
- ^ "EMILY's List Endorses Val Hoyle For Congress". EMILY's List. February 10, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ "Giffords Endorses Val Hoyle for the US House of Representatives". www.giffords.org. Giffords. May 4, 2022.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Endorses Val Hoyle for Congress". April 6, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ a b c d "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Six Candidates for Election to the U.S. House in Four Key States". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 19, 2022. Retrieved July 20, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates – NewDem Action Fund". newdemactionfund.com. Retrieved May 30, 2022.
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- ^ "Editorial endorsements May 2022: Vote for Val Hoyle as Democratic nominee in 4th Congressional District". The Oregonian. April 17, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
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- ^ a b Akin, Stephanie; Ackley, Kate; McIntire, Mary (April 28, 2022). "At the Races: Signs of red ahead". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved April 29, 2022.
- ^ "Alek Skarlatos announces another run for congress in 2022". KATU. May 4, 2021. Retrieved May 10, 2021.
- ^ "Uniting the Fourth – Eugene Weekly". eugeneweekly.com. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
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- ^ "FEC Form 2 for Report FEC-1517904". Retrieved October 24, 2021.
- ^ "Centrist Schrader ousted in Oregon primary". MSN. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e Warner, Gary A. (November 7, 2021). "Milwaukie mayor drops out to boost Kurt Schrader challenger". Pamplin Media Group. Retrieved November 7, 2021.
- ^ "Political Notes: Lesbian former Bay Area lawmaker McLeod-Skinner launches 2nd Oregon congressional bid". EBAR.
- ^ Ehrlich, April (November 6, 2021). "Oregon Congressman Kurt Schrader helped pass infrastructure plan, but still may oppose Build Back Better". Oregon Public Broadcasting. Retrieved November 7, 2021.
- ^ "President Joe Biden Endorses U.S. Rep. Kurt Schrader in Reelection Battle". wweek.com. April 23, 2022.
- ^ "DMFI PAC announces first slate of endorsements for the House of Representatives in the 2022 Midterm election cycle". DMFI PAC. January 31, 2022. Archived from the original on February 5, 2023. Retrieved September 8, 2023.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org. Archived from the original on December 20, 2021. Retrieved January 23, 2022.
- ^ a b c d e f "Labor unions drop Kurt Schrader and back Jamie McLeod-Skinner". Northwest Labor Press. April 30, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ a b "Editorial endorsements May 2022: Vote for Kurt Schrader and Jimmy Crumpacker in 5th Congressional District primaries". The Oregonian. April 17, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ "Lori Chavez-DeRember to run for Schrader's seat in Congress". Portland Tribune. Pamplin Media Group. Retrieved August 18, 2021.
- ^ a b "Tumalo businessman Crumpacker launches 2nd bid for Congress, in redrawn 5th District". KTVZ. January 25, 2022. Retrieved January 25, 2022.
- ^ Buchanan, Corey (February 3, 2022). "Wilsonville resident is running for U.S. Congress". pamplinmedia.com/wilsonville-spokesman-home. Wilsonville Spokesman. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
- ^ a b Warner, Gary (March 29, 2022). "Chavez-DeRemer wins GOP backing for Congress". West Linn Tidings. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ a b Wagner, Gary (October 9, 2021). "Potential candidates are bumper-to-bumper for 'Santiam Pass' seat in Congress". www.bendbulletin.com. The Bulletin. Retrieved October 10, 2021.
- ^ "Cheri Helt files to run for state Labor and Industries commissioner". www.ktvz.com. KTVZ. March 8, 2022. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
- ^ Warner, Gary (March 8, 2022). "Bend's Cheri Helt running for statewide Labor and Industries commissioner". www.bendbulletin.com. The Bulletin. Retrieved March 14, 2022.
- ^ a b "Political Notebook: Horde Running for Governor as Filing Deadline Looms". oregoncapitolinsider.com. February 26, 2022.
- ^ "Several unions now favor McLeod-Skinner in challenge to Kurt Schrader". nwlaborpress.org. March 2, 2022.
- ^ "Clackamas County Democratic Party endorse Jamie McLeod-Skinner". twitter.com/ClackamasDems.
- ^ "Democracy for America : Our Candidates". Democracy for America. Retrieved July 16, 2022.
- ^ "Elections in 2022". deschutesdemocrats.org.
- ^ "Emily's List endorses Jamie McLeod-Skinner in Oregon's 5th District race". oregonlive.com. January 7, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022.
- ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses 14 Pro-Equality Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". Human Rights Campaign. July 6, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ "Endorsed Candidate: Jamie McLeod-Skinner". indivisible.org.
- ^ "LCV Action Fund Announces Slate of New Endorsements for Congress". www.lcv.org. July 5, 2022.
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- ^ a b "Editorial: The Bulletin's editorial endorsements for the May primary". The Bend Bulletin. April 28, 2022. Retrieved October 4, 2022.
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- ^ a b c d e Stites, Sam (November 9, 2021). "Race for Oregon's new, sixth U.S. House seat comes into focus". Oregon Public Broadcasting. Retrieved November 9, 2021.
- ^ Borrud, Hillary (January 20, 2022). "Democratic lawmaker Teresa Alonso Leon will run for Oregon's new 6th congressional seat". The Oregonian. Retrieved January 20, 2022.
- ^ "Vernonia native enters congressional race in Sixth District Congress". Sherwood Gazette. Pamplin Media Group. Retrieved February 1, 2022.
- ^ "Cody Reynolds Announces Candidacy and Congressional Campaign in Oregon's 6th District". www.prnewswire.com. PR Newswire. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
- ^ Sparling, Zane (June 22, 2021). "Loretta Smith enters race for Oregon's new seat in Congress". Portland Tribune. Pamplin Media Group. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
- ^ "Brian Hylland Jr. FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 17, 2021.
- ^ "2022 Oregon Primary Election Voter's Guide". AFT-Oregon. March 25, 2022.
- ^ "2022 Endorsements". BerniePDX / Portland for Bernie. February 1, 2022.
- ^ a b c d Rodriquez, Sabrina (May 11, 2022). "Warren endorses in crowded Oregon primary". Politico. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
- ^ a b Rodriquez, Sabrina (April 17, 2022). "A slap in the face': House Dems' super PAC sparks Latino backlash". Politico. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
- ^ a b Schnell, Mychael (May 11, 2022). "Jayapal endorses six progressive House candidates". Politico. Retrieved May 11, 2022.
- ^ a b Akin, Stephanie (November 30, 2021). "Latino Democratic PAC looks to Oregon, Nebraska for 2022 pickup opportunities". www.rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
- ^ a b "Giffords PAC Endorses Slate of Gun Safety House Challengers". giffords.org. August 12, 2022.
- ^ a b "LCV Action Fund Endorses Andrea Salinas for Congress". www.lcv.org. January 27, 2022.
- ^ a b c "Editorial endorsements May 2022: Democrat Andrea Salinas, Republican Ron Noble are best picks in 6th Congressional District primaries". The Oregonian. April 17, 2022. Retrieved July 7, 2022.
- ^ Solomon, Mark (March 11, 2022). "Erickson, head of parcel consultancy AFMS, to run for Congress". FreightWaves. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ Aabram, Virginia (March 14, 2022). "1990s-era House member seeks comeback after second career as prison guard". The Denver Gazette. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- ^ Cappelletti, Joey (October 29, 2021). "Courser to run for Congress in Oregon's new 6th District". Keizertimes.
- ^ Allen, Gary (October 6, 2021). "Russ files to be first 6th Congressional District representative". The Newberg Graphic. Pamplin Media Group. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
- ^ "Small Businesses Endorse Mike Erickson for Oregon's 6th Congressional District". August 11, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ "RJC PAC Announces Next Round of 2022 Congressional Endorsements". Retrieved January 24, 2023.
- ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Mike Erickson for Oregon's 6th Congressional District". US Chamber of Commerce. October 26, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2023.
External links
edit- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates