Electoral history of Justin Trudeau

This article is the Electoral history of Justin Trudeau, the twenty-third and current Prime Minister of Canada. Trudeau has served as prime minister since November 5, 2015, having won three general elections.

A liberal, Trudeau was successful in his first general election as leader of the Liberal Party, which he defeated then-Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives in the general election of 2015 and formed a majority government. He was re-elected with a minority government in 2019 and again in 2021.

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times and was elected each time (2008, 2011, 2015, 2019, 2021).

Trudeau was elected leader of the Liberal Party in 2013, succeeding Michael Ignatieff, who retired from politics after losing the general election of 2011.

Summary

edit

Trudeau currently ranks tenth out of twenty-three prime ministers for time in office, being in office for 8 years, 360 days.[1]

Trudeau is the eighth prime minister from Quebec, the others being Sir John Abbott, Sir Wilfrid Laurier, Louis St. Laurent, Pierre Trudeau, Brian Mulroney, Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin. He is also the fifth francophone prime minister, the others being Laurier, St. Laurent, Pierre Trudeau, and Chretien.

Trudeau was first elected to the House of Commons in 2008, at age 36. The Liberals were in opposition after the 2008 and 2011 general elections. Under Liberal leader Stéphane Dion, Trudeau was the Liberal critic for Citizenship and Immigration, Youth and Multiculturalism. The next leader, Michael Ignatieff, appointed him critic for Sports and Post-Secondary Education.[1][2]

In the 2011 general election, the Liberals under the leadership of Ignatieff were reduced to third party status, their worst showing in history. Ignatieff lost his own seat and retired from politics. Trudeau announced he would seek the party leadership. In the 2013 vote, he won the leadership on the first ballot with 80% support.[2]

Trudeau led the Liberals in the general election of 2015. At dissolution, the Liberals were in third place in the Commons, behind the Conservative Party, which held a majority government, and the New Democratic Party, which formed the Official Opposition. Trudeau led the Liberals to a majority government, defeating both the Conservatives led by Stephen Harper and the New Democrats led by Thomas Mulcair. Trudeau's government was sworn in on November 4, 2015.

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times (in 2008, 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2021), each time from the riding of Papineau, in Montreal, Quebec. He has served in the House of Commons for 16 years, 15 days.[3]

Federal general elections: 2015 to 2021

edit

Trudeau led the Liberal Party in three general elections. He won three (2015, 2019 and 2021). He won a majority government in the 2015 election, and two minority governments in the 2019 and 2021 elections.

Federal general election: 2015

edit

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2015 election from third place in the House of Commons at dissolution to win a majority government, defeating incumbent Prime Minister Stephen Harper and the Conservatives.

Canadian Federal Election, 2015 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote
Party Leaders Seats Won Popular Vote
Liberal Justin Trudeau1 184 39.47%
Conservative Stephen Harper2 99 31.9%
  New Democratic Party Thomas Mulcair3 44 19.7%
Bloc Québécois Gilles Duceppe 10 4.7%
Green Elizabeth May 1 3.5%
Total 338 99.3%4
Sources: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867

1 Leader of a third party when election was called; Prime Minister after election.
2 Prime Minister when election was called; Member of Parliament after the election.
3 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; leader of a third party after the election.
4 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal general election: 2019

edit

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2019 election and was returned to office, but with a minority government. Andrew Scheer and the Conservatives won the popular vote.

Canadian Federal Election, 2019 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote
Party Leaders Seats Won Popular Vote
Liberal Justin Trudeau1 157 33.1%
Conservative Andrew Scheer2 121 34.4%
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 32 7.7%
  New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 24 15.9%
Green Elizabeth May 3 6.5%
  Independent 1 0.4%
Total 338 98.0%3
Sources: Elections Canada: October 21, 2019 Federal Election - Election Results

1 Prime Minister when election was called; Prime Minister after election.
2 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; Leader of the Opposition after the election.
3 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal general election: 2021

edit

Trudeau led the Liberals in the 2021 election and was returned to office, but with another minority government. Erin O'Toole and the Conservatives won the popular vote.

Canadian Federal Election, 2021 - Parties, Leaders, Seats Won and Popular Vote
Party Leaders Seats Won Popular Vote
Liberal Justin Trudeau1 160 32.6%
Conservative Erin O'Toole2 119 33.7%
Bloc Québécois Yves-François Blanchet 32 7.6%
  New Democratic Party Jagmeet Singh 25 17.8%
Green Annamie Paul 2 2.3%
Total 338 94.15%3
Sources:

1 Prime Minister when election was called; Prime Minister after election.
2 Leader of the Opposition when election was called; Leader of the Opposition after the election.
3 Table does not include parties which received votes but did not elect any members.

Federal constituency elections: 2008 to 2021

edit

Trudeau has stood for election to the House of Commons five times (in 2008, 2011, 2015, 2019 and 2021). He was elected all five times, each time from the riding of Papineau, in Montreal, Quebec.

2008 Federal Election: Papineau

edit
Federal Election, 2008: Papineau, Quebec
Party Candidate Popular Vote %
Liberal   Justin Trudeau 17,724 41.5%
Bloc Québécois X Vivian Barbot 16,535 38.7%
  New Democratic Party Costa Zafiropoulos 3,734 8.7%
Conservative Mustaque Sarker 3,262 7.6%
Green Ingrid Hein 1,213 2.8%
  Independent Mahmoud Raza Baig 267 0.6%
Total 42,735 99.9%1
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

  Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2011 Federal Election: Papineau

edit
Federal Election, 2011: Papineau, Quebec
Party Candidate Popular Vote %
Liberal   X Justin Trudeau 16,429 38.4%
  New Democratic Party Marcos Radomes Tejada 12,102 28.3%
Bloc Québécois Vivian Barbot 11,091 25.9%
Conservative Shama Chopra 2,021 4.7%
Green Danny Polifroni 806 1.9%
Marxist–Leninist Peter Macrisopoulos 228 0.5%
  Non-affiliated Joseph Young 95 0.2%
Total 42,772 99.9%1
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

  Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2015 Federal Election: Papineau

edit
Federal Election, 2015: Papineau, Quebec
Party Candidate Popular Vote %
Liberal   X Justin Trudeau 26,391 52.0%
  New Democratic Party Anne Lagacé Dowson 13,132 25.9%
Bloc Québécois Maxime Claveau 6,182 12.2%
Conservative Yvon Vadnais 2,390 4.7%
Green Danny Polifroni 1,443 2.8%
  Independent Chris Lloyd 505 1.0%
Rhinoceros Tommy Gaudet 323 0.6%
  Independent Kim Waldron 159 0.3%
Marxist–Leninist Peter Macrisopoulos 142 0.3%
  Non-affiliated Beverly Bernardo 103 0.2%
Total 50,770 100.0%
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

  Elected.
X Incumbent.

2019 Federal Election: Papineau

edit
Federal Election, 2019: Papineau, Quebec
Party Candidate Popular Vote %
Liberal   X Justin Trudeau 24,797 51.2%
New Democratic Christine Paré 9,135 18.9%
Bloc Québécois Christian Gagnon 7,722 15.9%
Green Juan Vazquez 3,673 7.6%
Conservative Sophie Veilleux 2,095 4.3%
Rhinoceros Jean-Patrick Cacereco Berthiaume 334 0.7%
People's Mark Sibthorpe 311 0.6%
Christian Heritage Susanne Lefebvre 184 0.4%
  No affiliation Luc Lupien 73 0.2%
  Independent Alain Magnan 73 0.2%
  No affiliation Steve Penner 54 0.1%
Total 48,451 100.1%1
Source: Library of Parliament – History of Federal Ridings since 1867: Papineau

  Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2021 Federal Election: Papineau

edit
Federal Election, 2021: Papineau, Quebec
Party Candidate Popular Vote %
Liberal   X Justin Trudeau 22,848 50.3%
New Democratic Christine Paré 10,303 22.6%
Bloc Québécois Nabila Ben Youssef 6,830 15.0%
Conservative Julio Rivera 2,198 4.8%
Green Alain Lepine 1,458 3.2%
People's Christian Boutin 1,064 2.3%
Rhinoceros Above Znoneofthe 418 0.9%
Marxist–Leninist Garnet Colly 115 0.3%
  Independent Raymond Martin 102 0.2%
  Independent Béatrice Zako 97 0.2%
Total 45,423 99.8%1
Source: Elections Canada - September 21, 2021 Federal Election - Election Results - Papineau

  Elected.
X Incumbent.
1 Rounding error.

2013 Liberal Party leadership election

edit

Following the 2011 general election, the leader of the Liberals, Michael Ignatieff, announced his retirement. Trudeau entered the leadership contest, which was held in April, 2013. The vote was based on the 308 Liberal riding associations, which each had 100 points. All members of the party had the right to vote in the election through their riding associations. The points for each riding association were allocated in proportion to the local vote.

Liberal Leadership Election, April 14, 2013
First and only ballot
Candidate Votes cast Points won
  Justin Trudeau 81,389 78.8% 24,668 80.1%
Joyce Murray 12,148 11.8% 3,130 10.2%
  Martha Hall Findlay 6,585 6.4% 1,760 5.7%
  Martin Cauchon 1,630 1.6% 815 2.6%
Deborah Coyne 833 0.8% 214 0.7%
  Karen McCrimmon 757 0.7% 210 0.7%
Total 103,342 100.1%1 30,797 100.0%
Sources: Huffington Post: Justin Trudeau Wins Liberal Leadership Race In Resounding Fashion;
Globe & Mail: Justin Trudeau elected Liberal leader in a landslide.

1 Rounding error.

See also

edit

References

edit
edit