2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

(Redirected from Janelle Stelson)

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the seventeen U.S. representatives from the State of Pennsylvania, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on April 23, 2024.

2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania

← 2022 November 5, 2024 2026 →

All 17 Pennsylvania seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 8 9
Seats won 10 7
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 2

     Democratic hold
     Republican hold      Republican gain

District 1

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2024 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Brian Fitzpatrick Ashley Ehasz
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 261,592 202,150
Percentage 56.4% 43.6%

 
County results
Fitzpatrick:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Brian Fitzpatrick
Republican

The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County.[1] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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  • Mark Houck, nonprofit ministry founder[4]

Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brian Fitzpatrick (R) $5,037,243 $2,632,212 $3,864,945.
Mark Houck (R) $169,985 $173,998 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Fitzpatrick—60–70%
  Fitzpatrick—50–60%
Republican primary results[15]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 45,052 61.5
Republican Mark Houck 28,180 38.5
Total votes 73,232 100.0

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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  • Ashley Ehasz, government affairs consultant and nominee for this district in 2022[16]

Endorsements

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Ashley Ehasz
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ashley Ehasz (D) $2,144,767 $819,009 $1,331,906
Source: Federal Election Commission[14]

Results

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Democratic primary results[31]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ashley Ehasz 68,489 100.0
Total votes 68,489 100.0

Libertarian Party

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Nominee

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General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Likely R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Likely R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Likely R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Likely R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Very Likely R November 16, 2023

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)
Ashley
Ehasz (D)
Undecided
Upswing Research & Strategy (D)[A] September 4–10, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 45% 5%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[B] September 7–9, 2024 400 (RV) ± 4.0% 54% 40% 6%
Upswing Research & Strategy (D)[A] June 12–16, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 45% 8%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[B] May 14-20, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.83% 51% 36% 13%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Grassroots Targeting (R)[B] May 14-20, 2024 1,200 (LV) ± 2.83% 49% 44% 7%

Results

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Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Brian Fitzpatrick (incumbent)
Democratic Ashley Ehasz
Libertarian Bradley Cooper
Total votes

District 2

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2024 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Brendan Boyle Haroon Bashir
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Brendan Boyle
Democratic



The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia.[1] It has a PVI of D+20 and voted for Joe Biden by 43% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Brendan Boyle, who was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Salem Snow
Organizations

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Brandon Boyle (D) $1,203,945 $332,305 $3,216,580
Salem Snow (D) $2,215 $1,163 $2,427
Source: Federal Election Commission[42]

Results

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Democratic primary results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) 43,997 100.0
Total votes 43,997 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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  • Haroon Bashir, accountant and nominee for this district in 2022[44]

Results

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Republican primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Haroon Bashir 9,748 100.0
Total votes 9,748 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent)
Republican Haroon Bashir
Total votes

District 3

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2024 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
   
Nominee Dwight Evans
Party Democratic

Incumbent U.S. Representative

Dwight Evans
Democratic



The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia.[1] It has a PVI of D+40 and voted for Joe Biden by 81% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Dwight Evans, who was re-elected with 95.1% of the vote against a third party candidate in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dwight Evans (D) $551,026 $401,481 $283,160
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

Results

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Democratic primary results[52]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent) 93,974 87.7
Democratic Tracey Gordon 13,169 12.3
Total votes 107,143 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dwight Evans (incumbent)
Total votes

District 4

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2024 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Madeleine Dean David Winkler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 269,103 186,506
Percentage 59.1% 40.9%

 
County results
Dean:      60–70%
Winkler:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Madeleine Dean
Democratic

The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The incumbent is Democrat Madeleine Dean, who was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Madeleine Dean (D) $773,111 $613,820 $864,186
Source: Federal Election Commission[58]

Results

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Democratic primary results[59]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) 78,235 100.0
Total votes 78,235 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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  • David Winkler, storage facility manager[60]

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Winkler (R) $17,975[b] $5,993 $4,750
Source: Federal Election Commission[58]

Results

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Republican primary results[61]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Winkler 43,625 100.0
Total votes 43,625 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent)
Republican David Winkler
Total votes

District 5

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2024 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Mary Gay Scanlon Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 265,474 141,396
Percentage 65.2% 34.8%

 
County results
Scanlon:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Mary Gay Scanlon
Democratic

The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The incumbent is Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who was re-elected with 65.1% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mary Gay Scanlon (D) $638,473 $528,852 $412,202
Source: Federal Election Commission[64]

Results

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Democratic primary results[65]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 70,068 100.0
Total votes 70,068 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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  • Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin, retired police officer[66]

Disqualifed

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  • Dasha Pruett, administrative assistant and nominee for this district in 2020[66][67]

Results

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Republican primary results[68]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin 37,361 100.0
Total votes 37,361 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent)
Republican Alfeia DeVaughn-Goodwin
Total votes

District 6

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2024 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Chrissy Houlahan Neil Young Jr.
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 235,551 183,622
Percentage 56.2% 43.8%

 
County results
Houlahan:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chrissy Houlahan
Democratic

The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The incumbent is Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who was re-elected with 58.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chrissy Houlahan (D) $1,172,325 $489,737 $3,640,282
Source: Federal Election Commission[72]

Results

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Democratic primary results[73]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 58,552 100.0
Total votes 58,552 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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  • Neil Young Jr., teacher[44]

Results

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Republican primary results[74]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Neil Young Jr. 45,072 100.0
Total votes 45,072 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent)
Republican Neil Young Jr.
Total votes

District 7

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2024 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Ryan Mackenzie Susan Wild
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 200,933 195,961
Percentage 50.6% 49.4%

 
County results
Mackenzie:      60-70%
Wild:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Susan Wild
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Ryan Mackenzie
Republican

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County.[1] It has a PVI of R+2 and voted for Joe Biden by 0.6% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Susan Wild, who was re-elected with 51.0% of the vote in 2022.[2] Wild conceded the 2024 race to Mackenzie at 10:00pm on election day, despite the race being considered "too close to call" by some media sources.[75]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Susan Wild (D) $5,065,280 $1,263,749 $3,855,492
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

Results

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Democratic primary results[93]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) 55,259 100.0
Total votes 55,259 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Eliminated in primary

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Withdrawn

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  • Allen Issa, law student and former intern for U.S. Representative Darrell Issa (endorsed Montero)[97]

Declined

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Endorsements

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Kevin Dellicker
U.S. Representatives
Ryan Mackenzie
Maria Montero
Individuals

Debates and forums

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2024 PA-7 Republican primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Dellicker Mackenzie Montero
1[106] February 28, 2024 Business Matters Tony Iannelli Part 1
Part 2
P P P
2 March 4, 2024 Leighton 912 Project Kim Bell YouTube P P P

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Kevin Dellicker (R) $524,286 $514,550 $11,248
Ryan Mackenzie (R) $746,824 $373,568 $373,255
Maria Montero (R) $251,490 $250,741 $748
Source: Federal Election Commission[92]

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Mackenzie—50–60%
  Mackenzie—40–50%
  Mackenzie—30–40%
Republican primary results[107]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ryan Mackenzie 23,557 42.6
Republican Kevin Dellicker 18,835 34.0
Republican Maria Montero 12,952 23.4
Total votes 55,344 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Tossup December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Lean D October 24, 2024
Elections Daily[36] Lean D November 4, 2024
CNalysis[37] Tilt D August 18, 2024

Debates

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2024 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Mackenzie Wild
1 September 15, 2024 Blue Ridge Cable Kim Bell YouTube P P
2 September 16, 2024 Business Matters Tony Iannelli Part 1
Part 2
P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Susan
Wild (D)
Ryan
Mackenzie (R)
Undecided
Muhlenberg College[C] September 30 – October 3, 2024 459 (LV) ± 6.0% 51% 45% 4%[c]
Change Research (D)[D] September 16–23, 2024 592 (LV) 47% 43% 9%
Change Research (D)[D] August 10–17, 2024 406 (LV) ± 2.2% 47% 43% 9%
Tarrance Group (R)[E] July 21–24, 2024 404 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 45% 8%

Results

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Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent)
Republican Ryan Mackenzie
Total votes

District 8

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2024 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Rob Bresnahan Matt Cartwright
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 193,407 186,294
Percentage 50.9% 49.1%

 
county results
Bresnahan:      50-60%      60-70%
Cartwright:      50-60%

U.S. Representative before election

Matt Cartwright
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Bresnahan
Republican

The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties.[1] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Matt Cartwright, who was re-elected with 51.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Matt Cartwright (D) $5,655,991 $1,169,837 $4,538,773
Source: Federal Election Commission[111]

Results

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Democratic primary results[112]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) 58,573 100.0
Total votes 58,573 100.0

Republican primary

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Nominee

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  • Rob Bresnahan Jr., construction company CEO[113]

Endorsements

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Rob Bresnahan Jr

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rob Bresnahan (R) $2,561,590 $1,336,326 $1,225,264
Source: Federal Election Commission[111]

Results

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Republican primary results[121]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Bresnahan Jr. 42,365 100.0
Total votes 42,365 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Tossup December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Tilt D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Lean D November 4, 2024
Elections Daily[36] Lean D November 4, 2024
CNalysis[37] Tilt D November 16, 2023
2024 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Bresnahan Cartwright
1 October 22, 2024 WVIA-TV Tracey Matisak C-SPAN P P

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Rob
Bresnahan Jr. (R)
Undecided
Noble Predictive Insights[F] October 23-25, 2024 406 (LV) ± 4.9% 50% 43% 7%
Hypothetical polling
Matt Carwright vs. different candidate
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Different
candidate
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[G] July 24–25, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 39% 51% 10%
Matt Cartwright vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Matt
Cartwright (D)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Cygnal (R)[G] July 24–25, 2023 400 (LV) ± 4.89% 44.6% 44.6% 10.8%

Results

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Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent)
Republican Rob Bresnahan Jr.
Total votes

District 9

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2024 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Dan Meuser Amanda Waldman
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 276,231 115,529
Percentage 70.5% 29.5%

 
County results
Meuser:      60-70%      70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Dan Meuser
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Dan Meuser
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Dan Meuser who was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Dan Meuser (R) $1,259,787 $1,190,016 $173,621
Source: Federal Election Commission[122]

Results

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Republican primary results[123]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) 77,943 100.0
Total votes 77,943 100.0

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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  • Amanda Waldman, Medicare financial representative and nominee for this district in 2022[124]

Results

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Democratic primary results[125]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Amanda Waldman 34,851 100.0
Total votes 34,851 100.0

General election

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Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent)
Democratic Amanda Waldman
Total votes

District 10

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2024 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Scott Perry Janelle Stelson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 205,225 199,990
Percentage 50.6% 49.4%

 
County results
Perry:      50–60%
Stelson:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Scott Perry
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Perry
Republican

The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County.[1] It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Scott Perry, who was re-elected with 53.8% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Scott Perry (R) $3,545,992 $3,002,273 $716,837
Source: Federal Election Commission[128]

Results

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Republican primary results[129]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 61,596 100.0
Total votes 61,596 100.0

Democratic primary

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Nominee

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  • Janelle Stelson, former WGAL news anchor[130]

Eliminated in primary

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Withdrew

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Failed to qualify

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  • William Lillich, former truck driver[137]

Endorsements

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Blake Lynch
Mike O'Brien
Janelle Stelson
U.S. representatives
Organizations
Labor unions

Debates and forums

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2022 PA-10 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Broadhurst Coplen Daniels Forbes Lillich Lynch O'Brien Stelson
1[148][149] January 13, 2024 Dauphin County Democratic Party P P P P P P P P
2[150] March 6, 2024 WHTM abc27 Dennis Owens abc27 P P P W N P P P
3[151] March 10, 2024 Capital Region Stands Up Dennis Owens & Cate Barron P P P W N P P A
4[152] March 25, 2024 PennLive Berwood Yost P P P W N P P P
5 April 9, 2024 WGAL-TV Tom Lehman & Katelyn Smith WGAL P P P W N P P P

Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike O'Brien (D) $791,228 $789,322 $1,906
Janelle Stelson (D) $4,773,496 $3,399,353 $1,374,142
Rick Coplen (D) $63,196 $54,859 $8,336
Blake Lynch (D) $54,483 $32,593 $21,889
Shamaine Daniels (D) $81,033 $81,113 $1,518
John Broadhurst (D) $10,615 $1,451 $9,163
Source: Federal Election Commission[128]

Polling

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Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Rick
Coplen
Shamaine
Daniels
Blake
Lynch
Mike
O'Brien
Janelle
Stelson
Undecided
Normington Petts[H] February 26–28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 3% 16% 5% 9% 36% 31%
Public Policy Polling (D)[H] October 16–17, 2023 547 (LV) ± 4.2% 3% 20% 3% 3% 33% 38%

Results

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Primary results by county:
  Stelson—30–40%
  Stelson—40–50%
  Stelson—50–60%
Democratic primary results[153]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Janelle Stelson 26,591 43.8
Democratic Mike O'Brien 14,103 23.3
Democratic Shamaine Daniels 8,773 14.5
Democratic Rick Coplen 5,464 9.0
Democratic Blake Lynch 3,388 5.6
Democratic John Broadhurst 2,322 3.8
Total votes 60,641 100.0

General election

edit

Debate

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2024 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Scott Perry Janelle Stelson
1 Oct. 8, 2024 WHTM-TV Dennis Owens WHTM-TV P P

Predictions

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Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[154] Tossup October 18, 2024
Inside Elections[34] Tilt R September 12, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Lean R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2024
CNalysis[37] Tilt D (flip) November 4, 2024

Post-primary endorsements

edit
Janelle Stelson (D)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Scott
Perry
Janelle
Stelson
Undecided
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) October 4–7, 2024 300 (LV) ± 5.0% 39% 48% 13%
Upswing Research (D)[I] July 30 – August 2, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 48% 5%
Franklin & Marshall College May 28 – June 2, 2024 397 (RV) ± 6.1% 45% 44% 11%
Normington Petts (D)[H] May 21–23, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 51% 48% 1%
Public Policy Polling (D)[H] April 24–25, 2024 532 (V) ± 4.3% 45% 43% 12%

Results

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Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) 205,186 50.7
Democratic Janelle Stelson 199,862 49.3
Total votes 100[160]

District 11

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2024 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Lloyd Smucker Jim Atkinson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 253,671 149,640
Percentage 62.9% 37.1%

 
County results
Smucker:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Lloyd Smucker
Republican

The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County.[1] It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Lloyd Smucker, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

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Nominee

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Endorsements

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Fundraising

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Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Lloyd Smucker (R) $1,372,075 $749,344 $1,502,555
Source: Federal Election Commission[161]

Results

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Republican primary results[162]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) 68,039 100.0
Total votes 68,039 100.0

Democratic primary

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Nominee

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
David Baker (D) $7,230 $7,011 $219
James Atkinson (D) $8,566 $7,081 $1,485
Source: Federal Election Commission[161]

Results

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Democratic primary results[164]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Atkinson 38,559 100.0
Total votes 38,559 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

edit
Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent)
Democratic Jim Atkinson
Total votes

District 12

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2024 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Summer Lee James Hayes
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 234,330 181,226
Percentage 56.4% 43.6%

 
County results
Lee:      60–70%
Hayes:      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Summer Lee
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Summer Lee
Democratic

The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Summer Lee, who was elected with 56.2% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Eliminated in primary

edit
  • Bhavini Patel, Edgewood borough councilor and candidate for this district in 2022[166]

Withdrawn

edit

Declined

edit

Endorsements

edit
Summer Lee
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Labor unions

Debates and forums

edit
2024 PA-12 Democratic primary debates and forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Lee MacDonald Patel
1[192] January 28, 2024 Carnegie Mellon University Chris Potter, Avalon Sueiro, Heidi Norman P P P
2[193] April 4, 2024 WPXI-TV Lisa Sylvester P W P


Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Summer Lee (D) $2,695,289 $1,760,654 $959,001
Bhavini Patel (D) $700,471 $667,405 $53,645
Source: Federal Election Commission[194]

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[195]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Summer Lee (incumbent) 64,594 60.65
Democratic Bhavini Patel 41,902 39.35
Total votes 106,496 100.0

Republican primary

edit

Nominee

edit
  • James Hayes, manufacturing executive[196]

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
James Hayes (R) $85,846 $69,739 $16,106
Source: Federal Election Commission[194]

Results

edit
Republican primary results[197]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican James Hayes 34,759 100.0
Total votes 34,759 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid D December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid D November 16, 2023

Results

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Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Summer Lee (incumbent)
Republican James Hayes
Total votes

District 13

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2024 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee John Joyce Beth Farnham
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 301,316 104,658
Percentage 74.2% 25.8%

 
County results
Joyce:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

John Joyce
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

TBD

The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg.[1] It has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican John Joyce, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

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Nominee

edit

Endorsements

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
John Joyce (R) $1,786,992 $978,413 $2,620,748
Source: Federal Election Commission[199]

Results

edit
Republican primary results[200]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) 82,675 100.0
Total votes 82,675 100.0

Democratic primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Endorsements

edit
Beth Farnham

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[202]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beth Farnham 32,568 100.0
Total votes 32,568 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

edit
Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Joyce (incumbent)
Democratic Beth Farnham
Total votes

District 14

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2024 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Guy Reschenthaler Chris Dziados
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 267,802 134,405
Percentage 66.6% 33.4%

 
County results
Reschenthaler:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Guy Reschenthaler
Republican

The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County.[1] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who was re-elected unopposed in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Endorsement

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Guy Reschenthaler (R) $2,619,183 $2,238,03 $885,645
Source: Federal Election Commission[204]

Results

edit
Republican primary results[205]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) 63,162 100.0
Total votes 63,162 100.0

Democratic primary

edit

Nominee

edit
  • Chris Dziados, defense policy advisor[206]

Eliminated in primary

edit

Endorsements

edit
Ken Bach
Organizations

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of December 31, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Ken Bach (D) $2,020 $0 $2,020
Source: Federal Election Commission[204]

Results

edit
 
Primary results by county:
  Dziados—90–100%
  Dziados—80–90%
  Bach—50–60%
  Bach—60–70%
  Bach—70–80%

Dziados won the western part of the district, securing landslide results in the Washington and Greene counties. In contrast, Bach performed well in the eastern part, recording his best performance in the portion of Westmoreland County.

Democratic primary results[208]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Dziados 29,268 51.8
Democratic Ken Bach 27,193 48.2
Total votes 56,461 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

edit
Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent)
Democratic Chris Dziados
Total votes

District 15

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2024 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Glenn Thompson Zacheray Womer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 278,967 111,372
Percentage 71.5% 28.5%

 
County results
Thompson:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%      80-90%

U.S. Representative before election

Glenn Thompson
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Glenn Thompson
Republican

The incumbent is Republican Glenn Thompson, who was re-elected with 69.9% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Endorsements

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Glenn Thompson (R) $2,334,055 $1,810,637 $877,193
Source: Federal Election Commission[209]

Results

edit
Republican primary results[210]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) 75,645 100.0
Total votes 75,645 100.0

Democratic primary

edit

Nominee

edit
  • Zacheray Womer, law student[211]

Endorsements

edit
Zacheray Womer

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[212]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Zacheray Womer 35,574 100.0
Total votes 35,574 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

edit
Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent)
Democratic Zacheray Womer
Total votes

District 16

edit
2024 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Mike Kelly Preston Nouri
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 256,349 146,123
Percentage 63.7% 36.3%

 
County results
Kelly:      50-60%      60-70%      70-80%

U.S. Representative before election

Mike Kelly
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Mike Kelly
Republican

The 16th district is located in Northwestern Pennsylvania, and contains all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence and Butler counties, and part of Venango County.[1] It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 18% in 2020. The incumbent is Republican Mike Kelly, who was re-elected with 59.4% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Republican primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Disqualified

edit
  • Tim Kramer, tax preparation nonprofit executive[214]

Endorsements

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Mike Kelly (R) $1,164,674 $647,760 $1,416,120
Tim Kramer (R)[d] $14,250 $14,162 $87
Source: Federal Election Commission[215]

Results

edit
Republican primary results[216]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) 60,255 100.0
Total votes 60,255 100.0

Democratic primary

edit

Nominee

edit
  • Preston Nouri, legislative analyst and former congressional aide[217]

Endorsements

edit
Preston Nouri
Labor unions

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Preston Nouri (D) $411,927[e] $324,603 $87,323
Source: Federal Election Commission[215]

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[218]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Preston Nouri 49,283 100.0
Total votes 49,283 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Solid R December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Solid R December 15, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Safe R September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Safe R February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Solid R November 16, 2023

Results

edit
Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent)
Democratic Preston Nouri
Total votes

District 17

edit
2024 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election
 
← 2022
2026 →
     
Nominee Chris Deluzio Rob Mercuri
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 242,566 207,752
Percentage 53.9% 46.1%

 
County results
Deluzio:      50–60%
Mercuri:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Chris Deluzio
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Chris Deluzio
Democratic

The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County.[1] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6% in 2020. The incumbent is Democrat Chris Deluzio, who was elected with 53.4% of the vote in 2022.[2]

Democratic primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Endorsements

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Chris Deluzio (D) $2,990,955 $1,141,546 $1,871,536
Source: Federal Election Commission[221]

Results

edit
Democratic primary results[222]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Deluzio (incumbent) 85,265 100.0
Total votes 85,265 100.0

Republican primary

edit

Nominee

edit

Withdrawn

edit

Declined

edit

Endorsements

edit

Fundraising

edit
Campaign finance reports as of July 31, 2024
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Rob Mercuri (R) $1,095,445 $294,186 $801,258
Jim Nelson (R)[d] $46,085 $46,085 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[221]

Results

edit
Republican primary results[227]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Mercuri 46,974 100.0
Total votes 46,974 100.0

General election

edit

Predictions

edit
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Lean D December 12, 2023
Inside Elections[34] Likely D September 12, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Lean D September 7, 2023
Elections Daily[36] Likely D February 5, 2024
CNalysis[37] Likely D November 16, 2023

Polling

edit
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Chris
Deluzio (D)
Rob
Mercuri (R)
Undecided
Change Research (D)[D] September 16–23, 2024 495 (LV) 46% 42% 12%
Change Research (D)[D] August 10–17, 2024 543 (LV) ± 2.2% 48% 40% 12%

Results

edit
Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, 2024
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chris Deluzio (incumbent)
Republican Rob Mercuri
Total votes

Notes

edit
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ $13,600 of this total was self-funded by Winkler
  3. ^ "Neither/Other" with 1%
  4. ^ a b Withdrawn candidate
  5. ^ $20,000 of this total was self-funded by Nouri
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Ehasz's campaign
  2. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Fitzpatrick's campaign
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by The Morning Call
  4. ^ a b c d Poll sponsored by Future Majority PAC
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Mackenzie's campaign
  6. ^ Poll sponsored by Inside Elections
  7. ^ a b Poll sponsored by the Congressional Leadership Fund, which supports Republican candidates
  8. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for Stelson's campaign
  9. ^ Poll conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee

References

edit
  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Congressional Districts Map Proposals". Governor of Pennsylvania. Retrieved May 28, 2022. On February 23, 2022, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court selected a new congressional districts map for the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q "2022 National House Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 3, 2024.
  3. ^ Ulrich, Steven (April 13, 2023). "PA-01: Ready To Run, Fitzpatrick Raises Over $685K In Q1". PoliticsPA.
  4. ^ Sofield, Tom (August 3, 2023). "Upper Bucks County Anti-Abortion Advocate Jumps In Congressional Race". New Hope Free Press. Retrieved August 3, 2023.
  5. ^ {{Cite web|url=https://www.pressherald.com/2024/06/27/angus-king-jared-golden-called-centrists-who-deserve-reelection/%7Ctitle=Sen. Joe Manchin donates to King, Golden reelection campaigns|first=Steve|last=Collins|website=Portland Press Herald|date=June 27, 2024|access-date=October 30, 2024
  6. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "AIPAC Political Portal". candidates.aipacpac.org. Retrieved May 13, 2024.
  7. ^ Shutt, Jennifer (May 14, 2024). "DC BUREAU GOVERNMENT & POLITICS New list rates the most bipartisan members of Congress—and the least". Pennsylvania Capital-Star. Retrieved May 16, 2024.
  8. ^ a b c d e f g h i "2024 Endorsements". 2024 Endorsements. Retrieved February 16, 2024.
  9. ^ "2024 Endorsed Candidates". Log Cabin Republicans. Retrieved April 4, 2024.
  10. ^ America, Pro Israel (January 9, 2024). "Pro-Israel America Re-Launches with New Mission, Leadership, and Endorsements". Pro Israel America. Retrieved January 31, 2024.
  11. ^ "U.S. Chamber Endorses Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District". U.S. Chamber of Commerce. April 15, 2024.
  12. ^ a b "AFA Endorsed Candidates for 2024 Election". Association of Flight Attendants-CWA. Retrieved April 29, 2024.
  13. ^ a b c d e f g h i j "Our Recommended Candidates". Education Votes. Retrieved February 14, 2024.
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  15. ^ "Pennsylvania Elections". Pennsylvania Department of State. Retrieved May 4, 2024.
  16. ^ Terruso, Julia (April 6, 2023). "Ashley Ehasz is running for Congress again, setting up a 2024 rematch with Brian Fitzpatrick". The Philadelphia Inquirer.
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  20. ^ "EMILYs List Endorses Ashley Ehasz for Election to Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District". EMILY's List. February 22, 2024.
  21. ^ "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Slate of Congressional Candidates". End Citizens United | We the People, Not "We the Wealthy". February 22, 2024. Retrieved February 23, 2024.
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  23. ^ a b c d e "Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus. Retrieved February 22, 2024.
  24. ^ Cohen, Max. "New Dems get involved in key primaries". Punchbowl News. Retrieved February 20, 2024.
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  26. ^ "New Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsements: We Can Flip The House By Electing These Reproductive Rights Champions in 2024". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved February 15, 2024.
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  49. ^ "PAC Endorsements – PASNAP – Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals". October 29, 2022. Retrieved March 18, 2024.
  50. ^ "Dwight Evans in the Democratic primary for 3rd Congressional District | Endorsement". The Philadelphia Inquirer. April 9, 2024. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
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