Wikipedia

Kalutara Polling Division

The Kalutara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Kalutara
Polling Division
Location of Kalutara
Coordinates: 6°37′04″N 79°58′03″E / 6.617818°N 79.967553°E / 6.617818; 79.967553
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total80.72 km2 (31.17 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total159,697
 • Density1,978/km2 (5,120/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03F

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kalutara has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kalutara is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kalutara Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.54% SLPP 7.30%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.93% NDF 3.94%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.61% UPFA 4.28%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.60% UPFA 6.73%
1999 PA PA 0.37% PA 2.07%
1994 PA PA 0.45% PA 0.48%
1988 UNP SLFP 1.58% UNP 2.54%
1982 UNP UNP 1.01% UNP 3.72%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 0.89% 8/8 3.88%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 59,796 59.82% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 34,076 34.09% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 4,034 4.04% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,059 2.06% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 99,965 99.14% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 870 0.86% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 100,835 84.36% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 119,526 955,080 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 48,851 51.78% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 44,804 47.49% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 687 0.73% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 94,342 99.05% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 905 0.95% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 95,247 80.77% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 117,931 926,346 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,330 62.53% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 29,719 36.21% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,036 1.26% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 82,085 99.30% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 581 0.70% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 82,666 77.35% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 106,878 833,360 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,143 57.19% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 32,916 41.70% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 871 1.10% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 78,930 98.99% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 808 1.01% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 79,738 78.16% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 102,020 781,175 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,751 53.03% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,131 40.25% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,369 5.00% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,162 1.72% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 67,413 97.77% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,540 2.23% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 68,953 76.00% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 90,723 694,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,490 61.97% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 22,209 36.71% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 794 1.31% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 60,493 98.49% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 929 1.51% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 61,422 71.06% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 86,437 660,191 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,551 47.44% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 22,425 47.18% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 2,559 5.38% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 47,535 97.62% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 1,161 2.38% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 48,696 64.15% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 75,912 575,008 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kalutara[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,167 49.07% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 22,992 43.12% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,306 4.32% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 1,707 3.20% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 151 0.28% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 53,323 98.87% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 612 1.13% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 53,935 83.05% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 64,944 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kalutara has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kalutara is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kalutara Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.29% UNP 2.14%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.92% UPFA 2.18%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.99% UPFA 3.89%
2001 UNP UNP 0.74% UNP 1.56%
2000 PA PA 1.30% PA 0.90%
1994 PA PA 0.36% PA 2.84%
1989 UNP UNP 3.13% UNP 4.11%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.25% 7/7 2.52%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,837 46.78% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 39,525 45.28% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 5,775 6.62% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,153 1.32% 9,951 1.43% 85,579 0.77%
Valid Votes 87,290 97.28% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,425 2.70% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 89,730 76.09% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 117,931 897,349 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,300 62.81% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,838 27.61% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,584 9.16% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 253 0.41% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 60,975 90.91% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,056 9.03% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 67,070 62.75% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 106,878 835,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,958 52.10% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 26,255 36.04% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 8,324 11.43% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 317 0.44% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 72,854 95.08% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,766 4.92% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 76,620 76.67% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 99,940 746,138 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,344 45.30% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 28,693 40.18% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 8,768 12.28% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 864 1.21% 7,258 1.31% 86,426 0.97%
SU 736 1.03% 5,103 0.92% 50,665 0.57%
Valid Votes 71,405 94.81% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,911 5.19% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 75,316 78.70% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 95,698 717,764 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 31,469 45.50% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 26,641 38.52% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 5,516 7.97% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 2,464 3.56% 11,943 2.19% 185,593 2.16%
SU 2,428 3.51% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 651 0.94% 6,193 1.14% 136,137 1.58%
Valid Votes 69,169 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,349 53.93% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 27,482 43.15% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 1,107 1.74% 6,238 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
MEP 727 1.14% 5,914 1.17% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 27 0.04% 339 0.07% 813 0.01%
Valid Votes 63,692 95.46% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,029 4.54% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 66,721 77.19% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 86,437 661,793 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kalutara[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,840 46.77% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 14,374 37.69% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 3,311 8.68% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
SLMC 2,248 5.89% 12,971 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 369 0.97% 4,301 1.34% 158,203 2.83%
Valid Votes 38,142 94.06% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,407 5.94% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 40,549 54.82% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 73,971 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Kalutara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Kalutara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%)[1]

Ethnicity in Kalutara[1]

  Sinhalese (90.7%)
  Moor (7.8%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (1.1%)
  Other (0.4%)

Religion

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The Kalutara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (84.5%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Kalutara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%)[1]

Religion in Kalutara[1]

  Buddhist (84.5%)
  Muslim (7.8%)
  Roman Catholic (6.1%)
  Other (1.5%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kalutara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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