Wikipedia

Katana Polling Division

The Katana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Gampaha Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Katana
Polling Division
Location of Katana
Coordinates: 7°11′15″N 79°53′08″E / 7.187372°N 79.885450°E / 7.187372; 79.885450
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictGampaha Electoral District
Area
 • Total
111.44 km2 (43.03 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
235,291
 • Density2,111/km2 (5,470/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-02C

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Katana has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Katana is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Katana Gampaha Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.94% SLPP 6.05%
2015 NDF NDF 1.64% NDF 0.23%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.61% UPFA 1.75%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.51% UPFA 3.79%
1999 PA PA 2.52% PA 7.40%
1994 PA PA 1.96% PA 0.41%
1988 UNP SLFP 3.30% UNP 0.54%
1982 UNP UNP 0.28% UNP 2.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 1.60% 8/8 2.78%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[4] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 71,565 58.10% 855,870 59.28% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 43,053 34.95% 494,671 34.26% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,343 4.34% 61,760 4.28% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,844 1.50% 20,227 1.40% 295,797 2.23%
NPP 1,375 1.12% 11,272 0.78% 49,655 0.37%
Valid Votes 123,180 98.57% 1,443,800 98.92% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,786 1.43% 15,751 1.08% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 124,966 81.44% 1,459,551 83.31% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 153,448 1,751,892 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[5] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 58,507 51.49% 669,007 49.83% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 54,355 47.83% 664,347 49.49% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 773 0.68% 9,142 0.68% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 113,635 98.69% 1,342,496 98.92% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,505 1.31% 14,647 1.08% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 115,140 80.02% 1,357,143 80.77% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 143,885 1,680,263 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[6] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 59,558 60.04% 718,716 61.66% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 38,605 38.92% 434,506 37.28% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,034 1.04% 12,426 1.07% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 99,197 99.23% 1,165,648 99.24% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 767 0.77% 8,960 0.76% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 99,964 78.45% 1,174,608 78.03% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 127,421 1,505,363 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[7] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 49,095 54.23% 596,698 54.78% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 40,473 44.71% 481,764 44.23% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 960 1.06% 10,815 0.99% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 90,528 98.93% 1,089,277 98.94% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 977 1.07% 11,724 1.06% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 91,505 79.85% 1,101,001 79.17% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 114,595 1,390,691 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[8] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 45,607 59.82% 532,796 56.58% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 27,389 35.93% 353,969 37.59% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,224 2.92% 40,472 4.30% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,015 1.33% 14,382 1.53% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 76,235 98.01% 941,619 97.84% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,545 1.99% 20,768 2.16% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 77,780 77.51% 962,387 77.12% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 100,352 1,247,860 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[9] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 42,916 62.83% 550,654 64.74% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 24,637 36.07% 288,608 33.93% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 750 1.10% 11,256 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 68,303 98.75% 850,518 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 864 1.25% 13,137 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 69,167 75.16% 863,655 74.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 92,027 1,164,625 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[10] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,760 51.20% 350,092 48.08% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 25,379 45.18% 355,553 48.83% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 2,036 3.62% 22,467 3.09% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 56,175 98.56% 728,112 98.63% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 822 1.44% 10,108 1.37% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 56,997 74.55% 738,220 74.93% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 76,452 985,206 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Katana[11] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,504 52.63% 365,847 52.50% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 22,027 43.74% 301,808 43.31% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,356 2.69% 23,701 3.40% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 474 0.94% 5,491 0.79% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 50,361 99.14% 696,847 99.15% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 437 0.86% 5,992 0.85% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 50,798 83.88% 702,839 82.70% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 60,560 849,896 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Katana has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Katana is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Katana Gampaha Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.19% UNP 2.21%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.25% UPFA 1.90%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.09% UPFA 3.37%
2001 PA UNP 2.97% UNP 5.42%
2000 PA PA 2.99% PA 4.65%
1994 PA PA 0.39% PA 5.13%
1989 UNP UNP 0.64% UNP 4.30%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 7/7 1.36% 7/7 3.85%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[14] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
 
 SLPFA 70,062 66.61% 807,896 65.76% 6,853,693 59.09%
 
 SJB 25,055 23.82% 285,809 23.27% 2,771,984 23.9%
 
 JJB 5,041 4.79% 61,833 5.03% 445,958 3.84%
 
 UNP 1,775 1.69% 28,282 2.3% 249,435 2.15%
 
 OPPP 1,510 1.44% 21,627 1.76% 67,766 0.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,743 1.65% 23,027 1.88% 1,160,093 10.44%
Valid Votes 105,186 67.3% 1,228,474 68.78% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 7,234 4,63% 75,509 4.23% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 112,420 71.93% 1,303,983 73.01% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 156,287 1,785,964 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[15] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 50,393 48.85% 577,004 47.17% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 45,582 44.18% 549,958 44.96% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 6,662 6.46% 87,880 7.18% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 530 0.51% 8,332 0.68% 81,501 0.73%
Valid Votes 103,167 94.82% 1,223,174 95.51% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 5,522 5.08% 56,246 4.39% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 108,802 75.62% 1,280,647 78.21% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 143,885 1,637,537 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[16] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 49,766 63.33% 589,476 63.40% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 22,919 29.17% 266,523 28.67% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,228 6.65% 69,747 7.50% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 667 0.85% 3,985 0.43% 19,003 0.24%
Valid Votes 78,580 93.97% 929,731 94.83% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,021 6.00% 50,234 5.12% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 83,621 65.63% 980,467 65.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 127,421 1,506,969 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[17] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,823 51.53% 509,963 51.52% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 31,919 39.33% 367,572 37.14% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 6,254 7.71% 102,516 10.36% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,171 1.44% 9,691 0.98% 57,229 0.62%
Valid Votes 81,167 96.11% 989,742 95.96% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,268 3.87% 41,462 4.02% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 84,453 76.29% 1,031,464 77.72% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 110,706 1,327,145 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[18] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 39,498 47.54% 428,780 43.08% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 35,075 42.21% 437,289 43.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 7,388 8.89% 113,990 11.45% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,128 1.36% 15,171 1.52% 137,826 1.54%
Valid Votes 83,089 96.34% 995,230 96.30% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,158 3.66% 38,187 3.70% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 86,247 80.98% 1,033,417 80.36% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 106,508 1,285,973 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[19] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 42,316 53.66% 470,018 48.87% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 30,157 38.24% 378,328 39.34% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,906 4.95% 73,110 7.60% 518,725 6.03%
SU 1,578 2.00% 20,297 2.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 899 1.14% 19,956 2.08% 319,123 3.71%
Valid Votes 78,856 N/A 961,709 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[20] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 40,684 57.35% 509,030 56.79% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 29,617 41.75% 375,631 41.91% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 633 0.89% 11,627 1.30% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 70,934 95.89% 896,288 96.39% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,044 4.11% 33,553 3.61% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 73,978 80.39% 929,841 79.65% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 92,027 1,167,469 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Katana[21] Gampaha Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,660 53.11% 385,733 54.14% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 22,318 41.35% 294,490 41.34% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 2,656 4.92% 21,665 3.04% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 333 0.62% 10,549 1.48% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 53,967 95.65% 712,437 95.64% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,457 4.35% 32,497 4.36% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 56,424 75.10% 744,934 76.82% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 75,135 969,658 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Katana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.6%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Katana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Katana[1]

  Sinhalese (91.6%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (4.2%)
  Moor (1.5%)
  Chetty (1.4%)
  Other (1.3%)

Religion

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The Katana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (60.1%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (32.0%) . In comparison, the Gampaha Electoral District (which contains the Katana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (71.3%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (19.5%) [1]

Religion in Katana[1]

  Buddhist (60.1%)
  Roman Catholic (32.0%)
  Other Christian (4.1%)
  Muslim (2.0%)
  Hindu (1.7%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Katana and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Katana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Katana and the Gampaha Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Katana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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