Wikipedia

Kurunegala Polling Division

The Kurunegala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Kurunegala
Polling Division
Location of Kurunegala
Coordinates: 7°31′02″N 80°21′10″E / 7.517243°N 80.352688°E / 7.517243; 80.352688
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKurunegala Electoral District
Area
 • Total
249.29 km2 (96.25 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
167,651
 • Density673/km2 (1,740/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-15L

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kurunegala has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Kurunegala is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Kurunegala Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.87% SLPP 3.27%
2015 NDF UPFA 8.41% NDF 2.76%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.69% UPFA 0.76%
2005 UNP UPFA 3.39% UPFA 1.56%
1999 PA PA 2.05% PA 2.74%
1994 PA PA 0.98% PA 3.98%
1988 UNP UNP 1.22% UNP 1.37%
1982 UNP UNP 3.07% UNP 4.15%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 3.33% 8/8 2.57%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 41,940 55.68% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 29,021 38.53% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,030 4.02% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,332 1.77% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 75,323 99.18% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 621 0.82% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 75,944 83.73% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 90,702 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 37,895 54.28% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 31,429 45.02% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 491 0.70% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 69,815 99.17% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 583 0.83% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 70,398 78.80% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 89,332 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,912 57.31% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 25,113 41.22% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 897 1.47% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 60,922 99.20% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 492 0.80% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 61,414 75.33% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 81,523 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,564 50.20% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 28,791 48.88% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 541 0.92% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 58,896 98.95% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 625 1.05% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 59,521 77.30% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 77,003 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,715 48.48% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 22,450 45.90% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,700 3.48% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,049 2.14% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 48,914 97.80% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,101 2.20% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 50,015 75.39% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 66,346 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,685 58.39% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,005 40.22% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 588 1.39% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 42,278 98.41% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 682 1.59% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 42,960 72.63% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 59,146 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,598 52.32% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 11,851 45.60% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 541 2.08% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 25,990 98.86% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 300 1.14% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 26,290 49.42% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 53,193 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Kurunegala[11] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,370 59.03% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,638 36.97% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,300 3.28% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 285 0.72% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 39,593 99.26% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 295 0.74% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 39,888 79.06% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 50,454 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Kurunegala has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Kurunegala is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Kurunegala Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UPFA 5.71% UNP 2.52%
2010 UPFA UPFA 4.43% UPFA 2.70%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.57% UPFA 3.16%
2001 UNP UNP 3.71% UNP 2.97%
2000 UNP PA 5.27% PA 4.09%
1994 PA PA 2.26% PA 2.57%
1989 UNP UNP 2.68% UNP 5.90%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 4.09% 7/7 3.42%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,086 51.03% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 27,644 42.64% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,738 5.77% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 364 0.56% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 64,832 95.81% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,804 4.14% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 67,669 75.75% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 89,332 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,030 58.75% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,176 35.16% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,649 5.76% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 153 0.33% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 46,008 93.79% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,012 6.14% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 49,053 60.17% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 81,523 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,472 44.87% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 23,242 44.43% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 5,347 10.22% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 248 0.47% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 52,309 96.13% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,089 3.84% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 54,414 73.17% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 74,368 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,830 51.90% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 19,359 37.45% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,656 9.01% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
SU 520 1.01% 2,842 0.36% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 328 0.63% 5,691 0.72% 83,105 0.93%
Valid Votes 51,693 95.97% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,170 4.03% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 53,863 75.74% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 71,111 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,046 46.62% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 20,826 42.13% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 3,054 6.18% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
SU 1,144 2.31% 6,691 0.91% 127,859 1.49%
NUA 821 1.66% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 544 1.10% 9,730 1.32% 93,655 1.09%
Valid Votes 49,435 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,173 49.52% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 22,042 49.22% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 564 1.26% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 44,779 95.83% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,947 4.17% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 46,726 79.00% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 59,146 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Kurunegala[20] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,692 61.24% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,849 33.45% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,086 3.07% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
USA 508 1.43% 11,059 2.06% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 284 0.80% 2,848 0.53% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 35,419 94.43% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,088 5.57% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 37,507 72.29% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 51,885 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Kurunegala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (86.1%) and a significant Moor population (10.2%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Kurunegala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Kurunegala[1]

  Sinhalese (86.1%)
  Moor (10.2%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.8%)
  Other (1.0%)

Religion

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The Kurunegala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (81.9%) and a significant Muslim population (10.9%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Kurunegala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [1]

Religion in Kurunegala[1]

  Buddhist (81.9%)
  Muslim (10.9%)
  Roman Catholic (3.1%)
  Hindu (2.2%)
  Other Christian (1.8%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kurunegala and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kurunegala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kurunegala and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Kurunegala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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