In the run up to the 1996 Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 6 June 1993, to the day the next election was held, on 3 March 1996.
Preferred prime minister
editThe table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become prime minister.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
González PSOE |
Aznar PP | ||||||
CIS[1] | 12–21 Feb 1996 | 6,642 | 43.8 | 33.6 | 1.2 | 21.3 | 10.2 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[2] | 19–20 Feb 1996 | 2,369 | 31.2 | 34.4 | 34.3 | 3.2 | |
Opina/La Vanguardia[3] | 5–6 Feb 1996 | 1,185 | 28.6 | 34.0 | 28.4 | 5.4 | |
CIS[4] | 10–14 Jan 1996 | 2,499 | 36.9 | 32.5 | 10.6 | 20.0 | 4.4 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[5] | 8–9 Jan 1996 | 1,500 | 32.1 | 31.6 | 36.4 | 0.5 | |
Demoscopia/El País[6] | 19 Dec 1995 | 2,500 | 36.0 | 27.0 | 10.0 | 9.0 | |
CIS[7] | 9–14 Dec 1995 | 2,478 | 36.1 | 32.0 | 12.8 | 19.1 | 4.1 |
CIS[8] | 8–13 Nov 1995 | 2,486 | 35.6 | 29.7 | 11.8 | 22.9 | 5.9 |
CIS[9] | 13–17 Sep 1995 | 2,493 | 30.4 | 30.2 | 13.9 | 25.4 | 0.2 |
CIS[10] | 25–30 Jun 1995 | 2,484 | 33.3 | 36.9 | 1.1 | 28.7 | 3.6 |
CIS[11] | 19–24 Apr 1995 | 2,497 | 29.3 | 34.2 | 21.7 | 14.8 | 4.9 |
CIS[12] | 19–27 Mar 1995 | 2,496 | 34.2 | 33.6 | 21.5 | 10.8 | 0.6 |
CIS[13] | 8–9 Mar 1995 | 1,117 | 35.6 | 38.7 | 20.1 | 5.7 | 3.1 |
CIS[14] | 2–13 Feb 1995 | 2,500 | 40.7 | 27.5 | 24.1 | 7.7 | 13.2 |
CIS[15] | 9–11 Feb 1995 | 1,200 | 39.3 | 35.8 | 17.0 | 8.0 | 3.5 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[16] | 10 Feb 1995 | 1,000 | 23.5 | 32.3 | 15.4 | 28.8 | 8.8 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[17] | 29 Sep–1 Oct 1994 | 2,000 | 26.4 | 24.3 | 11.5 | 38.0 | 2.1 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[18] | 30 May–1 Jun 1994 | 2,000 | 23.2 | 34.3 | 13.2 | 29.2 | 11.1 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[19] | 8–11 Apr 1994 | 2,000 | 24.6 | 32.5 | 8.5 | 34.4 | 7.9 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[20] | 28–29 Sep 1993 | 1,500 | 31.0 | 27.4 | 13.5 | 28.1 | 3.6 |
Predicted prime minister
editThe table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become prime minister.
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Other/ None/ Not care |
Lead | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
González PSOE |
Aznar PP | ||||||
Opina/La Vanguardia[2] | 19–20 Feb 1996 | 2,369 | 12.3 | 63.7 | 24.0 | 51.4 | |
Opina/La Vanguardia[3] | 5–6 Feb 1996 | 1,185 | 13.7 | 60.6 | 25.4 | 46.9 | |
Opina/La Vanguardia[5] | 8–9 Jan 1996 | 1,500 | 19.9 | 51.0 | 29.1 | 31.1 | |
Opina/La Vanguardia[16] | 10 Feb 1995 | 1,000 | 24.0 | 43.9 | 2.0 | 30.1 | 19.9 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[17] | 29 Sep–1 Oct 1994 | 2,000 | 29.1 | 37.7 | 0.9 | 32.2 | 8.6 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[18] | 30 May–1 Jun 1994 | 2,000 | 28.0 | 36.5 | 2.6 | 32.8 | 8.5 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[19] | 8–11 Apr 1994 | 2,000 | 29.8 | 36.2 | 1.2 | 32.8 | 6.4 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[20] | 28–29 Sep 1993 | 1,500 | 46.8 | 23.6 | 2.1 | 27.5 | 23.2 |
Leader ratings
editThe table below lists opinion polling on leader ratings, on a 0–10 scale: 0 would stand for a "terrible" rating, whereas 10 would stand for "excellent".
- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
González PSOE |
Aznar PP |
Anguita IU | |||
CIS[21] | 27 Feb–1 Mar 1996 | 2,491 | 5.09 | 4.50 | 4.97 |
CIS[1] | 12–21 Feb 1996 | 6,642 | 5.00 | 4.53 | 4.96 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[22] | 19–20 Feb 1996 | 2,369 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 5.5 |
ASEP[23] | 17 Feb 1996 | 1,215 | 4.9 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
Demoscopia/El País[24] | 3–7 Feb 1996 | 3,500 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.6 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[25] | 5–6 Feb 1996 | 1,185 | 5.4 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
ASEP[23] | 15–20 Jan 1996 | 1,216 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 4.3 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[26] | 8–9 Jan 1996 | 1,500 | 5.7 | 5.8 | 5.3 |
ASEP[23] | 11–16 Dec 1995 | 1,214 | 4.3 | 4.0 | 4.2 |
CIS[7] | 9–14 Dec 1995 | 2,478 | 4.77 | 4.19 | 4.88 |
ASEP[23] | 13–18 Nov 1995 | 1,214 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.3 |
CIS[27] | 17–22 Oct 1995 | 2,493 | 4.15 | 4.14 | 4.89 |
ASEP[23] | 16–21 Oct 1995 | 1,210 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
Demoscopia/El País[28] | 30 Sep–2 Oct 1995 | 1,200 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.4 |
ASEP[23] | 18–23 Sep 1995 | 1,217 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
CIS[9] | 13–17 Sep 1995 | 2,493 | 3.86 | 4.24 | 4.83 |
Demoscopia/El País[29] | 9 Jul 1995 | ? | 4.3 | 4.4 | 4.4 |
ASEP[23] | 3–8 Jul 1995 | 1,209 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
CIS[30] | 8–19 Jun 1995 | 6,510 | 4.70 | 4.78 | 5.39 |
ASEP[23] | 5–10 Jun 1995 | 1,221 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
CIS[31] | 25 May–2 Jun 1995 | 2,492 | 4.66 | 4.75 | 5.14 |
Demoscopia/El País[32] | 10–15 May 1995 | 16,700 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
ASEP[23] | 8–13 May 1995 | 1,213 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
Demoscopia/El País[33] | 21 Apr 1995 | ? | 4.5 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
ASEP[23] | 3–8 Apr 1995 | 1,213 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
CIS[12] | 19–27 Mar 1995 | 2,496 | 4.05 | 4.36 | 5.15 |
ASEP[23] | 6–11 Mar 1995 | 1,219 | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.5 |
CIS[13] | 8–9 Mar 1995 | 1,117 | 4.36 | 4.48 | 5.36 |
Demoscopia/El País[34] | 4–7 Mar 1995 | 1,200 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 4.3 |
CIS[14] | 2–13 Feb 1995 | 2,500 | 5.06 | 4.20 | 5.13 |
ASEP[23] | 6–11 Feb 1995 | 1,211 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
CIS[35] | 12–17 Jan 1995 | 2,496 | 4.41 | 4.11 | 4.84 |
ASEP[23] | 9–14 Jan 1995 | 1,215 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
Demoscopia/El País[36] | 11–13 Dec 1994 | 1,200 | 4.7 | 3.5 | 4.7 |
ASEP[23] | 5–10 Dec 1994 | 1,210 | 4.7 | 3.9 | 4.8 |
CIS[37] | 10–23 Nov 1994 | 2,493 | 4.72 | 4.23 | 5.29 |
ASEP[23] | 7–12 Nov 1994 | 1,210 | 4.0 | 3.7 | 4.5 |
ASEP[23] | 10–15 Oct 1994 | 1,212 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
Demoscopia/El País[38] | 2 Oct 1994 | ? | 4.7 | 3.7 | 4.2 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[17] | 29 Sep–1 Oct 1994 | 2,000 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 4.9 |
CIS[39] | 20–26 Sep 1994 | 2,491 | 4.64 | 4.30 | 5.12 |
ASEP[23] | 12–17 Sep 1994 | 1,212 | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.7 |
ASEP[23] | 11–16 Jul 1994 | 1,208 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 5.0 |
Demoscopia/El País[40] | 3 Jul 1994 | ? | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5.2 |
CIS[41] | 16–20 Jun 1994 | 2,454 | 4.77 | 4.70 | 5.93 |
ASEP[23] | 13–18 Jun 1994 | 1,221 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 5.2 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[18] | 30 May–1 Jun 1994 | 2,000 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 5.3 |
ASEP[23] | 16–21 May 1994 | 1,223 | 4.2 | 3.7 | 5.0 |
CIS[42] | 12–16 May 1994 | 2,500 | 4.57 | 4.42 | 5.69 |
CIS[43] | 18 Apr–2 May 1994 | 2,482 | 4.52 | 4.83 | 5.42 |
ASEP[23] | 18–22 Apr 1994 | 1,222 | 4.0 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[19] | 8–11 Apr 1994 | 2,000 | 4.9 | 4.8 | 4.7 |
CIS[44] | 6–11 Apr 1994 | 2,487 | 4.61 | 4.58 | 5.13 |
Demoscopia/El País[45] | 27 Mar 1994 | ? | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
ASEP[23] | 14–19 Mar 1994 | 1,216 | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.6 |
ASEP[23] | 14–19 Feb 1994 | 1,219 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.5 |
ASEP[23] | 17–21 Jan 1994 | 1,223 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
Demoscopia/El País[46] | 19 Dec 1993 | ? | 4.6 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
ASEP[23] | 7–11 Dec 1993 | 1,220 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
CIS[47] | 26 Nov–1 Dec 1993 | 2,501 | 4.72 | 4.37 | 4.63 |
ASEP[23] | 8–13 Nov 1993 | 1,217 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
Demoscopia/El País[48] | 24 Oct 1993 | ? | 4.7 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
ASEP[23] | 11–16 Oct 1993 | 1,222 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 4.9 |
Opina/La Vanguardia[20] | 28–29 Sep 1993 | 1,500 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 4.8 |
CIS[49] | 21–27 Sep 1993 | 2,496 | 5.35 | 4.71 | 5.40 |
ASEP[23] | 13–18 Sep 1993 | 1,215 | 4.9 | 4.1 | 5.0 |
Demoscopia/El País[50] | 16–20 Jul 1993 | 1,200 | 5.6 | 4.4 | 4.6 |
ASEP[23] | 12–17 Jul 1993 | 1,207 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 5.5 |
CIS[51] | 25 Jun–3 Jul 1993 | 2,500 | 5.73 | 4.61 | 5.29 |
CIS[52] | 16–23 Jun 1993 | 5,001 | 6.15 | 5.32 | 5.73 |
ASEP[23] | 14–19 Jun 1993 | 1,219 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 5.8 |
Approval ratings
editFelipe González
editPolling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Felipe González (PSOE) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net | ||||||
Inner Line[53] | 16–22 Feb 1996 | 6,048 | 49.8 | 38.2 | 12.0 | +11.6 |
CIS[1] | 12–21 Feb 1996 | 6,642 | 45.7 | 43.5 | 10.7 | +2.2 |
CIS[4] | 10–14 Jan 1996 | 2,499 | 39.1 | 49.1 | 11.8 | −10.0 |
CIS[7] | 9–14 Dec 1995 | 2,478 | 40.0 | 48.6 | 11.4 | −8.6 |
CIS[8] | 8–13 Nov 1995 | 2,486 | 36.1 | 51.8 | 12.1 | −15.7 |
CIS[27] | 17–22 Oct 1995 | 2,493 | 31.3 | 53.8 | 14.8 | −22.5 |
CIS[9] | 13–17 Sep 1995 | 2,493 | 30.0 | 54.8 | 15.2 | −24.8 |
CIS[54] | 12–17 Jul 1995 | 2,494 | 33.9 | 54.0 | 12.1 | −20.1 |
CIS[10] | 25–30 Jun 1995 | 2,484 | 32.0 | 55.5 | 12.5 | −23.5 |
CIS[31] | 25 May–2 Jun 1995 | 2,492 | 37.2 | 49.8 | 13.0 | −12.6 |
CIS[11] | 19–24 Apr 1995 | 2,497 | 31.1 | 54.4 | 14.5 | −23.3 |
Gallup/ABC[55] | 3–7 Apr 1995 | 1,000 | 25.0 | 48.0 | 27.0 | −23.0 |
CIS[12] | 19–27 Mar 1995 | 2,496 | 32.1 | 54.8 | 13.2 | −22.7 |
CIS[56] | 2–9 Feb 1995 | 2,496 | 36.8 | 49.0 | 14.1 | −12.2 |
CIS[35] | 12–17 Jan 1995 | 2,496 | 36.2 | 52.9 | 11.0 | −16.7 |
CIS[57] | 30 Nov–11 Dec 1994 | 2,491 | 39.5 | 48.0 | 12.6 | −8.5 |
CIS[37] | 10–23 Nov 1994 | 2,493 | 40.5 | 46.4 | 13.2 | −5.9 |
CIS[39] | 20–26 Sep 1994 | 2,491 | 37.4 | 50.0 | 12.7 | −12.6 |
CIS[58] | 30 Jun–7 Jul 1994 | 2,492 | 34.4 | 54.5 | 11.0 | −20.1 |
CIS[42] | 12–16 May 1994 | 2,500 | 32.0 | 56.4 | 11.5 | −24.4 |
CIS[44] | 6–11 Apr 1994 | 2,487 | 32.6 | 52.8 | 14.7 | −20.2 |
CIS[59] | 18–30 Mar 1994 | 2,501 | 34.6 | 49.3 | 16.1 | −14.7 |
Gallup/ABC[60] | 10–30 Mar 1994 | 1,011 | 30.0 | 45.0 | 25.0 | −15.0 |
CIS[61] | 22 Feb–3 Mar 1994 | 2,499 | 29.7 | 55.1 | 15.2 | −25.4 |
CIS[62] | 12–18 Jan 1994 | 2,500 | 34.5 | 50.2 | 15.3 | −15.7 |
CIS[63] | 16–21 Dec 1993 | 2,500 | 35.1 | 52.1 | 12.8 | −17.0 |
CIS[47] | 26 Nov–1 Dec 1993 | 2,501 | 34.3 | 49.7 | 16.0 | −15.4 |
CIS[64] | 13–19 Oct 1993 | 2,499 | 40.2 | 46.2 | 13.7 | −6.0 |
CIS[49] | 21–27 Sep 1993 | 2,496 | 42.1 | 41.5 | 16.3 | +0.6 |
References
edit- ^ a b c "Preelectoral elecciones generales y autonómicas de Andalucía 1996 (Estudio nº 2207. Febrero 1996)". CIS (in Spanish). 21 February 1996.
- ^ a b "El PP se consolida y el PSOE repunta". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 25 February 1996.
- ^ a b "Aznar consolida su mayoría relativa". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 11 February 1996.
- ^ a b "Barómetro de enero 1996: Unión Europea (Estudio nº 2204. Enero 1996)". CIS (in Spanish). 14 January 1996.
- ^ a b "El PP ganará a un PSOE que aguanta". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 January 1996.
- ^ "Un 53% de los españoles cree que Aznar ganará pese a que González inspira más confianza". El País (in Spanish). 20 December 1995.
- ^ a b c "Barómetro de diciembre 1995 (Estudio nº 2201. Diciembre 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 14 December 1995.
- ^ a b "Barómetro de noviembre 1995 (Estudio nº 2197. Noviembre 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 13 November 1995.
- ^ a b c "Barómetro de septiembre 1995 (Estudio nº 2190. Septiembre 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 17 September 1995.
- ^ a b "Barómetro de junio 1995 (Estudio nº 2184. Junio 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 30 June 1995.
- ^ a b "Barómetro de abril 1995 (Estudio nº 2156. Abril 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 24 April 1995.
- ^ a b c "Barómetro de marzo 1995 (Estudio nº 2151. Marzo 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 27 March 1995.
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- ^ a b c "El PP volvería a ganar pero el PSOE reduce el margen". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 9 October 1994.
- ^ a b c "Anguita, Morán y Aznar se sitúan por delante de González". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 5 June 1994.
- ^ a b c "Fernando Morán es el político mejor valorado por los españoles". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 17 April 1994.
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- ^ "Práctico empate en la valoración de Gonzáfiez y Aznar". El País (in Spanish). 11 February 1996.
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- ^ "Ruiz Gallardón, el más valorado como político y "ministrable"". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 14 January 1996.
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- ^ "González recibe la peor puntuación histórica y es superado por Anguita". El País (in Spanish). 27 March 1994.
- ^ "Los socialistas, en su hora más baja desde 1982". El País (in Spanish). 19 December 1993.
- ^ a b "Barómetro de noviembre 1993 (Estudio nº 2073. Noviembre 1993)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 December 1993.
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- ^ "El 68% de los españoles, pesimista ante la crisis". El País (in Spanish). 25 July 1993.
- ^ "Barómetro de junio 1993 (Estudio nº 2062. Junio-julio 1993)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 July 1993.
- ^ "Postelectoral elecciones generales 1993 (Estudio nº 2061. Junio 1993)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 23 June 1993.
- ^ "A penas cuatro puntos y medio separan la estimación de voto en favor de PSOE y PP". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 25 February 1996.
- ^ "Barómetro de julio 1995 (Estudio nº 2188. Julio 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 17 July 1995.
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- ^ "Barómetro de febrero 1995 (Estudio nº 2132. Febrero 1995)". CIS (in Spanish). 9 February 1995.
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- ^ "Barómetro de julio 1994 (Estudio nº 2110. Julio 1994)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 July 1994.
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- ^ "Barómetro de diciembre 1993 (Estudio nº 2076. Diciembre 1993)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 21 December 1993.
- ^ "Barómetro de octubre 1993 (Estudio nº 2068. Octubre 1993)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 18 October 1993.