Mathugama Polling Division

The Mathugama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kalutara Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Mathugama
Location of Mathugama
Coordinates: 6°31′32″N 80°03′46″E / 6.525455°N 80.062823°E / 6.525455; 80.062823
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKalutara Electoral District
Area
 • Total
257.13 km2 (99.28 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
145,246
 • Density565/km2 (1,460/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-03E

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mathugama has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Mathugama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Mathugama Kalutara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.92% SLPP 7.64%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.17% NDF 6.06%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.67% UPFA 5.58%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.20% UPFA 5.36%
1999 PA PA 0.80% PA 0.97%
1994 PA PA 0.38% PA 1.31%
1988 SLFP SLFP 1.20% UNP 5.12%
1982 UNP UNP 1.67% UNP 5.07%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 0.88% 8/8 4.64%
Party Mathugama[4] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 55,932 60.42% 482,920 59.49% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 31,451 33.98% 284,213 35.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,028 3.27% 27,681 3.41% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,155 2.33% 16,949 2.09% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 92,566 99.16% 811,763 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 786 0.84% 6,847 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 93,352 85.02% 818,610 85.71% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 109,804 955,080 15,992,568
Party Mathugama[5] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,984 53.72% 395,890 52.65% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 38,668 45.17% 349,404 46.46% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 945 1.10% 6,690 0.89% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 85,597 98.77% 751,984 98.90% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,063 1.23% 8,381 1.10% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 86,660 79.51% 760,365 82.08% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 108,996 926,346 15,585,942
Party Mathugama[6] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,988 63.58% 412,562 63.06% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 26,016 34.47% 231,807 35.43% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,478 1.96% 9,880 1.51% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 75,482 99.26% 654,249 99.31% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 564 0.74% 4,541 0.69% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 76,046 76.25% 658,790 79.05% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 99,737 833,360 15,734,587
Party Mathugama[7] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,006 55.58% 341,693 55.48% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 30,853 42.86% 266,043 43.20% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,123 1.56% 8,124 1.32% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 71,982 98.96% 615,860 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 756 1.04% 6,517 1.05% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 72,738 77.81% 622,377 79.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 93,479 781,175 14,136,979
Party Mathugama[8] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 32,352 51.71% 281,217 52.88% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 25,813 41.26% 217,423 40.88% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,221 5.15% 23,770 4.47% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,179 1.88% 9,399 1.77% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 62,565 97.67% 531,809 97.83% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,492 2.33% 11,796 2.17% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 64,057 75.74% 543,605 78.23% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 84,575 694,860 11,965,536
Party Mathugama[9] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,726 61.04% 295,686 61.47% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,667 37.41% 178,466 37.10% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 857 1.55% 6,867 1.43% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 55,250 98.14% 481,019 98.50% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,045 1.86% 7,309 1.50% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 56,295 70.25% 488,328 73.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 80,135 660,191 11,158,880
Party Mathugama[10] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 19,908 51.49% 179,761 49.57% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 17,917 46.34% 169,510 46.74% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 836 2.16% 13,375 3.69% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 38,661 98.18% 362,646 98.23% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 716 1.82% 6,537 1.77% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 39,377 55.89% 369,183 64.20% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 70,457 575,008 9,283,143
Party Mathugama[11] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,494 48.46% 211,592 50.15% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 23,154 45.81% 185,874 44.06% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,164 4.28% 14,499 3.44% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 537 1.06% 8,613 2.04% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 196 0.39% 1,314 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 50,545 98.56% 421,892 98.76% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 741 1.44% 5,290 1.24% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 51,286 82.97% 427,182 83.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 61,809 508,744 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Mathugama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Mathugama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Mathugama Kalutara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.25% UNP 2.98%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.90% UPFA 2.32%
2004 UPFA UPFA 2.02% UPFA 4.29%
2001 UNP UNP 0.58% UNP 1.36%
2000 PA PA 0.49% PA 1.15%
1994 PA PA 1.60% PA 1.98%
1989 UNP UNP 2.10% UNP 4.42%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.13% 7/7 2.64%
Party Mathugama[14] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,114 48.30% 338,801 48.58% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 35,267 44.70% 310,234 44.48% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,087 5.18% 38,475 5.52% 544,154 4.88%
BJP 953 1.21% 5,727 0.82% 20,377 0.18%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 484 0.61% 4,224 0.61% 65,202 0.59%
Valid Votes 78,905 96.34% 697,461 97.00% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,978 3.64% 21,366 2.97% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 81,905 75.14% 719,001 80.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 108,996 897,349 15,044,490
Party Mathugama[15] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,920 63.59% 313,836 63.74% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 17,295 30.62% 139,596 28.35% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,990 5.29% 36,722 7.46% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 279 0.49% 2,246 0.46% 34,923 0.44%
Valid Votes 56,484 89.52% 492,400 90.41% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,566 10.41% 51,751 9.50% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 63,100 63.27% 544,606 65.21% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 99,737 835,186 14,097,690
Party Mathugama[16] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 36,294 54.97% 291,208 51.72% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 24,912 37.73% 212,721 37.78% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 4,542 6.88% 56,615 10.06% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 282 0.43% 2,475 0.44% 49,030 0.53%
Valid Votes 66,030 94.29% 563,019 94.82% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,000 5.71% 30,741 5.18% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 70,030 77.02% 593,760 79.58% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 90,919 746,138 12,909,631
Party Mathugama[17] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,290 45.63% 254,339 45.94% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 25,761 40.13% 226,468 40.91% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,697 11.99% 60,451 10.92% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,438 2.24% 12,361 2.23% 137,091 1.53%
Valid Votes 64,186 93.49% 553,619 94.44% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,472 6.51% 32,617 5.56% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 68,658 77.86% 586,236 81.68% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 88,182 717,764 12,428,762
Party Mathugama[18] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,968 47.38% 255,175 46.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 25,518 40.34% 217,215 39.89% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,709 7.44% 38,373 7.05% 518,725 6.03%
SU 1,648 2.61% 15,619 2.87% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,412 2.23% 18,136 3.33% 321,730 3.74%
Valid Votes 63,255 N/A 544,518 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Mathugama[19] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,514 51.96% 271,754 53.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 26,520 45.16% 221,115 43.75% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 969 1.65% 6,238 1.23% 90,078 1.13%
MEP 670 1.14% 5,914 1.17% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 54 0.09% 339 0.07% 813 0.01%
Valid Votes 58,727 93.57% 505,360 95.21% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 4,034 6.43% 25,397 4.79% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 62,761 78.32% 530,757 80.20% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 80,135 661,793 11,163,064
Party Mathugama[20] Kalutara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,643 50.40% 160,069 49.84% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 12,156 44.91% 131,510 40.94% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 436 1.61% 12,971 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
USA 414 1.53% 12,342 3.84% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 312 1.15% 1,611 0.50% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 108 0.40% 2,690 0.84% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 27,069 91.17% 321,193 94.10% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,621 8.83% 20,139 5.90% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 29,690 43.06% 341,332 59.86% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 68,955 570,193 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Mathugama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (88.0%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Mathugama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (86.8%) [1]

Ethnicity in Mathugama[1]

  Sinhalese (88.0%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (6.0%)
  Indian Tamil (3.8%)
  Moor (2.0%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

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The Mathugama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.1%) . In comparison, the Kalutara Electoral District (which contains the Mathugama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (83.4%) [1]

Religion in Mathugama[1]

  Buddhist (87.1%)
  Hindu (8.8%)
  Muslim (2.1%)
  Roman Catholic (1.3%)
  Other (0.8%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mathugama and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mathugama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mathugama and the Kalutara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mathugama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.