Next Lower Saxony state election

The next Lower Saxony state election is expected to take place in the autumn of 2027 at the regular end of the legislative period.

2027 Lower Saxony state election

Autumn 2027
All 146 seats in the Landtag of Lower Saxony, including 11 overhang and leveling seats 74 seats needed for a majority
First party Second party   Party SPD CDU Last election 57 seats, 33.4% 47 seats, 28.1%   Third party Fourth party   Party Greens AfD Last election 24 seats, 14.5% 18 seats, 11.0%
Government before election Third Weil cabinet SPD–Green Government after election TBD

Opinion polling

Polling firm	Fieldwork date	Sample size	SPD	CDU	Grüne	AfD	FDP	Linke	BSW	Others	Lead
INSA	4–11 Nov 2024	1,000	26	31	10	15	4	2	6	5	5
Infratest dimap	31 Oct–6 Nov 2024	1,159	25	32	12	15	–	–	4	12	7
EP election	9 Jun 2024	–	19.5	31.4	12.2	13.2	5.3	2.1	4.5	11.8	11.9
Allensbach	19 Dec–12 Jan 2024	1,070	29	30	11	21	4	2	–	3	1
Infratest dimap	6–11 Nov 2023	1,178	26	28	13	18	5	–	–	10	2
INSA	9–16 Oct 2023	1,000	27	29	13	17	4	3	–	7	2
Allensbach	15–30 Jun 2023	1,101	32	29	13	14	5	3	–	4	3
Forsa	1–8 Feb 2023	2,007	33	26	17	10	5	3	–	6	7
2022 state election	9 Oct 2022	–	33.4	28.1	14.5	11.0	4.7	2.7	–	5.6	3.3