Wikipedia

Nikaweratiya Polling Division

The Nikaweratiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Nikaweratiya
Polling Division
Location of Nikaweratiya
Coordinates: 7°45′46″N 80°05′12″E / 7.762894°N 80.086628°E / 7.762894; 80.086628
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKurunegala Electoral District
Area
 • Total627.34 km2 (242.22 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total119,583
 • Density191/km2 (490/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-15B

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Nikaweratiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Nikaweratiya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.41% SLPP 3.66%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.06% NDF 7.70%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.44% UPFA 6.33%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.18% UPFA 1.65%
1999 PA PA 1.06% PA 1.75%
1994 PA PA 2.60% PA 0.41%
1988 UNP UNP 3.39% UNP 2.89%
1982 UNP UNP 0.52% UNP 2.33%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 1.58% 8/8 3.34%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 44,354 56.50% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 30,286 38.58% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,194 2.79% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,673 2.13% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 78,507 99.40% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 477 0.60% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 78,984 84.92% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 93,010 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,015 55.47% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 31,444 43.59% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 684 0.95% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 72,143 99.10% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 658 0.90% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 72,801 76.71% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 94,910 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,510 64.49% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 21,830 33.91% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,029 1.60% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 64,369 99.33% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 432 0.67% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 64,801 73.72% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 87,897 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,978 52.07% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 29,691 46.88% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 663 1.05% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 63,332 99.17% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 532 0.83% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 63,864 76.30% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 83,696 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 26,123 49.87% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 23,694 45.23% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,789 3.42% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 777 1.48% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 52,383 97.78% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,191 2.22% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 53,574 73.63% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 72,758 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,415 61.99% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,932 36.55% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 720 1.47% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 49,067 98.33% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 834 1.67% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 49,901 77.45% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 64,434 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 11,988 54.52% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 9,536 43.37% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 464 2.11% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 21,988 98.94% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 235 1.06% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 22,223 39.27% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 56,592 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[11] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,544 56.50% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,307 39.84% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,262 2.91% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 328 0.76% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 43,441 99.28% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 314 0.72% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 43,755 86.70% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 50,467 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Nikaweratiya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Nikaweratiya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Nikaweratiya Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.72% UNP 4.45%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.43% UPFA 3.04%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.77% UPFA 6.03%
2001 UNP UNP 0.87% UNP 3.76%
2000 PA PA 0.56% PA 2.37%
1994 PA PA 3.29% PA 3.23%
1989 UNP UNP 1.76% UNP 4.46%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.48% 7/7 3.90%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,344 51.44% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 28,849 44.50% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,337 3.61% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 295 0.46% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 64,825 94.17% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,973 5.77% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 68,836 72.53% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 94,910 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,687 63.66% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 14,677 32.57% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,486 3.30% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 213 0.47% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 45,063 89.95% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 4,975 9.93% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 50,098 57.00% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 87,897 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,545 54.65% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 22,885 42.33% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,427 2.64% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 209 0.39% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 54,066 92.92% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 4,086 7.02% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 58,185 72.07% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 80,736 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,615 49.85% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 23,120 41.74% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,204 7.59% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 458 0.83% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 55,397 94.26% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,376 5.74% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 58,773 75.81% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 77,522 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,831 48.23% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 22,752 42.48% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,607 4.87% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 827 1.54% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 784 1.46% 14,604 1.98% 201,684 2.34%
PP 754 1.41% 1,817 0.25% 19,830 0.23%
Valid Votes 53,555 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,351 55.37% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 22,471 43.88% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 385 0.75% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 51,207 95.59% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,365 4.41% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 53,572 83.14% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 64,434 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Nikaweratiya[20] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,342 59.03% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,653 32.51% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,315 4.01% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
USA 1,022 3.12% 11,059 2.06% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 437 1.33% 2,848 0.53% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 32,769 92.81% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,539 7.19% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 35,308 63.25% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 55,823 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Nikaweratiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.7%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Nikaweratiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Nikaweratiya[1]

  Sinhalese (91.7%)
  Moor (7.9%)
  Other (0.4%)

Religion

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The Nikaweratiya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.0%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Nikaweratiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [1]

Religion in Nikaweratiya[1]

  Buddhist (90.0%)
  Muslim (8.0%)
  Roman Catholic (1.5%)
  Other (0.5%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nikaweratiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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