In the run up to the 1986 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain during the term of the 2nd Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 28 October 1982, to the day the next election was held, on 22 June 1986.
Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Electoral polling
editNationwide polling
editVoting intention estimates
editThe table below lists nationwide voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 176 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Congress of Deputies.
- Color key:
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
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|
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|
|
PNV | 
|
|
|
|
|
CG | 
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 general election | 22 Jun 1986 | — | 70.5 | 44.1 184 |
26.0 105 |
– | [a] | 5.0 18 |
9.2 19 |
1.5 6 |
1.1 5 |
0.4 0 |
0.5 2 |
0.5 0 |
1.0 0 |
0.4 1 |
1.1 0 |
4.6 7 |
18.1 |
| COPE[1] | 22 Jun 1986 | ? | ? | ? 170/180 |
? 100/110 |
– | [a] | ? 15/20 |
? 15/20 |
? 7/9 |
? 6/9 |
– | ? 0/2 |
[b] | ? 1 |
? 10/16 |
? | ||
| Cadena SER[1] | 22 Jun 1986 | ? | ? | ? 187/193 |
? 91/96 |
– | [a] | ? 17/19 |
? 17/19 |
? 7/8 |
? 5/6 |
? 1 |
? 2 |
– | ? 0 |
[b] | ? 1/2 |
? 8/10 |
? |
| Sofemasa/TV3[1][2] | 22 Jun 1986 | 30,000 | ? | ? 184/196 |
? 85/91 |
– | [a] | ? 17/18 |
? 18/24 |
? 6/7 |
? 7/8 |
? 1 |
? 4/5 |
– | ? 0/2 |
? 1/2 |
? 1 |
? 12/13 |
? |
| RTVE[1][3] | 22 Jun 1986 | 300,000 | 68 | ? 189 |
? 86 |
– | [a] | ? 17 |
? 12 |
? 8 |
? 7 |
? 1 |
? 2 |
– | – | ? 1 |
? 1 |
? 12 |
? |
| ECO/Cadena SER[4] | 16 Jun 1986 | ? | ? | 40.2 | 25.5 | – | [a] | – | 9.9 | – | – | – | – | – | 4.0 | – | 1.3 | 5.7 | 14.7 |
| Telemarket/PRD[5][6] | 14 Jun 1986 | 10,105 | ? | 39.1 174 |
22.2 93 |
– | [a] | 5.2 18 |
5.4 9 |
2.5 10 |
0.8 3 |
0.5 1 |
0.5 2 |
? 1 |
9.7 24 |
[b] | ? 1 |
5.0 11 |
16.9 |
| OTR–Press[7][8] | 14 Jun 1986 | 2,497 | ? | 45.0– 47.0 |
18.0– 21.0 |
– | [a] | [b] | 11.0– 14.0 |
1.0– 2.0 |
– | – | – | – | 9.0– 11.0 |
– | – | 6.0– 9.0 |
26.0– 27.0 |
| Aresco/ABC[9][8] | 11–13 Jun 1986 | 2,505 | 71.1 | 39.9 167/180 |
28.7 105/121 |
– | [a] | 4.5 17/20 |
9.0 13/19 |
1.8 8/10 |
1.0 3 |
0.3 0 |
0.4 1 |
– | 3.2 3/6 |
– | 1.3 0 |
7.4 6/12 |
11.2 |
| Emopública/Grupo 16[10][11][12][13] | 5–11 Jun 1986 | 6,081 | 71.9 | 45.5 193/202 |
23.0 83/90 |
– | [a] | [b] | 10.8 26/32 |
1.7 6/7 |
1.3 4/5 |
1.2 1/2 |
1.0 2 |
– | 6.2 14/16 |
[b] | 1.2 0 |
5.2 7/8 |
22.5 |
| ECO/Cadena SER[14][15] | 10 Jun 1986 | 1,326 | ? | 40.2 | 26.3 | – | [a] | 4.8 | 9.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | – | 0.6 | – | 3.7 | – | 1.3 | 6.0 | 13.9 |
| Perfiles[8] | 9–10 Jun 1986 | ? | ? | 39.4 | 19.3 | – | [a] | 5.3 | 2.9 | 2.3 | – | – | – | – | 12.4 | – | – | 7.0 | 20.1 |
| Gallup/Ya[16][17][18] | 2–9 Jun 1986 | 6,046 | ? | 40.0 167 |
24.0 101 |
– | [a] | 6.0 20 |
9.0 23 |
2.0 9 |
1.0 5 |
1.0 1 |
1.0 2 |
– | 4.0 6 |
1.0 2 |
2.0 0 |
6.0 9 |
16.0 |
| Demoscopia/El País[19] | 5–8 Jun 1986 | 5,200 | 70 | 41.0 167/194 |
24.0 86/105 |
– | [a] | 6.0 17/20 |
11.0 15/29 |
3.0 8/9 |
1.4 3/4 |
1.0 1 |
0.7 1/2 |
0.4 0 |
3.0 3/4 |
[b] | 0.3 0 |
6.0 10/16 |
17.0 |
| Iope–Etmar/El Periódico[20] | 3–7 Jun 1986 | 7,209 | 72–76 | 42.4 180 |
24.1 98 |
– | [a] | 4.7 17 |
11.7 30 |
1.7 7 |
1.1 4 |
0.6 1 |
0.5 1 |
– | 2.8 4 |
[b] | 2.0 1 |
4.9 5 |
18.3 |
| Line Staff/La Vanguardia[21][22] | 29 May–7 Jun 1986 | 8,871 | 74.3– 77.8 |
39.3– 45.0 178/199 |
19.2– 23.7 71/90 |
– | [a] | 5.4– 5.7 20/21 |
11.1– 14.0 17/28 |
1.8– 1.9 9/11 |
? 1/2 |
? 1 |
? 1/2 |
– | 8.0– 9.2 8/12 |
0.9– 1.0 2/4 |
– | 5.5– 7.6 7/12 |
15.6– 25.8 |
| Perfiles[23] | 2–3 Jun 1986 | 4,480 | ? | 40.3 | 19.7 | – | [a] | 4.9 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | – | 12.9 | – | – | 6.0 | 20.6 |
| ECO/Cadena SER[24][25] | 2–3 Jun 1986 | 1,311 | 73 | 40.3 | 26.5 | – | [a] | 5.4 | 8.4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | – | 0.5 | – | 3.6 | – | 1.0 | 5.9 | 13.8 |
| TC–Sigma Dos/Actualidad[26][13][27] | 30 May–2 Jun 1986 | 1,111 | ? | 38.5 170 |
26.5 114 |
– | [a] | 4.9 19 |
8.7 13 |
1.9 8 |
1.0 2 |
– | 0.4 ? |
– | 4.7 7 |
– | 2.8 0 |
6.6 12 |
12.0 |
| Perfiles[23][28] | 26–27 May 1986 | 4,265 | ? | 40.2 | 23.1 | – | [a] | 4.6 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | – | 12.8 | – | – | 5.3 | 17.1 |
| Demoscopia/El País[13][29][30] | 24–27 May 1986 | 5,200 | 72 | 46.0 194/210 |
25.0 85/98 |
– | [a] | 6.0 16/17 |
8.0 15/19 |
3.0 8 |
1.0 2/3 |
0.3 0 |
0.7 1/2 |
– | 1.0 1/2 |
[b] | – | 6.0 6/7 |
21.0 |
| CIS[31][32] | 21–25 May 1986 | 5,615 | ? | 46.5 | 25.5 | – | – | – | 6.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 4.4 | 21.0 |
| Perfiles[33] | 19–20 May 1986 | 4,330 | 73.6 | 42.0 | 23.4 | – | [a] | 3.9 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | – | 11.4 | – | – | 4.1 | 18.6 |
| ECO/Cadena SER[24][4] | 19 May 1986 | ? | ? | 42.0 | 29.1 | – | [a] | 5.2 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 | – | 0.6 | – | 3.4 | – | – | 6.7 | 12.9 |
| Typol/CP[34] | 16–18 May 1986 | 5,000 | ? | ? 160 |
? 120/130 |
– | [a] | – | 5.0 6 |
– | – | – | – | – | 5.8 7/8 |
– | – | – | ? |
| Sigma Dos/Actualidad[13] | 10–14 May 1986 | 1,111 | ? | 38.4 | 25.8 | – | [a] | 4.5 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 1.0 | – | 0.4 | – | 4.9 | – | – | 8.4 | 12.6 |
| Typol[28] | 24 Apr–10 May 1986 | 5,000 | ? | 43.5 | 28.6 | – | [a] | [b] | 5.8 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.9 | – | 9.7 | – | – | 3.9 | 14.9 |
| Emopública/Cambio 16[35][13] | 23–25 Apr 1986 | 1,200 | ? | 44.3 | 27.7 | – | 7.4 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | – | 1.0 | – | 6.0 | – | – | – | 16.6 |
| Emopública/Cambio 16[36] | 4 Mar 1986 | 1,300 | ? | 40.7 | 29.7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 11.0 |
| Emopública/Cambio 16[36] | 13 Jan 1986 | ? | ? | 43.0 | 27.1 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 15.9 |
| Sofemasa/La Vanguardia[37] | 16 Nov–1 Dec 1985 | 1,849 | ? | 50.5 | 19.8 | – | 7.4 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 2.3 | – | – | – | 0.8 | 1.5 | – | – | – | 30.7 |
| AP[38] | 14 Nov 1985 | 6,500 | ? | 40.0 | 32.5 | – | 4.0– 5.0 |
3.0 | 6.0– 7.0 |
2.0 | – | – | – | – | 1.0– 2.0 |
– | – | – | 7.5 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39] | 5–23 Jul 1985 | 1,600 | ? | 44.9 | 24.6 | – | 5.0 | 3.9 | 9.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1.6 | – | – | 20.3 |
| Sofemasa/CEOE[40][41] | 24 Jun–7 Jul 1985 | 23,000 | ? | 46.0 | 28.0 | – | – | – | 5.6 | – | – | – | – | – | <1.0 | – | – | – | 18.0 |
| Typol/AP[c][42][43][44][45] | 26 Jun 1985 | 2,580 | ? | 41.4 | 31.7 | – | 4.4 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 2.2 | – | – | – | – | 4.5 | – | – | – | 9.7 |
| Sigma Dos/Actualidad[44][46] | 4–11 Jun 1985 | 1,111 | ? | 35.4 | 27.0 | – | 5.9 | 3.0 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 0.9 | – | 0.6 | – | 0.8 | – | – | – | 8.4 |
| Sigma Dos/Actualidad[46] | 7–14 May 1985 | ? | ? | 33.7 | 25.9 | – | 6.1 | 2.9 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 1.0 | – | 0.5 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | 7.8 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[47][48][49] | 1 Mar–23 Apr 1985 | 1,800 | ? | 47.4 | 25.2 | – | 4.1 | 4.6 | 7.5 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.2 | – | – | 22.2 |
| ABC[50][51] | 10 Mar 1985 | 15,000 | ? | ? 167 |
? 118 |
– | ? 13 |
? 17 |
? 5 |
? 8 |
– | – | – | – | ? 19 |
– | – | – | ? |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39][52] | 15 Jan–6 Feb 1985 | 1,800 | ? | 47.8 | 22.3 | – | 4.0 | 4.5 | 8.0 | 1.9 | – | – | – | 0.8 | 4.3 | 0.3 | – | – | 25.5 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[53] | 14 Dec–20 Jan 1985 | 1,800 | ? | 45.9 | 23.6 | – | 4.7 | 4.3 | 7.2 | 2.1 | – | – | – | 1.5 | 4.5 | 0.3 | – | – | 22.3 |
| ECO/Cambio 16[54][55][56][57] | 11–14 Jan 1985 | 1,307 | ? | 45.0 | 28.5 | – | 5.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | – | – | – | – | 2.0 | – | – | – | 16.5 |
| Gallup[58][59][60] | 11–30 Nov 1984 | 1,035 | ? | 38.2 | 26.3 | – | 5.8 | 3.9 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | – | 8.3 | – | – | – | 11.9 |
| AP[c][61][62] | 31 Oct 1984 | 1,037 | ? | 39.9 | 31.5 | – | 6.9 | – | 2.5 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8.4 |
| TC/Actualidad[63] | 22–28 Oct 1984 | 1,111 | ? | 39.2 172 |
29.4 132 |
– | 7.2 14 |
4.0 16 |
4.0 4 |
1.9 8 |
? 2 |
? 1 |
– | ? 1 |
– | – | – | – | 9.8 |
| Gallup[64][65] | 22 Sep–9 Oct 1984 | 1,024 | ? | 42.9 | 28.0 | – | 5.9 | 3.1 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | – | 5.2 | – | – | – | 14.9 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39][66] | 14 Sep–8 Oct 1984 | 1,852 | ? | 44.8 | 24.4 | – | 5.0 | 5.0 | 7.7 | 1.8 | – | – | – | 0.9 | 2.9 | 0.6 | – | – | 20.4 |
| TC/Actualidad[67] | 17–23 Sep 1984 | ? | ? | 37.1 | 28.2 | – | 5.6 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 8.9 |
| TC/Actualidad[68] | 30 Jul–5 Aug 1984 | 1,111 | ? | 40.6 | 30.4 | – | 6.5 | 3.1 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 10.2 |
| ECO/Cambio 16[69] | 28 Jul 1984 | ? | ? | 41.1 | 31.6 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9.5 |
| TC/Actualidad[68] | 9–15 Jul 1984 | ? | ? | 44.3 | 27.4 | – | 4.9 | 3.1 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 16.9 |
| TC/Actualidad[70] | 18–24 Jun 1984 | ? | ? | 42.0 | 29.4 | – | 5.4 | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.8 | – | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 12.6 |
| Gallup[71][72] | 12–24 Mar 1984 | 1,031 | ? | 42.3 | 27.1 | – | 6.1 | 3.7 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 15.2 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39] | 2–27 Nov 1983 | 2,200 | ? | 47.5 | 26.9 | – | 4.4 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 1.9 | – | – | – | 0.5 | 3.1 | – | – | – | 20.6 |
| 1983 local elections | 8 May 1983 | — | 66.9 | 43.0 | 26.4 | – | 8.2 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | – | – | – | 21.7 |
| Aresco/ABC[73] | 26–29 Apr 1983 | 1,440 | 69.1 | 45.3 | 30.2 | – | 5.3 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 | – | – | – | – | 0.7 | – | – | – | 15.1 |
| Metra Seis/Tiempo[74] | 11–15 Apr 1983 | 1,111 | ? | 49.9 | 17.6 | – | 4.2 | – | 1.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32.3 |
| Alef/Grupo 16[75][76] | 21–26 Feb 1983 | 1,700 | ? | 49.7 | 17.9 | – | 3.3 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 31.8 |
| Metra Seis/Agencia Lid[77][78] | 22–24 Feb 1983 | 1,002 | ? | 50.6 | 15.7 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | – | 0.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 34.9 |
| 1982 general election | 28 Oct 1982 | — | 80.0 | 48.1 202 |
26.4 107 |
6.8 11 |
4.1 4 |
3.7 12 |
2.9 2 |
1.9 8 |
1.0 2 |
0.7 1 |
0.5 1 |
0.4 0 |
– | – | – | – | 16.6 |
Voting preferences
editThe table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
PNV |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 general election | 22 Jun 1986 | — | 30.8 | 18.1 | – | [a] | 3.5 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 3.2 | — | 29.1 | 12.7 |
| CIS[79][80] | 20 Jun 1986 | 2,146 | 36.0 | 14.0 | – | [a] | 4.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 22.0 |
| CIS[81][80] | 17 Jun 1986 | 1,201 | 34.0 | 14.0 | – | [a] | 4.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 22.0 | 5.0 | 20.0 |
| OTR–Press[7] | 14 Jun 1986 | 2,497 | 30.0– 33.0 |
12.0– 15.0 |
– | [a] | [b] | 7.0– 10.0 |
– | – | 5.0 | – | 4.0– 6.0 |
– | – | 18.0 |
| CIS[82][80] | 13 Jun 1986 | 5,601 | 37.0 | 13.0 | – | [a] | 3.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 26.0 | 5.0 | 24.0 |
| CIS[83][80] | 9 Jun 1986 | 1,193 | 36.0 | 12.0 | – | [a] | 4.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 4.0 | 24.0 |
| Gallup/Ya[17][18] | 2–9 Jun 1986 | 6,046 | 29.2 | 16.6 | – | [a] | 2.4 | 7.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.3 | 21.0 | 10.6 | 12.6 |
| Demoscopia/El País[19] | 5–8 Jun 1986 | 5,200 | 24.0 | 8.0 | – | [a] | 2.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | – | 4.0 | 47.0 | 4.0 | 16.0 |
| Iope–Etmar/El Periódico[20] | 3–7 Jun 1986 | 7,209 | 38.9 | 20.7 | – | [a] | 3.9 | 10.0 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4.4 | 12.1 | – | 18.2 |
| Line Staff/La Vanguardia[84] | 29 May–7 Jun 1986 | 8,871 | 23.2 | 12.0 | – | [a] | 3.3 | 4.5 | 1.2 | – | 3.5 | – | 3.4 | 35.5 | 10.6 | 11.2 |
| CIS[85] | 5 Jun 1986 | 3,932 | 38.0 | 12.0 | – | [a] | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 27.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 |
| OTR/Tiempo[25] | 4 Jun 1986 | 1,200 | 32.0 | 10.0 | – | [a] | [b] | 6.0 | – | – | 6.0 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 25.0 | – | 22.0 |
| CIS[32] | 29 May 1986 | 5,340 | 33.0 | 12.0 | – | [a] | 3.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 21.0 |
| CIS[86] | 21–25 May 1986 | 5,615 | 36.0 | 10.0 | – | [a] | 4.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 30.0 | 5.0 | 26.0 |
| CIS[87][80] | 15 May 1986 | 4,429 | 34.0 | 11.0 | – | [a] | 3.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 31.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS[88][80] | 8 May 1986 | 4,958 | 33.0 | 10.0 | – | 3.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 38.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS[32][80] | 2 May 1986 | 25,667 | 32.0 | 9.0 | – | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 39.0 | 5.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS[89] | 16–17 Apr 1986 | 2,489 | 31.6 | 11.6 | – | 4.2 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 35.1 | 7.4 | 20.0 |
| CIS[90] | 10–11 Mar 1986 | 1,188 | 33.0 | 10.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – | 36.0 | 6.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS[91] | 7 Mar 1986 | 2,410 | 32.0 | 10.0 | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | 39.0 | 7.0 | 22.0 |
| ECO/CIS[92] | 3–4 Mar 1986 | 2,500 | 35.2 | 12.6 | – | 4.1 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.1 | – | – | 23.5 | 10.4 | 22.6 |
| CIS[93] | 1 Feb–1 Mar 1986 | 2,454 | 33.7 | 10.9 | – | 2.6 | 1.3 | 3.8 | 0.8 | – | 3.0 | – | – | 32.4 | 8.6 | 22.8 |
| CIS[94] | 27 Feb 1986 | ? | 30.0 | 11.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | 36.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 |
| CIS[95] | 15–19 Feb 1986 | 2,500 | 29.0 | 10.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 39.0 | 7.0 | 19.0 |
| CIS[96] | 15 Feb 1986 | ? | 31.0 | 11.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 37.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 |
| CIS[97] | 10 Feb 1986 | ? | 32.0 | 10.0 | – | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | 37.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 |
| CIS[98] | 1 Feb 1986 | 2,493 | 31.5 | 12.4 | – | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0.9 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 34.6 | 9.6 | 19.1 |
| CIS[99] | 18–25 Jan 1986 | 10,632 | 30.0 | 11.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | 38.0 | 8.0 | 19.0 |
| CIS[100] | 1 Jan 1986 | ? | 31.0 | 9.0 | – | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 39.0 | 8.0 | 22.0 |
| CIS[101] | 18–24 Dec 1985 | 2,493 | 29.0 | 11.0 | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 39.0 | 12.0 | 18.0 |
| CIS[102] | 13–16 Dec 1985 | 2,457 | 30.0 | 11.0 | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 37.0 | 9.0 | 19.0 |
| Sofemasa/La Vanguardia[37] | 16 Nov–1 Dec 1985 | 1,849 | 26.5 | 10.4 | – | 3.9 | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.2 | – | 0.8 | – | – | 30.9 | 13.5 | 16.1 |
| AP[103] | 19 Nov 1985 | ? | 29.0 | 22.3 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26.7 | – | 6.7 |
| CIS[104] | 10 Nov 1985 | 2,490 | 28.0 | 11.0 | – | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 42.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 |
| CIS[105] | 1 Nov 1985 | 12,319 | 31.4 | 10.5 | – | 2.3 | 1.6 | 4.0 | 0.6 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 37.1 | 8.9 | 20.9 |
| CIS[106] | 10 Oct 1985 | 1,199 | 31.0 | 11.0 | – | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 37.0 | 9.0 | 20.0 |
| CIS[107] | 1 Oct 1985 | 1,232 | 32.1 | 11.0 | – | 4.0 | 1.7 | 4.0 | 1.3 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 34.3 | 8.7 | 21.1 |
| CIS[32][80] | 10–13 Sep 1985 | 2,581 | 31.1 | 15.8 | – | 3.3 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 2.2 | – | – | 20.2 | 13.0 | 15.3 |
| OTR[108] | 11 Aug 1985 | 2,490 | 29.4 | 14.2 | – | 2.4 | – | 8.7 | – | – | [d] | – | – | 41.1 | 11.9 | 15.2 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39] | 5–23 Jul 1985 | 1,600 | 30.9 | 12.5 | – | 3.4 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 0.9 | – | 1.9 | – | – | 38.5 | – | 18.4 |
| CIS[109] | 17–20 Jul 1985 | 2,479 | 30.6 | 11.6 | – | 2.9 | 2.5 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | – | – | 34.8 | 8.4 | 19.0 |
| CIS[110] | 9–11 Jul 1985 | 2,489 | 28.0 | 11.0 | – | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 |
| CIS[111] | 7–11 Jun 1985 | 3,435 | 30.9 | 10.4 | – | 3.3 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 37.0 | 9.6 | 20.5 |
| CIS[112] | 1–5 Jun 1985 | 2,489 | 27.2 | 11.2 | – | 3.5 | 1.9 | 3.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.6 | – | – | 38.8 | 9.5 | 16.0 |
| CIS[113] | 1 May–1 Jun 1985 | 2,498 | 32.4 | 11.7 | – | 3.4 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.4 | – | – | 34.0 | 6.4 | 20.7 |
| CIS[114] | 1 May 1985 | 2,484 | 27.8 | 10.4 | – | 2.9 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | – | – | 38.2 | 9.8 | 17.4 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[47] | 1 Mar–23 Apr 1985 | 1,800 | 33.7 | 11.9 | – | 2.6 | 3.3 | 4.1 | 1.3 | – | 1.3 | – | – | 38.2 | – | 21.8 |
| CIS[115] | 1–13 Apr 1985 | 2,485 | 32.4 | 12.4 | – | 2.5 | 2.6 | 3.6 | 0.7 | – | 1.0 | – | – | 33.3 | 8.3 | 20.0 |
| CIS[116] | 13–18 Mar 1985 | 2,493 | 31.9 | 12.3 | – | 3.4 | 1.6 | 4.6 | 1.0 | – | 3.0 | – | – | 31.1 | 8.9 | 19.6 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39] | 15 Jan–6 Feb 1985 | 1,800 | 36.9 | 11.4 | – | 2.5 | 2.8 | 4.8 | 0.9 | – | 1.8 | – | – | 34.8 | – | 25.5 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[53] | 14 Dec–20 Jan 1985 | 1,800 | 37.6 | 14.5 | – | 3.5 | 3.1 | 5.3 | 1.7 | – | 2.7 | – | – | 25.5 | – | 23.1 |
| CIS[80] | 1 Jan 1985 | 2,688 | 34.5 | 13.7 | – | 3.5 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 2.7 | – | – | 29.2 | 7.4 | 20.8 |
| CIS[117][118] | 20–30 Dec 1984 | 2,486 | 26.2 | 12.7 | – | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | – | – | 38.4 | 11.6 | 13.5 |
| CIS[119] | 1 Dec 1984 | 2,505 | 31.2 | 12.9 | – | 4.0 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | – | – | 24.5 | 13.3 | 18.3 |
| CIS[120] | 1 Nov–1 Dec 1984 | 12,389 | 30.9 | 12.3 | – | 3.4 | 2.2 | 3.5 | 1.1 | – | 2.0 | – | – | 32.4 | 9.3 | 18.6 |
| CIS[121] | 1 Nov 1984 | 2,244 | 30.7 | 14.3 | – | 3.9 | 3.5 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.8 | – | – | 22.6 | 14.7 | 16.4 |
| Aresco/AP[61] | 31 Oct 1984 | 1,037 | 30.5 | 24.1 | – | 5.3 | – | 1.9 | – | – | – | – | – | 9.1 | 23.6 | 6.4 |
| CIS[122][123] | 27–30 Oct 1984 | 2,491 | 25.7 | 11.2 | – | 2.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 41.0 | 9.8 | 14.5 |
| Servicio de Estudios/El País[124][125][126] | 22–24 Oct 1984 | 2,000 | 36.0 | 14.9 | 0.5 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 3.2 | 1.8 | – | – | – | – | 32.8 | 21.1 | |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39] | 14 Sep–8 Oct 1984 | 1,852 | 35.5 | 12.9 | – | 4.1 | 4.0 | 4.8 | 1.2 | – | 2.1 | – | – | 29.0 | – | 22.6 |
| CIS[32] | 10 Sep 1984 | ? | 34.9 | 15.1 | – | 4.8 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | – | – | 15.5 | 13.5 | 19.8 |
| CIS[127] | 1 Sep 1984 | 2,466 | 26.5 | 11.6 | – | 3.9 | 2.9 | 2.2 | 0.9 | – | – | – | – | 39.4 | 9.8 | 14.9 |
| CIS[128] | 23–26 Jul 1984 | 2,461 | 25.1 | 11.8 | – | 3.7 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | – | – | – | 39.1 | 11.2 | 13.3 |
| CIS[129] | 1 Jul 1984 | 2,483 | 29.4 | 10.6 | – | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 37.2 | 9.9 | 18.8 |
| CIS[130] | 1 May 1984 | 2,481 | 28.5 | 11.9 | – | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.0 | 1.2 | – | – | – | – | 36.3 | 8.5 | 16.6 |
| CIS[131] | 25–28 Apr 1984 | 2,474 | 29.7 | 13.1 | – | 2.9 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | – | 0.5 | – | – | 35.0 | 10.8 | 16.6 |
| CIS[132] | 1 Mar 1984 | 2,484 | 26.6 | 10.6 | – | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 44.2 | 8.4 | 16.0 |
| CIS[133] | 1 Feb–1 Mar 1984 | 2,595 | 29.5 | 11.3 | – | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 | – | – | 40.8 | 8.3 | 18.2 |
| CIS[134] | 1 Jan–1 Feb 1984 | 2,948 | 28.2 | 13.6 | – | 2.7 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.4 | – | – | – | – | 37.7 | 9.7 | 14.6 |
| CIS[135] | 30 Dec–3 Jan 1984 | 2,489 | 32.5 | 11.2 | – | 2.6 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 38.2 | 7.5 | 21.3 |
| CIS[136] | 1 Jan 1984 | 2,495 | 33.8 | 10.8 | – | 3.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | – | – | 37.3 | 8.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS[137] | 1 Nov–1 Dec 1983 | 11,077 | 36.0 | 11.0 | – | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | – | – | 34.0 | 9.0 | 25.0 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[39] | 2–27 Nov 1983 | 2,200 | 34.5 | 15.9 | – | 2.4 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 1.2 | – | 2.1 | – | – | 33.0 | – | 18.6 |
| Sofemasa/El País[138][139][140] | 16–22 Nov 1983 | 3,000 | 37.4 | 18.7 | 1.2 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | – | – | – | – | 27.7 | 18.7 | |
| CIS[141] | 9–13 Nov 1983 | 2,476 | 33.1 | 13.9 | – | 3.4 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.7 | – | – | – | – | 34.1 | 7.6 | 19.2 |
| CIS[142] | 16 May 1983 | 3,368 | 45.4 | 16.2 | – | 3.9 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – | 20.7 | 4.9 | 29.2 |
| CIS[80] | 1 Mar 1983 | 2,488 | 40.0 | 13.0 | – | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 29.0 | 5.0 | 27.0 |
| Metra Seis/Agencia Lid[c][77][78] | 22–24 Feb 1983 | 1,002 | 38.4 | 10.8 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | – | – | – | 36.0 | 8.1 | 27.6 |
| CIS[143] | 1 Nov 1982 | 2,394 | 39.8 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | – | – | – | 32.0 | 3.2 | 28.7 |
| 1982 general election | 28 Oct 1982 | — | 37.7 | 20.7 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | – | – | – | — | 20.0 | 17.0 |
Victory preference
editThe table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
PNV |
|
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[79] | 20 Jun 1986 | 2,146 | 42.0 | 15.0 | – | 4.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 21.0 | 27.0 |
| CIS[81] | 17 Jun 1986 | 1,201 | 38.0 | 15.0 | – | 4.0 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 23.0 |
| CIS[82] | 13 Jun 1986 | 5,601 | 42.0 | 14.0 | – | 3.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 24.0 | 28.0 |
| CIS[83] | 9 Jun 1986 | 1,193 | 40.0 | 14.0 | – | 4.0 | 8.0 | – | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 28.0 | 26.0 |
| CIS[85] | 5 Jun 1986 | 3,932 | 43.0 | 13.0 | – | 4.0 | 8.0 | – | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 30.0 |
| CIS[32] | 29 May 1986 | 5,340 | 39.0 | 13.0 | – | 4.0 | 9.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 25.0 | 26.0 |
| CIS[86] | 21–25 May 1986 | 5,615 | 40.0 | 11.0 | – | 4.0 | 6.0 | – | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 29.0 |
| CIS[87] | 15 May 1986 | 4,429 | 38.0 | 12.0 | – | 4.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 29.0 | 26.0 |
| CIS[88] | 8 May 1986 | 4,958 | 43.0 | 13.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | – | 4.0 | – | – | 3.0 | 17.0 | 30.0 |
| CIS[32] | 2 May 1986 | 25,667 | 45.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | – | 3.0 | – | – | – | – | 2.0 | 34.0 | 34.0 |
| CIS[89] | 16–17 Apr 1986 | 2,489 | 39.0 | 14.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | – | 3.0 | – | – | – | 32.0 | 25.0 |
Victory likelihood
editThe table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a general election taking place.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other/ None |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIS[79] | 20 Jun 1986 | 2,146 | 70.0 | 5.0 | – | 2.0 | – | – | – | 23.0 | 65.0 |
| CIS[81] | 17 Jun 1986 | 1,201 | 71.0 | 6.0 | – | 2.0 | – | – | – | 21.0 | 65.0 |
| CIS[82] | 13 Jun 1986 | 5,601 | 72.0 | 5.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | 20.0 | 67.0 |
| CIS[83] | 9 Jun 1986 | 1,193 | 74.0 | 3.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | 21.0 | 71.0 |
| Line Staff/La Vanguardia[21] | 29 May–7 Jun 1986 | 8,871 | 75.0 | 5.0 | – | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 17.6 | 70.0 |
| CIS[85] | 5 Jun 1986 | 3,932 | 72.0 | 4.0 | – | 1.0 | – | – | – | 23.0 | 68.0 |
| CIS[86] | 21–25 May 1986 | 5,615 | 65.0 | 5.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 30.0 | 60.0 |
| CIS[87] | 15 May 1986 | 4,429 | 65.0 | 4.0 | – | – | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | 29.0 | 61.0 |
| CIS[88] | 8 May 1986 | 4,958 | 67.0 | 4.0 | – | – | – | – | 1.0 | 28.0 | 63.0 |
| CIS[32] | 2 May 1986 | 25,667 | 61.0 | 4.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 35.0 | 57.0 |
| CIS[89] | 16–17 Apr 1986 | 2,489 | 59.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | – | – | – | 33.0 | 53.0 |
Senate projections
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
|
|
|
|
|
PNV |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1986 general election | 22 Jun 1986 | — | 124 | 63 | – | 8 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| Demoscopia/El País[19] | 5–8 Jun 1986 | 5,200 | 117/129 | 55/66 | – | 6/8 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| Demoscopia/El País[30] | 24–27 May 1986 | 5,200 | 128/140 | 50/62 | – | 6/8 | 3/5 | 5/7 | – |
| 1982 general election | 28 Oct 1982 | — | 134 | 54 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 |
Leadership polling
editPreferred prime minister
editThe table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become prime minister.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | .jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
.jpg)
|
Other/ None/ Not care |
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| González PSOE |
Guerra PSOE |
Fraga AP |
Iglesias IU |
Roca CiU/PRD |
Suárez CDS |
Arzalluz PNV | ||||||
| CIS[79] | 20 Jun 1986 | 2,146 | 41.0 | – | 15.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 14.0 | – | – | 20.0 | 26.0 |
| CIS[81] | 17 Jun 1986 | 1,201 | 41.0 | – | 15.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 15.0 | – | – | 20.0 | 26.0 |
| CIS[82] | 13 Jun 1986 | 5,601 | 46.0 | – | 14.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 12.0 | – | – | 20.0 | 32.0 |
| CIS[83] | 9 Jun 1986 | 1,193 | 43.0 | – | 13.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | – | – | 24.0 | 30.0 |
| Line Staff/La Vanguardia[21] | 29 May–7 Jun 1986 | 8,871 | 38.0 | 1.0 | 10.4 | 1.1 | 9.8 | 14.9 | – | 7.2 | 17.6 | 23.1 |
| CIS[85] | 5 Jun 1986 | 3,932 | 46.0 | – | 13.0 | 3.0 | 6.0 | 11.0 | – | – | 21.0 | 33.0 |
| ECO/Cadena SER[24] | 2–3 Jun 1986 | 1,311 | 36.0 | – | 13.2 | – | 10.1 | 15.8 | – | – | – | 20.2 |
| CIS[32] | 29 May 1986 | 5,340 | 42.0 | – | 13.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 15.0 | – | – | 20.0 | 27.0 |
| CIS[86] | 21–25 May 1986 | 5,615 | 44.0 | – | 11.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 10.0 | – | – | 24.0 | 33.0 |
| ECO/Cadena SER[24] | 19 May 1986 | ? | 41.0 | – | 13.5 | – | 12.1 | 11.8 | – | – | – | 27.5 |
| CIS[87] | 15 May 1986 | 4,429 | 43.0 | – | 12.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | – | – | 22.0 | 31.0 |
| CIS[88] | 8 May 1986 | 4,958 | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | 50.0 | – | – | 19.0 | 29.0 |
| – | – | 16.0 | – | – | 58.0 | – | – | 26.0 | 42.0 | |||
| – | – | 19.0 | – | 42.0 | – | – | – | 39.0 | 23.0 | |||
| – | 31.0 | – | – | – | 42.0 | – | – | 27.0 | 11.0 | |||
| – | 39.0 | – | – | 28.0 | – | – | – | 33.0 | 11.0 | |||
| – | 48.0 | 23.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 31.0 | 25.0 | |||
| 52.0 | – | – | – | – | 26.0 | – | – | 22.0 | 26.0 | |||
| 59.0 | – | – | – | 18.0 | – | – | – | 23.0 | 41.0 | |||
| 62.0 | – | 17.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | 45.0 | |||
| 67.0 | 7.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26.0 | 60.0 | |||
| CIS[93] | 1 Feb–1 Mar 1986 | 2,454 | 45.0 | – | 12.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 9.0 | – | 1.0 | 23.0 | 33.0 |
| – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 41.0 | – | – | 41.0 | 23.0 | |||
| – | – | 15.0 | – | – | 50.0 | – | – | 35.0 | 35.0 | |||
| – | – | 17.0 | – | 36.0 | – | – | – | 47.0 | 19.0 | |||
| – | 29.0 | – | – | – | 36.0 | – | – | 35.0 | 7.0 | |||
| – | 35.0 | – | – | 23.0 | – | – | – | 42.0 | 12.0 | |||
| – | 41.0 | 20.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 39.0 | 21.0 | |||
| 49.0 | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | – | – | 30.0 | 28.0 | |||
| 54.0 | – | – | – | 16.0 | – | – | – | 30.0 | 38.0 | |||
| 57.0 | – | 15.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 28.0 | 42.0 | |||
| 60.0 | 5.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 35.0 | 55.0 | |||
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[48] | 19–23 Apr 1985 | 900 | 42.0 | – | 14.0 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 13.0 | – | 3.0 | 16.0 | 28.0 |
| CIS[116] | 13–18 Mar 1985 | 2,493 | – | – | – | – | 17.0 | 45.0 | – | – | 38.0 | 28.0 |
| – | – | 17.0 | – | – | 51.0 | – | – | 32.0 | 34.0 | |||
| – | – | 20.0 | – | 34.0 | – | – | – | 46.0 | 14.0 | |||
| – | 30.0 | – | – | – | 36.0 | – | – | 34.0 | 6.0 | |||
| – | 37.0 | – | – | 22.0 | – | – | – | 41.0 | 15.0 | |||
| – | 40.0 | 22.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | 18.0 | |||
| 51.0 | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | – | – | 28.0 | 30.0 | |||
| 53.0 | – | – | – | 15.0 | – | – | – | 32.0 | 38.0 | |||
| 57.0 | – | 17.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 26.0 | 40.0 | |||
| 59.0 | 8.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33.0 | 51.0 | |||
| ECO/Cambio 16[57] | 11–14 Jan 1985 | 1,307 | 43.0 | – | 16.0 | – | 8.0 | 17.0 | – | – | – | 26.0 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[144] | 14–19 Dec 1984 | 900 | 56.0 | – | – | – | – | 22.0 | – | – | 22.0 | 34.0 |
| 56.0 | – | – | – | 20.0 | – | – | – | 24.0 | 36.0 | |||
| 73.0 | – | – | 7.0 | – | – | – | – | 20.0 | 66.0 | |||
| 59.0 | – | 20.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | 39.0 | |||
| CIS[134] | 1 Jan–1 Feb 1984 | 2,948 | – | – | – | – | 18.0 | 36.0 | – | – | 46.0 | 18.0 |
| – | – | 22.0 | – | – | 39.0 | – | – | 39.0 | 17.0 | |||
| – | – | 23.0 | – | 28.0 | – | – | – | 49.0 | 5.0 | |||
| – | 34.0 | – | – | – | 28.0 | – | – | 38.0 | 6.0 | |||
| – | 36.0 | – | – | 18.0 | – | – | – | 46.0 | 18.0 | |||
| – | 39.0 | 23.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 38.0 | 16.0 | |||
| 55.0 | – | – | – | – | 15.0 | – | – | 30.0 | 40.0 | |||
| 55.0 | – | – | – | 11.0 | – | – | – | 34.0 | 44.0 | |||
| 55.0 | – | 18.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 27.0 | 37.0 | |||
| 58.0 | 7.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 35.0 | 51.0 | |||
| Emopública/PSOE[145] | 30 Nov 1983 | ? | 59.0 | – | 19.0 | – | – | – | – | 10.0 | 12.0 | 40.0 |
| CIS[142] | 16 May 1983 | 3,368 | – | – | – | – | – | 37.9 | 7.5 | – | 54.6 | 30.4 |
| – | – | – | – | 22.4 | – | 7.8 | – | 69.8 | 14.6 | |||
| – | – | – | – | 19.6 | 34.8 | – | – | 45.5 | 15.2 | |||
| – | – | 23.5 | – | – | – | 13.4 | – | 63.1 | 10.1 | |||
| – | – | 23.3 | – | – | 41.9 | – | – | 34.8 | 18.6 | |||
| – | – | 23.0 | – | 26.1 | – | – | – | 50.8 | 3.1 | |||
| – | 46.9 | – | – | – | – | 5.7 | – | 47.4 | 41.2 | |||
| – | 48.2 | – | – | – | 21.8 | – | – | 30.1 | 26.4 | |||
| – | 46.8 | – | – | 17.2 | – | – | – | 36.0 | 29.6 | |||
| – | 50.5 | 22.5 | – | – | – | – | – | 26.9 | 28.0 | |||
| 61.6 | – | – | – | – | – | 3.1 | – | 35.4 | 58.5 | |||
| 64.0 | – | – | – | – | 12.8 | – | – | 23.1 | 51.2 | |||
| 60.5 | – | – | – | 11.6 | – | – | – | 28.0 | 48.9 | |||
| 61.5 | – | 19.1 | – | – | – | – | – | 19.5 | 42.4 | |||
| 59.8 | 10.9 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 29.3 | 48.9 | |||
| CIS[146] | 1 May 1983 | 2,495 | – | – | – | – | 21.0 | 42.0 | – | – | 36.0 | 21.0 |
| – | – | 27.0 | – | – | 47.0 | – | – | 26.0 | 20.0 | |||
| – | – | 28.0 | – | 31.0 | – | – | – | 41.0 | 3.0 | |||
| – | 48.0 | – | – | – | 28.0 | – | – | 24.0 | 20.0 | |||
| – | 49.0 | – | – | 19.0 | – | – | – | 32.0 | 30.0 | |||
| – | 51.0 | 27.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 22.0 | 24.0 | |||
| 66.0 | – | – | – | – | 16.0 | – | – | 17.0 | 50.0 | |||
| 64.0 | – | – | – | 12.0 | – | – | – | 24.0 | 52.0 | |||
| 65.0 | – | 20.0 | – | – | – | – | – | 15.0 | 45.0 | |||
| 69.0 | 9.0 | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22.0 | 60.0 |
Approval ratings
editFelipe González
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Felipe González (PSOE) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| CIS[82] | 13 Jun 1986 | 5,601 | 55.0 | 32.0 | 13.0 | +23.0 |
| CIS[83] | 9 Jun 1986 | 1,193 | 50.0 | 31.0 | 19.0 | +19.0 |
| CIS[85] | 5 Jun 1986 | 3,932 | 52.0 | 30.0 | 18.0 | +22.0 |
| CIS[32] | 29 May 1986 | 5,340 | 54.0 | 33.0 | 13.0 | +21.0 |
| CIS[86] | 21–25 May 1986 | 5,615 | 56.0 | 30.0 | 13.0 | +26.0 |
| CIS[87] | 15 May 1986 | 4,429 | 55.0 | 31.0 | 14.0 | +24.0 |
| CIS[88] | 8 May 1986 | 4,958 | 49.0 | 29.0 | 22.0 | +20.0 |
| CIS[32] | 2 May 1986 | 25,667 | 56.0 | 26.0 | 18.0 | +30.0 |
| CIS[93] | 1 Feb–1 Mar 1986 | 2,454 | 54.0 | 29.0 | 17.0 | +25.0 |
| CIS[98] | 1 Feb 1986 | 2,493 | 57.0 | 30.0 | 13.0 | +27.0 |
| CIS[105] | 1 Nov 1985 | 12,319 | 57.0 | 27.0 | 16.0 | +30.0 |
| CIS[107] | 1 Oct 1985 | 1,232 | 54.0 | 30.0 | 16.0 | +24.0 |
| CIS[114] | 1 May 1985 | 2,484 | 54.2 | 29.9 | 16.0 | +24.3 |
| Gallup[147] | 19–28 Jan 1985 | 1,033 | 54.0 | 28.0 | 18.0 | +26.0 |
| CIS[120] | 1 Nov–1 Dec 1984 | 12,389 | 54.0 | 30.0 | 16.0 | +24.0 |
| Gallup[148] | 11–30 Nov 1984 | 1,035 | 56.0 | 29.0 | 15.0 | +27.0 |
| Servicio de Estudios/El País[149] | 22–24 Oct 1984 | 2,000 | 60.0 | 26.6 | 13.4 | +33.4 |
| Gallup[148] | 22 Sep–9 Oct 1984 | 1,024 | 58.0 | 28.0 | 14.0 | +30.0 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[66] | 14 Sep–8 Oct 1984 | 1,852 | 57.0 | 32.0 | 11.0 | +25.0 |
| Gallup[148] | 24 Aug–4 Sep 1984 | ? | 59.0 | 25.0 | 16.0 | +34.0 |
| Gallup[150][151] | 10–21 Jul 1984 | 1,029 | 54.0 | 31.0 | 15.0 | +23.0 |
| Gallup[151] | 15–26 May 1984 | 989 | 45.0 | 26.0 | 29.0 | +19.0 |
| Gallup[151] | 9–19 Apr 1984 | 1,024 | 56.0 | 27.0 | 17.0 | +29.0 |
| Gallup[148] | 12–24 Mar 1984 | 1,031 | 49.0 | 31.0 | 20.0 | +18.0 |
| Gallup[152] | 23 Jan–8 Feb 1984 | 954 | 58.0 | 17.0 | 25.0 | +41.0 |
| Iope–Etmar/Mediterráneo[66] | 2–27 Nov 1983 | 2,200 | 68.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | +54.0 |
| Gallup[153][154] | 5–18 Oct 1983 | 959 | 58.0 | 22.0 | 20.0 | +36.0 |
| Gallup[153][154] | 6–19 Jul 1983 | 1,027 | 58.0 | 15.0 | 26.0 | +43.0 |
| Gallup[153][154] | 2–15 Feb 1983 | 1,024 | 62.0 | 13.0 | 25.0 | +49.0 |
Notes
editReferences
edit- ^ a b c d "Los sondeos anticiparon la victoria socialista". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 23 June 1986.
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- ^ "El PSOE tendrá la mayoría absoluta, según un sondeo de EL PAÍS". El País (in Spanish). 1 June 1986.
- ^ a b "Mayoría absoluta para el PSOE y espectacular crecimento del CDS". El País (in Spanish). 1 June 1986.
- ^ "Todos al unísono". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 4 June 1986.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k "Banco de Datos del CIS". CIS (in Spanish). Retrieved 21 June 2018.
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- ^ "El PSOE perderá la mayoría absoluta según encuesta de CP". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 22 May 1986.
- ^ "Primera encuesta: PSOE 44%, CP27,7%, Comunistas 7,4%". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 30 April 1986.
- ^ a b "Pierden Fraga y PSOE, ganan González y Coalición Popular". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 11 March 1986.
- ^ a b "Los socialistas mantienen su hegemonía". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 28 December 1985.
- ^ "Coalición Popular se acerca al PSOE en porcentaje de votantes". ABC (in Spanish). 15 November 1985.
- ^ a b c d e f g h "El PSOE se mantiene como principal fuerza política de cara a 1986". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 1 September 1985.
- ^ "El segundo sondeo político de la CEOE da mayoría absoluta los socialistas". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 August 1985.
- ^ "Cuando las palabras no se corresponden con los números". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 11 August 1985.
- ^ "Encuesta". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 27 June 1985.
- ^ "Ocho puntos separan a Coalición Popular del PSOE, según un sondeo de AP". ABC (in Spanish). 27 June 1985.
- ^ a b "El PSOE de Andalucía intenta ocultar su crisis con encuestas favorables". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 28 June 1985.
- ^ "Las elecciones de 1986 y el liderazgo de Fraga". ABC (in Spanish). 28 June 1985.
- ^ a b "Encuesta Sigma: AP se acerca al PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 28 June 1985.
- ^ a b "El PSOE mantiene su ventaja de cara a las próximas elecciones generales". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 23 June 1985.
- ^ a b "El estado de la opinión ante el Gobierno y las alternativas políticas (4)". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 16 June 1985.
- ^ "Los españoles ante la justicia y la pena de muerte". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 19 April 1985.
- ^ "Un acuerdo de coordinación con Fraga, Pujol y Roca vencería en las próximas elecciones". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 10 March 1985.
- ^ "El 95 por 100 de las bases reclaman la unión de las fuerzas no socialistas". ABC (in Spanish). 10 March 1985.
- ^ "La España de las autonomías, una realidad asumida por los ciudadanos". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 12 February 1985.
- ^ a b "Apoyo electoral a los partidos políticos". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 3 February 1985.
- ^ "La coalición de Fraga y Roca acabaría con la hegemonía del PSOE". ABC (in Spanish). 25 January 1985.
- ^ "El acuerdo Fraga-Roca acabaría con la hegemonía socialista". ABC Sevilla (in Spanish). 26 January 1985.
- ^ "División o unión". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 29 January 1985.
- ^ a b "El PSOE se mantiene como principal fuerza política de cara a 1986". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 1 September 1985.
- ^ "El PSOE perdió 2 millones de votos desde octubre del 82". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 23 December 1984.
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- ^ "El PSOE ha perdido dos millones de votos desde 1982, según una encuesta Gallup". ABC (in Spanish). 23 December 1984.
- ^ "Según un sondeo de AP, sólo seis puntos separan a Fraga de Felipe González". ABC (in Spanish). 31 October 1984.
- ^ "El PSOE perdería la mayoría absoluta de celebrarse elecciones generales". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 4 November 1984.
- ^ "El apoyo popular al PSOE permanece estabilizado en torno al 43 % de los votos válidos desde marzo de 1984". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 28 October 1984.
- ^ "El PSOE no ganaría hoy con tanta facilidad como hace dos años". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 28 October 1984.
- ^ a b c "La popularidad de los líderes". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 11 November 1984.
- ^ "Desciende la intención de voto al PSOE, AP se mantiene y aumentan los indecisos". ABC (in Spanish). 27 September 1984.
- ^ a b "La intención de voto al PSOE descendió en casi cuatro puntos en el mes de agosto". ABC (in Spanish). 8 September 1984.
- ^ "Encuestas políticas". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 28 July 1984.
- ^ "PSOE y Coalición Popular reducen sus diferencias en intención de voto respecto a octubre de 1982". ABC (in Spanish). 30 June 1984.
- ^ "De celebrarse ahora elecciones generates, el PSOE, con el 42,3% de los votos, vería en peligro su mayoría absoluta". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 17 April 1984.
- ^ "De celebrarse ahora elecciones generales, el PSOE, con el 42,3% de los votos, vería en peligro su mayoría absoluta". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 17 April 1984.
- ^ "El PSOE repite y AP rompe el techo alcanzado en las elecciones del 28-O". ABC (in Spanish). 2 May 1983.
- ^ "Una encuesta de Metra Seis publicada por la revista "Tiempo" prevé poca abstención". El Periódico de Catalunya (in Spanish). 29 April 1983.
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- ^ "El gobierno pasó el examen" (PDF). Diario 16 (in Spanish). 11 March 1983.
- ^ a b "Balance de los cien días del Gobierno Socialista". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 6 March 1983.
- ^ a b "Elecciones municipales: Altas expectativa de participación y ventaja del PSOE". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 17 March 1983.
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- ^ a b c d e "Estudio C.I.S. nº 1.538. "Séptimo estudio preelectoral" (13 Junio 1986)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 9 June 1986.
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- ^ a b c d e "Estudio C.I.S. nº 1.531. "Cuarto estudio preelectoral" (21 Mayo 1986)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 25 May 1986.
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- ^ a b c d e "Estudio C.I.S. nº 1.528. "Segundo estudio preelectoral" (Mayo 1986)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 8 May 1986.
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- ^ "Referéndum Alianza Atlántica (Estudio nº 1.521. Marzo 1986)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 March 1986.
- ^ "Referéndum Alianza Atlántica. Marzo - 86 (Estudio nº 1.520)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 7 March 1986.
- ^ "Estudio ECO 1.519 (Marzo 1986)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 4 March 1986.
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- ^ "Referéndum OTAN (Estudio nº 1.514. 27 de Febrero de 1986)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 27 February 1986.
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- ^ "Estudio sobre la OTAN (Diciembre 85. Estudio 1498)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 16 December 1985.
- ^ "La imagen de Manuel Fraga ha mejorado sustancialmente, según un sondeo de AP". ABC (in Spanish). 19 November 1985.
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- ^ "Desapareció la mayoría absoluta". La Prensa Alcarreña (in Spanish). 11 August 1985.
- ^ "Barómetro. Estudio C.I.S. nº 1471 (Julio 1985)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 20 July 1985.
- ^ ""Cambios en el Gobierno". Estudio C.I.S. nº 1470. (Julio 1985)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 July 1985.
- ^ "Cuestiones de política exterior. Estudio C.I.S. 1463 (Junio 1985)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 11 June 1985.
- ^ "La imagen de Iberoamérica en la opinión pública española. Estudio nº 1.467. (Junio 1985)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 5 June 1985.
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- ^ a b "Barómetro de mayo. Estudio nº 1.460. (Mayo 1985)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 May 1985.
- ^ "Estudio 1.456" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 13 April 1985.
- ^ a b "Barómetro febrero - 85. Estudio C.I.S. nº 1.453. (Marzo 1985)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 18 March 1985.
- ^ "Barómetro de diciembre 1984 (Estudio nº 1444. Diciembre 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 30 December 1984.
- ^ "Estudio CIS nº 1444. Barómetro de diciembre de 1984. Ficha técnica" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 30 December 1984.
- ^ "Imagen del sistema de partidos (Estudio nº 1.430. Diciembre 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 December 1984.
- ^ a b "Barómetro noviembre 1984: Dos años de gobierno socialista (Estudio nº 1439. Noviembre 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 December 1984.
- ^ "Discurso del Presidente del Gobierno sobre el estado de la Nación (Octubre de 1984. Estudio nº 1.438)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 November 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro de octubre 1984 (Estudio nº 1436. Octubre 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 30 October 1984.
- ^ "Estudio CIS nº 1436. Barómetro de octubre. Ficha técnica" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 30 October 1984.
- ^ "El 52% de los españoles es contrario a la permanencia de España en la OTAN". El País (in Spanish). 28 October 1984.
- ^ "El desgaste socialista no beneficia a la oposición". El País (in Spanish). 28 October 1984.
- ^ "Aumenta la ventaja electoral del PSOE". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 28 October 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro septiembre 1984 (Estudio nº 1.428. Septiembre 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 September 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro de julio (Estudio nº 1.423. Julio 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 26 July 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro junio 1984 (Estudio nº 1.418. Julio 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 July 1984.
- ^ "Estudio 1.416 (Barómetro de mayo, 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 May 1984.
- ^ "Estudio 1.411" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 28 April 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro marzo 1984 (Estudio nº 1.406. Marzo 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 March 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro febrero, 1984 (Estudio nº 1.401)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 March 1984.
- ^ a b "Barómetro enero 1984 (Estudio nº 1.390. Enero 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 February 1984.
- ^ "Barómetro diciembre 1983 (Estudio nº 1.383. Diciembre 1983)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 3 January 1984.
- ^ "Política exterior (II) (Estudio nº 1.381. Enero 1984)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 January 1984.
- ^ "Estudio 1.380 (Diciembre 1983)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 December 1983.
- ^ "El PSOE sigue doblando en apoyo electoral a Alianza Popular". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 28 November 1983.
- ^ "El PSOE sigue doblando en apoyo electoral a AP". El País (in Spanish). 27 November 1983.
- ^ "El PSOE mantiene el 72% de sus votantes después de un año de gobierno". El País (in Spanish). 27 November 1983.
- ^ "Estudio 1.371" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 13 November 1983.
- ^ a b "Postelectoral municipales y autonómicas 1983 (I) (Estudio nº 1.355. Mayo 1983)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 16 May 1983.
- ^ "Postelectoral generales 1982 (Estudio nº 1.327. Noviembre 1982)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 November 1982.
- ^ "Apoyo popular a los presidenciables". Mediterráneo (in Spanish). 27 January 1985.
- ^ "El PSOE se encarga un sondeo". ABC (in Spanish). 30 November 1983.
- ^ "Barómetro mayo 1983 (Estudio nº 1.350. Mayo 1983)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 1 May 1983.
- ^ "El 54% de encuestados por Gallup aprueba la gestión del presidente Felipe González". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 17 March 1985.
- ^ a b c d "La gestión del presidente González aprobada por un 57% de encuestados por Gallup". Diario de Navarra (in Spanish). 28 December 1984.
- ^ "Felipe González tiene mejor imagen que el conjunto del Gobierno". El País (in Spanish). 28 October 1984.
- ^ "La imagen política de Felipe González, en momento muy bajo". ABC (in Spanish). 12 August 1984.
- ^ a b c "Evolución de la popularidad del presidente Felipe González". ABC (in Spanish). 12 August 1984.
- ^ "La popularidad del presidente del Gobierno llega a su punto más bajo". ABC (in Spanish). 5 March 1984.
- ^ a b c "La popularidad de Felipe González ha descendido trece puntos entre los meses de febrero a octubre". ABC (in Spanish). 26 November 1983.
- ^ a b c "Un 22 por 100 desaprueba la forma de gobierno de Felipe González". ABC (in Spanish). 26 November 1983.