In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island councils in the Balearic Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
editIbiza (town)
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
G | EPIC | Más | 
|
AL–in | PxE | 
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 47.7 | 29.3 8 |
32.7 9 |
[a] | 4.7 0 |
[b] | [a] | [b] | 4.2 0 |
10.3 2 |
9.5 2 |
3.7 0 |
3.4 |
| IBES/Última Hora[1] | 15 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | ? | ? | 28.0 7 |
26.0 6 |
2.0 0 |
6.0 1 |
[b] | 2.0 0 |
[b] | 5.0 1 |
12.0 3 |
12.0 3 |
– | 2.0 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 47.2 | 31.3 8 |
28.8 8 |
16.4 4 |
6.7 1 |
4.7 0 |
3.2 0 |
1.5 0 |
– | – | – | – | 2.5 |
Palma
edit- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
El Pi |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 50.2 | 18.8 6 |
26.5 9 |
10.4 3 |
[c] | 12.2 4 |
[c] | 3.7 0 |
10.8 3 |
13.2 4 |
7.7 |
| IBES/IB3[2][3] | 20–25 May 2019 | 800 | ? | 18.8 5/7 |
25.0 8/9 |
13.5 4/5 |
[c] | 9.9 2/3 |
[c] | – | 13.8 4/5 |
11.4 3/4 |
6.2 |
| IBES/Última Hora[4] | 13–16 May 2019 | 400 | ? | 19.0 6/7 |
26.0 8/9 |
12.0 3/4 |
[c] | 15.0 4/5 |
[c] | 3.0 0 |
13.0 3/4 |
10.0 2/3 |
7.0 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[5] | 13–14 May 2019 | ? | ? | 19.3 6 |
25.5 8 |
13.6 4 |
[c] | 17.5 5/6 |
[c] | 4.1 0 |
11.2 3/4 |
6.6 2 |
6.2 |
| Gadeso[6] | 30 Apr–11 May 2019 | ? | 59–61 | 17.2 5 |
22.0 7 |
13.9 4 |
[c] | 18.9 5/6 |
[c] | 6.3 0/1 |
13.9 4 |
8.3 2/3 |
3.1 |
| IBES/Última Hora[7] | 18–29 Jun 2018 | 1,000 | ? | 22.0 7/8 |
17.0 5/6 |
14.0 4/5 |
12.0 4 |
20.0 6/7 |
3.0 0 |
6.0 1/2 |
– | – | 2.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[8] | 25–29 Sep 2017 | 400 | ? | 28.0 9/10 |
21.0 7 |
13.0 4 |
12.0 4 |
14.0 4/5 |
2.0 0 |
5.0 1 |
– | – | 7.0 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 54.1 | 26.6 9 |
18.9 6 |
15.7 5 |
14.8* 5 |
11.7 4 |
4.0[d] 0 |
3.7 0 |
– | – | 7.7 |
| (*) Results for We Are Palma. | |||||||||||||
Sant Josep de sa Talaia
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
G | AL–in | EPIC |
|
|
PxE |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 46.5 | 33.2 8 |
22.7 5 |
[a] | [b] | 2.2 0 |
12.0 3 |
8.0 2 |
5.4 1 |
5.4 1 |
5.4 1 |
10.5 |
| IBES/Última Hora[9] | 15 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | ? | ? | 29.0 7 |
23.0 5 |
5.0 1 |
[b] | 2.0 0 |
12.0 3 |
12.0 3 |
9.0 2 |
– | – | 6.0 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 47.1 | 32.7 9 |
25.0 6 |
14.6 4 |
8.4 2 |
2.8 0 |
– | – | – | – | – | 7.7 |
Santa Eulària des Riu
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
G | EPIC | Más | AL–in | PxE |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 48.4 | 51.6 13 |
23.4 6 |
[a] | 1.5 0 |
[b] | [b] | 0.8 0 |
[c] | 4.9 0 |
10.9 2 |
2.9 0 |
28.2 |
| IBES/Última Hora[10] | 15 Oct–2 Nov 2018 | ? | ? | 45.0 11 |
21.0 5 |
2.0 0 |
2.0 0 |
[b] | [b] | 4.0 0 |
12.0 3 |
9.0 2 |
– | – | 24.0 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 46.2 | 48.3 12 |
21.9 5 |
15.3 4 |
3.2 0 |
2.6 0 |
1.2 0 |
– | – | – | – | – | 26.4 |
Island Councils
editIbiza (island)
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
GxE | PxE | EPIC | Más | AL–in |
|
G |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 49.4 | 39.4 6 |
28.5 4 |
[c] | – | 2.9 0 |
2.0 0 |
[b] | [b] | 6.9 1 |
[a] | 4.1 0 |
3.0 0 |
12.0 2 |
10.9 |
| IBES/Última Hora[11] | 13–16 May 2019 | 300 | ? | 26.0 4/5 |
28.0 4/5 |
[c] | – | 5.0 0 |
3.0 0 |
[b] | [b] | 11.0 1/2 |
[a] | 6.0 0/1 |
3.0 0 |
14.0 2 |
2.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[12][13] | 15–19 Oct 2018 | 300 | ? | 30.0 5 |
22.0 3/4 |
16.0 2 |
3.0 0 |
7.0 0/1 |
2.0 0 |
[b] | [b] | 14.0 2 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | – | 8.0 |
| 2015 Island Council election | 24 May 2015 | — | 49.3 | 34.0 6 |
23.8 4 |
18.9 3 |
5.1 0 |
4.6 0 |
2.5 0 |
2.3 0 |
1.8 0 |
– | – | – | – | – | 10.2 |
Mallorca
edit- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
El Pi |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.2 | 20.6 7 |
26.5 10 |
12.7 4 |
[c] | 9.1 3 |
10.3 3 |
[c] | 9.1 3 |
9.5 3 |
5.9 |
| IBES/IB3[2][3] | 20–25 May 2019 | 1,200 | ? | 17.6 6/7 |
25.1 9/10 |
13.8 4/5 |
[c] | 7.8 2/3 |
12.8 4/5 |
[c] | 9.2 3/4 |
10.9 3/4 |
7.5 |
| IBES/Última Hora[14] | 13–16 May 2019 | 600 | ? | 21.0 7/8 |
24.0 8/9 |
14.0 4/5 |
[c] | 7.0 2/3 |
12.0 4/5 |
[c] | 8.0 2/3 |
11.0 3/4 |
3.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[12] | 15–19 Oct 2018 | 300 | ? | 22.0 8/9 |
18.0 6/7 |
11.0 3/4 |
15.0 5/6 |
10.0 3/4 |
17.0 5/6 |
2.0 0 |
3.0 0 |
– | 4.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[15] | 25–29 Sep 2017 | 800 | ? | 27.0 10 |
20.0 7/8 |
14.0 5 |
12.0 4 |
9.0 3 |
11.0 3/4 |
2.0 0 |
– | – | 7.0 |
| 2015 Island Council election | 24 May 2015 | — | 60.2 | 27.8 10 |
17.9 7 |
17.3 6 |
14.3 5 |
9.4 3 |
7.3 2 |
1.8[e] 0 |
– | – | 9.9 |
Menorca
edit- Color key:
Poll conducted after legal ban on opinion polls
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
EM | El Pi |
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.0 | 28.6 4 |
26.7 4 |
17.8 3 |
[c] | 8.6 1 |
[c] | 2.7 0 |
11.0 1 |
2.7 0 |
1.9 |
| IBES/IB3[2][16] | 20–25 May 2019 | 600 | ? | 20.5 3 |
28.0 4/5 |
15.0 2 |
[c] | 12.3 1/2 |
[c] | – | 13.2 1/2 |
– | 7.5 |
| IBES/Última Hora[17] | 13–16 May 2019 | 300 | ? | 23.0 3/4 |
27.0 4/5 |
14.0 2 |
[c] | 12.0 1/2 |
[c] | 4.0 0 |
10.0 1/2 |
5.0 0 |
4.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[12] | 15–19 Oct 2018 | 300 | ? | 25.0 4 |
24.0 3/4 |
13.0 2 |
10.0 1 |
16.0 2/3 |
4.0 0 |
4.0 0 |
– | – | 1.0 |
| 2015 Island Council election | 24 May 2015 | — | 58.4 | 31.8 5 |
22.5 3 |
18.7 3 |
12.5 2 |
5.0[f] 0 |
4.2 0 |
3.0 0 |
– | – | 9.3 |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ a b c d e f Within Ara.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p Within PxE.
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y Within Unidas Podemos.
- ^ Result for Let's Win Palma: Unitary Left.
- ^ Result for Let's Win the Balearic Islands.
- ^ Result for Citizens of Menorca–Ciutadella de Menorca People's Union.
References
edit- ^ "Las fuerzas de izquierda pierden la mayoría en el Ayuntamiento de Eivissa". Periódico de Ibiza (in Spanish). 12 November 2018.
- ^ a b c "El PSIB ganaría en Baleares, con entre 17 y 19 escaños, y Vox entraría al Parlament, según sondeo de IB3". Europa Press (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
- ^ a b "El PSIB, primera fuerza política en el Parlament, según los sondeos". Última Hora (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
- ^ "La izquierda volverá a gobernar en Palma, aunque no hay nada sentenciado". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
- ^ "El Pacte de Cort, a las puertas de repetir por un puñado de votos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 16 May 2019.
- ^ "SONDEO ELECTORAL. ELECCIONES AL AYUNTAMIENTO DE PALMA 2019" (PDF). Gadeso (in Spanish). 17 May 2019.
- ^ "PALMA. Elecciones municipales. Encuesta IBES para Última Hora. Junio 2018". Electograph (in Spanish). 15 July 2018.
- ^ "PALMA. Sondeo IBES. Municipales. Septiembre 2017". Electograph (in Spanish). 23 October 2017.
- ^ "El PSOE baja en Sant Josep pero podría gobernar junto a Podemos y Guanyem". Periódico de Ibiza (in Spanish). 17 November 2018.
- ^ "El PP pierde un concejal pero mantiene la mayoría absoluta en Santa Eulària". Periódico de Ibiza (in Spanish). 12 November 2018.
- ^ "El PSOE ganará las elecciones y podría repetir gobierno con Podemos en el Consell d'Eivissa". Periódico de Ibiza (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ a b c "El PI será clave para definir el gobierno del Consell de Mallorca". Última Hora (in Spanish). 5 November 2018.
- ^ "PP y Ciudadanos suman y desalojan a la izquierda del Consell d'Eivissa". Periódico de Ibiza (in Spanish). 5 November 2018.
- ^ "El PSOE ganará en votos y el PI tendrá la llave para el gobierno del Consell". Última Hora (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.
- ^ "Oct17. Estimación de voto al Consell de Mallorca". Instituto Balear de Estudios Sociales (in Spanish). 22 October 2017.
- ^ "El PSIB, primera fuerza política en el Parlament y el Consell, según los sondeos". eldiario.es (in Spanish). 26 May 2019.
- ^ "El PSOE rentabiliza la gestión del Consell a costa de Més y Podemos". Última Hora (in Spanish). 18 May 2019.