In the run up to the 2019 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Cantabria are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 24 May 2015, to the day the next elections were held, on 26 May 2019.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
editCamargo
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
PRC | 
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.8 | 26.9 6 |
31.2 8 |
15.7 4 |
5.0 0 |
2.8 0 |
11.6 3 |
4.3 |
| Cantabria24Horas[1] | 11 Nov 2018 | ? | ? | ? 7 |
? 7 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 3 |
Tie |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 68.9 | 41.1 10 |
23.7 5 |
15.2 3 |
7.9 2 |
6.2* 1 |
– | 17.4 |
| (*) Results for Let's Win Camargo. | ||||||||||
Castro Urdiales
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
PRC |
|
MC– AAC |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 64.0 | 14.8 3 |
12.5 3 |
23.9 6 |
26.1 6 |
– | 6.5 1 |
7.7 2 |
3.3 0 |
2.2 |
| MuchoCastro[2] | 17–19 May 2019 | 520 | ? | ? 6/7 |
? 5 |
? 4 |
? 3/4 |
– | ? 0 |
? 1/2 |
? 0/1 |
? |
| MuchoCastro[3] | 18–29 Dec 2018 | 698 | ? | ? 6 |
? 5 |
? 3 |
? 3/4 |
– | ? 1/2 |
? 1 |
? 1 |
? |
| MuchoCastro[4] | 25 May–3 Jun 2018 | 495 | ? | 19.9 4/5 |
23.9 6 |
12.2 3 |
18.4 4/5 |
– | 9.0 2 |
5.7 1 |
– | 4.0 |
| MuchoCastro[5][6] | 6–12 Dec 2017 | 676 | ? | 18.2 4 |
25.9 6 |
13.8 3 |
22.5 5/6 |
– | 12.7 2/3 |
– | – | 3.4 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 61.8 | 29.7 7 |
19.4 5 |
18.7 4 |
15.5 4 |
5.8 1 |
– | – | – | 10.3 |
El Astillero
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
PRC |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.8 | 14.2 3 |
19.1 4 |
22.5 4 |
5.3 1 |
26.7 5 |
4.2 |
| Cantabria24Horas[1] | 11 Nov 2018 | ? | ? | ? 3 |
? 2 |
? 4 |
? 1 |
? 7 |
? |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 69.0 | 33.6 6 |
24.1 5 |
24.0 4 |
12.5 2 |
– | 9.5 |
Piélagos
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
PRC | AVIP |
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 69.7 | 35.8 9 |
12.5 3 |
7.5 2 |
25.8 6 |
6.5 1 |
3.6 0 |
10.0 |
| Cantabria24Horas[1] | 11 Nov 2018 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 5 |
? 1 |
? 6 |
? 3 |
? 0 |
Tie |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 68.5 | 34.4 8 |
16.0 4 |
14.8 3 |
14.1 3 |
9.4 2 |
7.3 1 |
18.4 |
Santander
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
PRC |
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 64.7 | 35.3 11 |
23.4 7 |
19.1 5 |
8.8 2 |
[a] | [a] | 5.3 1 |
6.1 1 |
11.9 |
| Sigma Dos/El Diario Montañés[7] | 6–8 May 2019 | 400 | ? | 29.8 9 |
24.2 7/8 |
15.8 5 |
12.6 3/4 |
[a] | [a] | 4.5 0 |
8.9 2 |
5.6 |
| Sigma Dos/PP[8] | 2 Dec 2018 | ? | ? | 35.0 10/11 |
22.3 6/7 |
12.1 3 |
13.1 4 |
[a] | [a] | – | 11.8 3 |
12.7 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 64.3 | 40.8 13 |
17.6 5 |
15.4 4 |
8.3 2 |
6.8* 2 |
5.5 1 |
0.7 0 |
– | 23.2 |
| (*) Results for Let's Win Santander Can. | ||||||||||||
Torrelavega
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
PRC | TSí | ACPT |
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 68.8 | 15.9 5 |
26.4 8 |
26.8 8 |
6.2 1 |
8.6 2 |
[a] | 6.3 1 |
4.6 0 |
3.5 0 |
0.4 |
| Sigma Dos/El Diario Montañés[9] | 6–8 May 2019 | ? | ? | 17.9 5 |
29.6 8/9 |
19.1 5/6 |
5.1 0/1 |
7.1 1/2 |
[a] | 6.1 1 |
5.5 1 |
7.4 2 |
10.5 |
| 2015 municipal election | 24 May 2015 | — | 69.7 | 24.5 7 |
20.0 6 |
17.7 5 |
12.6 4 |
8.1 2 |
5.4* 1 |
4.6 0 |
– | – | 4.5 |
| (*) Results for Torrelavega Can. | |||||||||||||
Notes
editReferences
edit- ^ a b c "Según una encuesta, en las municipales de 2019, el PP quedaría muy debilitado en Astillero, Camargo y Piélagos". Cantabria24Horas (in Spanish). 11 November 2018.
- ^ "Barómetro electoral MUCHOCASTRO/ Así encaran los partidos de Castro Urdiales la recta final la campaña para el 26M". MuchoCastro (in Spanish). 20 May 2019.
- ^ "Siete partidos obtendrían representación en el ayuntamiento si se celebrasen hoy elecciones en Castro Urdiales". MuchoCastro (in Spanish). 11 February 2018.
- ^ "Barómetro de intención de voto: el PP sería el partido más votado en Castro Urdiales a un año de las elecciones". MuchoCastro (in Spanish). 6 June 2018.
- ^ "Barómetro MUCHOCASTRO 2017: Así quedaría el Ayuntamiento si mañana hubiera elecciones en Castro Urdiales". MuchoCastro (in Spanish). 14 January 2018.
- ^ "CASTRO URDIALES (Cantabria). Sondeo muchocastro.com. Municipales. Diciembre 2017". Electograph (in Spanish). 21 January 2018.
- ^ "Igual ganará en Santander pero PSOE, PRC y Unidas suma mayoría y podrían gobernar". El Diario Montañés (in Spanish). 13 May 2019.
- ^ "SANTANDER. Encuesta SigmaDos: UNIDOS PODEMOS 11,8% (3), PSOE 22,3% (6/7), PRC 12,1% (3), Cs 13,1% (4), PP 35,0% (10/11)". Electograph (in Spanish). 2 December 2018.
- ^ "Cruz Viadero ganará en Torrelavega y podrá gobernar si reedita el pacto con el PRC". El Diario Montañés (in Spanish). 14 May 2019.