In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island councils in the Balearic Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.
Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.
Municipalities
editIbiza (town)
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
EPIC | 
|
PxE | Ara | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 48.3 | 24.8 7 |
47.6 15 |
5.5 1 |
1.6 0 |
3.7 0 |
8.8 1 |
– | 4.2 0 |
22.8 |
| IBES/Periódico de Ibiza[1] | 24–31 Jan 2023 | 600 | ? | 28.4 9 |
38.8 12 |
8.7 2 |
2.6 0 |
2.4 0 |
7.5 2 |
4.0 0 |
3.0 0 |
10.4 |
| IBES/Periódico de Ibiza[2][3] | 4–15 Jul 2022 | 900 | ? | 26.8 8 |
36.5 11 |
9.5 3 |
3.4 0 |
– | 9.3 2 |
6.2 1 |
– | 9.7 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 47.7 | 32.7 9 |
29.3 8 |
10.3 2 |
9.5 2 |
4.7 0 |
4.5 0 |
4.2 0 |
3.7 0 |
3.4 |
Palma
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 municipal election | 28 May 2023 | — | 54.5 | 24.9 8 |
32.2 11 |
20.5 6 |
1.9 0 |
5.1 1 |
9.3 3 |
2.3 0 |
7.3 |
| Gadeso/Diario de Mallorca[4] | 30 Apr–15 May 2023 | ? | ? | 23.1 8/9 |
24.9 8/9 |
14.6 5/6 |
2.3 0 |
8.5 2/3 |
12.4 4 |
– | 1.8 |
| NC Report/Mallorca Diario[5] | 11–17 Apr 2023 | 600 | 51.9 | 24.0 8 |
27.8 9 |
18.5 6 |
3.6 0 |
9.5 3 |
9.2 3 |
4.1 0 |
3.8 |
| IBES/Última Hora[6][7] | 3–7 Apr 2023 | 1,040 | ? | 24.3 8 |
27.1 9 |
18.7 6 |
4.3 0 |
8.6 2/3 |
10.1 3/4 |
2.7 0 |
2.8 |
| IBES/Última Hora[8] | 5–15 Jan 2023 | 400 | ? | 23.1 8 |
27.4 9 |
16.7 6 |
4.5 0 |
8.4 3 |
10.9 3 |
4.5 0 |
4.3 |
| Sigma Dos/El Mundo[9][10] | 16–22 Dec 2022 | 408 | ? | 24.6 8 |
28.8 9 |
12.4 4 |
5.6 1/2 |
6.7 2 |
14.6 4/5 |
– | 4.2 |
| IBES/Última Hora[11] | 1–10 Mar 2022 | ? | ? | 20.1 6 |
26.8 9 |
20.6 7 |
5.6 1 |
10.0 3 |
10.4 3 |
1.9 0 |
6.2 |
| Data10/OKDiario[12] | 24–25 Sep 2021 | 1,000 | ? | 25.7 9 |
26.9 9 |
18.4 6 |
3.5 0 |
8.5 2 |
9.8 3 |
3.4 0 |
1.2 |
| IBES/Última Hora[13] | 13–20 Sep 2021 | 600 | ? | 22.2 7 |
25.6 9 |
18.7 6 |
4.7 0 |
9.5 3 |
12.5 4 |
2.3 0 |
3.4 |
| ElectoPanel/Electomanía[14] | 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020 | ? | ? | 26.2 8 |
24.3 8 |
15.7 5 |
8.7 2 |
8.8 3 |
9.4 3 |
– | 1.9 |
| 2019 municipal election | 26 May 2019 | — | 50.2 | 26.5 9 |
18.8 6 |
13.2 4 |
12.2 4 |
10.8 3 |
10.4 3 |
3.7 0 |
7.7 |
Island Councils
editFormentera
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout | 
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Island Council election | 28 May 2023 | — | 55.0 | 26.0 5 |
47.1 9 |
17.7 3 |
1.9 0 |
3.9 0 |
21.1 |
| Gadeso/Diario de Mallorca[15][16] | 30 Apr–15 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 5/6 |
? 4/5 |
? 0/1 |
? 0/1 |
? |
| Periódico de Ibiza[a][17] | Dec 2022 | 505 | 52.1 | 42.0 7 |
30.7 6 |
23.4 4 |
3.8 0 |
– | 11.3 |
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 51.5 | 35.5 6 |
33.7 6 |
26.9 5 |
2.7 0 |
– | 1.8 |
Ibiza (island)
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
El Pi | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Island Council election | 28 May 2023 | — | 47.2 | 52.4 8 |
24.3 3 |
6.3 1 |
1.5 0 |
8.2 1 |
1.3 0 |
28.1 |
| IBES/Última Hora[18] | 12–18 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 46.5 7 |
27.2 4 |
9.0 1 |
1.3 0 |
7.2 1 |
4.3 0 |
19.3 |
| Gadeso/Diario de Mallorca[15][16] | 30 Apr–15 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 6 |
? 4 |
? 2 |
? 0 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[19][20] | 5–15 Jan 2023 | 400 | ? | ? 7 |
? 4 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[21] | 26–30 Sep 2022 | 300 | ? | 37.1 6/7 |
26.1 4 |
11.9 1/2 |
3.7 0 |
10.0 1 |
3.5 0 |
11.0 |
| IBES/Periódico de Ibiza[22][23] | 4–15 Jul 2022 | 900 | ? | 36.6 6 |
27.9 4 |
11.4 2 |
3.4 0 |
10.8 1 |
3.9 0 |
8.7 |
| IBES/Última Hora[24] | 1–10 Mar 2022 | 200 | ? | 35.2 5 |
24.6 4 |
15.6 2 |
6.5 1 |
11.2 1 |
3.3 0 |
10.6 |
| IBES/Última Hora[25][24] | 8–12 Jun 2021 | 200 | ? | 34.3 6 |
28.3 5 |
10.6 1 |
7.4 1 |
5.5 0 |
5.5 0 |
6.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[26][27] | 8–12 Jun 2020 | 200 | ? | 34.6 5/6 |
31.6 5 |
9.7 1 |
6.1 0/1 |
6.4 0/1 |
4.1 0 |
3.0 |
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 49.4 | 39.4 6 |
28.5 4 |
12.0 2 |
6.9 1 |
4.1 0 |
2.9[b] 0 |
10.9 |
Mallorca
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Island Council election | 28 May 2023 | — | 58.9 | 25.5 9 |
34.2 13 |
11.7 4 |
1.4 0 |
4.3 0 |
5.2 2 |
15.3 5 |
8.7 |
| Gadeso/Diario de Mallorca[15][16] | 30 Apr–15 May 2023 | ? | ? | 25.1 7/8 |
28.1 8/9 |
12.8 4/5 |
2.0 0 |
8.6 3 |
7.9 3 |
13.0 4/5 |
3.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[19][20] | 5–15 Jan 2023 | 400 | ? | ? 9/10 |
? 10/11 |
? 4 |
? 0 |
? 3 |
? 0/2 |
? 6 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[28] | 26–30 Sep 2022 | 300 | ? | ? 7/8 |
? 11/12 |
? 3/4 |
? 0 |
? 3 |
? 2 |
? 5/6 |
? |
| IBES/Última Hora[24] | 1–10 Mar 2022 | 600 | ? | 20.3 7 |
24.9 9 |
11.7 4 |
7.5 2 |
12.1 4 |
6.0 2 |
16.2 5 |
4.6 |
| Data10/OKDiario[29] | 23–24 Sep 2021 | ? | ? | 25.2 9 |
26.8 10 |
13.1 4 |
5.0 0 |
7.9 2 |
8.8 3 |
13.5 5 |
1.6 |
| IBES/Última Hora[25] | 8–12 Jun 2021 | 600 | ? | 24.0 8/9 |
25.9 9/10 |
11.3 4 |
6.8 2 |
10.0 3 |
7.7 2 |
11.1 4 |
1.9 |
| IBES/Última Hora[26][27] | 8–12 Jun 2020 | 600 | ? | 28.5 10/11 |
22.7 8/9 |
10.5 3/4 |
7.1 2 |
8.8 3 |
7.1 2 |
11.7 3/4 |
5.8 |
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 56.2 | 26.5 10 |
20.6 7 |
12.7 4 |
10.3 3 |
9.5 3 |
9.1 3 |
9.1 3 |
5.9 |
Menorca
edit| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Turnout |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 Island Council election | 28 May 2023 | — | 55.0 | 39.4 6 |
27.2 4 |
17.4 2 |
6.2 0 |
1.3 0 |
– | 6.2 1 |
12.2 |
| IBES/Menorca.info[30][31] | 12–18 May 2023 | 600 | ? | 37.5 5/6 |
26.7 4 |
18.8 2/3 |
8.4 1 |
2.3 0 |
– | 4.6 0 |
10.8 |
| Gadeso/Diario de Mallorca[15][16] | 30 Apr–15 May 2023 | ? | ? | ? 4 |
? 4 |
? 3 |
? 1 |
? 0 |
? 0 |
? 1 |
? |
| PSYMA/MxMe[32] | 27 Mar–5 Apr 2023 | 800 | 56 | 32.3 5 |
23.9 3/4 |
23.8 3/4 |
7.9 0/1 |
2.8 0 |
– | 6.2 0/1 |
8.4 |
| IBES/Última Hora[33] | 5–15 Jan 2023 | 400 | ? | 35.1 5 |
25.3 4 |
20.6 3 |
9.8 1 |
3.0 0 |
– | 4.5 0 |
9.8 |
| IBES/Última Hora[34] | 26–30 Sep 2022 | 300 | ? | 33.1 5/6 |
23.1 3/4 |
18.9 3 |
11.3 1 |
3.6 0 |
2.1 0 |
5.7 0 |
10.0 |
| IBES/Última Hora[24] | 1–10 Mar 2022 | 200 | ? | 27.0 4 |
22.5 3 |
20.9 3 |
13.0 2 |
6.3 0 |
1.8 0 |
7.0 1 |
4.5 |
| IBES/Última Hora[25] | 8–12 Jun 2021 | 200 | ? | 28.9 4/5 |
26.1 4 |
16.2 2 |
11.7 1/2 |
6.6 0/1 |
2.1 0 |
5.9 0 |
2.8 |
| IBES/Última Hora[26][27] | 8–12 Jun 2020 | 200 | ? | 25.9 4 |
29.1 4/5 |
14.7 2 |
10.3 1/2 |
7.9 1 |
2.2 0 |
5.4 0/1 |
3.2 |
| 2019 Island Council election | 26 May 2019 | — | 58.0 | 28.6 4 |
26.7 4 |
17.8 3 |
11.0 1 |
8.6 1 |
2.7 0 |
2.7 0 |
1.9 |
Notes
editReferences
edit- ^ "Encuesta en Vila: el PP rozaría la mayoría o gobernaría con Vox". Periódico de Ibiza y Formentera (in Spanish). 5 February 2023.
- ^ "El PP aumenta sus opciones de arrebatar a Ruiz la Alcaldía de Vila". Periódico de Ibiza y Formentera (in Spanish). 1 August 2022.
- ^ "EIVISSA (Ayuntamiento). Encuesta IBES 01/08/2022: PODEM-EUIB 9,5% (3), PSOE 26,8% (8), PxE 6,2% (1), Cs 3,4%, PP 36,5% (11), VOX 9,3% (2)". Electograph (in Spanish). 1 August 2022.
- ^ "La izquierda conserva la mayoría absoluta en el ayuntamiento de Palma". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 21 May 2023.
- ^ "El PP gana en Palma y pone la alcaldía al alcance de Jaime Martínez". Mallorca Diario (in Spanish). 26 April 2023.
- ^ "PP y Vox desbancan a la izquierda en Palma y se hacen con la mayoría". Última Hora (in Spanish). 16 April 2023.
- ^ "¿Gana la derecha o pierde la izquierda?". Última Hora (in Spanish). 16 April 2023.
- ^ "La derecha conquista el poder en Palma y PP y Vox tendrán la mayoría absoluta". Última Hora (in Spanish). 30 January 2023.
- ^ "Empate de bloques por el control de la Alcaldía de Palma: el PP recupera el pulso y supera al PSOE por una distancia mínima". El Mundo (in Spanish). 25 December 2022.
- ^ "PALMA. Encuesta SigmaDos 26/12/2022: PODEM-EUIB 6,7% (2), MÉS 14,6% (4/5), PSOE 24,6% (8), Cs 5,6% (1/2), PP 28,8% (9), VOX 12,4% (4)". Electográfica (in Spanish). 25 December 2022.
- ^ "El Pacte pierde la mayoría en Cort". Última Hora (in Spanish). 19 March 2022.
- ^ "El PP ganaría hoy las elecciones en Palma y recuperaría la Alcaldía con el apoyo de Vox". OKDiario (in Spanish). 28 September 2021.
- ^ "Una alianza de PP y Vox conseguiría la mayoría absoluta en Cort". Última Hora (in Spanish). 3 October 2021.
- ^ "Especial EP Municipal (15J'20): así ha cambiado el panorama en 14 ciudades españolas". Electomanía (in Spanish). 17 June 2020.
- ^ a b c d "Estabilidad en los Consells, solo Mallorca vira hacia la derecha". Diario de Mallorca (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ a b c d "[INS] ILLES BALEARS · Encuesta Gadeso 20/05/2023". Electograph (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ "GxF ganaría las elecciones al Consell y al Parlament, según una encuesta". Periódico de Ibiza y Formentera (in Spanish). 8 April 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta: mayoría ajustada del PP en el Consell d'Eivissa". Última Hora (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ a b "La izquierda acaricia su tercer mandato pero PP y Vox acechan". Última Hora (in Spanish). 29 January 2023.
- ^ a b "Consells: Menorca será para el tripartito, el PP arrasa en Ibiza y en Mallorca todo depende del Pi". Última Hora (in Spanish). 29 January 2023.
- ^ "Encuesta: el PP rozaría la mayoría absoluta en el Consell de Ibiza". Periódico de Ibiza y Formentera (in Spanish). 10 October 2022.
- ^ "Encuesta: el PP gana ventaja sobre el PSOE para mantener el poder en el Consell". Periódico de Ibiza y Formentera (in Spanish). 31 July 2022.
- ^ "EIVISSA (Consell). Encuesta IBES 31/07/2022: PODEM-EUIB 11,4% (2), PSOE 27,9% (4), PxE 3,9%, Cs 3,4%, PP 36,6% (6), VOX 10,8% (1)". Electograph (in Spanish). 31 July 2022.
- ^ a b c d "Baleares gira a la derecha y abre la puerta al cambio político por la caída del PSIB". Última Hora (in Spanish). 20 March 2022.
- ^ a b c "El PP vuelve a ser el partido más votado pero queda lejos del Govern". Última Hora (in Spanish). 4 July 2021.
- ^ a b c "Los partidos de izquierdas ganan pero Armengol sube a costa de sus socios". Última Hora (in Spanish). 21 June 2020.
- ^ a b c "Susana Mora y Francina Armengol afianzan su liderazgo pese a la crisis". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 21 June 2020.
- ^ "La derecha amenaza la continuidad del Pacte en el Consell de Mallorca". Última Hora (in Spanish). 10 October 2022.
- ^ "El PP ganaría las elecciones en Mallorca y la izquierda sólo podría gobernar pactando con el PI". OKDiario (in Spanish). 24 September 2021.
- ^ "La izquierda no sufre desgaste en Menorca y retendrá el Consell pese al alza del PP". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 20 May 2023.
- ^ "Los sondeos en Menorca detectan una subida de PP y Vox insuficiente para dar la vuelta al Consell". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- ^ "Una encuesta de Més per Menorca le sitúa a solo una décima de superar al PSOE". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 13 May 2023.
- ^ "El Consell de Menorca apunta a un nuevo pacto de izquierdas". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 10 October 2022.
- ^ "Vox queda fuera del Consell y la izquierda retiene la mayoría frente al avance del PP". Menorca.info (in Spanish). 10 October 2022.