Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking voting intention for the next election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3%.
2024
edit| Publisher/Pollster | Polling period |
Sample size |
Lula PT |
Tarcísio Republicanos |
J. Bolsonaro[a] PL |
Marçal PRTB |
M. Bolsonaro PL |
Ciro PDT |
Zema NOVO |
Ratinho PSD |
Moro UNIÃO |
Caiado UNIÃO |
Leite PSDB |
Barbalho MDB |
Tebet MDB |
Cristina PP |
Blank/Null/ Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNT/MDA[1] | 7–10 November 2024 | 2,002 | 35.2% | — | 32.2% | 8.4% | — | 6.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8% | — | 10% | 3% |
| 34.1% | — | — | 14.1% | 20.5% | 9.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.2% | — | 12.8% | 13.6% | |||
| 35.2% | 15% | — | 16.9% | — | 9.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.5% | — | 14% | 18.3% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[2] | 18–22 July 2024 | 2,026 | 38.3% | — | 36.9% | — | — | 7.9% | — | — | — | 3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | — | — | 11.6% | 1.4% |
| 38.7% | — | — | — | 30.3% | 9.1% | — | — | — | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | — | — | 14.5% | 8.4% | |||
| 38.9% | 24.4% | — | — | — | 11.8% | — | — | — | 4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | — | — | 17.6% | 14.5% | |||
| 39% | — | — | — | — | 12.4% | — | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | — | — | 22.8% | 24.8% | ||||
| 38.8% | — | — | — | — | 13.3% | 13.1% | — | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% | — | — | 23.9% | 25.5% | ||||
| Genial/Quaest[3] | 02–06 May 2024 | 2,045 | 46% | 40% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14% | 6% |
| Paraná Pesquisas[4] | 27 April–1 May 2024 | 2,020 | 36.0% | — | 38.8% | — | — | 8.4% | — | — | — | — | 3.4% | 1.0% | — | — | 12.3% | 2.8% |
| 36.6% | — | — | — | 33% | 10.1% | — | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1.4% | — | — | 15.0% | 3.6% | |||
| 36.9% | 25.6% | — | — | — | 11.8% | — | — | — | — | 3.8% | 1.3% | — | — | 20.7% | 11.3% | |||
| 37.2% | — | — | — | — | 14.7% | — | — | — | 10.9% | 5.6% | 1.7% | — | — | 29.8% | 22.5% | |||
| 36.9% | — | — | — | — | 15.2% | — | — | — | — | 6.5% | 1.9% | — | 15.2% | 31.0% | 21.7% | |||
| 36.3% | — | — | — | — | 13.8% | — | 17.6% | — | — | 4.9% | 1.6% | — | — | 25.9% | 18.7% | |||
| 37.2% | — | — | — | — | 14.8% | 14.9% | — | — | — | 5.1% | 1.8% | — | — | 26.3% | 22.3% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[5] | 24–28 January 2024 | 2,026 | 37.6% | — | — | — | 23% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | — | 1.9% | — | 0.9% | — | — | 15.6% | 14.6% |
| 37.4% | 17.4% | — | — | — | 10.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | — | 2.1% | — | 1.1% | — | — | 19.6% | 20% | |||
| 36.9% | — | 33.8% | — | — | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | — | 1.2% | — | 0.8% | — | — | 11.7% | 3.1% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas[6] | 29 September – 3 October 2023 | 2,020 | 36.6% | 12.7% | — | — | — | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | — | 7.4% | 1.9% | 14.9% | 23.9% |
| 37.6% | 18.9% | — | — | — | 8.7% | — | — | — | — | 3.7% | — | 9.0% | — | 22.2% | 18.7% | |||
| 37.6% | — | — | — | — | 8.8% | 15.3% | — | — | — | 4.0% | — | 8.8% | — | 25.5% | 22.3% | |||
| 37.7% | — | — | — | — | 9.2% | — | 12.8% | — | — | 4.1% | — | 8.7% | — | 27.4% | 24.9% |
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Ineligible.
References
edit- ^ "Pesquisa testa cenários com Lula, Marçal, Tarcísio, Bolsonaro e Michelle para 2026; veja os números". CartaCapital (in Brazilian Portuguese). 12 November 2024. Retrieved 14 November 2024.
- ^ Aguiar, Victor. "Pesquisa simula eleição com Lula contra Bolsonaro, Michelle e Tarcísio; veja cenários". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 30 July 2024.
- ^ "Poll 02–06 May 2024" (PDF).
- ^ "Lula venceria Tarcísio, mas casal Bolsonaro mantém força para 2026". Poder360 (in Brazilian Portuguese). 24 May 2024. Retrieved 24 May 2024.
- ^ "Pesquisa de Opinião Pública Nacional - Janeiro de 2024" (PDF). Paraná Pesquisas (in Brazilian Portuguese). 9 February 2024. Retrieved 15 February 2024.
- ^ "Pesquisa: Lula lidera com folga, e Tarcísio é nome mais forte da oposição". Veja (in Brazilian Portuguese). 13 October 2023. Retrieved 14 October 2023.