Passara Polling Division

The Passara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Badulla Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Passara
Location of Passara
Coordinates: 6°59′49″N 81°09′56″E / 6.996830°N 81.165491°E / 6.996830; 81.165491
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceUva Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictBadulla Electoral District
Area
 • Total
262.67 km2 (101.42 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
80,188
 • Density305/km2 (790/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-19C

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Passara has matched the final country result 4 out of 8 times.

Year Passara Badulla Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF SLPP 10.09% SLPP 12.89%
2015 NDF NDF 5.62% NDF 3.82%
2010 NDF UPFA 8.97% UPFA 13.50%
2005 UNP UNP 7.32% UPFA 12.17%
1999 UNP UNP 1.31% PA 5.99%
1994 PA PA 1.46% PA 5.21%
1988 UNP UNP 5.05% UNP 13.29%
1982 UNP UNP 0.82% UNP 4.78%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/8 6/8 5.08% 8/8 8.96%
Party Passara[4] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 28,845 55.61% 251,706 44.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 20,038 38.63% 276,211 49.29% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,273 4.38% 17,622 3.14% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 714 1.38% 14,806 2.64% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 51,870 98.15% 560,345 98.77% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 979 1.85% 6,978 1.23% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 52,849 83.61% 567,323 86.25% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 63,210 657,766 15,992,568
Party Passara[5] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 25,598 54.47% 249,524 49.21% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 20,202 42.99% 249,243 49.15% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,196 2.54% 8,303 1.64% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 46,996 98.12% 507,070 98.47% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 900 1.88% 7,871 1.53% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 47,896 76.15% 514,941 79.51% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 62,901 647,628 15,585,942
Party Passara[6] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 22,601 53.14% 198,835 44.55% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 18,529 43.57% 237,579 53.23% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,401 3.29% 9,880 2.21% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 42,531 98.34% 446,294 98.66% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 716 1.66% 6,083 1.34% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 43,247 72.08% 452,377 75.62% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 60,002 598,190 15,734,587
Party Passara[7] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,176 60.68% 226,582 53.11% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 15,717 37.88% 192,734 45.18% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 598 1.44% 7,283 1.71% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 41,491 97.94% 426,599 98.43% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 874 2.06% 6,825 1.57% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 42,365 77.15% 433,424 78.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 54,910 550,926 14,136,979
Party Passara[8] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,124 49.83% 172,884 47.97% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 16,558 45.53% 167,000 46.33% 4,312,157 51.12%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 941 2.59% 8,512 2.36% 176,679 2.09%
JVP 748 2.06% 12,025 3.34% 343,927 4.08%
Valid Votes 36,371 96.75% 360,421 97.04% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,222 3.25% 10,979 2.96% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 37,593 78.21% 371,400 78.25% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 48,066 474,610 11,965,536
Party Passara[9] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,303 56.49% 182,810 55.27% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,793 40.37% 139,611 42.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 556 1.63% 3,847 1.16% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 517 1.51% 4,504 1.36% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 34,169 94.80% 330,772 95.91% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,873 5.20% 14,093 4.09% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 36,042 78.71% 344,865 77.47% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 45,788 445,146 11,158,880
Party Passara[10] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 7,056 65.42% 80,779 60.09% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 3,500 32.45% 50,223 37.36% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 230 2.13% 3,422 2.55% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 10,786 96.21% 134,424 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 425 3.79% 3,276 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 11,211 35.58% 137,700 44.21% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 31,509 311,473 9,283,143
Party Passara[11] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,400 59.96% 141,062 58.67% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 8,830 36.76% 88,462 36.79% 2,546,348 39.05%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 409 1.70% 3,203 1.33% 249,460 3.83%
JVP 379 1.58% 7,713 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Valid Votes 24,018 98.38% 240,440 98.77% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 395 1.62% 2,982 1.23% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 24,413 86.95% 243,422 85.47% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 28,077 284,801 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Passara has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Passara is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Passara Badulla Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 5.00% UNP 10.83%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.82% UPFA 4.92%
2004 UNP UNP 9.57% UPFA 11.57%
2001 UNP UNP 3.08% UNP 6.83%
2000 UNP UNP 2.80% PA 4.57%
1994 UNP UNP 6.39% PA 13.10%
1989 UNP UNP 0.44% UNP 5.37%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 4/7 4.30% 7/7 8.17%
Party Passara[14] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,691 59.59% 258,844 54.82% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 13,885 32.21% 179,459 38.01% 4,732,664 42.48%
CWC 2,346 5.44% 10,259 2.17% 17,107 0.15%
JVP 947 2.20% 21,445 4.54% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 243 0.56% 2,159 0.46% 76,945 0.69%
Valid Votes 43,112 93.32% 472,166 95.03% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,015 6.53% 24,167 4.86% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 46,197 73.44% 496,849 80.07% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 62,901 620,486 15,044,490
Party Passara[15] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 18,320 55.64% 203,689 58.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,744 35.67% 112,886 32.28% 2,357,057 29.37%
UPF 1,955 5.94% 11,481 3.28% 24,670 0.31%
DNA 695 2.11% 15,768 4.51% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 211 0.64% 5,854 1.67% 28,670 0.36%
Valid Votes 32,925 90.93% 349,678 93.54% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,284 9.07% 24,169 6.46% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 36,209 60.35% 373,847 62.46% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 60,002 598,521 14,097,690
Party Passara[16] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,016 59.37% 181,705 49.09% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 13,779 38.93% 178,634 48.26% 4,223,126 45.70%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 602 1.70% 9,839 2.66% 610,312 6.60%
Valid Votes 35,397 90.70% 370,178 92.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,628 9.30% 30,159 7.53% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 39,025 74.02% 400,337 78.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 52,719 511,115 12,909,631
Party Passara[17] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,490 56.77% 201,173 53.81% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 12,174 33.73% 138,443 37.03% 3,330,815 37.19%
IND3 1,743 4.83% 5,065 1.35% 6,161 0.07%
JVP 1,485 4.11% 26,820 7.17% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 198 0.55% 2,336 0.62% 73,230 0.82%
Valid Votes 36,090 90.99% 373,837 93.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,575 9.01% 26,626 6.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 39,665 78.28% 400,463 81.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 50,668 491,288 12,428,762
Party Passara[18] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,491 44.14% 167,351 46.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 13,848 39.45% 154,172 42.71% 3,899,329 45.33%
CWC 4,135 11.78% 12,092 3.35% 22,985 0.27%
JVP 912 2.60% 16,414 4.55% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 713 2.03% 10,987 3.04% 431,432 5.02%
Valid Votes 35,099 N/A 361,016 N/A 8,602,617 N/A
Party Passara[19] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,180 61.02% 182,131 54.04% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 13,012 37.49% 146,546 43.48% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 520 1.50% 8,382 2.49% 223,505 2.81%
Valid Votes 34,712 90.29% 337,059 92.19% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,731 9.71% 28,540 7.81% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 38,443 83.96% 365,599 82.23% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 45,788 444,632 11,163,064
Party Passara[20] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,791 58.64% 135,089 58.97% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,475 36.03% 81,011 35.36% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 583 2.48% 5,712 2.49% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 559 2.38% 5,589 2.44% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 112 0.48% 1,693 0.74% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 23,520 91.88% 229,094 92.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,079 8.12% 19,704 7.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 25,599 82.16% 248,798 75.55% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 31,156 329,321 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Passara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (50.3%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (43.0%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Passara Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (18.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Passara[1]

  Sinhalese (50.3%)
  Indian Tamil (43.0%)
  Moor (4.3%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (2.2%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

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The Passara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (50.1%) and a significant Hindu population (40.5%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Passara Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (72.6%) and a significant Hindu population (19.3%) [1]

Religion in Passara[1]

  Buddhist (50.1%)
  Hindu (40.5%)
  Muslim (4.6%)
  Roman Catholic (3.2%)
  Other Christian (1.6%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Passara and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Passara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982. Archived from the original on 2019-12-19. Retrieved 2020-06-10.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Passara and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Passara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.