Wikipedia

Polgahawela Polling Division

The Polgahawela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Polgahawela
Polling Division
Location of Polgahawela
Coordinates: 7°27′43″N 80°16′40″E / 7.461812°N 80.277710°E / 7.461812; 80.277710
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Western Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKurunegala Electoral District
Area
 • Total311.05 km2 (120.10 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total135,712
 • Density436/km2 (1,130/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-15K

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Polgahawela has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Polgahawela is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.08% SLPP 5.13%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.55% NDF 4.09%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.11% UPFA 5.00%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.65% UPFA 1.17%
1999 PA PA 0.82% PA 1.51%
1994 PA PA 2.23% PA 5.22%
1988 SLFP UNP 5.24% UNP 5.75%
1982 UNP UNP 0.58% UNP 2.59%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 1.41% 8/8 3.81%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 36,836 57.98% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 23,458 36.92% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,085 3.28% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,150 1.81% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 63,529 99.26% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 472 0.74% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 64,001 84.41% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 75,819 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 31,108 51.92% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 28,365 47.34% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 446 0.74% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 59,919 99.28% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 435 0.72% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 60,354 78.06% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 77,321 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,501 63.24% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 19,328 35.43% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 726 1.33% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 54,555 99.43% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 311 0.57% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 54,866 74.87% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 73,283 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,581 51.59% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 25,317 47.35% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 569 1.06% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 53,467 99.19% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 437 0.81% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 53,904 77.20% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 69,821 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,890 50.22% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 20,537 45.06% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,353 2.97% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 799 1.75% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 45,579 98.05% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 908 1.95% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 46,487 75.12% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 61,882 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,447 57.10% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,030 41.47% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 585 1.42% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 41,062 98.45% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 647 1.55% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 41,709 74.65% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 55,872 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 15,872 52.36% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 13,915 45.90% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 528 1.74% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 30,315 98.78% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 375 1.22% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 30,690 59.75% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 51,363 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Polgahawela[11] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,384 55.77% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 16,625 41.42% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 911 2.27% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 214 0.53% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 40,134 98.44% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 637 1.56% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 40,771 85.27% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 47,812 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Polgahawela has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Polgahawela is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Polgahawela Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.92% UNP 3.01%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.58% UPFA 2.37%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.08% UPFA 4.00%
2001 UNP UNP 1.00% UNP 4.04%
2000 PA PA 2.52% PA 2.33%
1994 UNP PA 3.92% PA 3.57%
1989 UNP UNP 6.09% UNP 4.03%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.30% 7/7 3.34%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,517 48.34% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 25,705 46.86% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,395 4.37% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 240 0.44% 5,496 0.57% 83,041 0.75%
Valid Votes 54,857 95.62% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,493 4.35% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 57,370 74.20% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 77,321 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,485 63.41% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,519 31.15% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,070 5.15% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.29% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 40,190 93.35% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,835 6.58% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 43,054 58.75% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 73,283 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,473 50.62% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 20,435 42.27% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 3,237 6.70% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 204 0.42% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 48,349 95.83% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,090 4.14% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 50,453 74.10% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 68,091 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,494 50.12% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,487 41.92% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,223 6.59% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 670 1.37% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 48,874 95.65% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,224 4.35% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 51,098 77.31% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 66,099 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,421 46.17% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 20,788 44.81% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,374 5.12% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 769 1.66% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 527 1.14% 9,730 1.32% 93,655 1.09%
SU 516 1.11% 6,691 0.91% 127,859 1.49%
Valid Votes 46,395 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,167 50.92% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 20,829 47.85% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 537 1.23% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 43,533 96.15% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,745 3.85% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 45,278 81.04% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 55,872 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Polgahawela[20] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,458 51.92% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 15,847 42.29% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,687 4.50% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 482 1.29% 13,907 2.59% 232,463 4.15%
Valid Votes 37,474 95.02% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,964 4.98% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 39,438 78.47% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 50,258 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Polgahawela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (93.5%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Polgahawela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [1]

Ethnicity in Polgahawela[1]

  Sinhalese (93.5%)
  Moor (4.8%)
  Other (1.6%)

Religion

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The Polgahawela Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (91.8%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Polgahawela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [1]

Religion in Polgahawela[1]

  Buddhist (91.8%)
  Muslim (5.1%)
  Roman Catholic (1.6%)
  Hindu (1.0%)
  Other (0.5%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polgahawela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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