Wikipedia

Rakwana Polling Division

The Rakwana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Rakwana
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6°32′36″N 80°40′38″E / 6.543272°N 80.677187°E / 6.543272; 80.677187
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictRatnapura Electoral District
Area
 • Total433.63 km2 (167.43 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total134,039
 • Density309/km2 (800/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-21E

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Rakwana has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Rakwana is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.96% SLPP 0.92%
2015 UPFA UPFA 3.57% NDF 4.58%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.59% UPFA 2.17%
2005 UNP UPFA 4.57% UPFA 1.82%
1999 PA PA 4.48% PA 3.75%
1994 PA PA 6.41% PA 10.56%
1988 UNP UNP 5.54% UNP 5.82%
1982 UNP UNP 4.34% UNP 2.14%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 4.81% 8/8 3.97%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[4] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 48,867 53.86% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 38,008 41.89% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,120 2.34% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,743 1.92% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 90,738 99.17% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 757 0.83% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 91,495 86.30% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 106,025 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[5] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,940 51.99% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 38,366 46.45% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,283 1.55% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 82,589 98.78% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,023 1.22% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 83,612 81.48% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 102,618 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[6] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,368 59.95% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 27,302 37.74% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,674 2.31% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 72,344 99.23% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 562 0.77% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 72,906 78.49% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 92,891 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[7] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,413 50.16% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 33,169 48.35% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,023 1.49% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 68,605 98.84% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 805 1.16% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 69,410 82.05% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 84,595 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[8] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,305 47.81% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 28,059 47.39% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,552 2.62% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,293 2.18% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 59,209 98.25% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,055 1.75% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 60,264 79.89% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 75,436 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[9] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,997 51.48% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 25,338 46.59% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,049 1.93% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 54,384 98.09% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,057 1.91% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 55,441 79.54% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 69,702 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[10] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,643 57.93% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 18,744 40.75% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 608 1.32% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 45,995 98.84% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 538 1.16% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 46,533 79.46% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 58,565 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rakwana[11] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,986 55.93% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 17,936 40.15% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,339 3.00% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 410 0.92% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 44,671 99.36% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 289 0.64% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 44,960 87.50% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 51,385 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Rakwana has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Rakwana is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Rakwana Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UPFA 5.25% UNP 4.11%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.71% UPFA 4.67%
2004 UPFA UPFA 4.53% UPFA 5.46%
2001 UNP UNP 3.64% UNP 4.22%
2000 PA PA 3.19% PA 4.36%
1994 UNP PA 6.45% PA 6.92%
1989 UNP UNP 5.99% UNP 7.89%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 4.40% 7/7 5.38%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[14] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 39,172 50.95% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 35,587 46.29% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 1,838 2.39% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 279 0.36% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75%
Valid Votes 76,876 95.83% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,323 4.14% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 80,219 78.17% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 102,618 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[15] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 35,835 67.30% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 16,179 30.39% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,037 1.95% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 194 0.36% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44%
Valid Votes 53,245 91.35% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,031 8.63% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 58,284 62.74% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 92,891 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[16] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,509 49.21% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 28,453 47.44% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,644 2.74% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 365 0.61% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63%
Valid Votes 59,971 94.62% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,408 5.38% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 63,379 77.87% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 81,393 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[17] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 30,637 51.37% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 24,316 40.77% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,693 6.19% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 1.67% 9,205 1.88% 131,990 1.47%
Valid Votes 59,643 92.86% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 4,589 7.14% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 64,232 81.74% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 78,583 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[18] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,497 48.42% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 27,685 47.04% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,937 3.29% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 735 1.25% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78%
Valid Votes 58,854 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[19] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,183 54.66% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 25,324 44.39% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 541 0.95% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82%
Valid Votes 57,048 94.99% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,009 5.01% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 60,057 86.16% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 69,702 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rakwana[20] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,204 65.65% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 14,610 32.84% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 670 1.51% 19,439 5.73% 85,932 1.54%
Valid Votes 44,484 93.98% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,849 6.02% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 47,333 81.83% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 57,842 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Rakwana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (85.2%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Rakwana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Rakwana[1]

  Sinhalese (85.2%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (6.5%)
  Indian Tamil (6.0%)
  Moor (2.0%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

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The Rakwana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (85.0%) and a significant Hindu population (10.7%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Rakwana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%) [1]

Religion in Rakwana[1]

  Buddhist (85.0%)
  Hindu (10.7%)
  Muslim (2.4%)
  Roman Catholic (1.1%)
  Other (0.8%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rakwana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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