Wikipedia

Rambukkana Polling Division

The Rambukkana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Rambukkana
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7°18′34″N 80°22′56″E / 7.309397°N 80.382153°E / 7.309397; 80.382153
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total129.29 km2 (49.92 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total82,769
 • Density640/km2 (1,700/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22D

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Rambukkana has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Rambukkana is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Rambukkana Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 4.08% SLPP 6.83%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.24% NDF 6.43%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.25% UPFA 6.00%
2005 UPFA UPFA 3.24% UPFA 3.98%
1999 PA PA 4.46% PA 4.37%
1994 PA PA 3.31% PA 2.86%
1988 UNP UNP 2.11% UNP 3.40%
1982 UNP UNP 1.41% UNP 1.80%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 2.89% 8/8 4.46%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 31,902 59.54% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 18,657 34.82% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,828 3.41% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,197 2.23% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 53,584 99.04% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 519 0.96% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 54,103 84.80% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 63,798 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 27,400 54.12% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 22,690 44.82% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 538 1.06% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 50,628 99.11% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 457 0.89% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 51,085 78.19% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 65,337 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 29,864 64.20% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 15,967 34.33% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 686 1.47% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 46,517 99.26% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 346 0.74% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 46,863 75.19% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 62,325 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,559 54.36% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 20,078 44.44% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 541 1.20% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 45,178 98.91% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 496 1.09% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 45,674 76.49% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 59,711 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,909 55.79% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 15,635 38.07% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,740 4.24% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 781 1.90% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 41,065 98.07% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 809 1.93% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 41,874 77.08% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 54,323 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 21,224 59.42% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 13,899 38.91% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 597 1.67% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 35,720 97.91% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 761 2.09% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 36,481 72.97% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 49,996 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,033 55.18% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,490 42.98% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 535 1.84% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 29,058 98.61% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 411 1.39% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 29,469 67.21% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 43,847 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Rambukkana[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,130 55.68% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,220 38.48% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,799 5.24% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 206 0.60% 7,074 2.06% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,355 99.05% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 328 0.95% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,683 83.35% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,612 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Rambukkana has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Rambukkana is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Rambukkana Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 1.01% UNP 2.71%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.93% UPFA 5.00%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.01% UPFA 4.70%
2001 UNP UNP 0.80% UNP 3.05%
2000 PA PA 1.99% PA 3.03%
1994 PA UNP 3.46% PA 2.66%
1989 UNP UNP 2.54% UNP 6.42%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 6/7 1.96% 7/7 3.94%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,447 48.24% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 21,491 46.18% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,249 4.83% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 346 0.74% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 46,533 96.32% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,774 3.67% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 48,312 73.94% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 65,337 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,317 67.74% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,545 27.73% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,427 4.15% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 133 0.39% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 34,422 93.46% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,407 6.54% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 36,829 59.09% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 62,325 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 22,187 53.49% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 16,858 40.64% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,256 5.44% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 176 0.42% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 41,477 94.71% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,316 5.29% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 43,793 74.75% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 58,588 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,972 48.61% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 17,068 41.54% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,454 8.41% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 591 1.44% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 41,085 95.26% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,045 4.74% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 43,130 76.23% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 56,580 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,907 51.26% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 16,647 40.81% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,356 5.78% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
SU 461 1.13% 4,549 1.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 416 1.02% 8,094 1.97% 291,648 3.39%
Valid Votes 40,787 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 19,346 51.19% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 17,976 47.57% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 469 1.24% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 37,791 96.04% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,560 3.96% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 39,351 78.71% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 49,996 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Rambukkana[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,525 63.17% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 6,803 31.78% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 633 2.96% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
USA 362 1.69% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 86 0.40% 1,028 0.36% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 21,409 94.02% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,361 5.98% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 22,770 53.33% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 42,695 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Rambukkana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (95.4%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Rambukkana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Rambukkana[1]

  Sinhalese (95.4%)
  Moor (3.3%)
  Other (1.3%)

Religion

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The Rambukkana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (91.0%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Rambukkana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Rambukkana[1]

  Buddhist (91.0%)
  Muslim (3.4%)
  Other Christian (3.0%)
  Roman Catholic (1.6%)
  Other (1.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Rambukkana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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