Wikipedia

Ratmalana Polling Division

The Ratmalana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Colombo Electoral District, in the Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Ratmalana
Polling Division
Location of Ratmalana
Coordinates: 6°49′55″N 79°52′27″E / 6.831812°N 79.874140°E / 6.831812; 79.874140
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceWestern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictColombo Electoral District
Area
 • Total
14.35 km2 (5.54 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
95,506
 • Density6,655/km2 (17,240/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-01G

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ratmalana has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Ratmalana is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ratmalana Colombo Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.53% SLPP 0.62%
2015 NDF NDF 0.21% NDF 4.16%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.16% UPFA 5.01%
2005 UPFA UNP 2.83% UPFA 0.35%
1999 PA PA 3.26% PA 1.70%
1994 PA PA 4.08% PA 6.50%
1988 UNP UNP 1.26% UNP 2.49%
1982 UNP UNP 1.42% UNP 2.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 7/8 1.85% 8/8 2.91%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[4] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 28,085 51.48% 727,713 53.19% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 23,156 42.45% 559,921 40.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,124 3.89% 53,803 3.93% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,185 2.17% 26,740 1.95% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 54,550 98.74% 1,368,177 98.89% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 698 1.26% 15,333 1.11% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 55,248 79.92% 1,383,510 82.82% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 69,128 1,670,403 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[5] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 29,554 55.76% 725,073 55.93% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 23,144 43.66% 562,614 43.40% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 306 0.58% 8,673 0.67% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 53,004 98.73% 1,296,360 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 680 1.27% 15,334 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 53,684 80.37% 1,311,694 81.34% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 66,793 1,612,660 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[6] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,215 53.16% 614,740 52.93% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 22,589 45.80% 533,022 45.90% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 512 1.04% 13,620 1.17% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 49,316 98.97% 1,161,382 99.03% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 512 1.03% 11,394 0.97% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 49,828 74.79% 1,172,776 76.09% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 66,622 1,541,242 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[7] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 25,004 50.84% 534,431 47.96% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 23,743 48.28% 569,627 51.12% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 434 0.88% 10,192 0.91% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 49,181 98.88% 1,114,250 98.86% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 557 1.12% 12,879 1.14% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 49,738 74.87% 1,127,129 75.85% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 66,432 1,486,021 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[8] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,868 52.02% 474,310 49.18% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 17,572 39.97% 425,185 44.08% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,514 5.72% 44,009 4.56% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 525 1.19% 12,821 1.33% 140,825 1.67%
SMBP 485 1.10% 8,209 0.85% 35,854 0.43%
Valid Votes 43,964 96.70% 964,534 97.06% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,500 3.30% 29,197 2.94% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 45,464 71.64% 993,731 73.39% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 63,466 1,354,025 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[9] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,666 69.04% 557,708 64.82% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 12,275 29.56% 288,741 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 578 1.39% 13,937 1.62% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 41,519 97.91% 860,386 98.17% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 887 2.09% 16,060 1.83% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 42,406 70.97% 876,446 69.59% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 59,749 1,259,484 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[10] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,409 47.82% 361,337 49.14% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 18,308 47.55% 339,958 46.23% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,783 4.63% 34,020 4.63% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 38,500 98.51% 735,315 98.49% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 584 1.49% 11,295 1.51% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 39,084 70.74% 746,610 67.53% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 55,248 1,105,583 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratmalana[11] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,280 55.88% 436,290 57.86% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,111 37.05% 274,476 36.40% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,670 4.39% 28,580 3.79% 273,428 4.19%
LSSP 778 2.04% 9,655 1.28% 58,531 0.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 245 0.64% 5,030 0.67% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 38,084 98.92% 754,031 98.95% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 415 1.08% 7,990 1.05% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 38,499 76.59% 762,021 76.88% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 50,269 991,194 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ratmalana has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Ratmalana is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ratmalana Colombo Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.40% UNP 5.14%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.27% UPFA 10.21%
2004 UPFA UNP 1.99% UPFA 3.52%
2001 UNP UNP 2.62% UNP 2.11%
2000 UNP UNP 1.74% PA 3.34%
1994 PA PA 6.60% PA 8.46%
1989 UNP UNP 4.94% UNP 3.75%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 2.94% 7/7 5.22%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[14] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
 
 SLPFA 25,320 54.69% 674,603 57.04% 6,853,693 59.09%
 
 SJB 15,646 33.79% 387,145 32.73% 2,771,984 23.9%
 
 JJB 2,901 6.27% 67,600 5.72% 445,958 3.84%
 
 UNP 1,440 3.11% 30,875 2.61% 249,435 2.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 944 2.14% 22,553 1.9% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 46,301 65.65% 1,182,776 69.2% 11,598,936 71.32%
Rejected Votes 3,254 4.61% 81,034 4.74% 744,373 4.58%
Total Polled 49,555 70.26% 1,263,810 73.94% 12,343,309 75.89%
Registered Electors 70,528 1,709,209 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[15] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,412 53.52% 640,743 53.04% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 19,203 38.91% 474,063 39.25% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,217 6.52% 81,391 6.74% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 519 1.05% 11,752 0.97% 93,045 0.84%
Valid Votes 49,351 96.71% 1,207,949 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,634 3.20% 43,372 3.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 51,028 76.40% 1,252,271 78.93% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 66,793 1,586,598 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[16] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,486 48.43% 480,896 51.23% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,384 38.23% 339,750 36.19% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 5,061 12.58% 110,683 11.79% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 308 0.77% 7,182 0.77% 47,940 0.60%
Valid Votes 40,239 95.23% 938,723 94.85% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,990 4.71% 50,354 5.09% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 42,253 63.42% 989,729 64.17% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 66,622 1,542,457 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[17] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,284 40.86% 414,688 39.20% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 18,448 39.09% 441,841 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 9,085 19.25% 190,618 18.02% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 380 0.81% 10,713 1.01% 90,868 0.98%
Valid Votes 47,197 96.85% 1,057,860 96.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 1,531 3.14% 38,605 3.52% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,733 72.55% 1,096,571 74.71% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 67,176 1,467,751 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[18] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,432 48.20% 546,417 51.62% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 17,344 35.68% 353,401 33.39% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 5,750 11.83% 117,404 11.09% 815,353 9.10%
SU 1,014 2.09% 16,970 1.60% 50,665 0.57%
TULF 571 1.17% 12,696 1.20% 348,164 3.89%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 503 1.03% 11,593 1.10% 162,452 1.81%
Valid Votes 48,614 96.69% 1,058,481 96.28% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,664 3.31% 40,901 3.72% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 50,278 74.04% 1,099,382 76.31% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 67,911 1,440,682 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[19] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,556 40.24% 440,684 43.45% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 17,886 38.78% 394,146 38.86% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 4,454 9.66% 78,133 7.70% 518,725 6.03%
SU 3,356 7.28% 49,671 4.90% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,316 2.85% 24,519 2.42% 189,490 2.20%
NUA 548 1.19% 27,067 2.67% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 46,116 N/A 1,014,220 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[20] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,967 58.96% 469,642 50.94% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 15,860 36.01% 385,100 41.77% 3,498,370 44.04%
MEP 1,061 2.41% 42,734 4.64% 68,538 0.86%
SLPF 666 1.51% 11,454 1.24% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 485 1.10% 13,003 1.41% 51,995 0.65%
Valid Votes 44,039 96.38% 921,933 96.18% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,652 3.62% 36,635 3.82% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 45,691 76.47% 958,568 76.04% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 59,749 1,260,686 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratmalana[21] Colombo Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,237 56.12% 374,530 51.67% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 13,063 34.52% 205,053 28.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,500 3.96% 31,873 4.40% 141,983 2.54%
MEP 1,407 3.72% 76,966 10.62% 90,480 1.62%
SLMC 415 1.10% 29,308 4.04% 202,016 3.61%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 217 0.57% 7,112 0.98% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 37,839 95.94% 724,842 95.36% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,602 4.06% 35,271 4.64% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 39,441 72.61% 760,113 69.87% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 54,316 1,087,891 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Ratmalana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (78.9%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Ratmalana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (76.5%), a significant Moor population (10.7%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (10.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ratmalana[1]

  Sinhalese (78.9%)
  Moor (9.7%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (8.3%)
  Other (1.9%)
  Burgher (1.1%)

Religion

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The Ratmalana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (70.0%) and a significant Muslim population (11.3%) . In comparison, the Colombo Electoral District (which contains the Ratmalana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (70.2%) and a significant Muslim population (11.8%) [1]

Religion in Ratmalana[1]

  Buddhist (70.0%)
  Muslim (11.3%)
  Roman Catholic (7.5%)
  Hindu (6.0%)
  Other Christian (5.1%)
  Other (0.1%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratmalana and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratmalana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratmalana and the Colombo Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratmalana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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