Wikipedia

Ratnapura Polling Division

The Ratnapura Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Ratnapura
Polling Division
Coordinates: 6°43′16″N 80°27′46″E / 6.721079°N 80.462737°E / 6.721079; 80.462737
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictRatnapura Electoral District
Area
 • Total332.69 km2 (128.45 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total120,212
 • Density361/km2 (930/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-21B

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ratnapura has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Ratnapura is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.54% SLPP 7.32%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.62% NDF 7.48%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.21% UPFA 5.74%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.06% UPFA 2.71%
1999 PA PA 1.59% PA 2.35%
1994 PA PA 0.57% PA 3.57%
1988 SLFP UNP 4.35% UNP 4.06%
1982 SLFP UNP 3.78% UNP 6.74%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 1.47% 8/8 5.00%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[4] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 64,809 60.58% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 37,400 34.96% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,733 2.55% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,044 1.91% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 106,986 99.24% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 818 0.76% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 107,804 86.96% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 123,967 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[5] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 54,989 55.24% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 43,608 43.80% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 955 0.96% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 99,552 98.93% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,074 1.07% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 100,626 83.09% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 121,108 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[6] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 55,225 63.95% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 29,891 34.61% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,240 1.44% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 86,356 99.34% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 575 0.66% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 86,931 80.40% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 108,122 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[7] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,251 53.02% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 37,253 45.67% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,068 1.31% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 81,572 99.13% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 720 0.87% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 82,292 82.10% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 100,230 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[8] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 38,665 54.29% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 29,298 41.14% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,914 2.69% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,338 1.88% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 71,215 98.25% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,267 1.75% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 72,482 80.97% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 89,518 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[9] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 38,221 58.76% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 25,858 39.76% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 963 1.48% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 65,042 98.49% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 996 1.51% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 66,038 79.10% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 83,492 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[10] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 27,658 50.15% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 26,029 47.20% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 1,460 2.65% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 55,147 98.91% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 608 1.09% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 55,755 79.60% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 70,048 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ratnapura[11] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 25,402 49.37% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 24,765 48.13% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 860 1.67% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 426 0.83% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 51,453 99.04% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 499 0.96% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 51,952 83.81% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 61,986 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ratnapura has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Ratnapura is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.47% UNP 4.58%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.76% UPFA 4.31%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.77% UPFA 3.61%
2001 UNP UNP 1.05% UNP 3.11%
2000 PA PA 0.57% PA 3.67%
1994 PA PA 1.12% PA 2.73%
1989 UNP UNP 8.93% UNP 5.52%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.24% 7/7 3.93%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[14] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,596 51.72% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 40,943 44.49% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 3,111 3.38% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 381 0.41% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75%
Valid Votes 92,031 97.16% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,677 2.83% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 94,725 78.22% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 121,108 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[15] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,637 67.02% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 19,013 29.89% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,755 2.76% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 215 0.34% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44%
Valid Votes 63,620 92.41% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,215 7.58% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 68,842 63.67% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 108,122 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[16] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 37,386 51.06% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 29,670 40.53% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 5,605 7.66% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 552 0.75% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63%
Valid Votes 73,213 94.91% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,926 5.09% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 77,139 79.23% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 97,357 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[17] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 33,702 45.73% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 33,136 44.96% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 5,334 7.24% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,525 2.07% 9,205 1.88% 131,990 1.47%
Valid Votes 73,697 95.27% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,657 4.73% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 77,354 82.05% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 94,271 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[18] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,981 51.49% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 30,189 42.04% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 3,165 4.41% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,482 2.06% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78%
Valid Votes 71,817 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[19] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,045 51.95% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 31,619 46.87% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 794 1.18% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82%
Valid Votes 67,458 95.35% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,291 4.65% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 70,749 84.74% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 83,492 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ratnapura[20] Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,289 49.62% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 25,112 47.40% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90%
USP 1,359 2.57% 17,323 5.11% 17,323 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 219 0.41% 2,116 0.62% 68,609 1.23%
Valid Votes 52,979 94.90% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,847 5.10% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 55,826 81.27% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 68,694 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Ratnapura Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (78.9%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Ratnapura Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ratnapura[1]

  Sinhalese (78.9%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (9.8%)
  Indian Tamil (6.3%)
  Moor (4.8%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

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The Ratnapura Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (78.2%) and a significant Hindu population (14.0%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Ratnapura Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%) [1]

Religion in Ratnapura[1]

  Buddhist (78.2%)
  Hindu (14.0%)
  Muslim (5.3%)
  Roman Catholic (1.5%)
  Other Christian (1.0%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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