Wikipedia

Ruwanwella Polling Division

The Ruwanwella Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kegalle Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Ruwanwella
Polling Division
Map
Coordinates: 7°04′02″N 80°13′09″E / 7.067171°N 80.219072°E / 7.067171; 80.219072
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceSabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKegalle Electoral District
Area
 • Total
147.23 km2 (56.85 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
63,913
 • Density434/km2 (1,120/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-22H

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ruwanwella has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Ruwanwella is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ruwanwella Kegalle Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.81% SLPP 3.59%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.97% NDF 5.15%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.25% UPFA 3.50%
2005 UPFA UPFA 0.09% UPFA 0.83%
1999 PA PA 0.65% PA 0.81%
1994 PA PA 0.57% PA 6.73%
1988 UNP UNP 2.61% UNP 7.97%
1982 UNP UNP 1.09% UNP 4.18%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 0.88% 8/8 4.10%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[4] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 35,714 56.71% 320,484 55.66% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 24,604 39.07% 228,032 39.60% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,403 2.23% 15,043 2.61% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,260 2.00% 12,272 2.13% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 62,981 99.10% 575,831 99.11% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 570 0.90% 5,152 0.89% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 63,551 85.43% 580,983 85.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 74,386 676,440 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[5] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,922 52.79% 278,130 51.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 26,984 46.06% 252,533 47.05% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 675 1.15% 6,108 1.14% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 58,581 99.02% 536,771 98.80% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 577 0.98% 6,515 1.20% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 59,158 80.49% 543,286 79.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 73,498 680,414 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[6] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,145 61.65% 296,639 61.80% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 19,819 36.86% 174,877 36.44% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 800 1.49% 8,448 1.76% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 53,764 99.16% 479,964 99.25% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 458 0.84% 3,604 0.75% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 54,222 76.97% 483,568 76.11% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 70,448 635,342 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[7] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,522 51.09% 239,184 51.02% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 24,684 47.55% 223,483 47.67% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 703 1.35% 6,106 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 51,909 99.08% 468,773 98.99% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 481 0.92% 4,795 1.01% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 52,390 79.39% 473,568 78.68% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 65,989 601,872 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[8] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,868 52.42% 210,185 51.30% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,546 42.93% 176,376 43.05% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,337 2.94% 14,997 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.71% 8,122 1.98% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 45,529 98.43% 409,680 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 725 1.57% 8,136 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 46,254 77.31% 417,816 76.52% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,827 546,038 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[9] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,340 55.49% 211,676 56.06% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 18,038 42.88% 159,707 42.30% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 685 1.63% 6,209 1.64% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 42,063 98.59% 377,592 98.14% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 602 1.41% 7,139 1.86% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 42,665 75.58% 384,731 74.84% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 56,451 514,055 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[10] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,282 58.78% 168,720 57.11% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 13,249 36.59% 119,769 40.54% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 1,674 4.62% 6,923 2.34% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 36,205 98.53% 295,412 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 542 1.47% 4,277 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 36,747 73.43% 299,689 67.98% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 50,045 440,836 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Ruwanwella[11] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,645 57.48% 195,444 57.02% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,749 34.90% 126,538 36.92% 2,546,348 39.05%
LSSP 1,683 4.27% 6,184 1.80% 58,531 0.90%
JVP 1,198 3.04% 13,706 4.00% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 124 0.31% 890 0.26% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 39,399 97.87% 342,762 98.69% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 856 2.13% 4,537 1.31% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 40,255 85.05% 347,299 84.30% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 47,333 411,994 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Ruwanwella has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Ruwanwella is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ruwanwella Kegalle Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UPFA UNP 2.11% UNP 3.48%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.51% UPFA 3.79%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.79% UPFA 5.29%
2001 UNP UNP 3.29% UNP 2.87%
2000 PA PA 2.38% PA 3.24%
1994 UNP UNP 1.03% PA 2.81%
1989 UNP UNP 7.37% UNP 13.43%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 2.78% 7/7 4.99%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[14] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,191 48.20% 227,208 45.47% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 25,993 47.84% 247,467 49.52% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 1,460 2.69% 18,394 3.68% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.27% 6,661 1.33% 101,045 0.91%
Valid Votes 54,336 96.62% 499,730 96.35% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,885 3.35% 18,770 3.62% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 56,238 76.52% 518,674 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 73,498 649,878 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[15] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,700 65.60% 242,463 66.89% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 12,640 31.06% 104,925 28.95% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,190 2.92% 13,518 3.73% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 170 0.42% 1,549 0.43% 33,973 0.42%
Valid Votes 40,700 93.42% 362,455 93.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,869 6.58% 25,965 6.68% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 43,569 61.85% 388,420 60.93% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 70,448 637,524 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[16] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 24,746 52.92% 214,267 50.88% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 19,950 42.66% 186,641 44.32% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,760 3.76% 18,034 4.28% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 307 0.66% 2,187 0.52% 59,247 0.64%
Valid Votes 46,763 94.20% 421,134 94.25% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,880 5.80% 25,685 5.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 49,643 77.43% 446,816 78.35% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 64,110 570,299 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[17] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,298 45.90% 208,104 49.36% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,574 44.34% 170,901 40.53% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,820 8.23% 36,711 8.71% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 709 1.53% 5,924 1.40% 123,245 1.38%
Valid Votes 46,401 94.71% 421,640 94.90% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,594 5.29% 22,669 5.10% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 48,995 79.13% 444,309 80.10% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 61,914 554,698 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[18] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,375 51.83% 201,114 48.88% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 18,298 40.58% 175,627 42.69% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,196 4.87% 22,028 5.35% 518,725 6.03%
SU 628 1.39% 4,549 1.11% 127,859 1.49%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 599 1.33% 8,094 1.97% 291,648 3.39%
Valid Votes 45,096 N/A 411,412 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[19] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,082 50.29% 203,938 51.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 21,536 49.05% 190,689 47.91% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 289 0.66% 3,383 0.85% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 43,907 95.83% 398,010 95.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,910 4.17% 17,043 4.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 45,817 81.16% 415,053 80.78% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 56,451 513,825 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Ruwanwella[20] Kegalle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,644 64.93% 174,334 61.12% 2,838,005 50.71%
USA 6,865 19.69% 15,168 5.32% 141,983 2.54%
SLFP 4,828 13.84% 80,668 28.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 393 1.13% 14,056 4.93% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 142 0.41% 1,028 0.36% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 34,872 95.03% 285,254 93.95% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,822 4.97% 18,362 6.05% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 36,694 74.39% 303,616 69.46% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 49,325 437,131 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Ruwanwella Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Ruwanwella Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (85.5%) [1]

Ethnicity in Ruwanwella[1]

  Sinhalese (87.1%)
  Moor (5.5%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (5.1%)
  Indian Tamil (2.3%)
  Other (0.1%)

Religion

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The Ruwanwella Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.4%) . In comparison, the Kegalle Electoral District (which contains the Ruwanwella Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (84.4%) [1]

Religion in Ruwanwella[1]

  Buddhist (86.4%)
  Hindu (6.2%)
  Muslim (6.0%)
  Other (1.5%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the Kegalle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ruwanwella and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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