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Samanthurai Polling Division

The Samanthurai Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ampara Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Samanthurai
Polling Division
Coordinates: 7°20′01″N 81°45′54″E / 7.333626°N 81.764902°E / 7.333626; 81.764902
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceEastern Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictAmpara Electoral District
Area
 • Total264.68 km2 (102.19 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total132,741
 • Density502/km2 (1,300/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-13B

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Samanthurai has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Samanthurai is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Samanthurai Ampara Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 NDF NDF 21.88% SLPP 40.38%
2015 NDF NDF 19.33% NDF 33.03%
2010 NDF NDF 6.12% UPFA 15.87%
2005 UNP UNP 2.21% UPFA 5.09%
1999 PA PA 7.49% PA 10.50%
1994 PA PA 8.76% PA 18.93%
1988 UNP UNP 3.67% UNP 4.44%
1982 UNP UNP 9.16% UNP 13.54%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 5/8 9.83% 8/8 17.72%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[4] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 57,910 86.22% 259,673 63.09% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 7,151 10.65% 135,058 32.82% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,104 3.13% 16,839 4.09% 764,005 5.76%
Valid Votes 67,165 99.27% 411,570 99.24% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 494 0.73% 3,158 0.76% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,659 78.75% 414,728 82.32% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 85,911 503,790 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[5] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 46,827 84.63% 233,360 65.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 7,797 14.09% 121,027 33.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 709 1.28% 3,430 0.96% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 55,333 99.26% 357,817 99.27% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 412 0.74% 2,625 0.73% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,745 69.37% 360,442 73.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 80,357 488,067 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[6] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 27,003 55.95% 153,105 49.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
UPFA 19,991 41.42% 146,912 47.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,268 2.63% 6,545 2.13% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 48,262 98.86% 306,562 99.06% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 556 1.14% 2,912 0.94% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 48,818 68.33% 309,474 36.77% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 71,442 841,672 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[7] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,969 53.53% 159,198 55.81% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 21,029 45.09% 122,329 42.88% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 643 1.38% 3,740 1.31% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 46,641 98.90% 285,267 98.98% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 517 1.10% 2,941 1.02% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 47,158 70.74% 288,208 70.65% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 66,666 407,918 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[8] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,822 63.83% 149,593 55.59% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 15,225 33.72% 109,805 40.80% 3,602,748 42.71%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,107 2.45% 9,456 3.51% 520,606 6.17%
Valid Votes 45,154 98.47% 269,100 98.34% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 701 1.53% 4,549 1.66% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 45,855 80.97% 273,649 78.47% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 56,629 348,712 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[9] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,890 81.11% 168,289 72.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 6,056 15.90% 59,074 25.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Ind 2 918 2.41% 3,677 1.58% 58,888 0.78%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 218 0.57% 1,541 0.66% 78,152 1.03%
Valid Votes 38,082 98.76% 232,581 98.47% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 480 1.24% 3,621 1.53% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 38,562 74.17% 236,202 74.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 51,991 319,166 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[10] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,866 53.77% 96,420 50.77% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 12,983 39.07% 83,137 43.78% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 2,378 7.16% 10,352 5.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 33,227 97.49% 189,909 98.04% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 857 2.51% 3,802 1.96% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 34,084 76.10% 193,711 72.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 44,790 266,396 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Samanthurai[11] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,079 67.00% 90,772 56.39% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 6,710 23.56% 53,096 32.99% 2,546,348 39.05%
ACTC 1,214 4.26% 8,079 5.02% 173,934 2.67%
JVP 1,197 4.20% 7,679 4.77% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 276 0.97% 1,344 0.83% 75,526 1.16%
Valid Votes 28,476 98.70% 160,970 98.71% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 374 1.30% 2,101 1.29% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 28,850 80.18% 163,071 79.22% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 35,982 205,838 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Samanthurai has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Samanthurai is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Samanthurai Ampara Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 6.64% UNP 13.96%
2010 UPFA UPFA 11.52% UPFA 5.25%
2004 UPFA UPFA 5.01% UPFA 17.43%
2001 SLMC SLMC 12.43% UNP 30.50%
2000 PA PA 5.37% PA 8.86%
1994 SLMC UNP 15.09% PA 32.09%
1989 SLMC UNP 17.26% UNP 29.82%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 10.47% 7/7 19.70%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[14] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,206 44.82% 151,013 46.34% 5,098,916 45.77%
ACMC 14,033 27.10% 33,102 10.16% 33,102 0.30%
ITAK 7,540 14.56% 45,421 13.94% 515,963 4.63%
UPFA 6,448 12.45% 89,334 27.42% 4,732,664 42.48%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 553 1.07% 6,978 2.14% 676,586 6.07%
Valid Votes 51,780 94.62% 325,848 94.55% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,856 5.22% 18,423 5.35% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 54,727 68.10% 344,618 73.99% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 80,357 465,757 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[15] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,252 65.50% 132,096 51.66% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 10,184 23.61% 90,757 35.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
ITAK 3,972 9.21% 26,895 10.52% 233,190 2.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 726 1.68% 5,891 2.30% 483,154 6.02%
Valid Votes 43,134 1078350.00% 255,688 1345726.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2 50.00% 9 47.37% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 4 400.00% 19 237.50% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 1 8 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[16] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 19,117 39.94% 111,747 38.56% 4,223,126 45.70%
SLMC 17,688 36.96% 76,563 26.42% 186,880 2.02%
ITAK 8,976 18.75% 55,533 19.16% 633,203 6.85%
UNP 1,664 3.48% 42,121 14.53% 3,486,792 37.73%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.87% 3,865 1.33% 639,878 6.92%
Valid Votes 47,862 94.04% 289,829 93.91% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,955 5.81% 18,264 5.92% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 50,894 80.57% 308,625 81.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 63,166 379,044 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[17] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 21,705 46.76% 75,257 26.86% 105,346 1.18%
IND9 8,275 17.83% 14,808 5.28% 14,848 0.17%
TULF 7,801 16.81% 48,789 17.41% 348,164 3.89%
PA 5,981 12.89% 65,246 23.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 1,280 2.76% 58,468 20.87% 4,086,026 45.62%
EPDP 973 2.10% 5,901 2.11% 72,783 0.81%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 401 0.86% 11,721 4.18% 934,107 10.43%
Valid Votes 46,416 95.39% 280,190 94.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,238 4.60% 17,225 5.79% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 48,658 81.81% 297,440 82.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 59,474 360,497 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[18] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,501 57.85% 136,423 51.13% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 14,625 33.18% 101,628 38.09% 3,451,765 40.12%
IG2 3,144 7.13% 19,812 7.43% 31,443 0.37%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 809 1.84% 8,937 3.35% 712,394 8.28%
Valid Votes 44,079 N/A 266,800 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[19] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 21,997 57.18% 75,092 31.19% 143,307 1.80%
UNP 9,874 25.67% 78,767 32.72% 3,498,370 44.04%
TULF 4,355 11.32% 24,526 10.19% 132,461 1.67%
TELO 969 2.52% 4,192 1.74% 24,974 0.31%
PA 889 2.31% 54,150 22.49% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 388 1.01% 4,039 1.68% 138,277 1.74%
Valid Votes 38,472 94.64% 240,766 94.98% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,180 5.36% 12,736 5.02% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 40,652 78.19% 253,502 79.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 51,991 318,710 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Samanthurai[20] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLMC 23,820 60.47% 61,325 28.69% 202,016 3.61%
TULF 8,303 21.08% 43,424 20.32% 188,594 3.37%
UNP 6,163 15.64% 62,600 29.29% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 971 2.46% 45,400 21.24% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 136 0.35% 965 0.45% 965 0.02%
Valid Votes 39,393 96.50% 213,714 95.22% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,429 3.50% 10,727 4.78% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 40,822 91.83% 224,441 84.45% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 44,453 265,768 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Samanthurai Polling Division has a Moor majority (83.4%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (15.0%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Samanthurai Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (43.4%), a significant Sinhalese population (38.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (17.3%) [1]

Ethnicity in Samanthurai[1]

  Moor (83.4%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (15.0%)
  Sinhalese (1.3%)
  Other (0.3%)

Religion

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The Samanthurai Polling Division has a Muslim majority (83.4%) and a significant Hindu population (13.4%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Samanthurai Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (43.4%), a significant Buddhist population (38.7%) and a significant Hindu population (15.8%) [1]

Religion in Samanthurai[1]

  Muslim (83.4%)
  Hindu (13.4%)
  Roman Catholic (1.5%)
  Buddhist (1.3%)
  Other (0.4%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Samanthurai and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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