Wikipedia

Senkadagala Polling Division

The Senkadagala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kandy Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Senkadagala
Polling Division
Location of Senkadagala
Coordinates: 7°17′19″N 80°39′33″E / 7.288639°N 80.659114°E / 7.288639; 80.659114
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceCentral Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictKandy Electoral District
Area
 • Total
20.37 km2 (7.86 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
 • Total
62,544
 • Density3,070/km2 (8,000/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-04H

Presidential Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Senkadagala has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Senkadagala is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.86% SLPP 0.74%
2015 NDF NDF 2.84% NDF 6.10%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.11% UPFA 5.74%
2005 UNP UNP 0.97% UPFA 6.82%
1999 UNP PA 3.51% PA 4.95%
1994 PA PA 1.04% PA 6.62%
1988 UNP UNP 2.36% UNP 1.10%
1982 UNP UNP 1.32% UNP 3.40%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 7/8 2.13% 8/8 4.43%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[4] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 35,242 53.07% 471,502 50.43% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 27,399 41.26% 417,355 44.64% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,189 3.30% 23,539 2.52% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,575 2.37% 22,479 2.40% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 66,405 99.01% 934,875 99.04% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 666 0.99% 9,020 0.96% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 67,071 81.12% 943,895 84.89% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 82,680 1,111,860 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[5] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 36,127 57.59% 466,994 54.56% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 26,062 41.54% 378,585 44.23% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 546 0.87% 10,329 1.21% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 62,735 98.69% 855,908 98.73% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 834 1.31% 10,993 1.27% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 63,569 78.34% 866,901 79.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 81,149 1,087,542 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[6] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 28,444 52.33% 406,636 54.16% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 25,243 46.44% 329,492 43.89% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 669 1.23% 14,658 1.95% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 54,356 99.03% 750,786 98.85% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 534 0.97% 8,700 1.15% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 54,890 75.29% 759,486 75.87% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 72,906 1,001,074 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[7] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,894 55.51% 387,150 54.33% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 22,670 43.55% 315,672 44.30% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 488 0.94% 9,798 1.37% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 52,052 98.80% 712,620 98.64% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 630 1.20% 9,817 1.36% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 52,682 76.08% 722,437 77.37% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 69,243 933,754 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[8] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,803 48.53% 276,360 45.10% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 19,893 46.41% 308,187 50.29% 4,312,157 51.12%
JVP 1,173 2.74% 15,512 2.53% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 565 1.32% 9,472 1.55% 140,825 1.67%
SMBP 431 1.01% 3,280 0.54% 35,854 0.43%
Valid Votes 42,865 97.25% 612,811 97.29% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,213 2.75% 17,060 2.71% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 44,078 74.47% 629,871 77.61% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 59,187 811,606 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[9] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 22,323 55.58% 320,110 56.64% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,152 42.70% 235,519 41.68% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 692 1.72% 9,488 1.68% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 40,167 97.78% 565,117 97.55% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 912 2.22% 14,179 2.45% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 41,079 73.70% 579,296 77.85% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 55,740 744,151 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[10] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,825 52.01% 234,124 54.88% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 14,690 45.41% 186,187 43.65% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 834 2.58% 6,266 1.47% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 32,349 98.79% 426,577 98.57% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 395 1.21% 6,167 1.43% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,744 67.92% 432,744 68.36% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 48,208 633,030 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

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Party Senkadagala[11] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,105 58.67% 289,621 59.80% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 13,219 38.57% 178,647 36.89% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 621 1.81% 12,493 2.58% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.95% 3,536 0.73% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 34,269 99.20% 484,297 99.07% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 277 0.80% 4,548 0.93% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 34,546 79.52% 488,845 89.44% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 43,442 546,565 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

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Summary

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The winner of Senkadagala has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Senkadagala is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Senkadagala Kandy Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2015 UNP UNP 0.78% UNP 6.74%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.01% UPFA 7.00%
2004 UNP UNP 3.43% UPFA 8.19%
2001 UNP UNP 3.86% UNP 6.11%
2000 UNP PA 5.76% PA 5.07%
1994 UNP UNP 2.14% PA 2.92%
1989 UNP UNP 3.76% UNP 4.40%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 5/7 3.68% 7/7 5.78%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[14] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 32,354 55.93% 440,761 55.61% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 21,775 37.64% 309,152 39.00% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 3,211 5.55% 30,669 3.87% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 505 0.87% 12,055 1.52% 100,088 0.90%
Valid Votes 57,845 97.26% 792,637 95.48% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,604 2.70% 37,065 4.46% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 59,474 73.29% 830,165 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 81,149 1,049,160 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[15] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,431 53.33% 339,819 60.81% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,411 38.35% 192,798 34.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,965 7.38% 23,728 4.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 375 0.93% 2,459 0.44% 30,354 0.38%
Valid Votes 40,182 93.14% 558,804 90.49% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,935 6.80% 58,333 9.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 43,140 59.17% 617,559 61.70% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 72,906 1,000,861 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[16] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 22,435 48.42% 313,859 49.99% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 17,403 37.56% 268,131 42.71% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 6,191 13.36% 42,192 6.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 309 0.67% 3,684 0.59% 64,227 0.69%
Valid Votes 46,338 95.03% 627,866 93.24% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 2,424 4.97% 45,484 6.75% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 48,762 72.78% 673,380 76.47% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 66,995 880,634 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[17] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,140 56.19% 314,297 52.77% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 15,289 34.17% 233,637 39.23% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,254 7.27% 37,146 6.24% 815,353 9.10%
SU 653 1.46% 4,040 0.68% 50,665 0.57%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 409 0.91% 6,456 1.08% 78,682 0.88%
Valid Votes 44,745 95.21% 595,576 93.40% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,252 4.79% 42,103 6.60% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 46,997 76.20% 637,679 76.03% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 61,677 838,687 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[18] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,096 45.68% 243,623 40.27% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 17,342 39.42% 282,282 46.66% 3,899,329 45.33%
SU 2,093 4.76% 10,999 1.82% 127,859 1.49%
JVP 2,027 4.61% 21,565 3.56% 518,725 6.03%
NUA 1,469 3.34% 32,023 5.29% 185,593 2.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 966 2.20% 14,436 2.39% 161,809 1.88%
Valid Votes 43,993 N/A 604,928 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[19] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 21,005 49.88% 301,824 52.35% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 20,318 48.25% 267,683 46.43% 3,887,805 48.94%
MEP 474 1.13% 3,495 0.61% 68,538 0.86%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 317 0.75% 3,550 0.62% 107,038 1.35%
Valid Votes 42,114 96.32% 576,552 94.89% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,610 3.68% 31,019 5.11% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 43,724 78.44% 607,571 81.67% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 55,740 743,939 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

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Party Senkadagala[20] Kandy Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,471 57.32% 204,973 61.72% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,853 35.07% 105,977 31.91% 1,785,369 31.90%
SLMC 1,018 4.03% 14,697 4.43% 202,016 3.61%
USA 774 3.07% 5,147 1.55% 141,983 2.54%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 129 0.51% 1,315 0.40% 67,723 1.21%
Valid Votes 25,245 94.90% 332,109 93.69% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,357 5.10% 22,374 6.31% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 26,602 56.91% 354,483 56.42% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 46,746 628,317 9,374,164

Demographics

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Ethnicity

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The Senkadagala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (80.6%) and a significant Moor population (10.5%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Senkadagala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (74.4%) and a significant Moor population (13.9%) [1]

Ethnicity in Senkadagala[1]

  Sinhalese (80.6%)
  Moor (10.5%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (6.9%)
  Indian Tamil (1.3%)
  Other (0.7%)

Religion

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The Senkadagala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.8%) and a significant Muslim population (11.1%) . In comparison, the Kandy Electoral District (which contains the Senkadagala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (73.4%) and a significant Muslim population (14.3%) [1]

Religion in Senkadagala[1]

  Buddhist (76.8%)
  Muslim (11.1%)
  Roman Catholic (5.5%)
  Hindu (5.1%)
  Other Christian (1.6%)
  Other (0.0%)

References

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  1. ^ a b c d e "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. ^ "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. ^ "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. ^ "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. ^ "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. ^ "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the Kandy Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ^ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Senkadagala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. ^ "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  15. ^ "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  16. ^ "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  17. ^ "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  18. ^ "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  19. ^ "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  20. ^ "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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