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Statewide opinion polling for the February 2008 Democratic Party presidential primaries

Main article: Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008

This article is a collection of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the February Democratic presidential primaries, 2008.

Polling

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Super Tuesday

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See: Statewide opinion polling for the Super Tuesday Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2008.

District of Columbia

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 District of Columbia winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: District of Columbia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 15
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[1] February 12, 2008 Obama 75%, Clinton 24%
Constituent Dynamics[2]

Sampling Size: 1,194
Margin of Error: ± 2.82%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 63%, Clinton 27%, Undecided 10%

Hawaii

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 Hawaii winner: Barack Obama
Format: Caucus see: Hawaii Democratic caucuses, 2008
Date: 19 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 20
Delegates Won Barack Obama 20, Clinton 6

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[3] February 19, 2008 Obama 76%, Clinton 24%
Touch Tone Polls (Both districts combined)[4]

Sample Size: 775
Margin of Error: ± 5%

February 18, 2008 Obama 59%, Clinton 24%, Undecided 17%
Touch Tone Polls[5]

Sample Size: 676
Margin of Error: ± 3.7%

February 1, 2008 Obama 48.9%, Undecided 27.1%, Clinton 23.9%

Maine

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 Maine winner: Barack Obama
Format: Caucus see: Maine Democratic caucuses, 2008
Date: 10 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 24
Delegates Won To be determined
See also [1]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[6] February 10, 2008 Obama 59%, Clinton 40%
Critical Insights[7] April 20–27 April 2007 Clinton 39%, Obama 22%, Edwards 16%, Richardson 3%, Biden 1%, Kucinich 1%, Undecided 18%
American Research Group[8] 2–6 February 2007 Clinton 41%, Obama 17%, Edwards 14%, Biden 2%, Dodd 2%, Vilsack 2%, Clark 1%, Kucinich 1%, Richardson 1%, undecided 20%

Maryland

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 Maryland winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Maryland Democratic primary, 2008
Date: 12 February 2008
Delegates At Stake 70
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[9] February 12, 2008 Obama 60%, Clinton 37%
SurveyUSA[10]

Sampling Size: 774
Margin of Error: ±3.6%

February 9–10, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 32%, other 1%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 5%
American Research Group[11]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 8–9, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 37%, someone else 2%, undecided 6%
Constituent Dynamics[12]

Sampling Size: 6,486
Margin of Error: ± 1.75%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 38%, Undecided 11%
Mason-Dixon[13]

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 5.0%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 35%, other 2%, undecided 10%
SurveyUSA[14]

Sampling Size: 737
Margin of Error: ±3.7%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 33%, other 2%, uncommitted 6%, undecided 7%
Rasmussen Reports[15]

Sampling Size: 925
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 6, 2008 Obama 57%,Hillary Clinton 31%, undecided 23%
Baltimore Sun[16]

Margin of Error: ±4.6%

January 6–9, 2008 Obama 39%, Clinton 26%, Edwards 12%, other 4%, undecided 12%
Washington Post[17] October 18–27, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 29%, Edwards 8%, Biden 3%, Richardson 2%, Kucinich 1%, other 3%, undecided 5%
OpinionWorks[18] August 24–26, 2007 Clinton 32%, Obama 18%, Edwards 10%, undecided 32%

Virginia

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 Virginia winner Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Virginia Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 12, 2008
Delegates At Stake 83
Delegates Won To be determined

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[19] February 12, 2008 Obama 64%, Clinton 35%
SurveyUSA[20]

Sample Size: 596
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 9–10, 2008 Obama 60%, Clinton 38%, other 2%, undecided 1%
American Research Group[21]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 8–9, 2008 Obama 56%, Clinton 38%, someone else 2%, undecided 4%
Constituent Dynamics[22]

Sampling Size: 6,596
Margin of Error: ± 1.48%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 51%, Clinton 34%, Undecided 15%
SurveyUSA[23]

Sample Size: 588
Margin of Error: ± 4.1%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 59%, Clinton 39%, other 1%, undecided 1%
Mason-Dixon[24]

Sample Size: 400
Margin of Error: ± 5,0%

February 7–8, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 37%
Rasmussen Reports[25]

Sampling Size: 719
Margin of Error: ±4%

February 6–7, 2008 Obama 55%, Clinton 37%, undecided 23%
InsiderAdvantage[26]

Sample Size: 501
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 7, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 37%, other 1%, undecided 10%
SurveyUSA[27]

Sample Size: 369
Margin of Error: ± 5.1%

Obama 59%, Clinton 37%, other 2%, undecided 3%
Washington Post[28] October 4–8, 2007 Clinton 50%, Obama 25%, Edwards 11%
Elon University[29] February 18–22, 2007 Clinton 27%, Obama 13%, Edwards 4%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 54%

Washington

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 Washington winner: Barack Obama
First Tier Precinct Caucuses: February 9, 2008
Delegates At Stake 78
Delegates Won 56 [2][permanent dead link‍]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[30] February 9, 2008 Obama 68%, Clinton 31%
Survey USA[31]

Sample Size: 575
Margin of Error: ± 4.2%

February 2–3, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 40%, undecided 7%
(Obama had a 22-point lead over Clinton with those who will caucus.)
Strategic Vision[32] October 5–7, 2007 Clinton 48%, Obama 22%, Edwards 10%, Richardson 5%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Survey USA[33] April 26 – May 3, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 30%, Edwards 19%, Richardson 4%, Other 5%, undecided 3%
Strategic Vision[34] 6 November 2006 Clinton 32%, Gore 23%, Edwards 10%, Feingold 7%, Obama 6%, Clark 3%, Kerry 2%, Biden 1%, Richardson 1%, Bayh 1%, Rendell 1%, Vilsack 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 11%

Wisconsin

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 Wisconsin winner: Barack Obama
Format: Primary see: Wisconsin Democratic primary, 2008
Date: February 19, 2008
Delegates at stake 74
Delegates won To be determined
See also [3]

Poll source Date Highlights
Actual results[35] February 19, 2008 Obama 58%, Clinton 41%, other 1%
American Research Group[36]

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 17–18, 2008 Obama 52%, Clinton 42%, other 1%, undecided 5% ‡
Public Policy Polling[37]

Sample Size: 822 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3.4%

February 16–17, 2008 Obama 53%, Clinton 40%, undecided 7% ‡
American Research Group[38]

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 15–16, 2008 Clinton 49%, Obama 43%, other 1%, undecided 7% ‡
Research 2000[39]

Sample Size: 600 LV
Margin of Error: ± 5%

February 13–14, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 42%, undecided 11% ‡
Rasmussen Reports[40]

Sample Size: 855 LV
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 13, 2008 Obama 47%, Clinton 43%, undecided 10% ‡
Public Policy Polling[41]

Sample Size: 642 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3.9%

February 11, 2008 Obama 50%, Clinton 39% ‡
Strategic Vision[42]

Sample Size: 800 LV
Margin of Error: ± 3%

February 8–10, 2008 Obama 45%, Clinton 41%, undecided 14% ‡
American Research Group[43]

Sample Size: 600
Margin of Error: ± 4%

February 6–7, 2008 Clinton 50%, Obama 41%, someone else 1%, undecided 8%
Strategic Vision[44] December 7–9, 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 29%, Edwards 12%, Richardson 6%, Biden 5%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision[45] September 14–16, 2007 Clinton 44%, Obama 22%, Edwards 11%, Richardson 7%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 11%
Strategic Vision[46] July 13–15, 2007 Clinton 40%, Obama 24%, Edwards 14%, Richardson 6%, Biden 3%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 11%
Strategic Vision (R)[47] May 4–6, 2007 Clinton 38%, Obama 25%, Edwards 17% Joe Biden 6%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 10%
Wisconsin Policy Research Institute[48] April 3–17, 2007 Clinton 33%, Obama 30%, Edwards, 18%, Richardson 2%, other 7%, undecided 10%
Strategic Vision (R)[49] 28 February 2007 Clinton 36%, Obama 21%, Edwards 17%, Clark 5%, Biden 2%, Richardson 2%, Dodd 1%, Kucinich 1%, undecided 15%
Strategic Vision (R)[50] 6 November 2006 Clinton 32%, Gore 28%, Edwards 12%, Obama 9%, Kerry 1%, Biden 1%, Clark 1%, Vilsack 1%, Bayh 1%, Rendell 1%, Richardson 1%, Dodd 1%, undecided 11%

References

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  1. ^ Actual results
  2. ^ Constituent Dynamics
  3. ^ Actual results
  4. ^ Touch Tone Polls (Both districts combined)
  5. ^ Touch Tone Polls
  6. ^ Actual results
  7. ^ Critical Insights
  8. ^ American Research Group
  9. ^ Actual results
  10. ^ SurveyUSA
  11. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link‍]
  12. ^ Constituent Dynamics
  13. ^ Mason-Dixon
  14. ^ SurveyUSA
  15. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  16. ^ Baltimore Sun[permanent dead link‍]
  17. ^ Washington Post
  18. ^ OpinionWorks[permanent dead link‍]
  19. ^ Actual results
  20. ^ SurveyUSA
  21. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link‍]
  22. ^ Constituent Dynamics
  23. ^ SurveyUSA
  24. ^ Mason-Dixon [permanent dead link‍]
  25. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  26. ^ InsiderAdvantage
  27. ^ SurveyUSA
  28. ^ Washington Post
  29. ^ Elon University[permanent dead link‍]
  30. ^ Actual results
  31. ^ Survey USA
  32. ^ Strategic Vision
  33. ^ Survey USA
  34. ^ Strategic Vision
  35. ^ Actual results
  36. ^ American Research Group
  37. ^ Public Policy Polling
  38. ^ American Research Group [permanent dead link‍]
  39. ^ Research 2000
  40. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  41. ^ Public Policy Polling
  42. ^ Strategic Vision
  43. ^ American Research Group
  44. ^ Strategic Vision
  45. ^ Strategic Vision
  46. ^ Strategic Vision
  47. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
  48. ^ Wisconsin Policy Research Institute
  49. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
  50. ^ Strategic Vision (R)
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