Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election was carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates for these opinion polls range from the previous election on 12 December 2019 to the eve of the 2024 election. The date of the election was Thursday, 4 July 2024.[1]
This article collates polling conducted for various geographical regions, including polls of individual consituencies. Polling covering all of the UK or Great Britain are collated in the article Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election.
Northern Ireland
edit| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
DUP | Sinn Féin | Alliance | SDLP | UUP | TUV | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election[2] | – | 22.1% | 27.0% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9 | |
| 24–25 Jun 2024 | LucidTalk | Belfast Telegraph[3] | 3,859 | 21% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 13% | 4% | 2 | |
| 8–10 Jun 2024 | LucidTalk[4] | Belfast Telegraph | 3,634 | 21% | 24% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 5% | 8% |
3 |
| 10–13 May 2024 | LucidTalk[5] | Belfast Telegraph | 3,316 | 20% | 26% | 15% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 8% |
6 |
| 28 Jan – 11 Feb 2024 | Social Market Research[6] | Irish News–University of Liverpool | 1,206 | 23.5% | 31.1% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 4.8% | – | 6.6 |
| 26 Oct – 3 Nov 2023 | Social Market Research[7] | Institute of Irish Studies | 1,074 | 25% | 31% | 15% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 5% | 6 |
| 14 Jan – 7 Sep 2023 | Northern Ireland Life and Times Survey[a] | ARK | 1,200 | 19% | 24% | 28% | 9% | 13% | – | 9%
Greens on 5% Others on 4% |
4 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 30.6% | 22.8% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.7% | N/A | 3.2% | 7.8 | |
Scotland
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| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
SNP | Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 30.0% | 12.7% | 35.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 5.3 | |
| 28 Jun – 2 Jul 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,083 | 34% | 15% | 31% | 9% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3 |
| 24–28 Jun 2024 | More in Common | N/A | 1,008 | 30% | 16% | 35% | 9% | 2% | 7% | 1% | 5 |
| 26–27 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 32% | 11% | 38% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
| 24–26 Jun 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | - | 31% | 13% | 35% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 2% | 4 |
| 21–25 Jun 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,042 | 34% | 14% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 7% | Tie |
| 21–25 Jun 2024 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,022 | 31% | 14% | 37% | 7% | 3% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
| 20–25 Jun 2024 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,059 | 29% | 11% | 35% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 6 |
| 14–18 Jun 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,069 | 33% | 15% | 38% | 7% | – | – | 7% | 5 |
| 14–18 Jun 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,146 | 31% | 11% | 34% | 7% | 6% | 11% | 1% | 3 |
| 11–14 Jun 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,050 | 30% | 14% | 34% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 4 |
| 5–10 Jun 2024 | Opinium | N/A | 1,017 | 34% | 14% | 35% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1 |
| 3–9 Jun 2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,136 | 36% | 13% | 36% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 2%
Alba on 1% Other on 1% |
Tie |
| 3–7 Jun 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,068 | 30% | 13% | 34% | 8% | 6% | 7% | 2% | 4 |
| 1–2 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 29% | 17% | 39% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 2%
Alba on 1% Other on 1% |
10 |
| 24–28 May 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,067 | 33% | 17% | 37% | 7% | – | – | 5% | 4 |
| 23–27 May 2024 | Survation | True North | 1,026 | 32% | 17% | 36% | 9% | – | – | 6% | 4 |
| 22–25 May 2024 | More in Common | N/A | 1,016 | 30% | 17% | 35% | 10% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 5 |
| 22 May | Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024 | ||||||||||
| 13–17 May 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,114 | 29% | 12% | 39% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 10 |
| 8–9 May 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,078 | 31% | 14% | 38% | 8% | 4% | 4% | 1%
Alba on 1% Other on 0% |
7 |
| 6–8 May | John Swinney is elected Leader of the Scottish National Party and First Minister of Scotland | ||||||||||
| 3–8 May 2024 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,080 | 33% | 17% | 37% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 4 |
| 30 Apr – 3 May 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,014 | 29% | 16% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 4%
Alba on 3% Other on 1% |
5 |
| 29 Apr 2024 | Humza Yousaf announces his resignation as First Minister of Scotland. | ||||||||||
| 26–29 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,043 | 33% | 14% | 34% | 8% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 1 |
| 9–12 Apr 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,086 | 32% | 16% | 32% | 9% | 4% | 5% | 3%
Alba on 2% Other on 1% |
Tie |
| 6–7 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 32% | 17% | 33% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 2%
Alba on 2% Other on 0% |
1 |
| 25 Mar – 2 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,100 | 31% | 14% | 33% | 7% | 5% | 7% | 1% | 2 |
| 10–11 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 34% | 16% | 34% | 6% | 4% | 4% | 1%
Alba on 1% Other on 0% |
Tie |
| 14–20 Feb 2024 | Survation | Quantum Communications | 1,043 | 38% | 15% | 33% | 8% | – | – | 7% | 5 |
| 3–4 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 33% | 18% | 34% | 8% | 2% | 4% | 1%
Alba on 1% Other on 0% |
1 |
| 25–31 Jan 2024 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,005 | 39% | 14% | 32% | 6% | 4% | – | 5% | 7 |
| 23–25 Jan 2024 | Survation | True North | 1,029 | 36% | 16% | 34% | 8% | – | – | 7% | 2 |
| 22–25 Jan 2024 | Norstat | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 33% | 16% | 36% | 7% | – | – | 8% | 3 |
| 9–11 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 35% | 17% | 35% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
| 26–27 Nov 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,054 | 34% | 17% | 36% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 2 |
| 20–26 Nov 2023 | Ipsos | N/A | 990 | 40% | 15% | 30% | 6% | 3% | – | 5% | 10 |
| 29–30 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,092 | 32% | 23% | 32% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 1% | Tie |
| 20–25 Oct 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 32% | 16% | 38% | 6% | 4% | – | 4% | 6 |
| 6–11 Oct 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 35% | 19% | 35% | 6% | – | – | 4% | Tie |
| 2–6 Oct 2023 | YouGov | N/A | 1,028 | 33% | 20% | 32% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 1 |
| 5 Oct 2023 | Rutherglen and Hamilton West by-election | ||||||||||
| 4–5 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,095 | 34% | 21% | 32% | 9% | 2% | – | 2% | 4 |
| 5–14 Sep 2023 | Opinium | Tony Blair Institute | 1,004 | 37% | 18% | 28% | 8% | 4% | – | 4% | 9 |
| 8–13 Sep 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,103 | 38% | 16% | 27% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 11 |
| 2–4 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 35% | 15% | 35% | 8% | 4% | – | 3% | Tie |
| 15–18 Aug 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,022 | 37% | 17% | 35% | 6% | – | – | 5% | 2 |
| 3–8 Aug 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,086 | 36% | 15% | 32% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 4 |
| 5–6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 37% | 17% | 34% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 3 |
| 1–2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,030 | 35% | 21% | 32% | 7% | 2% | – | 3% | 3 |
| 23–28 Jun 2023 | Survation | – | 2,026 | 37% | 17% | 34% | 9% | – | – | 4% | 3 |
| 12–15 Jun 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,007 | 34% | 18% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 7% | Tie |
| 9–14 Jun 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,018 | 38% | 17% | 34% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 4 |
| 9–13 Jun 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Elections Study | 1,200 | 33% | 17% | 36% | 7% | 4% | – | 3% | 3 |
| 3–5 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,466 | 37% | 20% | 28% | 9% | 3% | – | 3% | 9 |
| 15–21 May 2023 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,090 | 41% | 16% | 29% | 6% | 3% | – | 4% | 12 |
| 27 Apr – 3 May 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,009 | 38% | 18% | 31% | 9% | 2% | – | 4% | 7 |
| 30 Apr – 2 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,295 | 35% | 18% | 32% | 9% | 3% | – | 3% | 3 |
| 17–20 Apr 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,032 | 37% | 17% | 28% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 9 |
| 29 Mar – 3 Apr 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,001 | 40% | 17% | 32% | 7% | 1% | – | 3% | 8 |
| 31 Mar – 1 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 36% | 19% | 31% | 10% | 2% | – | 3% | 5 |
| 28–31 Mar 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,009 | 39% | 19% | 33% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 6 |
| 28–30 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,089 | 39% | 19% | 31% | 5% | – | – | 6% | 8 |
| 27 Mar 2023 | Humza Yousaf is elected leader of the Scottish National Party | ||||||||||
| 9–13 Mar 2023 | YouGov | Sky News | 1,002 | 39% | 16% | 29% | 6% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 10 |
| 8–10 Mar 2023 | Survation | Diffley Partnership | 1,037 | 40% | 18% | 32% | 6% | 2% | – | 3% | 8 |
| 7–10 Mar 2023 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,013 | 40% | 16% | 33% | 6% | – | – | 5% | 7 |
| 2–5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 39% | 22% | 29% | 6% | 2% | – | 3% | 10 |
| 17–20 Feb 2023 | YouGov | The Times | 1,017 | 38% | 19% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 9 |
| 15–17 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,034 | 43% | 17% | 30% | 6% | – | – | 3% | 13 |
| 15–17 Feb 2023 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,004 | 42% | 17% | 32% | 6% | – | – | 3% | 10 |
| 10–15 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Scottish Election Study | 1,239 | 38% | 16% | 35% | 6% | 3% | – | 3% | 3 |
| 1–7 Feb 2023 | Survation | N/A | TBA | 42% | 18% | 29% | 6% | – | – | 0% | 13 |
| 23–26 Jan 2023 | YouGov | The Sunday Times | 1,088 | 42% | 15% | 29% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 13 |
| 10–12 Jan 2023 | Survation | True North | 1,002 | 43% | 18% | 29% | 7% | – | – | 2% | 14 |
| 22 Dec – 1 Jan 2023 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,025 | 44% | 16% | 31% | 6% | – | – | 1% | 13 |
| 16–21 Dec 2022 | Savanta | The Scotsman | 1,048 | 43% | 19% | 30% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 13 |
| 6–9 Dec 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,090 | 43% | 14% | 29% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 14 |
| 28 Nov – 5 Dec 2022 | Ipsos MORI | STV News | 1,045 | 51% | 13% | 25% | 6% | 3% | – | 0% | 26 |
| 26–27 Nov 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 41% | 16% | 31% | 8% | 2% | – | 3% | 10 |
| 7–11 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | Alba Party | 1,000+ | 42% | 16% | 30% | 6% | 2% | – | 2% | 12 |
| 5–7 Oct 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,017 | 45% | 15% | 30% | 5% | – | – | 4% | 15 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,067 | 45% | 12% | 31% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 14 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 15% | 30% | 8% | – | – | 1% | 16 |
| 28–29 Sep 2022 | Survation | Scotland in Union | 1,011 | 44% | 15% | 31% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 13 |
| 17–19 Aug 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,133 | 44% | 20% | 23% | 8% | – | – | 5% | 21 |
| 29 Jun – 1 Jul 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,010 | 47% | 19% | 23% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 24 |
| 23–28 Jun 2022 | Savanta ComRes | The Scotsman | 1,029 | 46% | 18% | 25% | 8% | – | – | 3% | 21 |
| 23–29 May 2022 | Ipsos | STV News | 1,000 | 44% | 19% | 23% | 10% | 3% | – | 2% | 21 |
| 18–23 May 2022 | YouGov | The Times | 1,115 | 46% | 19% | 22% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 24 |
| 5 May 2022 | Local elections held in Scotland | ||||||||||
| 26–29 Apr 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,009 | 42% | 21% | 24% | 7% | – | – | 5% | 18 |
| 25–31 Mar 2022 | BMG | The Herald | 1,012 | 42% | 19% | 26% | 6% | 4% | – | 2% | 16 |
| 24–28 Mar 2022 | Survation | Ballot Box Scotland | 1,002 | 45% | 19% | 27% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 18 |
| 1–4 Feb 2022 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,128 | 44% | 20% | 24% | 8% | 2% | – | 2% | 20 |
| 15–22 Dec 2021 | Opinium | Daily Record | 1,328 | 48% | 17% | 22% | 7% | 3% | – | 4% | 26 |
| 18–22 Nov 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,060 | 48% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 28 |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,000~ | 48% | 21% | 20% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 27 |
| 20–26 Oct 2021 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,001 | 48% | 21% | 21% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 27 |
| 6–10 Sep 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 2,003 | 47% | 23% | 19% | 7% | – | – | 4% | 24 |
| 2–8 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,014 | 51% | 21% | 17% | 5% | 2% | – | 3% | 30 |
| 20 Aug 2021 | Alex Cole-Hamilton becomes leader of the Scottish Liberal Democrats[9] | ||||||||||
| 16–24 Jun 2021 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,287 | 47% | 25% | 18% | 6% | – | – | 4% | 22 |
| 13 May 2021 | Airdrie and Shotts by-election | ||||||||||
| 6 May 2021 | Election to the Scottish Parliament[10] | ||||||||||
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,144 | 48% | 22% | 19% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 26 |
| 30 Apr – 4 May 2021 | Survation | DC Thomson | 1,008 | 48% | 22% | 20% | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 26 |
| 28 Apr – 03 May 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,015 | 47% | 25% | 20% | 6% | 1% | – | 1% | 22 |
| 27–30 Apr 2021 | BMG | The Herald | 1,023 | 48% | 20% | 20% | 7% | 3% | – | 1% | 28 |
| 23–26 Apr 2021 | Survation | Good Morning Britain | 1,008 | 46% | 22% | 22% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 24 |
| 21–26 Apr 2021 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,075 | 45% | 22% | 19% | 7% | 4% | – | 3% | 23 |
| 20–22 Apr 2021 | Survation | DC Thomson | 1,037 | 47% | 21% | 22% | 8% | 1% | – | 1% | 25 |
| 16–20 Apr 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,204 | 48% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 24 |
| 1–6 Apr 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,023 | 50% | 24% | 19% | 4% | 1% | – | 1% | 26 |
| 29–30 Mar 2021 | Survation | The Courier | 1,021 | 49% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 1% | – | 0% | 28 |
| 19–22 Mar 2021 | YouGov | The Times | TBA | 49% | 24% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 25 |
| 16–19 Mar 2021 | BMG | The Herald | 1,021 | 47% | 21% | 19% | 7% | 3% | – | 3% | 26 |
| 11–18 Mar 2021 | Survation | The Courier | 1,452 | 49% | 21% | 21% | 7% | 1% | – | 1% | 28 |
| 11–16 Mar 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 1,096 | 50% | 23% | 19% | 5% | 3% | – | 1% | 27 |
| 4–8 Mar 2021 | YouGov | The Times | 1,100 | 50% | 23% | 17% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 27 |
| 27 Feb 2021 | Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish Labour[11] | ||||||||||
| 25–26 Feb 2021 | Survation | Daily Record | 1,011 | 48% | 23% | 21% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 25 |
| 11–13 Jan 2021 | Survation | Scot Goes Pop | 1,020 | 48% | 19% | 23% | 7% | – | – | 3% | 25 |
| 4–9 Dec 2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,009 | 51% | 20% | 21% | 6% | 3% | – | – | 30 |
| 5–11 Nov 2020 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,020 | 50% | 21% | 20% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 29 |
| 6–10 Nov 2020 | YouGov | The Times | 1,089 | 53% | 19% | 17% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 34 |
| 28 Oct – 4 Nov 2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,059 | 52% | 18% | 20% | 8% | – | – | 2% | 32 |
| 17–21 Sep 2020 | JL Partners | Politico | 1,016 | 56% | 18% | 15% | 7% | 3% | – | 0% | 38 |
| 2–7 Sep 2020 | Survation | N/A | 1,018 | 51% | 20% | 21% | 6% | – | – | 3% | 30 |
| 6–10 Aug 2020 | YouGov | The Times | 1,142 | 54% | 20% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 34 |
| 5 Aug 2020 | Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[12] | ||||||||||
| 30 Jun – 3 Jul 2020 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,026 | 53% | 21% | 19% | 6% | – | – | 2% | 32 |
| 1–5 Jun 2020 | Panelbase | Scot Goes Pop | 1,022 | 51% | 21% | 19% | 6% | 2% | – | 1% | 30 |
| 1–5 May 2020 | Panelbase | Wings Over Scotland | 1,086 | 50% | 26% | 17% | 5% | 2% | – | 1% | 24 |
| 24–27 Apr 2020 | YouGov | N/A | 1,095 | 51% | 25% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 26 |
| 24–26 Mar 2020 | Panelbase | The Sunday Times | 1,023 | 48% | 27% | 16% | 5% | 3% | – | – | 21 |
| 14 Feb 2020 | Jackson Carlaw becomes leader of the Scottish Conservatives[13] | ||||||||||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 45.0% | 25.1% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 19.9 | |
Wales
edit.svg)
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Con. | Plaid Cymru | Lib. Dems | Ref. | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election[14] | – | 37.0% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 16.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 18.8 | |
| 27 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,072 | 40% | 16% | 14% | 7% | 16% | 5% | 2% | 24 |
| 24–28 Jun 2024 | More in Common | N/A | 848 | 42% | 22% | 9% | 4% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 20 |
| 19–20 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 930 | 46% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 17% | 4% | 1% | 29 |
| 14–18 Jun 2024 | Savanta | N/A | 1,026 | 49% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 12% | 3% | - | 30 |
| 5–7 Jun 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 960 | 45% | 18% | 11% | 5% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 27 |
| 30 May – 3 Jun 2024 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,066 | 45% | 18% | 12% | 5% | 13% | 4% | 1% | 27 |
| 22–27 May 2024 | More in Common | N/A | 805 | 45% | 21% | 13% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 24 |
| 22 May 2024 | Rishi Sunak announces that a general election will be held on 4 July 2024 | ||||||||||
| 18–19 May 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 900 | 43% | 19% | 14% | 3% | 15% | 6% | 1% | 24 |
| 22–23 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 840 | 40% | 18% | 14% | 6% | 18% | 4% | 0% | 22 |
| 23–24 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 878 | 49% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 33 |
| 20 Mar 2024 | Vaughan Gething becomes First Minister of Wales[15] | ||||||||||
| 18 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 874 | 45% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 13% | 5% | 1% | 23 |
| 24–26 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 48% | 20% | 10% | 4% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 28 |
| 10–11 Dec 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,086 | 47% | 22% | 11% | 6% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 25 |
| 4–7 Dec 2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,004 | 42% | 20% | 15% | 7% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 22 |
| 12–13 Nov 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 44% | 24% | 13% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 20 |
| 14–15 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 959 | 46% | 26% | 10% | 3% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 20 |
| 16–17 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,172 | 44% | 22% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 22 |
| 1–6 Sep 2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,051 | 50% | 19% | 12% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 31 |
| 13–14 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,068 | 41% | 24% | 13% | 7% | 11% | 4% | 0% | 17 |
| 14–16 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 46% | 24% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 22 |
| 17–18 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 43% | 22% | 10% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 21 |
| 16 Jun 2023 | Rhun ap Iorwerth becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[16] | ||||||||||
| 12–17 May 2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,064 | 49% | 19% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 30 |
| 14–15 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,058 | 43% | 23% | 11% | 8% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 20 |
| 15–17 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,251 | 44% | 24% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 20 |
| 17–23 Feb 2023 | YouGov | WalesOnline | 1,083 | 53% | 19% | 12% | 4% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 34 |
| 3–7 Feb 2023 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,081 | 49% | 20% | 14% | 5% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 29 |
| 25 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,042 | 51% | 18% | 13% | 4% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 33 |
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Survation | 38 Degrees | 6,012 | 51% | 24% | 13% | 6% | – | – | 6% | 27 |
| 20–22 Sep 2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,014 | 46% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 23 |
| 12–16 Jun 2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,020 | 41% | 26% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 15 |
| 5 May 2022 | Local elections held in Wales[17] | ||||||||||
| 25 Feb – 1 Mar 2022 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,086 | 41% | 26% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 15 |
| 13–16 Dec 2021 | YouGov | Barn Cymru | 1,009 | 41% | 26% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 15 |
| 27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 | YouGov | ? | ? | 39% | 29% | 17% | 3% | 5% | – | 7% | 10 |
| 13–16 Sep 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,071 | 37% | 31% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 2% | 6 |
| 6 May 2021 | Election to the Senedd[18] | ||||||||||
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,071 | 37% | 36% | 14% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 1 |
| 18–21 Apr 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,142 | 37% | 33% | 18% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 4 |
| 9–19 Apr 2021 | Opinium | Sky News | 2,005 | 42% | 33% | 14% | 3% | – | 3% | 5%
UKIP on 3% Other on 2% |
9 |
| 16–19 Mar 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,174 | 35% | 35% | 17% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | Tie |
| 24 Jan 2021 | Andrew RT Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[19] | ||||||||||
| 11–14 Jan 2021 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,018 | 36% | 33% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3 |
| 26–30 Oct 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,013 | 43% | 32% | 13% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 11 |
| 28 Aug – 4 Sep 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,110 | 41% | 33% | 15% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 8 |
| 29 May – 1 Jun 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,021 | 39% | 35% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4 |
| 3–7 Apr 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,008 | 34% | 46% | 11% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 12 |
| 20–26 Jan 2020 | YouGov | ITV Cymru Wales/Cardiff University | 1,037 | 36% | 41% | 13% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 5 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 40.9% | 36.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 4.8 | |
English mayoral regions
editMost of the following polling are the results of secondary questions on Westminster voting intention from polls primarily for the May 2024 United Kingdom mayorality elections.
London
edit.svg)
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Con. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 43.1% | 20.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 22.7 | |||
| 21–26 Jun 2024 | Savanta | Centre for London | 1,579 | 49% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 30 | ||
| 10–18 Jun 2024 | Savanta | Mile End Institute | 1,022 | 55% | 22% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 1% | 33 | ||
| 2 May 2024 | Elections to the Mayoralty and London Assembly | |||||||||||
| 26–30 Apr 2024 | Savanta | Centre for London | 1,532 | 53% | 23% | 13% | 4% | 8% | 0% | 30 | ||
| 24–30 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,192 | 54% | 17% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 2% | 37 | ||
| 9–17 Apr 2024 | YouGov | N/A | 1,157 | 55% | 16% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 3% | 39 | ||
| 8–17 Apr 2024 | Savanta | Mile End Institute | 1,034 | 52% | 27% | 10% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 25 | ||
| 6–8 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 51% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 28 | ||
| 21–26 Mar 2024 | Survation | ITV | 1,019 | 52% | 21% | 11% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 31 | ||
| 12–19 Feb 2024 | YouGov | QMUL | 1,113 | 52% | 17% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 1% | 35 | ||
| 31 Oct – 8 Nov 2023 | Lord Ashcroft | Evening Standard | 2,750 | 51% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 28 | ||
| 12–17 Oct 2023 | YouGov | QMUL | 1,066 | 55% | 20% | 9% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 35 | ||
| 4–6 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 47% | 27% | 17% | 4% | 4% | 1% | 20 | ||
| 20 Jul 2023 | By-election in Uxbridge and South Ruislip | |||||||||||
| 30 Jun – 5 Jul 2023 | Survation | N/A | 1,050 | 53% | 23% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
30 | ||
| 27–31 Mar 2023 | YouGov | N/A | 1,051 | 58% | 18% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 40 | ||
| 30 Sep – 4 Oct 2022 | Survation | 38 Degrees | 6,012 | 59% | 22% | 13% | – | – | 6% | 37 | ||
| 5 May 2022 | Local elections in London | |||||||||||
| 28 Feb – 3 Mar 2022 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,114 | 56% | 24% | 8% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 32 | ||
| 13–17 Jan 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 1,166 | 55% | 23% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 32 | ||
| 7–10 Jan 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 1,115 | 51% | 23% | 11% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 28 | ||
| 2 Dec 2021 | Old Bexley and Sidcup by-election | |||||||||||
| 6 May 2021 | Elections to the Mayoralty and London Assembly[20] | |||||||||||
| 4–5 May 2021 | Panelbase | N/A | 1,002 | 47% | 32% | 12% | 6% | – | 4% | 15 | ||
| 2–4 May 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 1,141 | 51% | 33% | 7% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 18 | ||
| 28 Apr – 03 May 2021 | Opinium | N/A | 1,005 | 47% | 32% | 11% | 6% | 0% | 4%
UKIP on 2% Other on 2% |
15 | ||
| 7–10 Apr 2021 | Opinium | N/A | 1,093 | 49% | 33% | 9% | 6% | 0% | 4%
UKIP on 2% Other on 2% |
16 | ||
| 29 Mar – 1 Apr 2021 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,192 | 50% | 31% | 8% | 7% | 2% | 2% | 19 | ||
| 17–20 Mar 2021 | Opinium | N/A | 1,100 | 49% | 34% | 9% | 6% | 0% | 3%
UKIP on 2% Other on 1% |
15 | ||
| 13–14 Jan 2021 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 48% | 27% | 14% | 8% | 2% | 3% | 21 | ||
| 16–19 Nov 2020 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,192 | 55% | 30% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 25 | ||
| 15–17 Oct 2020 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 2,000 | 53% | 26% | 12% | 6% | – | 3% | 27 | ||
| 7–8 Sep 2020 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 2,000 | 50% | 29% | 12% | 6% | – | 3% | 21 | ||
| 5–7 Aug 2020 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 2,500 | 48% | 29% | 14% | 7% | – | 2% | 19 | ||
| 2–6 Mar 2020 | YouGov | Queen Mary University of London | 1,002 | 46% | 34% | 11% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 12 | ||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 48.1% | 32.0% | 14.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 16.1 | |||
Tees Valley
editThe following polls related to the Tees Valley Combined Authority area, which comprises the seven constituencies of Darlington, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough and Thornaby East, Middlesbrough South and East Cleveland, Redcar, Stockton North, and Stockton West.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Ref. | Lib. Dems | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 31.1% | 42.5% | 16.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 11.5 | |
| 2 May 2024 | 2024 Tees Valley mayoral election | |||||||||
| 17–19 Apr 2024 | Redfield and Wilton | N/A | 900 | 26% | 49% | 15% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 23 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 43.9% | 40.2% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.7 | |
West Midlands county
editThe following polls relate to the West Midlands metropolitan county, as opposed to the statistical region.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Ref. | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 22.6% | 38.8% | 5.3% | 17.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 16.2 | |
| 2 May 2024 | 2024 West Midlands mayoral election | |||||||||
| 11–17 Apr 2024 | Savanta | The News Agents | 1,018 | 23% | 54% | 9% | 9% | 5% | 1% | 31 |
| 10–14 Apr 2024 | Redfield and Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 24% | 52% | 7% | 12% | 5% | 1% | 28 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 44.4% | 44.1% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2 | |
Constituency polling
editBicester and Woodstock
editBicester and Woodstock was a new seat at the 2024 general election.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lib. Dems | Lab. | Green | Ref. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 28.8% | 38.7% | 16.4% | 4.8% | 10.8% | 9.9 | |
| 6 Jun – 24 Jun 2024 | WeThink | The Economist | 458 | 30% | 31% | 31% | 3% | 3% | Tie |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 53.9% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 27.3 | |
Bristol Central
editBristol Central was a new seat at the 2024 general election. The Green Party candidate was one of its co-leaders, Carla Denyer. The Labour Party candidate was the Shadow Secretary of State for Culture, Media and Sport, Thangam Debbonaire.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Green | Con. | Ref. | Lib. Dems | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 32.6% | 56.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 20.0 | |
| 25 Jun – 1 Jul 2024 | We Think | The Green Party | 400 | 40% | 49% | 6% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 9 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 58.5% | 26.0% | 14.3% | 1.2% | – | 0.2% | 47.3 | |
Caerfyrddin (Carmarthen)
editCaerfyrddin (Carmarthen) was a new seat at the 2024 general election, replacing Carmarthen East and Dinefwr and Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | PC | Lab. | Ref. | Lib. Dems | Ind. (Edwards)[c] | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 19.4% | 34.0% | 24.1% | 15.2% | 3.2% | – | 4.1% | 9.9 | |
| 2 Jan – 4 Feb 2024 | Survation | Plaid Cymru | 520 | 24% | 30% | 24% | 4% | 4% | 10% | 3% | 6 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 39.2% | 30.7% | 25.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | – | – | 8.5 | |
Chingford and Woodford Green
editBetween the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Chingford and Woodford Green were changed. The Conservative Party's candidate was former party leader Iain Duncan Smith. Faiza Shaheen was the Labour Party candidate for the seat in 2019 and originally reselected to contest the seat again. However, she was deselected by Labour's NEC and replaced.[22][23][24][25] The below poll was conducted before Shaheen left the Labour Party and announced her candidacy as an Independent.[26][27]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 35.6% | 25.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 33.2% | 9.8 | |
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium[d] | Greenpeace | 525 | 42% | 39% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 3 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 48.2% | 45.3% | 5.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 2.9 | |
Clacton
editBetween the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Clacton were changed. The Reform UK candidate was the party's leader, Nigel Farage.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 27.9% | 16.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 46.2% | 3.4% | 18.3 | |
| 10–19 June 2024 | JL Partners | Friderichs Advisory Partners | 502 | 21% | 18% | 6% | 6% | 48% | 1% | 27 |
| 11–13 June 2024 | Survation | Arron Banks | 506 | 27% | 24% | 2% | 5% | 42% | 1% | 15 |
| 9–12 Jan 2024 | Survation[d] | Arron Banks | 509 | 38% | 30% | 6% | – | 18% | 9% | 8 |
| 27% | 23% | 6% | – | 37%[e] | 8% | 10 | ||||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 71.9% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | – | 3.4% | 56.3 | |
Gillingham and Rainham
editGillingham and Rainham maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 28.2% | 37.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 21.4% | 1.2% | 9.6 | |
| 5–16 Jun 2024 | We Think | The Economist | 376 | 23% | 55% | 5% | 2% | 15% | 0% | 32 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 61.3% | 28.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% | – | 2.6% | 32.9 | |
Godalming and Ash
editGodalming and Ash was a new seat at the 2024 general election, mostly replacing South West Surrey. The Conservative Party's candidate was Chancellor of the Exchequer, Jeremy Hunt.[29][30]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lib. Dems | Lab. | Ref. | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 42.6% | 41.0% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 1.6 | |
| 16–20 Feb 2024 | Survation | 38 Degrees | 507 | 29% | 35% | 23% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 6 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 53.4% | 34.1% | 8.9% | – | 1.6% | – | 14.6 | |
Hartlepool
editHartlepool maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Con. | Ref. | Lib. Dems | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 46.2% | 21.9% | 24.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 21.7 | |
| 30 May 2023 – 9 Jun 2024 | We Think | The Economist | 448 | 58% | 10% | 23% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 32 |
| 6 May 2021 | 2021 Hartlepool by-election | – | 28.7% | 51.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 17% | 23.2 | |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 37.7% | 28.9% | 25.8% | 4.1% | – | 3.4% | 5.4 | |
Holborn and St Pancras
editBetween the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Holborn and St Pancras were changed. The Labour Party candidate was the party's leader, Sir Keir Starmer.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Con. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Ind. (Feinstein) | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 48.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 18.9% | 2.5%
Wais Islam on 1.6% Official Monster Raving Loony Party on 0.4% UKIP on 0.2% Socialist Equality Party on 0.2% Senthil Kumar on 0.1% Bobby Smith on 0.0% |
30.0 | |
| 19–21 Jun 2024 | Survation | 38 Degrees | 317 | 54% | 9% | 9% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
40 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 66.0% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | – | 0.3% | 50.8 | |
Islington North
editIslington North maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election. Jeremy Corbyn, the incumbent MP and former Leader of the Labour Party, stood as an independent candidate following his suspension from the party in 2020.[31][32]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Corbyn (Ind.)[f] | Lib. Dems | Con. | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 34.4% | 49.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 14.8 | |
| 20–25 Jun 2024 | Survation | Stats for Lefties | 514 | 43% | 29% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 14 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 64.3% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 48.7 | ||
Mid Bedfordshire
editBetween the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Mid Bedfordshire were changed. The 2023 by-election was contested on the 2019 boundaries.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 34.1% | 31.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 17.3% | 3.7% | 2.7 | |
| 19 Oct 2023 | 2023 Mid Bedfordshire by-election[d] | – | 31.1% | 34.1% | 23.1% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 3.0 | |
| 12–15 Sep 2023 | Survation[d] | Labour Together | 559 | 34% | 34% | 16% | 6% | 6% | 4% | Tie |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 60.5% | 20.5% | 12.5% | 3.9% | – | 2.6% | 40.0 | |
North Herefordshire
editBetween the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of North Herefordshire were changed.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 31.5% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 43.2% | 16.0% | 0.2% | 11.7 | |
| 6–14 Jun 2024 | We Think | The Green Party | 501 | 28% | 15% | 4% | 39% | 13% | – | 11 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 62.5% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | – | – | 47.3 | |
Portsmouth North
editPortsmouth North maintained its 2019 boundaries at the next election. The Conservative Party's candidate was Penny Mordaunt, the Leader of the House of Commons.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 33.0% | 34.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 20.4% | – | 1.8 | |
| 9–19 Apr 2024 | Techne | Penny Mordaunt | 1,000 | 39% | 35% | 7% | 4% | 15% | – | 4 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 61.4% | 27.0% | 7.4% | 2.8% | – | 1.4% | 34.4 | |
Richmond and Northallerton
editRichmond and Northallerton was a new seat at the 2024 general election. The Conservative Party candidate was the party's leader and prime minister, Rishi Sunak.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 47.5% | 22.4% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 14.7% | 2.3% | 25.1 | |
| 12–21 Jun 2024 | Survation | 38 Degrees | 331 | 39% | 28% | 9% | 4% | 18% | 3%
Count Binface on 1% Yorkshire Party on 1% Niko Omilana on 1% Brian Neil Richmond on 0% Workers Party of Britain on 0% |
11 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 63.3% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 3.8% | – | 3.9% | 46.9 | |
Waveney Valley
editWaveney Valley was a new seat at the 2024 general election. The Green Party candidate was one of its co-leaders, Adrian Ramsay.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 30.3% | 9.4% | 2.5% | 41.7% | 15.8% | 0.2% | 11.4 | |
| 6–14 Jun 2024 | We Think | The Green Party | 500 | 24% | 17% | 7% | 37% | 16% | – | 13 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 62.2% | 27.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | – | 0.7% | 35.2 | |
Wokingham
editBetween the 2019 and 2024 general elections the boundaries of Wokingham were changed.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lib. Dems | Lab. | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 32.2% | 47.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 9.8% | 15.5 | |
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium[d] | Greenpeace | 607 | 42% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 18 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 55.5% | 32.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 23.2 | |
Wycombe
editWycombe maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 25.6% | 35.9% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 24% | 10.3 | |
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium[d] | Greenpeace | 532 | 37% | 33% | 16% | 8% | 5% | 4 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election[b] | – | 43.1% | 39.9% | 11.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2 | |
Ynys Môn
editYnys Môn maintained its 2019 boundaries at the 2024 general election.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | PC | Ref. | Lib. Dems | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 30.5% | 23.4% | 32.5% | 9.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2 | |
| 21 Dec 2023 – 5 Jan 2024 | Survation | Plaid Cymru | 507 | 26% | 27% | 39% | 4% | 1% | 3% | 12 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 35.5% | 30.1% | 28.5% | 6.0% | – | – | 5.4 | |
Other polling
edit"Red wall"
editPolling firms published polls of the "red wall", which took respondents from a selection of constituencies gained by the Conservatives in the 2019 general election. Different pollsters used different sets of constituencies for their polling.
Deltapoll
editDeltapoll published a poll of the 57 constituencies that the Conservatives gained from Labour and the Liberal Democrats without specifying any regions.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23–30 Dec 2021 | Deltapoll | The Mail on Sunday | 612 | 33% | 49% | 8% | 10% | 16 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 47.4% | 37.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1 | |
Focaldata
editFocaldata published a poll of the 44 seats the Conservatives gained from Labour in northern England and the Midlands.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29–30 Apr 2021 | Focaldata | The Times | 573 | 44% | 45% | 1% | 3% | 1 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 47.8% | 39.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.8 | |
JL Partners
editJL Partners published polls of forty-five seats the Conservative Party gained from the Labour Party across northern England, the Midlands and Wales, apart from Bridgend, Clwyd South, the Vale of Clwyd, Wrexham and Ynys Môn.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2–8 Mar 2023 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 508 | 28% | 53% | 7% | 12% | 25 |
| 7–22 Feb 2023 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 520 | 30% | 56% | 6% | 8% | 26 |
| 14–27 Sep 2022 | JL Partners | Kekst CNC and Conservatives in Communication | 538 | 34% | 54% | 7% | 5% | 20 |
| 6–16 Jan 2022 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 518 | 37% | 48% | 8% | 7% | 11 |
| 25 Nov – 6 Dec 2021 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | – | 45% | 43% | 6% | 5% | 2 |
| 17–25 Mar 2021 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 500 | 47% | 43% | 4% | 6% | 4 |
| 19–30 Nov 2020 | JL Partners | Channel 4 News | 499 | 41% | 47% | 3% | 8% | 6 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 47.7% | 39.1% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.6 | |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
editRedfield & Wilton Strategies published polls of 37 constituencies won by the Conservatives in 2019 that had been held by Labour in 2010, 2015 and 2017, as well as Burnley, Redcar and Vale of Clwyd
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Ref. | Lib. Dems | Green | PC | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2024 | 2024 general election | – | 24.1% | 40.7% | 21.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 16.6 | |
| 11–12 May 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | TBC | 22% | 47% | 16% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 25 |
| 13–14 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 24% | 44% | 18% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 20 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,072 | 24% | 48% | 16% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 24 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 25% | 49% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 24 |
| 30–31 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,055 | 28% | 48% | 14% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 20 |
| 17–18 Dec 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 975 | 28% | 48% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 20 |
| 19 Nov 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 26% | 50% | 11% | 5% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 24 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 32% | 48% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 16 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,250 | 31% | 45% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 14 |
| 3 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 32% | 48% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 16 |
| 20 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,060 | 28% | 53% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 25 |
| 6 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,400 | 28% | 49% | 8% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 21 |
| 23 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 48% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 18 |
| 9 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,150 | 27% | 52% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 25 |
| 25 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,020 | 26% | 53% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 27 |
| 11 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 28% | 50% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 22 |
| 28 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,158 | 31% | 48% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 17 |
| 14 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 29% | 52% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 23 |
| 30 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 48% | 6% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 18 |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 31% | 47% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 16 |
| 3 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 49% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 19 |
| 19 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 32% | 48% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 16 |
| 5 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 29% | 51% | 9% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 22 |
| 19 Feb 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 27% | 55% | 10% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 28 |
| 5 Feb 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 29% | 52% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 23 |
| 23 Jan 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 27% | 53% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 26 |
| 8–9 Jan 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 29% | 51% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 22 |
| 21–22 Nov 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | ITV Peston | 1,500 | 30% | 53% | 5% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 23 |
| 5–6 Nov 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 28% | 53% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 25 |
| 24–25 Oct 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 28% | 56% | 5% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 28 |
| 16–17 Oct 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 21% | 61% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 40 |
| 3–4 Oct 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 23% | 61% | 3% | 7% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 38 |
| 18–19 Sep 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 34% | 49% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 15 |
| 4 Sep 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 31% | 48% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 17 |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 34% | 47% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 13 |
| 08 Aug 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 33% | 48% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 15 |
| 25–26 Jul 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 34% | 45% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 11 |
| 11 Jul 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 32% | 46% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 13 |
| 26–27 Jun 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 35% | 46% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 11 |
| 12–13 Jun 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 36% | 46% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 10 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 46.7% | 38.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 8.7 | |
YouGov
editYouGov published polls of all fifty seats the Conservative Party gained from the Labour Party across northern England, the Midlands and Wales.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–28 Sep 2021 | YouGov (MRP) | The Times | 9,931 | 41% | 40% | 5% | 14% | 1 |
| 6–18 Sep 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 794 | 44% | 38% | 4% | 14% | 6 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 47.3% | 39.0% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 8.3 | |
"Blue wall"
editPolling firms published polls of the "blue wall", which took respondents from constituencies held by the Conservatives but which might be gained by Labour or the Liberal Democrats. Different pollsters used different sets of constituencies for their polling.
JL Partners
editJL Partners published a poll of the forty-five seats in southern England which the Conservatives won in 2019 with a majority of under 10,000 votes.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib Dems | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14–27 Sep 2022 | JL Partners | Kekst CNC and Conservatives in Communication | 521 | 34% | 40% | 20% | 3% | 3% | 6 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 48.5% | 26.6% | 21.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 21.9 | |
More in Common
editMore in Common published a poll of the thirty-nine seats which the Conservatives won in 2019 and saw the largest total swing towards Labour and the Liberal Democrats in the 2017 and 2019 elections.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lib Dems | Lab. | Green | Ref. | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb – 2 Mar 2024 | More in Common | N/A | 1,005 | 32% | 20% | 33% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 1 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 51% | 25% | 20% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 26 | |
Opinium
editOpinium published a poll of the forty-one constituencies held by the Conservatives since 2010, where Labour or the Liberal Democrats outperformed their national swing against the Conservatives in 2017 and 2019, with a majority of under 10,000.[33]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug – 21 Sep 2021 | Opinium | Greenpeace | 1,000 | 43% | 34% | 14% | 5% | 4% | 9 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 48.6% | 30.7% | 17.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 17.9 | |
Redfield & Wilton Strategies
editRedfield and Wilton Strategies published polls of the forty-two constituencies in southern England which voted Conservative in the last three general elections, where more than a quarter of adults have degrees, where more than 42.5% of voters are estimated to have voted to remain in the European Union in the 2016 referendum, and where the Conservative majority over Labour was under 10,000 or the Conservative majority over the Liberal Democrats was under 15,000, in the 2019 general election.[g]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lib. Dems | Lab. | Green | Ref. | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 880 | 25% | 23% | 34% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 9 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,040 | 26% | 20% | 34% | 6% | 14% | 0% | 8 |
| 3 Mar 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,195 | 28% | 19% | 37% | 5% | 10% | 1% | 9 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 21% | 37% | 4% | 7% | 2% | 7 |
| 17–18 Jan 2024 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 30% | 24% | 31% | 2% | 11% | 1% | 1 |
| 4 Dec 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 800 | 29% | 26% | 30% | 3% | 11% | 1% | 1 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,050 | 30% | 25% | 34% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 4 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 36% | 25% | 32% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 4 |
| 10 Sep 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,086 | 31% | 26% | 33% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 2 |
| 26–27 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,274 | 32% | 25% | 33% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 1 |
| 12–13 Aug 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,400 | 33% | 25% | 32% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 1 |
| 30 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,150 | 31% | 24% | 35% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 4 |
| 16 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,154 | 32% | 23% | 36% | 5% | 5% | 0% | 4 |
| 2 Jul 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 29% | 25% | 36% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 7 |
| 17–18 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 31% | 22% | 38% | 4% | 5% | 0% | 7 |
| 4 Jun 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,328 | 30% | 26% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 4 |
| 22 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 34% | 22% | 33% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 1 |
| 7 May 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,090 | 32% | 23% | 36% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 4 |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,000 | 32% | 24% | 34% | 5% | 5% | 1% | 2 |
| 9 Apr 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,228 | 35% | 20% | 37% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2 |
| 26 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 31% | 21% | 39% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,250 | 34% | 23% | 36% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2 |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,150 | 32% | 18% | 41% | 5% | 4% | 1% | 9 |
| 11–12 Feb 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,100 | 34% | 17% | 41% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 7 |
| 28–29 Jan 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 32% | 19% | 42% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 10 |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,200 | 30% | 21% | 40% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 10 |
| 21–22 Nov 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | ITV Peston | 1,200 | 30% | 21% | 41% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 11 |
| 13–14 Nov 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,250 | 32% | 23% | 38% | 2% | 4% | 0% | 6 |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,250 | 33% | 16% | 44% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 11 |
| 7–8 Oct 2022 | Redfield & Wilton | N/A | 1,500 | 28% | 24% | 41% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 13 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 49.7% | 27.4% | 20.6% | 1.3% | - | 0.9% | 22.3 | |
YouGov
editYouGov specified the blue wall to be constituencies held by the Conservative Party in the South or East of England in the 2019 election, with a population which by majority voted to remain in the European Union and have a higher level of graduates than the country at large.[34]
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lib. Dems | Lab. | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6–18 Sep 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 841 | 45% | 15% | 26% | 11% | 4% | 19 |
| 20–28 Jul 2021 | YouGov | N/A | 1,141 | 44% | 18% | 24% | 9% | 6% | 20 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 51.7% | 24.0% | 19.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 27.7 | |
Other geographical samples
editEngland and Wales
editFind Out Now conducted a poll of voters in England and Wales.
| Date(s) conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4–6 Jun 2021 | Find Out Now | The Constitution Society | 14,596 | 45% | 36% | 6% | 1% | 11% | 9 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 46.6% | 34.3% | 12.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 12.3 | |
Cornwall, Cumbria, Gwynedd, Norfolk, and North Yorkshire
editSurvation conducted a poll of voters in Cornwall, Cumbria, Gwynedd, Norfolk, and North Yorkshire.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7–14 Mar 2022 | Survation | Woodrow Communications | 1,012 | 38% | 36% | 10% | 8% | 7% |
2 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 53.3% | 25.8% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 4.7 | 27.5 | |
Coventry
editSurvation conducted a poll of voters in Coventry.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Lab. | Con. | Lib. Dems | Ref. | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–11 Apr 2022 | Survation | Unite the Union | 528 | 52% | 27% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 3% |
25 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 46.5% | 40.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 6 | |
Most rural constituencies
editSurvation published multiple polls of the 100 most rural constituencies in England.
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23–30 Jan 2024 | Survation | Country Land and Business Association | 1,092 | 34% | 37% | 14% | 4% | 9% | 2% | 3 |
| 13–24 Apr 2023 | Survation | Country Land and Business Association | 1,017 | 41% | 36% | 13% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 5 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 58.9% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 39.6 | |
"Conservative Celtic Fringe"
editYouGov produced a poll of seats in South West England that had elected a Conservative MP in every election since the 2015 general election and where a majority of voters were estimated to have voted to leave the European Union in the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum. They branded these seats the "Conservative Celtic Fringe".
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Ref. | Green | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1–15 Jun 2022 | YouGov | N/A | 813 | 38% | 24% | 22% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 14 |
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 56.7% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 0.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 37.5 | |
"Sea Wall"
editYouGov conducted polls of voters in 108 coastal constituencies which they refer to as the "Sea Wall".
| Dates conducted |
Pollster | Client | Sample size |
Con. | Lab. | Lib. Dems | Green | Ref. | PC | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22–23 May 2024 | YouGov | Fabian Society/Channel 4 | Not reported | 20 | |||||||
| 17–18 Jan 2024 | YouGov | Fabian Society | N/A | 21% | 52% | N/A | N/A | 14% | N/A | N/A | 31 |
| 21–23 Nov 2022 | YouGov | Fabian Society | 631 | 32% | 38% | 9% | 21% | 6 | |||
| 12 Dec 2019 | 2019 general election | – | 51.2% | 29.2% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 22.0 | |
See also
edit- Opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election
- Leadership approval opinion polling for the 2024 United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union (2016–2020)
- Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
- Opinion polling for the next Scottish Parliament election
- Opinion polling for the next Senedd election
Notes
edit- ^ The question asked was "If there were a general election tomorrow, which political party do you think you would be most likely to support?".[8]
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Notional result[28]
- ^ Jonathan Edwards was the incumbent MP for Carmarthen East and Dinefwr, elected as a Plaid MP. He was suspended from the party after being arrested for domestic assault.[21] He did not run in the 2024 election.
- ^ a b c d e f Poll conducted based on the previous boundaries for this constituency, not the boundaries used at the general election
- ^ Nigel Farage as candidate
- ^ Corbyn stood for the Labour Party in the 2019 election.
- ^ These are: Bournemouth East, Chelsea and Fulham, Cheltenham, Chingford and Woodford Green, Chippenham, Chipping Barnet, Cities of London and Westminster, Colchester, Esher and Walton, Filton and Bradley Stoke, Finchley and Golders Green, Guildford, Harrow East, Hendon, Henley, Hitchin and Harpenden, Lewes, Milton Keynes North, Milton Keynes South, Mole Valley, Reading West, Romsey and Southampton North, South Cambridgeshire, South East Cambridgeshire, South West Surrey, St Ives, Sutton and Cheam, Taunton Deane, Thornbury and Yate, Totnes, Truro and Falmouth, Tunbridge Wells, Uxbridge and South Ruislip, Wantage, Watford, Wells, West Dorset, Wimbledon, Winchester, Woking, Wokingham, and Wycombe.
References
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