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Super Crunchers: Why Thinking-by-Numbers Is the New Way to be Smart is a book written by Ian Ayres, a law professor at Yale Law School, about how quantitative analysis of social behaviour and natural experiment can be creatively deployed to reveal insights in all areas of life, often in unexpected ways.
 | |
| Author | Ian Ayres |
|---|---|
| Language | English |
| Subjects | Statistics, Economics |
| Publisher | Bantam |
Publication date | 2007 |
| Pages | 272 |
| ISBN | 978-0-553-80540-6 |
| OCLC | 122973719 |
| 519.5 22 | |
| LC Class | HA29 .A88 2007 |
With examples such as predicting gestation period more precisely than Naegele's rule,[1] predicting the box office success of films, Orley Ashenfelter's work predicting the price of Bordeaux wine based on weather data,[2] collecting data on the effectiveness of teaching methods such as DISTAR, choosing baseball players based on statistics (Sabermetrics), and A/B testing to determine the most effective advertisements, Ayres explains how statistical evidence can be used as a supplement or substitute for human intuition.
The main mathematical approach used in these studies is multiple regression analysis.
Awards
edit- The Economist – Books of the Year 2007[3]
See also
editNotes
edit- ^ Mittendorf R, Williams MA, Berkey CS, Lieberman E, Monson RR (1993). "Predictors of human gestational length". American Journal of Obstetrics and Gynecology. 168 (2): 480–484. doi:10.1016/0002-9378(93)90476-Y. PMID 8438913.
- ^ Orley Ashenfelter; David Ashmore; Robert Lalonde, BORDEAUX WINE VINTAGE QUALITY AND THE WEATHER
- ^ "Books of the year 2007: Pick of the bunch". The Economist. 2007-12-06. Archived from the original on 2011-05-04.
External links
edit- "Super Crunchers by Ian Ayres". Random House. Archived from the original on 2011-05-26.
- Ian Ayres's home page
- Roberts, Russ (October 22, 2007). "Ayres on Super Crunchers and the Power of Data". EconTalk. Library of Economics and Liberty.