Talk:2013 Djiboutian parliamentary election
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Electoral system and correct seat distribution
editI think the seat distribution of the latest Djibouti parliamentary elections is wrong. (These wrong figures are also reported by Adam Carr and by IFES)
In 2013 they abandoned winner-takes-all party block vote and for the first time the government didn’t win all the seats. The electoral formula was however not proportional : 80% of seats (rounded to the nearest integer) goes to the first placed list, 20% goes to other lists if they get over a 10% local threshold. (If more than one minority list would have had >10% then seats would have been distributed by D’Hondt.) If no other party reaches 10%, then the first placed list wins all the seats (which was the case in Dikhil and Obock constituencies according to Adam Carr).
The 2012 amendment to art. 33 of their electoral law can be found at [1]. The system is correctly described by IFES and by IPU.
If I can rely on Adam Carr for the apportionment of seats over the 6 districts and for the vote distribution in every district, the result should be:
| constituency | seats total | 80% of seats | 1st list | other lists | UMP | USN | remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alisabieh | 6 | 4.8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | |
| Arta | 3 | 2.4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Dikhil | 11 | 8.8 | 9 | 2 | 11 | - | USN<10% |
| Djibouti ville | 35 | 28 | 28 | 7 | 28 | 7 | |
| Obock | 4 | 3.2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - | USN<10% |
| Tadjourah | 6 | 4.8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | |
| National total | 65 | 52 | 52 | 13 | 55 | 10 |
Then it also makes more sense for the opposition to complain about 8% of votes in the capital district : in the wrongly reported proportional distribution it only makes 4 seats change hands, while 2 lists changing places would displace 21 seats and the opposition would have had 31/65 seats.
IPU reports the same distribution of seats (55-10).----Bancki (talk) 10:28, 12 February 2018 (UTC)