Talk:2024 ASUN men's basketball tournament

Queens in tournament

The ASUN website doesn't say so, but Queens has already clinched a berth in the conference tournament before the final week's regular-season games are played.

If Queens wins their final game against Kennesaw State, they'll have 7 wins, a total Central Arkansas and Bellarmine cannot reach, since both have 10 losses.

If Queens loses to Kennesaw State, they will be 6–10, and Kennesaw State will be 7–11. It is impossible for Queens to finish in a tie with Kennesaw State.

Queens won their only meeting with Central Arkansas, so they would win the two-team tiebreaker.

Queens won their only meeting with Bellarmine, so they would win that two-team tiebreaker as well.

The 2–0 record Queens has over Central Arkansas and Bellarmine means Queens would win a three-team tiebreaker with those two teams.

Queens could end up in wider multiple team tiebreakers involving Central Arkansas, Bellarine or both. In a tiebreaker involving only one of those two teams, Queens just needs to not finish last in the tiebreaker to qualify for the ASUN tournament. In a tiebreaker involving both of those teams, Queens must beat two of the teams involved. If neither Central Arkansas nor Bellarmine reaches six wins, Queens is in the ASUN tournament. So, the only relevant tiebreakers are those that involve at least one of those two teams.

Florida Gulf Coast has two games remaining against North Florida and Jacksonville. If Florida Gulf Coast loses both games, they would be 6–10. The head-to-head records in a three-way tie among Queens, Florida Gulf Coast and Central Arkansas are Queens 2–1, Florida Gulf Coast 2–1, Central Arkansas 0–2, which means Queens avoids the bottom spot. The head-to-head records in a three-way tie among Queens, Florida Gulf Coast and Bellarmine are Queens 2–1, Florida Gulf Coast 2–1, Bellarmine 0–2, which means Queens avoids the bottom spot. The head-to-head records in a four-way tie among Queens, Florida Gulf Coast, Central Arkansas and Bellarmine are Queens 3–1, Florida Gulf Coast 3–1, Central Arkansas 1–3, Bellarmine 1–3, which means Queens avoids the bottom two spots.

If Jacksonville splits their remaining games against Stetson and Florida Gulf Coast, they would finish 6–10. The head-to-head records in a three-way tie among Queens, Jacksonville and Central Arkansas are Queens 2–1, Jacksonville 2–1, Central Arkansas 0–2, which means Queens avoids the bottom spot. The head-to-head records in a three-way tie among Queens, Jacksonville and Bellarmine are Queens 2–1, Bellarmine 1–1, Jacksonville 1–2, which means Queens wins the tiebreaker. The head-to-head records in a four-way tie among Queens, Jacksonville, Central Arkansas and Bellarmine are Queens 3–1, Jacksonville 2–2, Bellarmine 2–2, Central Arkansas 1–3, which means Queens wins the tiebreaker.

If Florida Gulf Coast loses both of their remaining games, including the game against Jacksonville, and Jacksonville loses their game against Stetson, Florida Gulf Coast and Jacksonville would both finish 6–10. The head-to-head records in a four-way tie among Queens, Florida Gulf Coast, Jacksonville and Central Arkansas are Queens 3–2, Florida Gulf Coast 3–2 (assuming the loss to Jacksonville), Jacksonville 3–2 (assuming the win over Florida Gulf Coast), Central Arkansas 0–3, which means Queens avoids the bottom spot. The head-to-head records in a four-way tie among Queens, Florida Gulf Coast, Jacksonville and Bellarmine are Queens 3–2, Florida Gulf Coast 3–2 (assuming the loss to Jacksonville), Jacksonville 2–3 (assuming the win over Florida Gulf Coast), Bellarmine 1–2, which means Queens avoids the bottom spot. The head-to-head records in a five-way tie among Queens, Florida Gulf Coast, Jacksonville, Central Arkansas and Bellarmine are Queens 4–2, Florida Gulf Coast 4–2 (assuming the loss to Jacksonville), Jacksonville 3–3 (assuming the win over Florida Gulf Coast), Bellarmine 2–3, Central Arkansas 1–4, which means Queens avoids the bottom two spots.

No other combinations of ties at 6–10 is possible.

In contrast, Kennesaw State, with the same record as Queens and holding the tiebreaker over Queens, has not clinched a berth in the tournament. If Kennesaw State loses its game against Queens to finish 6–10, and Central Arkansas and Bellarmine both win their remaining games, and Florida Gulf Coast loses their two remaining games, all four teams would have head-to-head records of 2–2, which means the two teams qualifying for the tournament would be determined by NET rankings, which cannot be known before the season concludes. Taxman1913 (talk) 02:13, 28 February 2024 (UTC)