Talk:EuroMillions/Archives/2019

Prize structure incorrect

The prize structure table is heavily flawed. The probability of winning the lowest tier, is not the probability of getting 2 numbers, 4.57%, but is the probability of getting exactly 2 numbers and no more. If you win the jackpot you don’t also win the tiers below it.

The overall chance of winning is equal to the chance of matching 2 numbers, 4.57%. Epanchin (talk) 13:37, 11 February 2019 (UTC)

Change the name

Ignoring the UK millionaire makers, very few million pound/euro jackpots are paid out each year, with the actual top prize being in the low hundreds of thousands most times so a more honest name would be Eurothousands. Under €270,000 was the top prize for draw 1008, 19 May 2017, where 9 of the 13 prizes paid out amounts less than €100 and one number short of the jackpot paid out just €1,588. By increasing the difficulty so there are normally over ten rollovers before a jackpot is paid out, it means that the lottery company gets to keep the interest on an ever increasingly huge sum of money.

We are told the chances of winning the jackpot are just under 1 in 140 million BUT THAT IS NOT TRUE. Each draw has sales of 40 million to 70 million tickets (http://lottery.merseyworld.com/cgi-bin/lottery?sales=17&year=2017&display=NoTables), meaning there should be a winner every week or so instead of maybe a dozen rollovers and more before someone wins the jackpot. The real chances of someone winning the jackpot are: 1 in 50x49x48x47x46x12x11 = 1 in 33.5 BILLION. (5.8.187.247 (talk) 03:42, 24 May 2017 (UTC))

Your maths is wrong. The odds of drawing one of your numbers on the first ball is 5/50 not 1/50, second ball is 4/49 not 1/49 and so on. Using binomial coefficient the odds of the jackpot are one in C(50,5) * C(12,2) = 139838160 or 1 in 140 million. 82.0.43.25 (talk) 21:00, 29 September 2019 (UTC)