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I don't think the counter-criticism is very understandable. Basically the reason you can't just not pay attention to bad news is that if you know the news will be bad, the fact that it's bad is already known, and there's about a 50% chance that it won't be as bad as you thought. Evidential decision theory gives different outcomes when your action is itself the news. For example, in Newcomb's paradox, two-boxing suggests box A is empty, so it's a bad choice. — DanielLC 20:06, 26 March 2011 (UTC)