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Latest comment: 5 years ago2 comments2 people in discussion
As this was a first-past-the-post election, the usual Australian swing calculations don't work. Instead I have used the UK Butler method, being the average of the winning party percentage-point gain and the losing party percentage-point loss. I have used NA where one of the parties did not contest both elections. Eg Ashburnum 1907 Labor gain (53.7-31.4) = +22.3, Liberal reform "loss" (35.4-46.3) = -10.9 therefore Swing (22.3 - 10.9) / 2 = +5.7.