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Talk:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election/Archive

< Talk:Statewide opinion polling for the 2008 United States presidential election

Opinion polling

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 Alabama

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9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association 		June 25-26,30,July 1 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 49%
Zogby International * June 11-30, 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports June 26, 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51%
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association 		May 15-June 2 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports May 27, 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 60%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 57%
Capital Survey Research Center/
Alabama Education Association 		April 16-24 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 55%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 64%
Rasmussen Reports April 2, 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 55%

 Alaska

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Rasmussen Reports June 16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45% Other 7%
Rasmussen Reports May 14 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50% Other 4%
Rasmussen Reports April 7 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48% Other 5%
Survey USA February 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%    

 Arizona

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10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports June 25 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 49%
Arizona State University/KAET June 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 28% John McCain 38%
Behavior Research Center May 12-20 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Arizona State University/KAET April 24-27 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 15 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 57%

 Arkansas

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6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports June 12 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports May 12 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 57%
Rasmussen Reports March 18 2008 Barack Obama 30% John McCain 59%
Opinion Research March 6-11 2008 Barack Obama 27% John McCain 43%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 53%

 California

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55 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA June 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 41%
Field Research Corporation May 16-27 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35%
Los Angeles Times/KTLA May 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports May 19-20 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Public Policy Institute of California May 12-18 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%
USA Election Polls May 14 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 35%
Rasmussen Reports April 16 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Public Policy Institute of California March 11-18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports March 12 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 61% John McCain 34%
Survey USA January 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%

 Colorado

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9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post 		June 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44% Other 2%
Rasmussen Reports June 17 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41% Other 8%
Rasmussen Reports May 19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%    
Rasmussen Reports April 16 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 43%    
New Leadership USA/
TargetPoint 		March 31-April 7 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 51%    
Rasmussen Reports March 17 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 46%    
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%    
Rasmussen Reports February 11 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%    

 Connecticut

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7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 32%
Quinnipiac University June 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 35%
Rasmussen Reports May 29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University March 19-24 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 35%
Rasmussen Reports March 11 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 34%

 Delaware

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%

 Florida

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27 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 43%
Strategic Vision June 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49%
Public Policy Polling June 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports June 26,2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports June 18,2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 47%
American Research Group June 13-17 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University June 9-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University May 13-20 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports May 19, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%
Quinnipiac University April 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports April 10, 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 53%
Quinnipiac University March 24-31 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 46%
Public Policy Polling March 15-16 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 12 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
Mason Dixon February 21-24 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 16 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 53%
Quinnipiac University February 6-12 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 41%

 Georgia

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15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision June 27-29 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
Rasmussen Reports June 26 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 53%
InsiderAdvantage/
Majority Opinion Research 		June 18 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports June 4 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 51%
InsiderAdvantage/
Majority Opinion Research 		May 19, 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 45%
Strategic Vision May 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 54%
Rasmussen Reports May 6 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports March 20 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54%

 Idaho

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%

 Illinois

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21 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 32%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 31%
Research 2000 January 21-24 2008 Barack Obama 58% John McCain 37%

 Indiana

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11 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 40%
Survey USA June 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Downs Center/
Survey USA 		April 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Research 2000/
South Bend Tribune 		April 23-24 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
Selzer & Co./WTHR/
Indianapolis Star 		April 20-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Downs Center/
Survey USA 		April 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 51%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Survey USA February 3-4 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 50%

 Iowa

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7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 38%
Survey USA June 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports June 10, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports May 13, 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 42%
Research2000 April 21-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 31, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Des Moines Register February 17-20 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports February 18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 41%
Survey USA January 4-6 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%

 Kansas

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6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
TargetPoint Consulting, Inc. June 27-July 1 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 49%
SurveyUSA/
Public Opinion Strategies 		June 22-23 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports June 11 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 47%
Cooper & Secrest June 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Research 2000/Daily Kos June 2-4 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 51%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 13 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 55%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 54%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 51%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Survey USA January 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%

 Kentucky

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8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports June 25,2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 51%
Survey USA June 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 53%
Rasmussen Reports May 22 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 57%
Mason Dixon/WKYT/
Lexington Herald-Leader 		May 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 58%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 63%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 28% John McCain 64%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 54%
Survey USA February 3-4 2008 Barack Obama 32% John McCain 61%

 Louisiana

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9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports May 28, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports April 9, 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54%

 Louisiana

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9 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 47%
Southern Media/
Opinion Research 		June 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 52%

 Maine

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Critical Insights June 1-27 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 31%
Pan Atlantic SMS June 10-18 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 26%
Rasmussen Reports June 16 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 33%
Rasmussen Reports May 14 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports April 1 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 39%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 39%

 Maryland

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10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 30%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%

 Massachusetts

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12 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports June 30,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 33%
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 29%
Survey USA June 25-27,2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
Suffolk University June 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 30%
Rasmussen Reports May 28 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports April 23 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports March 18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Survey USA January 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 50%

 Michigan

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17 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Others %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 33%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post 		June 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Polling June 21-22 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports June 9 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
Survey USA May 27 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 41%
EPIC-MRA May 19-22 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 7 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
EPIC-MRA April 4 - 9, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports March 25 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports March 10 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports February 17 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%

 Minnesota

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10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 32%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post 		June 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 37%
Survey USA June 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports June 11 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports May 22 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports April 22 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports March 19 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 43%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports February 16 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Survey USA January 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49%


 Mississippi

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6 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports June 24 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports May 27 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos 		May 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 54%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 54%

 Missouri

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11 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 40%
Survey USA June 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports June 3 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 42%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports May 6 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 47%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 24 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 53%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 53%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 12 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 42%

 Montana

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
Rasmussen Reports July 1 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Mason Dixon/
Lee Newspapers 		May 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 6, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 47%

 Nebraska

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Research 2000/Daily Kos May 19-21 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 57%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 15 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%

 Nevada

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports June 18,2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 45%
Mason Dixon/
Las Vegas Review Journal 		June 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 20 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports April 21 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports March 19 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports February 12 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 38%

 New Hampshire

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 37%
Rasmussen Reports June 18,2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39%
American Research Group June 13-17 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports May 21 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Dartmouth College April 28-May 2 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports April 30 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 51%
University of New Hampshire April 25-30 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports March 16 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports February 11 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 36%

 New Jersey

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15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 36%
Fairleigh Dickinson University June 17-23 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 33%
Quinnipiac University June 5-8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports June 4 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
Monmouth University/
Gannett New Jersey 		April 24-28 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 32%
Fairleigh Dickinson University March 24-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 27 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 27 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 45%
Fairleigh Dickinson University February 18-24 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 38%
Quinnipiac University February 13-18 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%

 New Mexico

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 33%
Rasmussen Reports June 19 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Survey USA June 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 14 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports April 8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports February 17-18 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Survey USA January 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 50%

 New York

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31 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports June 30 2008 Barack Obama 60% John McCain 29%
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 30%
Survey USA June 25-27 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 37%
Siena College June 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 33%
New York Times June 6-11 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 32%
Quinnipiac University June 3-8 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports May 28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 33%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38%
Siena College May 12-15 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38%
Siena College April 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 40%
Quinnipiac University April 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
WNBC/Marist College April 3-4 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
Quinnipiac University March 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 38%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports March 11 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 57% John McCain 36%
Siena College February 11-14 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 40%
Survey USA January 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 43%

 North Carolina

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15 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
Public Policy Polling June 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research 		June 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports June 10 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 45%
Public Policy Polling May 28-29 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 43%
Survey USA May 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 51%
Civitas Institute/
Tel Opinion Research 		May 14-17 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 44%
Public Policy Polling May 8-9 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports May 8 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports April 10 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Citivas Institute April 9-10 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
Rasmussen Reports March 20 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 51%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling February 18 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%

 North Dakota

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Dakota Wesleyan University March 24-April 3 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%

 Ohio

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20 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 38%
Survey USA June 20-22,2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 46%
Rasmussen Reports June 17,2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University June 9-16 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Polling June 14-15 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University May 13-20 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 44%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports May 15 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
Quinnipiac University April 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 43%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports April 8 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 47%
Quinnipiac University March 24-31 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 42%
Public Policy Polling March 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 50%
Rasmussen Reports March 13 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 46%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports February 17 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 42%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 44%
Quinnipiac University February 6-12 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 42%

 Oklahoma

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7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 42%
Research 2000/Daily Kos June 9-11 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 52%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 57%

 Oregon

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7 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 33%
Survey USA June 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports June 11 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 39%
Rasmussen Reports May 7 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 26 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 41%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 13 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 40%
Survey USA January 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%

 Pennsylvania

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21 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports June 19-22, 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
Quinnipiac University June 9-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports May 21, 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
Quinnipiac University May 13-20 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 40%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 40%
Susquehanna
Polling & Research 		May 1-6 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University April 23-29 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 38%
Rasmussen Reports April 24, 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Strategic Vision April 18-20, 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 48%
Strategic Vision April 11-13, 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 49%
Rasmussen Reports April 9, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Temple University March 27-April 9, 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 40%
Strategic Vision April 4-6 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 48%
Quinnipiac University March 24-31 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 39%
Strategic Vision March 28-30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports March 10 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Susquehanna Polling March 5-10 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 45%
Strategic Vision March 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 47%
Quinnipiac University February 21-25 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 40%
Franklin and Marshall College February 13-18 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 44%
Muhlenberg College February 9-17 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports February 14 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 39%
Quinnipiac University February 6-12 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 41%

 Rhode Island

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4 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports June 30,2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 31%
Rhode Island College June 18-27 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 25%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 38%
Brown University February 9-10 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 30%

 South Carolina

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8 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports June 5 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 48%

 South Dakota

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
Dakota Wesleyan March 24-April 03 2008 Barack Obama 34% John McCain 51%
Rasmussen Reports March 4 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 48%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%

 Tennessee

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11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports June 24, 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 51%
Rasmussen Reports April 3, 2008 Barack Obama 31% John McCain 58%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 54%
Middle Tennessee State University February 11-23 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 50%

 Texas

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34 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports June 25,2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 48%
Texas Lyceum June 12-20 2008 Barack Obama 38% John McCain 43%
Rasmussen Reports June 2 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
Baselice & Associates May 20-25 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 52%
Research 2000/
Daily Kos 		May 5-7 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports May 1 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 48%
Public Strategies/
WFAA Dallas/BELO 		February 28-March 1 2008 Barack Obama 42% John McCain 49%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 23-25 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 49%

 Utah

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Rasmussen Reports June 19 2008 Barack Obama 33% John McCain 52%
Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates 		June 16-19 2008 Barack Obama 29% John McCain 57%
Deseret News/
Dan Jones & Associates 		May 13-19 2008 Barack Obama 27% John McCain 62%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 39% John McCain 50%

 Vermont

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 63% John McCain 29%

 Virginia

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13 electoral votes chart

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 39%
Survey USA June 20-22 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 47%
Public Policy Polling June 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports June 12 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 44%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 42%
Virginia Commonwealth University May 12-18 2008 Barack Obama 36% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports May 8 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 47%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 52%
Rasmussen Reports March 27 2008 Barack Obama 41% John McCain 52%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 47%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 47%
Rasmussen Reports February 19 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 49%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 45%
Survey USA January 16-17 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 52%

 Washington

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11 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 35%
Strategies 360 June 26 2008 Barack Obama 47% John McCain 39%
Survey USA June 17-19 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports June 9 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 35%
Survey USA June 7-9 2008 Barack Obama 56% John McCain 39%
Elway Poll May 26-29 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 38%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 36%
Rasmussen Reports May 12 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Survey USA May 12 2008 Barack Obama 54% John McCain 42%
Survey USA April 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 53% John McCain 40%
Survey USA April 7 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 44%
Rasmussen Reports March 27 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 43%
Elway Poll March 18-20 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 39%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 41%
Rasmussen Reports February 28 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 45%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 38%
Survey USA February 3-4 2008 Barack Obama 55% John McCain 38%

 West Virginia

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5 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Other %
Rasmussen Reports June 2 2008 Barack Obama 37% John McCain 45%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 53%

 Wisconsin

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10 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Zogby International * June 11-30 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 38%
Quinnipiac University/
Wall Street Journal/
Washington Post 		June 17-24 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 39%
Survey USA June 13-16 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 43%
University of Wisconsin June 8-10 2008 Barack Obama 50% John McCain 37%
Rasmussen Reports June 5 2008 Barack Obama 45% John McCain 43%
Survey USA May 16-18 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports May 5 2008 Barack Obama 43% John McCain 47%
University of Wisconsin April 15-24 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 41%
Survey USA April 11-13 2008 Barack Obama 49% John McCain 44%
Wisconsin Public Radio/
St. Norbert College 		March 25-April 5 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 42%
Rasmussen Reports March 26 2008 Barack Obama 46% John McCain 48%
Survey USA March 14-16 2008 Barack Obama 48% John McCain 44%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 51% John McCain 40%
Rasmussen Reports February 21 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 43%
Survey USA February 15-17 2008 Barack Obama 52% John McCain 42%
Survey USA January 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 44% John McCain 46%

 Wyoming

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3 electoral votes

Poll Source Date administered Democrat % Republican %
Research 2000/Daily Kos May 20-21 2008 Barack Obama 40% John McCain 53%
Survey USA February 26-28 2008 Barack Obama 35% John McCain 54%

Notes:

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  • * a scientific poll conducted via the Internet (not used in calculating results below).
  • ** a poll commissioned by an organization affiliated with a specific candidate (not used in calculating results below).
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