Template:Opinion polling for the 2021 New York City mayoral election/Democratic primary
Graphical summary (first-past-the-post polls)
editGraphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
- Among those supporting a candidate (first-past-the-post polls)
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Ranked-choice polls
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Eric Adams
|
Shaun Donovan
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA[B] | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 22% | 13% | 3% | – | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 23% | 13% | – | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 6% | 24% | 14% | – | |||||
4 | 29% | – | 21% | 4% | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
5 | 30% | – | 24% | – | – | 6% | 25% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 32% | – | 26% | – | – | – | 27% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 38% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 31% | – | – | |||||
8 | 54% | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | – | – | |||||
8[C] | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Citizen Data[D] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 1 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
2 | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 12% | – | |||||
3 | 33% | 5% | 18% | – | 6% | 7% | 19% | 12% | – | |||||
4 | 34% | – | 19% | – | 6% | 7% | 20% | 13% | – | |||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | 8% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 26% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 44% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 28% | – | – | |||||
8 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | – | – | |||||
8[E] | 54% | – | 46% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
8[E] | 67% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | 51% | – | – | – | 49% | – | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | 60% | – | – | – | – | 40% | – | |||||
8[E] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | 41% | – | |||||
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | BA[B] | 28% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 20% | – | 6% |
1 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | 1% | 8% | 13% | 21% | – | |||||
2 | 29% | 5% | 16% | 5% | – | 8% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
3 | 31% | 7% | 16% | – | – | 9% | 14% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 34% | – | 17% | – | – | 12% | 15% | 23% | ||||||
5 | 36% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 16% | 27% | ||||||
6 | 43% | – | 25% | – | – | – | – | 31% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Emerson College[F] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | BA[B] | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
2 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1%
Chang: 1% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 20% | 15% | 1%
Chang: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 2% | 10% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 3% | 20% | 4% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 21% | 5% | – | 10% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 11% | 22% | 17% | – | |||||
8 | 32% | – | 25% | – | – | – | 26% | 18% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
10 | 52% | – | 48% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Change Research (D)[G] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | BA[B] | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0%
Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% | |||||
4 | 26% | 4% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 21% | 13% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 22% | 3% | – | 9% | 22% | 13% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 5% | 22% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 14% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | 23% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 16% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 27% | – | – | – | 26% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 37% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 30% | – | – | |||||
11 | 49% | – | 51% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[H] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
1 | 24% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 17% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 24% | 7% | 16% | 5% | – | 10% | 18% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 24% | 8% | 17% | – | – | 10% | 19% | 22% | ||||||
4 | 26% | – | 18% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 24% | ||||||
5 | 31% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 23% | 26% | ||||||
6 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 32% | ||||||
7 | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | ||||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA[B] | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
1 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 3%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% | |||||
3 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 2% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% | |||||
4 | 24% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 20% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% | |||||
5 | 25% | 4% | 22% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 21% | 14% | – | |||||
6 | 25% | 4% | 22% | – | 3% | 9% | 21% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | 4% | 23% | – | – | 9% | 22% | 15% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 25% | – | – | 10% | 23% | 15% | – | |||||
9 | 29% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 25% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 38% | – | 33% | – | – | – | 29% | – | – | |||||
11 | 48% | – | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | BA[B] | 28% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 19% | – | 16% |
1 | 33% | 11% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 23% | – | |||||
2 | 33% | 11% | 16% | 1% | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
3 | 34% | 11% | 16% | – | – | 7% | 9% | 23% | ||||||
4 | 35% | 12% | 17% | – | – | – | 11% | 25% | ||||||
5 | 39% | 13% | 19% | – | – | – | – | 29% | ||||||
6 | 44% | – | 24% | – | – | – | – | 33% | ||||||
7 | 56% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | ||||||
Marist College[K] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA[B] | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
13% |
1 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
– | ||||
2 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% | |||||
3 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Taylor: <1% | |||||
4 | 28% | 3% | 19% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 28% | 3% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | 1%
Prince: 1% | |||||
6 | 28% | 4% | 20% | 4% | 4% | 8% | 17% | 15% | – | |||||
7 | 29% | – | 20% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 17% | 16% | – | |||||
8 | 30% | – | 21% | – | 5% | 9% | 18% | 17% | – | |||||
9 | 31% | – | 22% | – | – | 9% | 20% | 17% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 22% | 19% | – | |||||
11 | 43% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 27% | – | – | |||||
12 | 56% | – | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Emerson College[F] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA[B] | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
12% |
2 | 26% | 4% | 14% | 3% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 5%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 11% | 19% | 17% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 2% | |||||
4 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 18% | 2%
Taylor: 2% | |||||
5 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 19% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 5% | 14% | 4% | – | 11% | 21% | 19% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | 5% | 15% | – | – | 11% | 21% | 20% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 15% | – | – | 12% | 22% | 22% | – | |||||
9 | 33% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 26% | 23% | – | |||||
10 | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | 33% | 27% | – | |||||
11 | 59% | – | – | – | – | – | 41% | – | – | |||||
Ipsos[L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | BA[B] | 24% | 4% | 13% | 5% | 5% | 10% | 10% | 17% | – | 11% |
1 | 27% | 5% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 19% | – | |||||
2 | 28% | – | 16% | 5% | 6% | 12% | 12% | 20% | ||||||
3 | 30% | – | 17% | – | 7% | 13% | 13% | 20% | ||||||
4 | 32% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 16% | 21% | ||||||
5 | 37% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 19% | 23% | ||||||
6 | 42% | – | 29% | – | – | – | – | 28% | ||||||
7 | 60% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | – | ||||||
7[M] | 58% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | ||||||
Emerson College[F] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | BA[B] | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
2 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 17% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 1%
Foldenauer: 1% | |||||
5 | 22% | 6% | 23% | 2% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
6 | 24% | 6% | 24% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 17% | – | |||||
7 | 25% | – | 26% | – | 8% | 12% | 10% | 19% | – | |||||
8 | 25% | – | 27% | – | – | 13% | 15% | 19% | – | |||||
9 | 28% | – | 31% | – | – | – | 20% | 22% | – | |||||
10 | 34% | – | 40% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | |||||
11 | 45% | – | 55% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA[B] | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
13% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 8%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% | |||||
4 | 18% | 5% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 21% | 7%
Foldenauer: 5% Chang: 2% | |||||
5 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 22% | 5%
Foldenauer: 5% | |||||
6 | 19% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 22% | – | |||||
7 | 20% | – | 13% | 8% | 9% | 16% | 11% | 23% | – | |||||
8 | 21% | – | 14% | – | 9% | 19% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
9 | 22% | – | 14% | – | – | 22% | 17% | 25% | – | |||||
10 | 25% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
11 | 33% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 36% | – | |||||
12 | 49% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 51% | – | |||||
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | BA[B] | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% |
14% |
1 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% |
– | ||||
2 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 22% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% | |||||
3 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 11% | 23% | 1%
Prince: 1% | |||||
5 | 21% | 5% | 13% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 23% | – | 13% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | 15% | 10% | – | 11% | 16% | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 16% | – | – | 12% | 18% | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 30% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 21% | 29% | – | |||||
10 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 30% | 34% | – | |||||
11 | 52% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | – | |||||
Emerson College[F] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | BA[B] | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
23% |
2 | 23% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% |
– | ||||
3 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 20% | 3%
Chang: 3% | |||||
4 | 23% | 7% | 11% | 5% | 7% | 20% | 5% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 24% | 7% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | 9% | 13% | – | 9% | 20% | – | 23% | – | |||||
7 | 27% | 9% | 18% | – | – | 22% | – | 24% | – | |||||
8 | 29% | – | 21% | – | – | 24% | – | 26% | – | |||||
9 | 36% | – | – | – | – | 31% | – | 33% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | BA[B] | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
18% |
2 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 7% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1%
Wright: 1% Chang: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 7% | 22% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 22% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 7% | 16% | 8% | – | 11% | 10% | 23% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 17% | 9% | – | 12% | 11% | 25% | – | |||||
7 | 28% | – | 18% | – | – | 14% | 11% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 31% | – | 21% | – | – | 17% | – | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 37% | – | 26% | – | – | – | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 50% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 50% | – | |||||
Change Research (D) | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | BA[B] | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
20% |
2 | 24% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1%
Wright: 1% Prince: 0% |
– | ||||
3 | 24% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 9% | 21% | 1%
Wright: 1% | |||||
4 | 25% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 10% | 21% | – | |||||
5 | 26% | 9% | 9% | 9% | – | 12% | 13% | 22% | – | |||||
6 | 27% | – | 11% | 11% | – | 14% | 13% | 24% | – | |||||
7 | 30% | – | 12% | – | – | 15% | 15% | 28% | – | |||||
8 | 34% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 18% | 31% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | 23% | – | 37% | – | |||||
10 | 53% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | – | |||||
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[O] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
1 | 21% | 7% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 22% | 7% | 10% | 9% | – | 13% | 13% | 26% | ||||||
3 | 23% | – | 10% | 10% | – | 15% | 14% | 28% | ||||||
4 | 25% | – | 12% | – | – | 17% | 16% | 30% | ||||||
5 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 19% | 20% | 33% | ||||||
6 | 36% | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | 40% | ||||||
7 | 47% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 53% | ||||||
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[P] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | BA[B] | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
1 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 18% | 8% | 35% | – | |||||
2 | 15% | 8% | 5% | 6% | – | 19% | 11% | 36% | ||||||
3 | 15% | 8% | – | 7% | – | 20% | 12% | 36% | ||||||
4 | 17% | 9% | – | – | – | 21% | 13% | 40% | ||||||
5 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 24% | 14% | 43% | ||||||
6 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 28% | – | 48% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[Q] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | BA[B] | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
1 | 20% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 26% | – | |||||
2 | 21% | 8% | – | 10% | 9% | 14% | 11% | 27% | ||||||
3 | 22% | – | – | 11% | 10% | 16% | 12% | 30% | ||||||
4 | 23% | – | – | 12% | – | 18% | 15% | 32% | ||||||
5 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 18% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 31% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 56% | ||||||
Ipsos[L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | BA[B] | 13% | 5% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 23% | – | 21% |
1 | 17% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 29% | – | |||||
2 | 18% | 7% | – | 7% | 8% | 19% | 11% | 30% | ||||||
3 | 18% | – | – | 9% | 8% | 21% | 12% | 32% | ||||||
4 | 20% | – | – | 10% | – | 22% | 15% | 34% | ||||||
5 | 23% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 16% | 36% | ||||||
6 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 30% | – | 43% | ||||||
7 | – | – | – | – | – | 43% | – | 57% | ||||||
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | BA[B] | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5%
"A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% |
14% |
8 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
8[R] | – | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 73% | ||||||
8[S] | – | – | – | – | – | 39% | – | 61% | ||||||
8[T] | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | 68% | ||||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3%
Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% |
20% |
1 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 4%
Menchaca: 3% "Other": 1% |
– | ||||
2 | 18% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 31% | 3%
Menchaca: 3% | |||||
3 | 18% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 4% | 16% | 10% | 32% | – | |||||
4 | 19% | 6% | 10% | 6% | – | 16% | 11% | 32% | – | |||||
5 | 20% | – | 10% | 7% | – | 18% | 11% | 33% | – | |||||
6 | 22% | – | 11% | – | – | 19% | 12% | 35% | – | |||||
7 | 24% | – | – | – | – | 22% | 15% | 39% | – | |||||
8 | 28% | – | – | – | – | 26% | – | 46% | – | |||||
9 | 41% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 59% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1%
"Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% |
32% |
1 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 18% | 11% | 37% | 2%
Sutton: 1% "Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% |
– | ||||
2 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
3 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% Menchaca: <1% | |||||
4 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 11% | 37% | 1%
Sutton: 1% | |||||
5 | 26% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
6 | 26% | – | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 12% | 37% | – | |||||
7 | 26% | – | 2% | – | 2% | 20% | 12% | 38% | – | |||||
8 | 27% | – | 3% | – | – | 20% | 12% | 39% | – | |||||
9 | 27% | – | – | – | – | 20% | 13% | 39% | – | |||||
10 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 46% | – | |||||
11 | 39% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 61% | – | |||||
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 |
1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | BA[B] | 11% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 17% | 20%
Quinn: 7% Rose: 5% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 1% |
25% |
1 | 15% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 25%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 3% Iscol: 2% Sutton: 2% "Other": 2% |
– | ||||
2 | 15% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 26%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% Sutton: 2% | |||||
3 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 15% | 9% | 23% | 24%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
4 | 16% | 3% | 5% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 24%
Quinn: 10% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% Iscol: 3% | |||||
5 | 16% | 3% | 6% | 3% | – | 15% | 9% | 24% | 22%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 7% Menchaca: 4% | |||||
6 | 16% | – | 6% | 4% | – | 16% | 10% | 24% | 24%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 8% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
7 | 17% | – | 6% | – | – | 17% | 10% | 25% | 25%
Quinn: 11% Rose: 9% Menchaca: 5% | |||||
8 | 18% | – | 7% | – | – | 18% | 11% | 26% | 21%
Quinn: 12% Rose: 9% | |||||
9 | 19% | – | – | – | – | 18% | 12% | 27% | 23%
Quinn: 13% Rose: 10% | |||||
10 | 21% | – | – | – | – | 21% | 14% | 29% | 14%
Quinn: 14% | |||||
11 | 26% | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 33% | 17%
Quinn: 17% | |||||
12 | 30% | – | – | – | – | 29% | – | 41% | – | |||||
13 | 42% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 58% | – |
First-past-the-post polls
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
Eric Adams
|
Shaun Donovan
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Others | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 18–20, 2021 | 1,354 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 3% | 18% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 21% | 12% | 2% | 6% |
Citizen Data[D][a] | Jun 14–17, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 32% | 5% | 18% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 18% | 11% | 2% | – |
Ipsos | Jun 10–17, 2021 | 702 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 27% | 4% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 20% | <1% | 7% |
Emerson College[F][a] | Jun 15–16, 2021 | 664 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 23% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 18% | 14% | 1%
Chang: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
McLaughlin & Associates (R)[U] | Jun 10–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 21% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 17% | 10% | 1% | 21% |
Change Research (D)[G][a] | Jun 11–14, 2021 | 822 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 23% | 4% | 19% | 3% | 1% | 8% | 19% | 12% | 0%
Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
10% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[H][a] | Jun 10–13, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 22% | 6% | 14% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 7% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I][a] | Jun 9–13, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 4% | 20% | 2% | 2% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Taylor: 1% Prince: <1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jun 7–13, 2021 | 998 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 26% | 2% | 14% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 20% | 16% | 3% | 4% |
Honan Strategy Group (D)[J] | May 26 – Jun 10, 2021 | 950 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 31% | 9% | 15% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 21% | – | 9% |
Marist College[K][a] | Jun 3–9, 2021 | 876 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 24% | 3% | 17% | 3% | 3% | 7% | 15% | 13% | 2%
Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: <1% Taylor: <1% Wright: <1% |
13% |
Emerson College[F][a] | Jun 7–8, 2021 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 23% | 4% | 12% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 4%
Taylor: 2% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Wright: 0% |
12% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 17% | 3% | 14% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 8% | 16% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Taylor: 0% "Other": 0% |
12% |
Media Predict[V] | May 27 – Jun 6, 2021 | 501 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 20% | 4% | 15% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 19% | – | 20% |
Ipsos[L] | May 17–31, 2021 | 906 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 22% | 3% | 15% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 9% | 16% | <1% | 16% |
Emerson College[F][a] | May 23–24, 2021 | 570 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 20% | 5% | 21% | 2% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 16% | 2%
Foldenauer: 1% Prince: 1% Chang: 0% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% |
9% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 7% | 13% | 8% | 19% | 7%
Foldenauer: 4% Chang: 2% Prince: 1% Taylor: 0% Wright: 0% "Other": 0% |
13% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | May 15–19, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 13% | 1% | 26% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[I][a] | May 14–17, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 18% | 4% | 11% | 6% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 19% | 2%
Prince: 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Foldenauer: 0% Taylor: 0% |
14% |
Emerson College[F][a] | May 13–15, 2021 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 18% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 15% | 4% | 15% | 3%
Chang: 2% Taylor: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
23% |
Change Research (D)[a] | May 11–12, 2021 | 418 (LV) | ± 4.8% | 21% | 6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 6% | 18% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
18% |
Change Research (D)[a] | May 6–12, 2021 | 1,422 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 19% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 16% | 2%
"Would not vote": 1% Wright: 1% Chang: 0% Prince: 0% Taylor: 0% |
20% |
Schoen Cooperman Research (D)[O][a] | May 4–9, 2021 | 1,003 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 6% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 10% | 10% | 21% | 1% | 17% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Apr 20–27 and May 3–6, 2021 |
1,393 (LV) | ± 2.6% | 11% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 21% | 6%
Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Wright: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% |
13% |
275 (LV) | ± 5.9% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 4% | –[X] | 8% | 27% | 9%
"Other": 4% Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% Prince: 1% Wright: 0% |
15% | ||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 22% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 12% | 13% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 25% |
Mercury Public Affairs (D)[P][a] | Apr 26 – May 1, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 14% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 14% | 6% | 21% | – | 26% |
GQR Research (D)[Z] | Apr 27–29, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 21% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 15% | 7% | 18% | 1% | 11% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 9% | 5% | 16% | 6% | 24% | 5%
Foldenauer: 3% Chang: 1% "Other": 1% Prince: 0% Wright: 0% |
14% |
Benenson Strategy Group (D)[Q][a] | Apr 16–21, 2021 | 1,558 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 17% | 7% | 5% | 8% | 7% | 11% | 8% | 22% | 1% | 14% |
Ipsos[L] | Apr 1–15, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 13% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 11% | 7% | 22% | <1% | 26% |
Data for Progress (D) | Mar 21 – Apr 5, 2021 | 1,007 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 10% | 26% | 5%
"A different candidate": 4% Menchaca: 1% |
14% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | Mar 15–18, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 6% | 16% | 1% | 50% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 15% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 12% | 7% | 25% | 3%
Menchaca: 2% "Other": 1% |
20% |
Emerson College[F] | Mar 4–6, 2021 | 644 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 19% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 32% | 2%
Chang: 1% Menchaca: 1% Foldenauer: 0% Kavovit: 0% Sutton: 0% Taylor: 0% |
17% |
Media Predict[V] | Feb 12–25, 2021 | 894 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 11% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 9% | 6% | 27% | 2%
Menchaca: 2% |
34% |
Core Decision Analytics[W] | Jan 20–25, 2021 | 842 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 17% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 13% | 8% | 28% | 1%
Iscol: 1% |
19% |
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N][a] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 12% | 8% | 25% | 1%
"Other": 1% Iscol: <1% Menchaca: <1% Sutton: <1% |
32% |
Public Policy Polling (D)[AA] | Dec 16–17, 2020 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 16% | – | – | 4% | 5% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 6%
Quinn: 6% |
40% |
Slingshot Strategies (D) | Nov 30 – Dec 6, 2020 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 14% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 11% | 7% | 20% | 17%
Quinn: 7% Rose: 6% Menchaca: 2% Iscol: 1% Sutton: 1% "Other": 0% |
20% |
Data for Progress (D) | Jan 13–19, 2020 | 366 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 9% | – | – | – | 2% | 5% | – | – | 38%
Johnson: 10% Díaz Jr.: 8% Liu: 7% Quinn: 6% Brewer: 2% Mark-Viverto: 2% Taylor: 2% Foldenauer: 1% Sutton: 0% |
46% |
- Notes
Head-to-head polls
editPoll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[A] |
Margin of error |
Eric Adams
|
Kathryn Garcia
|
Raymond McGuire
|
Dianne Morales
|
Scott Stringer
|
Maya Wiley
|
Andrew Yang
|
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jun 1–6, 2021 | 1,191 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | – | – | – | – | – | 42% | 15% |
– | 41% | – | – | – | – | 45% | 14% | ||||
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 46% | 18% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 32% | 51% | 17% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | May 17–20, 2021 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 18% |
– | – | – | – | 36% | – | 44% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 34% | 45% | 21% | ||||
Honan Strategy Group (D)[Y] | Apr 24 – May 2, 2021 | 1,100 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 51% | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | 37% |
44% | – | – | – | 33% | – | – | 24% | ||||
50% | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | 31% | ||||
39% | – | – | – | – | – | 38% | 23% | ||||
30% | – | – | 19% | – | 5% | 22% | 23% | ||||
31% | – | – | – | 20% | 8% | 26% | 16% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Apr 20–27, 2021 | 824 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 31% | – | – | – | – | – | 44% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 33% | – | 47% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 25% | 51% | 24% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Mar 12–18, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 33% | – | – | – | – | – | 47% | 20% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 52% | 21% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 54% | 26% | ||||
Slingshot Strategies (D)[N] | Jan 15–19, 2021 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 27% | – | – | – | – | – | 48% | 25% |
– | – | – | – | 27% | – | 49% | 24% | ||||
– | – | – | – | – | 20% | 50% | 30% |
- Polling key and sponsors
- ^ a b c Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x Before allocation (including undecided respondents)
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with Wiley eliminated instead of Garcia after round 7
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by FairVote
- ^ a b c d e Hypothetical scenario based on FairVote's RCV simulations with various permutations of candidates
- ^ a b c d e f g h i This poll was sponsored by WPIX and NewsNation
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Generation of Leadership PAC, which supports Garcia for mayor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Strong Leadership NYC, Inc., which supports Adams for mayor
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by the Manhattan Institute for Policy Research
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Capalino & Company, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by WNBC, WNJU, and Politico
- ^ a b c d This poll was sponsored by Spectrum News NY1
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with Garcia eliminated instead of Yang after round 6
- ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n This poll was sponsored by Yang's campaign committee
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by New Yorkers for a Better Future, Inc.
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Future Forward NYC, Inc., which supports Yang for mayor
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by StudentsFirstNY, a pro-charter schools group, which released this poll just before its executive director formed a pro-Adams PAC
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Donovan and Yang
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Stringer and Yang
- ^ Hypothetical scenario with all candidates eliminated but Wiley and Yang
- ^ This poll was sponsored by the New York Post, whose editorial board endorsed Adams
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Univision 41 Nueva York (WXTV)
- ^ a b c This poll was conducted by Core Decision Analytics, which is working with Garcia's campaign, and was sponsored by the NYC-based lobbying group Fontas Advisors, which is not working on behalf of any candidates
- ^ Hypothetical scenario excluding Stringer
- ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Hotel Workers for Stronger Communities, which supports Adams for mayor
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Corey Johnson's comptroller campaign committee
- ^ This poll was sponsored by Democrats for Education Reform, a pro-charter schools group